Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 26281 | NA | NA | 0.94688327302065 | NA |
2 | 23899 | NA | NA | 0.733107003988366 | NA |
3 | 25727 | NA | NA | 0.802457705665263 | NA |
4 | 30733 | NA | NA | 0.973132829542438 | NA |
5 | 28599 | NA | NA | 0.767614101714788 | NA |
6 | 16723 | NA | NA | 0.531383939979044 | NA |
7 | 43738 | 46501.7628214122 | 33806.2083333333 | 1.37553914248233 | 0.940566493532163 |
8 | 45272 | 41224.3513194713 | 34025.875 | 1.21155888921214 | 1.09818586711435 |
9 | 46532 | 44037.6210136757 | 33964.2916666667 | 1.29658588042615 | 1.05664200129134 |
10 | 41032 | 41661.3352893967 | 34116.5833333333 | 1.2211461764019 | 0.984894020198222 |
11 | 37967 | 36107.3851804474 | 34077.1666666667 | 1.05957709259223 | 1.05150233976399 |
12 | 35366 | 36724.7919673516 | 33972.5416666667 | 1.0810139649747 | 0.963000689872947 |
13 | 33892 | 32286.1945879427 | 34097.3333333333 | 0.94688327302065 | 1.04973659585936 |
14 | 21560 | 24893.8396193064 | 33956.625 | 0.733107003988366 | 0.866077725642577 |
15 | 26588 | 26870.3297099391 | 33485.0416666667 | 0.802457705665263 | 0.989492882559061 |
16 | 33527 | 32370.7364611132 | 33264.4583333333 | 0.973132829542438 | 1.03571940787556 |
17 | 24859 | 25426.9292640142 | 33124.625 | 0.767614101714788 | 0.977664260669574 |
18 | 17952 | 17562.9034462324 | 33051.25 | 0.531383939979044 | 1.02215445498285 |
19 | 45504 | 45555.5065196462 | 33118.2916666667 | 1.37553914248233 | 0.998869367863926 |
20 | 40129 | 40206.6923341534 | 33185.9166666667 | 1.21155888921214 | 0.998067676557232 |
21 | 40357 | 43370.4195293731 | 33449.7083333333 | 1.29658588042615 | 0.930519013602527 |
22 | 41913 | 41092.2811711934 | 33650.5833333333 | 1.2211461764019 | 1.01997257892273 |
23 | 33730 | 35713.2225020031 | 33705.1666666667 | 1.05957709259223 | 0.944468116762864 |
24 | 37842 | 36554.2620143768 | 33814.7916666667 | 1.0810139649747 | 1.03522812155575 |
25 | 33025 | 32228.7108825765 | 34036.625 | 0.94688327302065 | 1.02470744549246 |
26 | 24050 | 25176.6967383453 | 34342.4583333333 | 0.733107003988366 | 0.955248428733335 |
27 | 30429 | 27904.0958492624 | 34773.2916666667 | 0.802457705665263 | 1.09048507302932 |
28 | 34507 | 34368.5781601638 | 35317.4583333333 | 0.973132829542438 | 1.00402756957798 |
29 | 25189 | 27500.0630492204 | 35825.375 | 0.767614101714788 | 0.915961536339607 |
30 | 20253 | 19263.7305921203 | 36252 | 0.531383939979044 | 1.05135398894565 |
31 | 48527 | 50391.5009456975 | 36634 | 1.37553914248233 | 0.962999694180438 |
32 | 44446 | 44900.0695444798 | 37059.75 | 1.21155888921214 | 0.989887108214166 |
33 | 46380 | 48500.0374188091 | 37405.9583333333 | 1.29658588042615 | 0.9562879219968 |
34 | 48950 | 46062.702276784 | 37720.875 | 1.2211461764019 | 1.06268190055083 |
35 | 38883 | 40515.1817365856 | 38237.125 | 1.05957709259223 | 0.959714317778521 |
36 | 42928 | 41712.3651905021 | 38586.3333333333 | 1.0810139649747 | 1.02914327211957 |
37 | 37107 | 37042.4287217952 | 39120.375 | 0.94688327302065 | 1.0017431707486 |
38 | 30186 | 29067.020693385 | 39649.0833333333 | 0.733107003988366 | 1.03849652561295 |
39 | 32602 | 32171.9337211053 | 40091.75 | 0.802457705665263 | 1.01336774726141 |
40 | 39892 | 39378.7119858618 | 40465.9166666667 | 0.973132829542438 | 1.01303465726158 |
41 | 32194 | 31118.915763913 | 40539.7916666667 | 0.767614101714788 | 1.0345476122704 |
42 | 21629 | 21742.8580820975 | 40917.4166666667 | 0.531383939979044 | 0.994763426148135 |
43 | 59968 | 56798.074501809 | 41291.5 | 1.37553914248233 | 1.05581043945583 |
44 | 45694 | 50223.5583404372 | 41453.6666666667 | 1.21155888921214 | 0.909812078432718 |
45 | 55756 | 54015.1735100251 | 41659.5416666667 | 1.29658588042615 | 1.03222847168401 |
