Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 7992 | NA | NA | 1403.328125 | NA |
2 | 6114 | NA | NA | -1184.78645833333 | NA |
3 | 5965 | 5117.11284722222 | 7174.125 | -2057.01215277778 | 847.887152777777 |
4 | 8460 | 9081.34548611111 | 7242.875 | 1838.47048611111 | -621.345486111111 |
5 | 8323 | 8637.328125 | 7234 | 1403.328125 | -314.328125 |
6 | 6333 | 6216.71354166667 | 7401.5 | -1184.78645833333 | 116.286458333333 |
7 | 5675 | 5637.23784722222 | 7694.25 | -2057.01215277778 | 37.7621527777774 |
8 | 10090 | 9702.09548611111 | 7863.625 | 1838.47048611111 | 387.904513888889 |
9 | 9035 | 9445.328125 | 8042 | 1403.328125 | -410.328125 |
10 | 6976 | 7055.96354166667 | 8240.75 | -1184.78645833333 | -79.963541666667 |
11 | 6459 | 6402.36284722222 | 8459.375 | -2057.01215277778 | 56.6371527777774 |
12 | 10896 | 10476.9704861111 | 8638.5 | 1838.47048611111 | 419.029513888889 |
13 | 9978 | 10195.578125 | 8792.25 | 1403.328125 | -217.578125 |
14 | 7466 | 7710.08854166667 | 8894.875 | -1184.78645833333 | -244.088541666666 |
15 | 7199 | 6777.23784722222 | 8834.25 | -2057.01215277778 | 421.762152777777 |
16 | 10977 | 10461.3454861111 | 8622.875 | 1838.47048611111 | 515.654513888889 |
17 | 9412 | 9958.703125 | 8555.375 | 1403.328125 | -546.703125 |
18 | 6341 | 7560.46354166667 | 8745.25 | -1184.78645833333 | -1219.46354166667 |
19 | 7784 | 6888.36284722222 | 8945.375 | -2057.01215277778 | 895.637152777777 |
20 | 11911 | 11039.7204861111 | 9201.25 | 1838.47048611111 | 871.279513888889 |
21 | 10079 | 10828.703125 | 9425.375 | 1403.328125 | -749.703125 |
22 | 7721 | 8308.08854166667 | 9492.875 | -1184.78645833333 | -587.088541666666 |
23 | 8197 | 7687.23784722222 | 9744.25 | -2057.01215277778 | 509.762152777777 |
24 | 12038 | 11857.2204861111 | 10018.75 | 1838.47048611111 | 180.779513888889 |
25 | 11963 | 11513.703125 | 10110.375 | 1403.328125 | 449.296875 |
26 | 8033 | 9176.58854166667 | 10361.375 | -1184.78645833333 | -1143.58854166667 |
27 | 8618 | 8474.11284722222 | 10531.125 | -2057.01215277778 | 143.887152777777 |
28 | 13625 | 12448.7204861111 | 10610.25 | 1838.47048611111 | 1176.27951388889 |
29 | 11734 | 12134.953125 | 10731.625 | 1403.328125 | -400.953125 |
30 | 8895 | 9604.08854166667 | 10788.875 | -1184.78645833333 | -709.088541666666 |
31 | 8727 | 8881.61284722222 | 10938.625 | -2057.01215277778 | -154.612847222223 |
32 | 13974 | 12961.9704861111 | 11123.5 | 1838.47048611111 | 1012.02951388889 |
33 | 12583 | 12722.453125 | 11319.125 | 1403.328125 | -139.453125 |
34 | 9525 | 10440.7135416667 | 11625.5 | -1184.78645833333 | -915.713541666666 |
35 | 9662 | 9914.98784722222 | 11972 | -2057.01215277778 | -252.987847222223 |
36 | 15490 | 14032.7204861111 | 12194.25 | 1838.47048611111 | 1457.27951388889 |
37 | 13839 | 13678.578125 | 12275.25 | 1403.328125 | 160.421875 |
38 | 10047 | 11042.2135416667 | 12227 | -1184.78645833333 | -995.213541666666 |
