Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[42])
30-9-------
31-7-------
32-4-------
33-4-------
34-2-------
350-------
36-2-------
37-3-------
381-------
39-2-------
40-1-------
411-------
42-3-------
43-4-3-9.17533.17530.37550.50.89790.5
44-9-3-11.73335.73330.08910.58880.58880.5
45-9-3-13.6967.6960.13580.86420.57270.5
46-7-3-15.35079.35070.26280.82950.4370.5
47-14-3-16.808510.80850.05920.71490.33510.5
48-12-3-18.126412.12640.12180.9230.44850.5
49-16-3-19.338413.33840.05940.85990.50.5
50-20-3-20.466514.46650.02820.92770.32680.5
51-12-3-21.52615.5260.17050.9640.45790.5
52-12-3-22.528216.52820.18320.81680.42050.5
53-10-3-23.481317.48130.25150.80550.35090.5
54-10-3-24.39218.3920.26060.73940.50.5


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
43-1.05020.33330100
44-1.485221.16673618.54.3012
45-1.819121.44443624.33334.9329
46-2.10051.33331.41671622.254.717
47-2.34843.66671.8667121426.4807
48-2.572532.05568148.56.9642
49-2.77864.33332.38116965.71438.1064
50-2.97055.66672.791728993.6259.676
51-3.150732.81488192.22229.6032
52-3.321132.83338191.19.5446
53-3.48322.33332.78794987.27279.342
54-3.63812.33332.754984.08339.1697