| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 131676 | NA | NA | 1.00663069007636 | NA |
| 2 | 135050 | NA | NA | 0.981013713305289 | NA |
| 3 | 129070 | NA | NA | 0.965819487063348 | NA |
| 4 | 137792 | NA | NA | 0.961816267649071 | NA |
| 5 | 139762 | NA | NA | 0.96260146386609 | NA |
| 6 | 142917 | NA | NA | 0.994333343012675 | NA |
| 7 | 144198 | 141837.664821308 | 139104.791666667 | 1.01964614677825 | 1.0166411029233 |
| 8 | 142648 | 142159.916881708 | 139155.291666667 | 1.02159188615147 | 1.00343333851763 |
| 9 | 152170 | 142356.085337403 | 139270.583333333 | 1.0221547288036 | 1.06893920017073 |
| 10 | 136022 | 143045.466302881 | 139442.5 | 1.02583836565524 | 0.950900462039044 |
| 11 | 138142 | 141552.700798646 | 138570.333333333 | 1.02152240954879 | 0.975905081433254 |
| 12 | 138135 | 139025.027565444 | 136696.875 | 1.0170314980898 | 0.993598076684248 |
| 13 | 135027 | 135563.751948547 | 134670.791666667 | 1.00663069007636 | 0.996040593884192 |
| 14 | 132911 | 130753.636142039 | 133284.208333333 | 0.981013713305289 | 1.01649945593572 |
| 15 | 133976 | 127512.478749453 | 132025.166666667 | 0.965819487063348 | 1.05068932322496 |
| 16 | 137012 | 126081.12816918 | 131086.5 | 0.961816267649071 | 1.08669712897994 |
| 17 | 119610 | 125962.698564787 | 130856.541666667 | 0.96260146386609 | 0.949566827027607 |
| 18 | 118106 | 129528.697302564 | 130266.875 | 0.994333343012675 | 0.91181338544707 |
| 19 | 120383 | 132248.445119188 | 129700.333333333 | 1.01964614677825 | 0.910279133274537 |
| 20 | 133185 | 132068.930194603 | 129277.583333333 | 1.02159188615147 | 1.00845066136109 |
| 21 | 131416 | 131854.425063895 | 128996.541666667 | 1.0221547288036 | 0.996674930980268 |
| 22 | 134248 | 132607.005269891 | 129266.958333333 | 1.02583836565524 | 1.01237487210249 |
| 23 | 134397 | 133400.18582864 | 130589.583333333 | 1.02152240954879 | 1.00747235969102 |
| 24 | 127728 | 135236.373353498 | 132971.666666667 | 1.0170314980898 | 0.94447963098011 |
| 25 | 131837 | 136201.788034274 | 135304.625 | 1.00663069007636 | 0.967953518839449 |
| 26 | 125955 | 134303.393388063 | 136902.666666667 | 0.981013713305289 | 0.93783929670384 |
| 27 | 134187 | 133358.906044476 | 138078.5 | 0.965819487063348 | 1.00620951371067 |
| 28 | 143291 | 134227.551653456 | 139556.333333333 | 0.961816267649071 | 1.06752301025309 |
| 29 | 145074 | 136053.40906013 | 141339.291666667 | 0.96260146386609 | 1.06630183691967 |
| 30 | 149812 | 142612.79831882 | 143425.541666667 | 0.994333343012675 | 1.05048075464507 |
| 31 | 144668 | 148570.133416948 | 145707.541666667 | 1.01964614677825 | 0.973735411504293 |
| 32 | 147253 | 151229.524514303 | 148033.208333333 | 1.02159188615147 | 0.973705369192462 |
| 33 | 145568 | 153452.597073295 | 150126.583333333 | 1.0221547288036 | 0.94861867949013 |
| 34 | 155564 | 155484.56860849 | 151568.291666667 | 1.02583836565524 | 1.00051086350382 |
| 35 | 155872 | 156186.77545724 | 152896.083333333 | 1.02152240954879 | 0.997984621576836 |
| 36 | 156323 | 156573.736559734 | 153951.708333333 | 1.0170314980898 | 0.998398603972522 |
| 37 | 158010 | 156183.700832908 | 155154.916666667 | 1.00663069007636 | 1.01169327629806 |