39 | 9788 | 10006.7378472222 | 12063.75 | -2057.01215277778 | -218.737847222223 |
40 | 14978 | 13733.2204861111 | 11894.75 | 1838.47048611111 | 1244.77951388889 |
41 | 13045 | 13097.453125 | 11694.125 | 1403.328125 | -52.453125 |
42 | 9489 | 10149.8385416667 | 11334.625 | -1184.78645833333 | -660.838541666666 |
43 | 8741 | 9181.61284722222 | 11238.625 | -2057.01215277778 | -440.612847222223 |
44 | 13149 | 13273.3454861111 | 11434.875 | 1838.47048611111 | -124.345486111111 |
45 | 14106 | 13063.453125 | 11660.125 | 1403.328125 | 1042.546875 |
46 | 9998 | 10878.4635416667 | 12063.25 | -1184.78645833333 | -880.463541666666 |
47 | 10034 | 10142.7378472222 | 12199.75 | -2057.01215277778 | -108.737847222223 |
48 | 15081 | 13933.0954861111 | 12094.625 | 1838.47048611111 | 1147.90451388889 |
49 | 13266 | 13371.953125 | 11968.625 | 1403.328125 | -105.953125 |
50 | 9997 | 10563.3385416667 | 11748.125 | -1184.78645833333 | -566.338541666666 |
51 | 9027 | 9581.86284722222 | 11638.875 | -2057.01215277778 | -554.862847222223 |
52 | 14324 | 13614.2204861111 | 11775.75 | 1838.47048611111 | 709.779513888889 |
53 | 13149 | 13493.703125 | 12090.375 | 1403.328125 | -344.703125 |
54 | 11209 | 11197.4635416667 | 12382.25 | -1184.78645833333 | 11.5364583333339 |
55 | 10332 | 10535.3628472222 | 12592.375 | -2057.01215277778 | -203.362847222223 |
56 | 15354 | 14584.3454861111 | 12745.875 | 1838.47048611111 | 769.654513888889 |
57 | 13800 | 14248.578125 | 12845.25 | 1403.328125 | -448.578125 |
58 | 11786 | 11782.7135416667 | 12967.5 | -1184.78645833333 | 3.28645833333394 |
59 | 10550 | 10937.3628472222 | 12994.375 | -2057.01215277778 | -387.362847222223 |
60 | 16114 | 14716.8454861111 | 12878.375 | 1838.47048611111 | 1397.15451388889 |
61 | 13255 | 14198.703125 | 12795.375 | 1403.328125 | -943.703125 |
62 | 11403 | 11312.3385416667 | 12497.125 | -1184.78645833333 | 90.661458333334 |
63 | 10269 | 10500.9878472222 | 12558 | -2057.01215277778 | -231.987847222223 |
64 | 14009 | 14915.9704861111 | 13077.5 | 1838.47048611111 | -906.970486111111 |
65 | 15847 | 14808.703125 | 13405.375 | 1403.328125 | 1038.296875 |
66 | 12967 | 12578.5885416667 | 13763.375 | -1184.78645833333 | 388.411458333334 |
67 | 11328 | 12279.3628472222 | 14336.375 | -2057.01215277778 | -951.362847222223 |
68 | 15814 | 16553.7204861111 | 14715.25 | 1838.47048611111 | -739.720486111111 |
69 | 18626 | 16461.328125 | 15058 | 1403.328125 | 2164.671875 |
70 | 13219 | 14465.4635416667 | 15650.25 | -1184.78645833333 | -1246.46354166667 |
71 | 13818 | 13511.2378472222 | 15568.25 | -2057.01215277778 | 306.762152777777 |
72 | 18062 | 16905.2204861111 | 15066.75 | 1838.47048611111 | 1156.77951388889 |
73 | 15722 | 16067.078125 | 14663.75 | 1403.328125 | -345.078125 |
74 | 12111 | 12905.3385416667 | 14090.125 | -1184.78645833333 | -794.338541666666 |
75 | 11702 | 11615.2378472222 | 13672.25 | -2057.01215277778 | 86.7621527777774 |
