| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 106.42 | NA | NA | -0.474292534722225 | NA |
| 2 | 106.22 | NA | NA | -0.256323784722219 | NA |
| 3 | 106.32 | NA | NA | -0.469657118055554 | NA |
| 4 | 105.81 | NA | NA | -0.337625868055552 | NA |
| 5 | 105.92 | NA | NA | -0.361271701388894 | NA |
| 6 | 107.54 | NA | NA | 0.354301215277776 | NA |
| 7 | 107.34 | 107.173728298611 | 106.486666666667 | 0.687061631944445 | 0.166271701388908 |
| 8 | 107.24 | 107.272061631944 | 106.478333333333 | 0.793728298611123 | -0.032061631944444 |
| 9 | 107.74 | 107.027790798611 | 106.47 | 0.557790798611112 | 0.712209201388887 |
| 10 | 105.71 | 106.607842881944 | 106.470416666667 | 0.137426215277778 | -0.897842881944442 |
| 11 | 105.41 | 106.412374131944 | 106.46625 | -0.0538758680555628 | -1.00237413194442 |
| 12 | 106.22 | 105.803988715278 | 106.38125 | -0.577261284722228 | 0.416011284722217 |
| 13 | 106.32 | 105.771540798611 | 106.245833333333 | -0.474292534722225 | 0.54845920138888 |
| 14 | 106.12 | 105.866592881944 | 106.122916666667 | -0.256323784722219 | 0.253407118055577 |
| 15 | 106.22 | 105.492426215278 | 105.962083333333 | -0.469657118055554 | 0.727573784722225 |
| 16 | 105.92 | 105.476540798611 | 105.814166666667 | -0.337625868055552 | 0.44345920138889 |
| 17 | 105.71 | 105.232894965278 | 105.594166666667 | -0.361271701388894 | 0.4771050347222 |
| 18 | 105.71 | 105.508467881944 | 105.154166666667 | 0.354301215277776 | 0.201532118055553 |
| 19 | 105.92 | 105.265811631944 | 104.57875 | 0.687061631944445 | 0.654188368055543 |
| 20 | 105.71 | 104.724978298611 | 103.93125 | 0.793728298611123 | 0.985021701388874 |
| 21 | 105.41 | 103.714457465278 | 103.156666666667 | 0.557790798611112 | 1.69554253472222 |
| 22 | 104.49 | 102.405342881944 | 102.267916666667 | 0.137426215277778 | 2.08465711805555 |
| 23 | 101.35 | 101.325290798611 | 101.379166666667 | -0.0538758680555628 | 0.0247092013888732 |
| 24 | 99.72 | 99.9302387152778 | 100.5075 | -0.577261284722228 | -0.210238715277782 |
| 25 | 99.01 | 99.1573741319444 | 99.6316666666666 | -0.474292534722225 | -0.147374131944417 |
| 26 | 97.89 | 98.5165928819444 | 98.7729166666667 | -0.256323784722219 | -0.626592881944447 |
| 27 | 95.86 | 97.4486762152778 | 97.9183333333333 | -0.469657118055554 | -1.58867621527777 |
| 28 | 94.95 | 96.7386241319444 | 97.07625 | -0.337625868055552 | -1.78862413194445 |
| 29 | 95.35 | 95.9828949652778 | 96.3441666666667 | -0.361271701388894 | -0.632894965277785 |
| 30 | 95.15 | 96.1018012152778 | 95.7475 | 0.354301215277776 | -0.951801215277754 |
| 31 | 95.46 | 95.9312282986111 | 95.2441666666667 | 0.687061631944445 | -0.471228298611109 |
| 32 | 95.56 | 95.7799782986111 | 94.98625 | 0.793728298611123 | -0.21997829861111 |
| 33 | 95.05 | 95.5315407986111 | 94.97375 | 0.557790798611112 | -0.481540798611107 |
| 34 | 94.64 | 95.1365928819444 | 94.9991666666667 | 0.137426215277778 | -0.496592881944437 |
| 35 | 93.63 | 95.0257074652778 | 95.0795833333333 | -0.0538758680555628 | -1.39570746527779 |
| 36 | 93.12 | 94.8577387152778 | 95.435 | -0.577261284722228 | -1.73773871527779 |
| 37 | 93.53 | 95.5611241319445 | 96.0354166666667 | -0.474292534722225 | -2.03112413194445 |