| 38 | 155598 | 153984.531379965 | 156964.708333333 | 0.981013713305289 | 1.0104781214423 |
| 39 | 154785 | 153571.978694524 | 159006.916666667 | 0.965819487063348 | 1.00789871508974 |
| 40 | 157294 | 154757.880567526 | 160901.708333333 | 0.961816267649071 | 1.01638765937588 |
| 41 | 162938 | 156409.461999717 | 162486.208333333 | 0.96260146386609 | 1.04174004511501 |
| 42 | 157283 | 163094.656545979 | 164024.125 | 0.994333343012675 | 0.964366358352516 |
| 43 | 166074 | 168548.570193848 | 165301.041666667 | 1.01964614677825 | 0.985318355468681 |
| 44 | 169282 | 170189.631426345 | 166592.583333333 | 1.02159188615147 | 0.994666940525467 |
| 45 | 172552 | 171716.798485801 | 167994.916666667 | 1.0221547288036 | 1.00486383115434 |
| 46 | 174055 | 173740.473650221 | 169364.375 | 1.02583836565524 | 1.00181032285207 |
| 47 | 175409 | 174258.145333664 | 170586.708333333 | 1.02152240954879 | 1.00660430916519 |
| 48 | 173696 | 174705.246978742 | 171779.583333333 | 1.0170314980898 | 0.99422314443215 |
| 49 | 171283 | 174008.823492162 | 172862.625 | 1.00663069007636 | 0.984335142106833 |
| 50 | 173322 | 170165.085438223 | 173458.416666667 | 0.981013713305289 | 1.01855206991286 |
| 51 | 170717 | 167769.847094185 | 173707.25 | 0.965819487063348 | 1.0175666423786 |
| 52 | 174229 | 167161.022322673 | 173797.25 | 0.961816267649071 | 1.04228245065219 |
| 53 | 175339 | 167302.781573952 | 173802.75 | 0.96260146386609 | 1.04803397977275 |
| 54 | 173511 | 172918.959988836 | 173904.416666667 | 0.994333343012675 | 1.00342380043925 |
| 55 | 175839 | 177658.556206982 | 174235.5 | 1.01964614677825 | 0.989758127917788 |
| 56 | 173816 | 178531.61023803 | 174758.25 | 1.02159188615147 | 0.973586692957384 |
| 57 | 173990 | 179208.170493202 | 175323.916666667 | 1.0221547288036 | 0.970882072626257 |
| 58 | 174777 | 180455.098672618 | 175909.875 | 1.02583836565524 | 0.968534562257402 |
| 59 | 174819 | 180265.505807052 | 176467.5 | 1.02152240954879 | 0.969786200733924 |
| 60 | 176726 | 180076.953093778 | 177061.333333333 | 1.0170314980898 | 0.981391549355943 |
| 61 | 176199 | 179116.299841828 | 177936.458333333 | 1.00663069007636 | 0.983712817625175 |
| 62 | 180952 | 175711.655222108 | 179112.333333333 | 0.981013713305289 | 1.02982354682885 |
| 63 | 176663 | 174290.899300922 | 180459.083333333 | 0.965819487063348 | 1.01361000894822 |
| 64 | 182346 | 174956.262642224 | 181901.958333333 | 0.961816267649071 | 1.04223762697131 |
| 65 | 180605 | 176579.973507145 | 183440.375 | 0.96260146386609 | 1.02279435438183 |
| 66 | 182497 | 184089.30076424 | 185138.416666667 | 0.994333343012675 | 0.991350389416279 |
| 67 | 187856 | 190526.872946629 | 186855.875 | 1.01964614677825 | 0.985981647075176 |
| 68 | 190020 | 192145.641677184 | 188084.541666667 | 1.02159188615147 | 0.988937341182292 |
| 69 | 190108 | 193316.887035318 | 189126.833333333 | 1.0221547288036 | 0.983400896401091 |
| 70 | 193288 | 194813.843763225 | 189906.958333333 | 1.02583836565524 | 0.992167683087866 |
| 71 | 193230 | 194386.733652618 | 190291.208333333 | 1.02152240954879 | 0.994049317919578 |