76 | 15589 | 15589.5954861111 | 13751.125 | 1838.47048611111 | -0.595486111111313 |
77 | 14852 | 15426.828125 | 14023.5 | 1403.328125 | -574.828125 |
78 | 13612 | 12912.4635416667 | 14097.25 | -1184.78645833333 | 699.536458333334 |
79 | 12380 | 12212.9878472222 | 14270 | -2057.01215277778 | 167.012152777777 |
80 | 15501 | 16110.3454861111 | 14271.875 | 1838.47048611111 | -609.345486111111 |
81 | 16322 | 15336.328125 | 13933 | 1403.328125 | 985.671875 |
82 | 12157 | 12481.2135416667 | 13666 | -1184.78645833333 | -324.213541666666 |
83 | 11124 | 11213.1128472222 | 13270.125 | -2057.01215277778 | -89.1128472222226 |
84 | 14621 | 14697.9704861111 | 12859.5 | 1838.47048611111 | -76.9704861111113 |
85 | 14035 | 14115.578125 | 12712.25 | 1403.328125 | -80.578125 |
86 | 11159 | 11655.3385416667 | 12840.125 | -1184.78645833333 | -496.338541666666 |
87 | 10944 | 10976.3628472222 | 13033.375 | -2057.01215277778 | -32.3628472222226 |
88 | 15824 | 14996.8454861111 | 13158.375 | 1838.47048611111 | 827.154513888889 |
89 | 14378 | 14804.953125 | 13401.625 | 1403.328125 | -426.953125 |
90 | 11816 | 12567.9635416667 | 13752.75 | -1184.78645833333 | -751.963541666666 |
91 | 12233 | 12189.9878472222 | 14247 | -2057.01215277778 | 43.0121527777774 |
92 | 17344 | 16435.3454861111 | 14596.875 | 1838.47048611111 | 908.654513888889 |
93 | 16812 | 16176.078125 | 14772.75 | 1403.328125 | 635.921875 |
94 | 12181 | 13857.4635416667 | 15042.25 | -1184.78645833333 | -1676.46354166667 |
95 | 13275 | 13194.8628472222 | 15251.875 | -2057.01215277778 | 80.1371527777774 |
96 | 18458 | 17464.2204861111 | 15625.75 | 1838.47048611111 | 993.77951388889 |
97 | 17375 | 17338.578125 | 15935.25 | 1403.328125 | 36.421875 |
98 | 14609 | 14740.0885416667 | 15924.875 | -1184.78645833333 | -131.088541666666 |
99 | 13323 | 13686.2378472222 | 15743.25 | -2057.01215277778 | -363.237847222223 |
100 | 18327 | 17474.0954861111 | 15635.625 | 1838.47048611111 | 852.90451388889 |
101 | 16053 | 17156.953125 | 15753.625 | 1403.328125 | -1103.953125 |
102 | 15070 | 14618.9635416667 | 15803.75 | -1184.78645833333 | 451.036458333334 |
103 | 13806 | 13912.4878472222 | 15969.5 | -2057.01215277778 | -106.487847222223 |
104 | 18245 | 17975.0954861111 | 16136.625 | 1838.47048611111 | 269.904513888891 |
105 | 17461 | 17808.078125 | 16404.75 | 1403.328125 | -347.078125 |
106 | 14999 | 15786.8385416667 | 16971.625 | -1184.78645833333 | -787.838541666666 |
107 | 16022 | 15068.3628472222 | 17125.375 | -2057.01215277778 | 953.637152777777 |
108 | 20564 | 18934.5954861111 | 17096.125 | 1838.47048611111 | 1629.40451388889 |
109 | 16372 | 18492.953125 | 17089.625 | 1403.328125 | -2120.953125 |
110 | 15854 | 15496.8385416667 | 16681.625 | -1184.78645833333 | 357.161458333332 |
111 | 15115 | 14719.4878472222 | 16776.5 | -2057.01215277778 | 395.512152777777 |