| 38 | 97.18 | 96.4345095486111 | 96.6908333333333 | -0.256323784722219 | 0.745490451388875 |
| 39 | 96.27 | 96.8853428819445 | 97.355 | -0.469657118055554 | -0.615342881944457 |
| 40 | 95.15 | 97.6732074652778 | 98.0108333333333 | -0.337625868055552 | -2.52320746527776 |
| 41 | 97.08 | 98.3858116319445 | 98.7470833333334 | -0.361271701388894 | -1.30581163194447 |
| 42 | 101.95 | 99.9305512152778 | 99.57625 | 0.354301215277776 | 2.01944878472224 |
| 43 | 103.07 | 101.076228298611 | 100.389166666667 | 0.687061631944445 | 1.99377170138889 |
| 44 | 103.68 | 101.802478298611 | 101.00875 | 0.793728298611123 | 1.87752170138889 |
| 45 | 102.87 | 102.015707465278 | 101.457916666667 | 0.557790798611112 | 0.854292534722205 |
| 46 | 102.56 | 102.137842881944 | 102.000416666667 | 0.137426215277778 | 0.422157118055537 |
| 47 | 103.38 | 102.454874131944 | 102.50875 | -0.0538758680555628 | 0.925125868055545 |
| 48 | 103.27 | 102.117322048611 | 102.694583333333 | -0.577261284722228 | 1.15267795138888 |
| 49 | 102.89 | 102.175707465278 | 102.65 | -0.474292534722225 | 0.714292534722219 |
| 50 | 102.69 | 102.241592881944 | 102.497916666667 | -0.256323784722219 | 0.448407118055542 |
| 51 | 101.54 | 101.874509548611 | 102.344166666667 | -0.469657118055554 | -0.334509548611109 |
| 52 | 102.9 | 101.924457465278 | 102.262083333333 | -0.337625868055552 | 0.975542534722237 |
| 53 | 101.53 | 101.895811631944 | 102.257083333333 | -0.361271701388894 | -0.365811631944439 |
| 54 | 101.96 | 102.654301215278 | 102.3 | 0.354301215277776 | -0.69430121527779 |
| 55 | 101.99 | 103.017478298611 | 102.330416666667 | 0.687061631944445 | -1.0274782986111 |
| 56 | 101.11 | 103.181644965278 | 102.387916666667 | 0.793728298611123 | -2.07164496527778 |
| 57 | 101.75 | 103.074457465278 | 102.516666666667 | 0.557790798611112 | -1.32445746527779 |
| 58 | 101.71 | 102.780342881944 | 102.642916666667 | 0.137426215277778 | -1.07034288194444 |
| 59 | 104.11 | 102.687790798611 | 102.741666666667 | -0.0538758680555628 | 1.4222092013889 |
| 60 | 103.57 | 102.208572048611 | 102.785833333333 | -0.577261284722228 | 1.3614279513889 |
| 61 | 103.32 | 102.290290798611 | 102.764583333333 | -0.474292534722225 | 1.0297092013889 |
| 62 | 103.64 | 102.611592881944 | 102.867916666667 | -0.256323784722219 | 1.02840711805555 |
| 63 | 103.68 | 102.624926215278 | 103.094583333333 | -0.469657118055554 | 1.05507378472224 |
| 64 | 103.79 | 102.976540798611 | 103.314166666667 | -0.337625868055552 | 0.813459201388895 |
| 65 | 103.01 | 103.091644965278 | 103.452916666667 | -0.361271701388894 | -0.0816449652777749 |
| 66 | 101.54 | 103.898467881944 | 103.544166666667 | 0.354301215277776 | -2.35846788194443 |
| 67 | 101.9 | 104.355811631944 | 103.66875 | 0.687061631944445 | -2.45581163194446 |
| 68 | 103.68 | 104.577894965278 | 103.784166666667 | 0.793728298611123 | -0.897894965277771 |
| 69 | 104.62 | 104.536957465278 | 103.979166666667 | 0.557790798611112 | 0.0830425347222388 |
| 70 | 104.11 | 104.522842881944 | 104.385416666667 | 0.137426215277778 | -0.412842881944442 |
| 71 | 105.04 | 104.867790798611 | 104.921666666667 | -0.0538758680555628 | 0.172209201388895 |
| 72 | 104.83 | 105.007322048611 | 105.584583333333 | -0.577261284722228 | -0.177322048611103 |