| 72 | 199068 | 193819.336953842 | 190573.583333333 | 1.0170314980898 | 1.02708018265179 |
| 73 | 195076 | 191714.073213406 | 190451.25 | 1.00663069007636 | 1.01753615021705 |
| 74 | 191563 | 186053.910543486 | 189654.75 | 0.981013713305289 | 1.02961017825651 |
| 75 | 191067 | 182019.46732136 | 188461.166666667 | 0.965819487063348 | 1.04970640125359 |
| 76 | 186665 | 179798.286187636 | 186936.208333333 | 0.961816267649071 | 1.03819120837002 |
| 77 | 185508 | 178139.22744503 | 185060.208333333 | 0.96260146386609 | 1.04136524369538 |
| 78 | 184371 | 181868.291520398 | 182904.75 | 0.994333343012675 | 1.01376110403127 |
| 79 | 183046 | 183623.86853294 | 180085.875 | 1.01964614677825 | 0.996852977025498 |
| 80 | 175714 | 179463.983099457 | 175670.916666667 | 1.02159188615147 | 0.979104536549938 |
| 81 | 175768 | 172791.977491161 | 169046.791666667 | 1.0221547288036 | 1.01722315209334 |
| 82 | 171029 | 165220.92876672 | 161059.416666667 | 1.02583836565524 | 1.03515336269221 |
| 83 | 170465 | 155994.303609908 | 152707.666666667 | 1.02152240954879 | 1.09276426161226 |
| 84 | 170102 | 148672.927366824 | 146183.208333333 | 1.0170314980898 | 1.14413567427985 |
| 85 | 156389 | 144009.970639524 | 143061.375 | 1.00663069007636 | 1.08595952978466 |
| 86 | 124291 | 139032.983126622 | 141723.791666667 | 0.981013713305289 | 0.893967727692387 |
| 87 | 99360 | 135418.717313032 | 140211.208333333 | 0.965819487063348 | 0.733724273656504 |
| 88 | 86675 | 133334.02434081 | 138627.333333333 | 0.961816267649071 | 0.6500591310321 |
| 89 | 85056 | 132155.31432381 | 137289.75 | 0.96260146386609 | 0.643606353896553 |
| 90 | 128236 | 135103.551481833 | 135873.5 | 0.994333343012675 | 0.949168238684264 |
| 91 | 164257 | 137503.658874427 | 134854.291666667 | 1.01964614677825 | 1.19456457627796 |
| 92 | 162401 | 138292.638230353 | 135369.75 | 1.02159188615147 | 1.17432859824028 |
| 93 | 152779 | 141201.604161 | 138141.125 | 1.0221547288036 | 1.08199195687465 |
| 94 | 156005 | 146218.170651526 | 142535.291666667 | 1.02583836565524 | 1.0669330583529 |
| 95 | 153387 | 150884.350573308 | 147705.375 | 1.02152240954879 | 1.01658654073257 |
| 96 | 153190 | 153800.461169693 | 151224.875 | 1.0170314980898 | 0.996030823542074 |
| 97 | 148840 | 152178.107602367 | 151175.708333333 | 1.00663069007636 | 0.978064468963638 |
| 98 | 144211 | 146340.145521319 | 149172.375 | 0.981013713305289 | 0.985450707912486 |
| 99 | 145953 | 142114.180422142 | 147143.625 | 0.965819487063348 | 1.02701222050084 |
| 100 | 145542 | 139491.532010622 | 145029.291666667 | 0.961816267649071 | 1.04337516336775 |
| 101 | 150271 | 137296.087441586 | 142630.25 | 0.96260146386609 | 1.0945031486344 |
| 102 | 147489 | 139519.675872044 | 140314.791666667 | 0.994333343012675 | 1.05711971503765 |
| 103 | 143824 | 141100.035804627 | 138381.375 | 1.01964614677825 | 1.01930519847029 |
| 104 | 134754 | 139808.765722059 | 136853.833333333 | 1.02159188615147 | 0.96384514450183 |
| 105 | 131736 | 137603.662105391 | 134621.166666667 | 1.0221547288036 | 0.957358241665855 |
| 106 | 126304 | 134562.33868136 | 131173.041666667 | 1.02583836565524 | 0.938628157311418 |