112 | 18207 | 19103.2204861111 | 17264.75 | 1838.47048611111 | -896.220486111111 |
113 | 19488 | 19206.328125 | 17803 | 1403.328125 | 281.671875 |
114 | 16644 | 17418.4635416667 | 18603.25 | -1184.78645833333 | -774.463541666668 |
115 | 18631 | 17247.4878472222 | 19304.5 | -2057.01215277778 | 1383.51215277778 |
116 | 21093 | 21873.2204861111 | 20034.75 | 1838.47048611111 | -780.22048611111 |
117 | 22212 | 21924.328125 | 20521 | 1403.328125 | 287.671875 |
118 | 19762 | 19449.4635416667 | 20634.25 | -1184.78645833333 | 312.536458333332 |
119 | 19403 | 18714.4878472222 | 20771.5 | -2057.01215277778 | 688.512152777777 |
120 | 21227 | 22863.0954861111 | 21024.625 | 1838.47048611111 | -1636.09548611111 |
121 | 23176 | 22716.078125 | 21312.75 | 1403.328125 | 459.921875 |
122 | 20823 | 20297.0885416667 | 21481.875 | -1184.78645833333 | 525.911458333332 |
123 | 20647 | 19473.7378472222 | 21530.75 | -2057.01215277778 | 1173.26215277778 |
124 | 21336 | 23551.9704861111 | 21713.5 | 1838.47048611111 | -2215.97048611111 |
125 | 23458 | 23389.328125 | 21986 | 1403.328125 | 68.671875 |
126 | 22003 | 21561.2135416667 | 22746 | -1184.78645833333 | 441.786458333332 |
127 | 21647 | 21544.9878472222 | 23602 | -2057.01215277778 | 102.012152777777 |
128 | 26416 | 26001.4704861111 | 24163 | 1838.47048611111 | 414.529513888891 |
129 | 25226 | 25693.578125 | 24290.25 | 1403.328125 | -467.578125 |
130 | 24723 | 22595.7135416667 | 23780.5 | -1184.78645833333 | 2127.28645833333 |
131 | 19945 | 21402.4878472222 | 23459.5 | -2057.01215277778 | -1457.48784722222 |
132 | 24040 | 25294.2204861111 | 23455.75 | 1838.47048611111 | -1254.22048611111 |
133 | 25034 | 25032.203125 | 23628.875 | 1403.328125 | 1.796875 |
134 | 24885 | 22534.5885416667 | 23719.375 | -1184.78645833333 | 2350.41145833333 |
135 | 21168 | 21723.1128472222 | 23780.125 | -2057.01215277778 | -555.112847222223 |
136 | 23541 | 25713.2204861111 | 23874.75 | 1838.47048611111 | -2172.22048611111 |
137 | 26019 | 25178.453125 | 23775.125 | 1403.328125 | 840.546875 |
138 | 24657 | 22643.3385416667 | 23828.125 | -1184.78645833333 | 2013.66145833333 |
139 | 20599 | 22232.4878472222 | 24289.5 | -2057.01215277778 | -1633.48784722222 |
140 | 24534 | 26650.3454861111 | 24811.875 | 1838.47048611111 | -2116.34548611111 |
141 | 28717 | 26696.453125 | 25293.125 | 1403.328125 | 2020.546875 |
142 | 26138 | 24659.8385416667 | 25844.625 | -1184.78645833333 | 1478.16145833333 |
143 | 22968 | 24035.8628472222 | 26092.875 | -2057.01215277778 | -1067.86284722222 |
144 | 26577 | 28460.7204861111 | 26622.25 | 1838.47048611111 | -1883.72048611111 |
145 | 28660 | 29110.578125 | 27707.25 | 1403.328125 | -450.578125 |
146 | 30430 | 26930.5885416667 | 28115.375 | -1184.78645833333 | 3499.41145833333 |
147 | 27356 | 26109.7378472222 | 28166.75 | -2057.01215277778 | 1246.26215277778 |
148 | 25454 | NA | NA | 1838.47048611111 | NA |
149 | 30194 | NA | NA | NA | NA |