| 73 | 105.05 | 105.851540798611 | 106.325833333333 | -0.474292534722225 | -0.8015407986111 |
| 74 | 104.68 | 106.729926215278 | 106.98625 | -0.256323784722219 | -2.04992621527776 |
| 75 | 107.32 | 107.080759548611 | 107.550416666667 | -0.469657118055554 | 0.239240451388895 |
| 76 | 109.9 | 107.710707465278 | 108.048333333333 | -0.337625868055552 | 2.18929253472224 |
| 77 | 109.77 | 108.163311631944 | 108.524583333333 | -0.361271701388894 | 1.60668836805556 |
| 78 | 110.69 | 109.352634548611 | 108.998333333333 | 0.354301215277776 | 1.33736545138892 |
| 79 | 110.54 | 110.147478298611 | 109.460416666667 | 0.687061631944445 | 0.392521701388915 |
| 80 | 110.89 | 110.722894965278 | 109.929166666667 | 0.793728298611123 | 0.167105034722226 |
| 81 | 110.95 | 110.881540798611 | 110.32375 | 0.557790798611112 | 0.0684592013889187 |
| 82 | 109.73 | 110.657426215278 | 110.52 | 0.137426215277778 | -0.927426215277762 |
| 83 | 110.85 | 110.573207465278 | 110.627083333333 | -0.0538758680555628 | 0.276792534722233 |
| 84 | 110.39 | 110.148155381944 | 110.725416666667 | -0.577261284722228 | 0.241844618055552 |
| 85 | 110.58 | 110.274874131944 | 110.749166666667 | -0.474292534722225 | 0.305125868055555 |
| 86 | 110.4 | 110.450759548611 | 110.707083333333 | -0.256323784722219 | -0.0507595486111114 |
| 87 | 111.07 | 110.094092881944 | 110.56375 | -0.469657118055554 | 0.975907118055545 |
| 88 | 110.86 | 110.042790798611 | 110.380416666667 | -0.337625868055552 | 0.817209201388891 |
| 89 | 111.38 | 109.800394965278 | 110.161666666667 | -0.361271701388894 | 1.57960503472222 |
| 90 | 111.44 | 110.234717881944 | 109.880416666667 | 0.354301215277776 | 1.20528211805556 |
| 91 | 110.36 | 110.306644965278 | 109.619583333333 | 0.687061631944445 | 0.0533550347222302 |
| 92 | 110.06 | 110.178728298611 | 109.385 | 0.793728298611123 | -0.118728298611103 |
| 93 | 108.34 | 109.658207465278 | 109.100416666667 | 0.557790798611112 | -1.31820746527775 |
| 94 | 107.94 | 108.891176215278 | 108.75375 | 0.137426215277778 | -0.951176215277783 |
| 95 | 107.39 | 108.327790798611 | 108.381666666667 | -0.0538758680555628 | -0.937790798611118 |
| 96 | 107.1 | 107.470655381944 | 108.047916666667 | -0.577261284722228 | -0.370655381944445 |
| 97 | 107.61 | 107.446540798611 | 107.920833333333 | -0.474292534722225 | 0.163459201388889 |
| 98 | 107.74 | 107.707426215278 | 107.96375 | -0.256323784722219 | 0.032573784722203 |
| 99 | 106.9 | 107.578259548611 | 108.047916666667 | -0.469657118055554 | -0.678259548611109 |
| 100 | 106.71 | 107.856124131944 | 108.19375 | -0.337625868055552 | -1.14612413194445 |
| 101 | 106.6 | 108.096228298611 | 108.4575 | -0.361271701388894 | -1.49622829861109 |
| 102 | 108.21 | 109.188051215278 | 108.83375 | 0.354301215277776 | -0.978051215277787 |
| 103 | 110.54 | 109.898311631944 | 109.21125 | 0.687061631944445 | 0.641688368055569 |
| 104 | 110.91 | NA | NA | 0.793728298611123 | NA |
| 105 | 109.51 | NA | NA | 0.557790798611112 | NA |
| 106 | 110.27 | NA | NA | 0.137426215277778 | NA |
| 107 | 111.39 | NA | NA | -0.0538758680555628 | NA |
| 108 | 112.13 | NA | NA | -0.577261284722228 | NA |
| 109 | 111.64 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
