Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
Parameter	Value
alpha	1
beta	0
gamma	FALSE

Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
t	Observed	Fitted	Residuals
3	3007	3006	1
4	2986	2996	-10
5	3193	2975	218
6	3183	3182	1
7	3028	3172	-144
8	2924	3017	-93
9	2935	2913	22
10	2935	2924	11
11	2945	2924	21
12	2966	2934	32
13	2955	2955	0
14	3038	2944	94
15	3069	3027	42
16	3038	3058	-20
17	3152	3027	125
18	3079	3141	-62
19	2914	3068	-154
20	2873	2903	-30
21	2873	2862	11
22	2893	2862	31
23	2811	2882	-71
24	2873	2800	73
25	2821	2862	-41
26	2873	2810	63
27	2955	2862	93
28	2986	2944	42
29	3059	2975	84
30	3028	3048	-20
31	2842	3017	-175
32	2769	2831	-62
33	2738	2758	-20
34	2769	2727	42
35	2718	2758	-40
36	2738	2707	31
37	2676	2727	-51
38	2780	2665	115
39	2831	2769	62
40	2842	2820	22
41	3038	2831	207
42	3038	3027	11
43	2780	3027	-247
44	2718	2769	-51
45	2718	2707	11
46	2749	2707	42
47	2614	2738	-124
48	2552	2603	-51
49	2480	2541	-61
50	2501	2469	32
51	2594	2490	104
52	2521	2583	-62
53	2718	2510	208
54	2749	2707	42
55	2552	2738	-186
56	2480	2541	-61
57	2439	2469	-30
58	2480	2428	52
59	2366	2469	-103
60	2325	2355	-30
61	2160	2314	-154
62	2201	2149	52
63	2211	2190	21
64	2222	2200	22
65	2418	2211	207
66	2397	2407	-10
67	2160	2386	-226
68	2056	2149	-93
69	2015	2045	-30
70	2067	2004	63
71	1870	2056	-186
72	1736	1859	-123
73	1488	1725	-237
74	1509	1477	32
75	1509	1498	11
76	1488	1498	-10
77	1664	1477	187
78	1674	1653	21
79	1467	1663	-196
80	1426	1456	-30
81	1343	1415	-72
82	1457	1332	125
83	1250	1446	-196
84	1126	1239	-113
85	889	1115	-226
86	940	878	62
87	878	929	-51
88	899	867	32
89	1054	888	166
90	1085	1043	42
91	982	1074	-92
92	971	971	0
93	971	960	11
94	1106	960	146
95	868	1095	-227
96	713	857	-144
97	444	702	-258
98	661	433	228
99	630	650	-20
100	641	619	22
101	889	630	259
102	858	878	-20
103	744	847	-103
104	796	733	63
105	796	785	11
106	982	785	197
107	765	971	-206
108	641	754	-113
109	444	630	-186
110	703	433	270
111	682	692	-10
112	692	671	21
113	909	681	228
114	889	898	-9
115	816	878	-62
116	827	805	22
117	878	816	62
118	992	867	125
119	816	981	-165
120	672	805	-133

Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
t	Forecast	95% Lower Bound	95% Upper Bound
121	661	434.196135087659	887.803864912341
122	650	329.250898242332	970.749101757668
123	639	246.164182618837	1031.83581738116
124	628	174.392270175318	1081.60772982468
125	617	109.851140496326	1124.14885950367
126	606	50.446259273639	1161.55374072636
127	595	-5.0666229463427	1195.06662294634
128	584	-57.4982035153362	1225.49820351534
129	573	-107.411594737023	1253.41159473702
130	562	-155.216795252143	1279.21679525214
131	551	-201.223320916688	1303.22332091669
132	540	-245.671634762326	1325.67163476233