| 107 | 125511 | 130095.390580015 | 127354.416666667 | 1.02152240954879 | 0.964761314297335 |
| 108 | 125495 | 126500.072784906 | 124381.666666667 | 1.0170314980898 | 0.992054765165114 |
| 109 | 130133 | 123252.994152476 | 122441.125 | 1.00663069007636 | 1.05582019240046 |
| 110 | 126257 | 119002.236372641 | 121305.375 | 0.981013713305289 | 1.06096325454458 |
| 111 | 110323 | 117460.350255534 | 121617.291666667 | 0.965819487063348 | 0.939236089114273 |
| 112 | 98417 | 118322.837624578 | 123020.208333333 | 0.961816267649071 | 0.831766732236964 |
| 113 | 105749 | 120078.877333695 | 124744.125 | 0.96260146386609 | 0.88066279722226 |
| 114 | 120665 | 125772.105932662 | 126488.875 | 0.994333343012675 | 0.959393969793296 |
| 115 | 124075 | 130333.932022844 | 127822.708333333 | 1.01964614677825 | 0.9519777242526 |
| 116 | 127245 | 131821.492126512 | 129035.375 | 1.02159188615147 | 0.965282655713533 |
| 117 | 146731 | 134112.450039382 | 131205.625 | 1.0221547288036 | 1.09408932546465 |
| 118 | 144979 | 138182.94970641 | 134702.458333333 | 1.02583836565524 | 1.04918154018299 |
| 119 | 148210 | 141452.889546547 | 138472.625 | 1.02152240954879 | 1.04776933490093 |
| 120 | 144670 | 143819.059789565 | 141410.625 | 1.0170314980898 | 1.0059167415757 |
| 121 | 142970 | 144623.218444507 | 143670.583333333 | 1.00663069007636 | 0.988568789560291 |
| 122 | 142524 | 143037.64460662 | 145805.958333333 | 0.981013713305289 | 0.996409024994559 |
| 123 | 146142 | 142194.745864354 | 147227.041666667 | 0.965819487063348 | 1.02775949358503 |
| 124 | 146522 | 142593.068868368 | 148253.958333333 | 0.961816267649071 | 1.02755345096934 |
| 125 | 148128 | 143631.689626387 | 149212 | 0.96260146386609 | 1.03130444531641 |
| 126 | 148798 | 149232.448258259 | 150082.916666667 | 0.994333343012675 | 0.997088781539605 |
| 127 | 150181 | 154091.899669058 | 151122.916666667 | 1.01964614677825 | 0.974619693329389 |
| 128 | 152388 | 155536.939003275 | 152249.583333333 | 1.02159188615147 | 0.979754397743364 |
| 129 | 155694 | 156896.108585293 | 153495.458333333 | 1.0221547288036 | 0.992338187376778 |
| 130 | 160662 | 158425.94640568 | 154435.583333333 | 1.02583836565524 | 1.01411418801687 |
| 131 | 155520 | 158220.881955254 | 154887.333333333 | 1.02152240954879 | 0.982929674503913 |
| 132 | 158262 | 157508.727516978 | 154871.041666667 | 1.0170314980898 | 1.00478241742472 |
| 133 | 154338 | 155401.422957882 | 154377.791666667 | 1.00663069007636 | 0.993156929083139 |
| 134 | 158196 | 150609.067570338 | 153523.916666667 | 0.981013713305289 | 1.05037500432116 |
| 135 | 160371 | 147224.894722895 | 152435.208333333 | 0.965819487063348 | 1.08929267908019 |
| 136 | 154856 | 145166.608670852 | 150929.666666667 | 0.961816267649071 | 1.06674669483475 |
| 137 | 150636 | 143574.856031625 | 149152.958333333 | 0.96260146386609 | 1.04918092320302 |
| 138 | 145899 | 146239.546326347 | 147072.958333333 | 0.994333343012675 | 0.997671311660204 |
| 139 | 141242 | 147412.410187794 | 144572.125 | 1.01964614677825 | 0.958141854000397 |
| 140 | 140834 | 144709.55483157 | 141651.041666667 | 1.02159188615147 | 0.973218390201802 |