46 | 48554 | 50982.8528647792 | 41750 | 1.2211461764019 | 0.952359416386109 |
47 | 41052 | 44259.5064365789 | 41770.9166666667 | 1.05957709259223 | 0.927529548003997 |
48 | 49822 | 45320.8798900848 | 41924.4166666667 | 1.0810139649747 | 1.09931669731108 |
49 | 39191 | 39745.8199197388 | 41975.4166666667 | 0.94688327302065 | 0.986040798230878 |
50 | 31994 | 31156.1007396254 | 42498.7083333333 | 0.733107003988366 | 1.0268935855413 |
51 | 35735 | 34830.777021614 | 43405.125 | 0.802457705665263 | 1.0259604595621 |
52 | 38930 | 42783.5010204247 | 43964.7083333333 | 0.973132829542438 | 0.909930208409428 |
53 | 33658 | 34289.7057306504 | 44670.5 | 0.767614101714788 | 0.981577394229844 |
54 | 23849 | 23885.1102951255 | 44948.875 | 0.531383939979044 | 0.99848816711837 |
55 | 58972 | 61435.1888935097 | 44662.625 | 1.37553914248233 | 0.95990589533664 |
56 | 59249 | 54037.3437971954 | 44601.5 | 1.21155888921214 | 1.09644545487588 |
57 | 63955 | 57686.9426501569 | 44491.4166666667 | 1.29658588042615 | 1.10865643180045 |
58 | 53785 | 54280.965162878 | 44450.8333333333 | 1.2211461764019 | 0.990863000291358 |
59 | 52760 | 47186.3674096373 | 44533.2083333333 | 1.05957709259223 | 1.11811955224221 |
60 | 44795 | 48015.2621555357 | 44416.875 | 1.0810139649747 | 0.932932529971319 |
61 | 37348 | 41935.7242094173 | 44288.1666666667 | 0.94688327302065 | 0.890601049680046 |
62 | 32370 | 32078.5631735189 | 43757 | 0.733107003988366 | 1.00908509601582 |
63 | 32717 | 34278.5523771653 | 42716.9583333333 | 0.802457705665263 | 0.954445206437436 |
64 | 40974 | 40753.1810131881 | 41878.3333333333 | 0.973132829542438 | 1.0054184478689 |
65 | 33591 | 31727.2819234429 | 41332.3333333333 | 0.767614101714788 | 1.05874181346685 |
66 | 21124 | 21853.3638006157 | 41125.375 | 0.531383939979044 | 0.966624643818215 |
67 | 58608 | 56825.5279705277 | 41311.4583333333 | 1.37553914248233 | 1.03136745214927 |
68 | 46865 | 50319.019084583 | 41532.4583333333 | 1.21155888921214 | 0.93135758312822 |
69 | 51378 | 53850.5611276226 | 41532.5833333333 | 1.29658588042615 | 0.954084765769426 |
70 | 46235 | 50729.0071033597 | 41542.125 | 1.2211461764019 | 0.91141149097984 |
71 | 47206 | 44091.4751693119 | 41612.3333333333 | 1.05957709259223 | 1.07063780058908 |
72 | 45382 | 45003.6923758618 | 41631 | 1.0810139649747 | 1.00840614634414 |
73 | 41227 | 39349.7465373282 | 41557.125 | 0.94688327302065 | 1.04770687559298 |
74 | 33795 | 30591.0585163014 | 41727.9583333333 | 0.733107003988366 | 1.10473457405834 |
75 | 31295 | 33767.2865114433 | 42079.8333333333 | 0.802457705665263 | 0.926784566755001 |
76 | 42625 | 41287.0660117958 | 42426.9583333333 | 0.973132829542438 | 1.03240564461088 |
77 | 33625 | 32580.9967402333 | 42444.5 | 0.767614101714788 | 1.03204331862805 |
78 | 21538 | 22269.5259896093 | 41908.5416666667 | 0.531383939979044 | 0.967151254591114 |
79 | 56421 | 56899.9217124836 | 41365.5416666667 | 1.37553914248233 | 0.991583086618228 |
80 | 53152 | 49445.2831989795 | 40811.2916666667 | 1.21155888921214 | 1.07496603439612 |
81 | 53536 | 52550.1935383786 | 40529.6666666667 | 1.29658588042615 | 1.01875933075111 |
82 | 52408 | 49290.4969075583 | 40364.125 | 1.2211461764019 | 1.06324754847346 |
83 | 41454 | 42297.1255120525 | 39918.875 | 1.05957709259223 | 0.980066600227661 |
84 | 38271 | 42736.5808800671 | 39533.7916666667 | 1.0810139649747 | 0.895509168302467 |
85 | 35306 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
86 | 26414 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
87 | 31917 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
88 | 38030 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
89 | 27534 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
90 | 18387 | NA | NA | NA | NA |