Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.913882252944706
beta0.0156442872297025
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
130.410.4099105614956268.94385043740398e-05
140.410.41012333698141-0.000123336981409539
150.410.410139897373554-0.000139897373553799
160.410.4097229382994670.000277061700532488
170.410.4092762300445840.000723769955416176
180.410.4092495805599030.000750419440096961
190.410.412170784068899-0.00217078406889887
200.410.410308310797649-0.000308310797648648
210.410.410143510864863-0.000143510864863083
220.420.4101272668858690.0098727331141305
230.420.4194058413457270.00059415865427298
240.420.420213385982037-0.000213385982037462
250.420.42028777462779-0.000287774627789616
260.420.420263393099985-0.000263393099985076
270.420.420274837118587-0.000274837118586724
280.420.4198834528858550.000116547114144716
290.420.4194288879123290.000571112087671355
300.420.4193621986153030.000637801384696601
310.420.422088671475199-0.00208867147519926
320.420.420583058047971-0.000583058047971208
330.420.420295245913563-0.000295245913562947
340.420.421116845638211-0.00111684563821135
350.420.419507220605410.000492779394590026
360.430.4201054090467390.00989459095326095
370.430.429508261323530.000491738676469455
380.440.4303064470604160.00969355293958424
390.440.4396671016444970.000332898355502542
400.440.440107206085745-0.000107206085745326
410.440.4397060759631280.000293924036872228
420.440.439602902813480.000397097186520146
430.440.442200424281174-0.00220042428117367
440.440.440983673304023-0.000983673304022936
450.440.440597952773114-0.000597952773114085
460.440.441347497928141-0.00134749792814121
470.440.4398680145082250.000131985491775288
480.440.441191778795396-0.00119177879539639
490.430.439704532677982-0.00970453267798227
500.440.4318860159340660.00811398406593383
510.440.4389000266238180.00109997337618228
520.460.4399161310144490.0200838689855511
530.460.4581707314051450.00182926859485477
540.460.4596628186033040.000337181396695918
550.460.46227131537547-0.00227131537546976
560.460.461335037728099-0.00133503772809945
570.450.460881477536563-0.0108814775365635
580.450.452257087949292-0.00225708794929202
590.460.4501173866182630.0098826133817374
600.460.460462176689568-0.000462176689567939
610.460.4590256858456960.00097431415430388
620.470.4630082167429760.00699178325702354
630.470.468641172932120.00135882706787982
640.470.471885428322728-0.00188542832272848
650.470.4684698172956790.00153018270432076
660.470.4695657301721290.000434269827870926
670.470.472095823205018-0.0020958232050185
680.470.471443579426219-0.00144357942621898
690.470.470061621557005-6.16215570045653e-05
700.470.472320438823448-0.00232043882344773
710.470.471356374901362-0.00135637490136215
720.470.470557974629451-0.000557974629451452


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
730.4691464094240260.4604614902495790.477831328598473
740.4728155567061520.4609308546735960.484700258738707
750.4714701715553230.4570775267208870.485862816389758
760.4730846205667320.4564412503792260.489727990754237
770.4715881192708830.4529959618512560.490180276690509
780.4710820191320240.4506575831575760.491506455106472
790.4728874901677060.4506510063413950.495123973994017
800.4741280473158620.4501867758703780.498069318761345
810.4741173561227350.4485968508044760.499637861440995
820.4761888386139870.4490384435033760.503339233724598
830.4774080090885780.4487165776817890.506099440495366
840.477907428000934-12.762181070505513.7179959265073