| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.882224374780309 |
| beta | 0.209594426294991 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | -3 | 0 | -3 |
| 4 | -7 | -0.201401059427534 | -6.79859894057247 |
| 5 | -9 | -5.01114294483801 | -3.98885705516199 |
| 6 | -11 | -8.07963886462007 | -2.92036113537993 |
| 7 | -13 | -10.7454836070626 | -2.25451639293741 |
| 8 | -11 | -13.2407849623274 | 2.24078496232736 |
| 9 | -9 | -11.3558798849529 | 2.35587988495293 |
| 10 | -17 | -8.93381113346077 | -8.06618886653923 |
| 11 | -22 | -17.1978589014891 | -4.80214109851087 |
| 12 | -25 | -23.4702447733061 | -1.5297552266939 |
| 13 | -20 | -27.1385180513501 | 7.13851805135005 |
| 14 | -24 | -21.8394508968455 | -2.16054910315448 |
| 15 | -24 | -25.1437530963126 | 1.14375309631256 |
| 16 | -22 | -25.3214287559808 | 3.3214287559808 |
| 17 | -19 | -22.9637427632098 | 3.96374276320976 |
| 18 | -18 | -19.3064587509152 | 1.30645875091523 |
| 19 | -17 | -17.7519190765906 | 0.75191907659061 |
| 20 | -11 | -16.5475709808348 | 5.54757098083479 |
| 21 | -11 | -10.0865843505449 | -0.913415649455137 |
| 22 | -12 | -9.49453666965908 | -2.50546333034092 |
| 23 | -10 | -10.7703157585549 | 0.770315758554943 |
| 24 | -15 | -9.01368413212862 | -5.98631586787138 |
| 25 | -15 | -14.3248431646673 | -0.675156835332714 |
| 26 | -15 | -15.0752110260736 | 0.0752110260736458 |
| 27 | -13 | -15.1496788510324 | 2.14967885103235 |
| 28 | -8 | -12.9965049594042 | 4.99650495940415 |
| 29 | -13 | -7.40789139128263 | -5.59210860871737 |
| 30 | -9 | -12.194843761852 | 3.19484376185202 |
| 31 | -7 | -8.63897621009265 | 1.63897621009265 |
| 32 | -4 | -6.15267097353156 | 2.15267097353156 |
| 33 | -4 | -2.81512278744498 | -1.18487721255502 |
| 34 | -2 | -2.64113579294506 | 0.641135792945064 |
| 35 | 0 | -0.73764363815028 | 0.73764363815028 |
| 36 | -2 | 1.38738726744903 | -3.38738726744903 |
| 37 | -3 | -0.753144086663685 | -2.24685591333632 |
| 38 | 1 | -2.30293546039103 | 3.30293546039103 |
| 39 | -2 | 1.65417791328506 | -3.65417791328506 |
| 40 | -1 | -1.20213523216453 | 0.202135232164531 |
| 41 | 1 | -0.61893823726381 | 1.61893823726381 |
| 42 | -3 | 1.51355365812752 | -4.51355365812752 |
| 43 | -4 | -2.5987863749633 | -1.4012136250367 |
| 44 | -9 | -4.22444161520079 | -4.77555838479921 |
| 45 | -9 | -9.71007126530804 | 0.710071265308041 |
| 46 | -7 | -10.2248459381502 | 3.22484593815021 |
| 47 | -14 | -7.92472105478334 | -6.07527894521666 |
| 48 | -12 | -14.952768680142 | 2.95276868014199 |
| 49 | -16 | -13.4700582094906 | -2.52994179050943 |
| 50 | -20 | -17.2921383510239 | -2.70786164897608 |
| 51 | -12 | -21.7718925621329 | 9.77189256213292 |
| 52 | -12 | -13.4347894893076 | 1.43478948930763 |
| 53 | -10 | -12.1875760254888 | 2.18757602548876 |
| 54 | -10 | -9.87173275328967 | -0.128267246710328 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 55 | -9.6227006722979 | -16.8033347286816 | -2.44206661591423 |
| 56 | -9.26050809977231 | -19.761861487669 | 1.24084528812437 |
| 57 | -8.89831552724673 | -22.7224553055005 | 4.925824251007 |
| 58 | -8.53612295472114 | -25.7864181401009 | 8.71417223065866 |
| 59 | -8.17393038219556 | -28.9874327000907 | 12.6395719356996 |
| 60 | -7.81173780966997 | -32.3376496277652 | 16.7141740084252 |
| 61 | -7.44954523714439 | -35.8406358279621 | 20.9415453536734 |
| 62 | -7.08735266461881 | -39.4961296803526 | 25.321424351115 |
| 63 | -6.72516009209322 | -43.3020747283089 | 29.8517545441225 |
| 64 | -6.36296751956764 | -47.2555771271947 | 34.5296420880594 |
| 65 | -6.00077494704205 | -51.353385257181 | 39.3518353630969 |
| 66 | -5.63858237451647 | -55.5921391468527 | 44.3149743978198 |