| 141 | 141119 | 141432.270411467 | 138366.791666667 | 1.0221547288036 | 0.997785014618268 |
| 142 | 139104 | 138811.788624557 | 135315.458333333 | 1.02583836565524 | 1.00210509048503 |
| 143 | 134437 | 135589.436042604 | 132732.708333333 | 1.02152240954879 | 0.991500546972981 |
| 144 | 129425 | 132836.645157442 | 130612.125 | 1.0170314980898 | 0.974316987956156 |
| 145 | 123155 | 129855.442905742 | 129000.083333333 | 1.00663069007636 | 0.948400754286399 |
| 146 | 119273 | 125224.234098137 | 127647.791666667 | 0.981013713305289 | 0.952475380336743 |
| 147 | 120472 | 121806.055037575 | 126116.791666667 | 0.965819487063348 | 0.989047711649773 |
| 148 | 121523 | 119600.129628016 | 124348.208333333 | 0.961816267649071 | 1.01607749404591 |
| 149 | 121983 | 118079.153009301 | 122666.708333333 | 0.96260146386609 | 1.03306127196213 |
| 150 | 123658 | 120571.70111815 | 121258.833333333 | 0.994333343012675 | 1.02559720774633 |
| 151 | 124794 | 122747.80717607 | 120382.75 | 1.01964614677825 | 1.01666989310037 |
| 152 | 124827 | 122653.896805503 | 120061.541666667 | 1.02159188615147 | 1.01771735958738 |
| 153 | 120382 | 122571.002867998 | 119914.333333333 | 1.0221547288036 | 0.98214094021605 |
| 154 | 117395 | 122898.129031208 | 119802.625 | 1.02583836565524 | 0.95522202758831 |
| 155 | 115790 | 122406.519093642 | 119827.541666667 | 1.02152240954879 | 0.945946350385307 |
| 156 | 114283 | 122009.285452466 | 119966.083333333 | 1.0170314980898 | 0.936674611085432 |
| 157 | 117271 | 120809.440095261 | 120013.666666667 | 1.00663069007636 | 0.970710566223373 |
| 158 | 117448 | 117505.699952993 | 119779.875 | 0.981013713305289 | 0.999508960390718 |
| 159 | 118764 | 115282.507797163 | 119362.375 | 0.965819487063348 | 1.03019965708035 |
| 160 | 120550 | 114476.454218894 | 119021.125 | 0.961816267649071 | 1.05305497818349 |
| 161 | 123554 | 114419.703219231 | 118865.083333333 | 0.96260146386609 | 1.0798315021257 |
| 162 | 125412 | 118233.153387052 | 118906.958333333 | 0.994333343012675 | 1.06071771247991 |
| 163 | 124182 | 121182.947737558 | 118848.041666667 | 1.01964614677825 | 1.02474813757573 |
| 164 | 119828 | 121117.337476074 | 118557.458333333 | 1.02159188615147 | 0.989354641515888 |
| 165 | 115361 | 120849.31099667 | 118229.958333333 | 1.0221547288036 | 0.954585500311036 |
| 166 | 114226 | 120846.324070102 | 117802.5 | 1.02583836565524 | 0.945217000839338 |
| 167 | 115214 | 119541.659496062 | 117023.041666667 | 1.02152240954879 | 0.963797896780871 |
| 168 | 115864 | 117931.624789812 | 115956.708333333 | 1.0170314980898 | 0.982467596851165 |
| 169 | 114276 | NA | 115047.25 | NA | NA |
| 170 | 113469 | NA | 114614.333333333 | NA | NA |
| 171 | 114883 | NA | 114789.125 | NA | NA |
| 172 | 114172 | NA | 115308.208333333 | NA | NA |
| 173 | 111225 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 174 | 112149 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 175 | 115618 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 176 | 118002 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 177 | 121382 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 178 | 120663 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
