| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 13328 | NA | NA | -15.2427662037039 | NA |
| 2 | 12873 | NA | NA | -778.173321759259 | NA |
| 3 | 14000 | NA | NA | 620.347511574073 | NA |
| 4 | 13477 | NA | NA | -147.992766203704 | NA |
| 5 | 14237 | NA | NA | 396.555844907408 | NA |
| 6 | 13674 | NA | NA | -279.437210648149 | NA |
| 7 | 13529 | 13644.4620949074 | 13937.9583333333 | -293.496238425926 | -115.462094907407 |
| 8 | 14058 | 13908.2016782407 | 14033.5 | -125.298321759259 | 149.798321759261 |
| 9 | 12975 | 13580.1530671296 | 14124.9583333333 | -544.805266203704 | -605.153067129628 |
| 10 | 14326 | 13943.2364004630 | 14227.625 | -284.388599537037 | 382.76359953704 |
| 11 | 14008 | 14026.6947337963 | 14335.2916666667 | -308.59693287037 | -18.6947337962938 |
| 12 | 16193 | 16176.7780671296 | 14416.25 | 1760.52806712963 | 16.2219328703704 |
| 13 | 14483 | 14490.0489004630 | 14505.2916666667 | -15.2427662037039 | -7.0489004629635 |
| 14 | 14011 | 13826.5766782407 | 14604.75 | -778.173321759259 | 184.423321759259 |
| 15 | 15057 | 15328.5558449074 | 14708.2083333333 | 620.347511574073 | -271.555844907405 |
| 16 | 14884 | 14662.2155671296 | 14810.2083333333 | -147.992766203704 | 221.784432870372 |
| 17 | 15414 | 15286.3891782407 | 14889.8333333333 | 396.555844907408 | 127.610821759263 |
| 18 | 14440 | 14690.8127893519 | 14970.25 | -279.437210648149 | -250.812789351850 |
| 19 | 14900 | 14761.9620949074 | 15055.4583333333 | -293.496238425926 | 138.037905092591 |
| 20 | 15074 | 15005.1183449074 | 15130.4166666667 | -125.298321759259 | 68.881655092593 |
| 21 | 14442 | 14649.5697337963 | 15194.375 | -544.805266203704 | -207.569733796296 |
| 22 | 15307 | 14977.4864004630 | 15261.875 | -284.388599537037 | 329.513599537038 |
| 23 | 14938 | 15018.9030671296 | 15327.5 | -308.59693287037 | -80.9030671296296 |
| 24 | 17193 | 17162.2780671296 | 15401.75 | 1760.52806712963 | 30.7219328703723 |
| 25 | 15528 | 15475.3405671296 | 15490.5833333333 | -15.2427662037039 | 52.6594328703704 |
| 26 | 14765 | 14795.5350115741 | 15573.7083333333 | -778.173321759259 | -30.5350115740748 |
| 27 | 15838 | 16284.0141782407 | 15663.6666666667 | 620.347511574073 | -446.014178240739 |
| 28 | 15723 | 15617.0489004630 | 15765.0416666667 | -147.992766203704 | 105.951099537040 |
| 29 | 16150 | 16242.0558449074 | 15845.5 | 396.555844907408 | -92.0558449074051 |
| 30 | 15486 | 15668.2294560185 | 15947.6666666667 | -279.437210648149 | -182.229456018516 |
| 31 | 15986 | 15758.0037615741 | 16051.5 | -293.496238425926 | 227.996238425927 |
| 32 | 15983 | 15995.3266782407 | 16120.625 | -125.298321759259 | -12.3266782407409 |
| 33 | 15692 | 15667.3197337963 | 16212.125 | -544.805266203704 | 24.680266203708 |
| 34 | 16490 | 16016.7364004630 | 16301.125 | -284.388599537037 | 473.263599537038 |
| 35 | 15686 | 16041.6530671296 | 16350.25 | -308.59693287037 | -355.653067129626 |
| 36 | 18897 | 18163.1530671296 | 16402.625 | 1760.52806712963 | 733.846932870372 |
| 37 | 16316 | 16437.0905671296 | 16452.3333333333 | -15.2427662037039 | -121.090567129624 |
| 38 | 15636 | 15702.2016782407 | 16480.375 | -778.173321759259 | -66.2016782407372 |
| 39 | 17163 | 17126.5558449074 | 16506.2083333333 | 620.347511574073 | 36.4441550925949 |
| 40 | 16534 | 16363.3405671296 | 16511.3333333333 | -147.992766203704 | 170.659432870372 |
| 41 | 16518 | 16932.0141782407 | 16535.4583333333 | 396.555844907408 | -414.014178240739 |
| 42 | 16375 | 16291.8961226852 | 16571.3333333333 | -279.437210648149 | 83.1038773148139 |
| 43 | 16290 | 16302.2120949074 | 16595.7083333333 | -293.496238425926 | -12.2120949074051 |
| 44 | 16352 | 16516.8683449074 | 16642.1666666667 | -125.298321759259 | -164.868344907405 |
| 45 | 15943 | 16156.9864004630 | 16701.7916666667 | -544.805266203704 | -213.98640046296 |
| 46 | 16362 | 16466.3197337963 | 16750.7083333333 | -284.388599537037 | -104.319733796296 |
| 47 | 16393 | 16499.9864004630 | 16808.5833333333 | -308.59693287037 | -106.986400462967 |
| 48 | 19051 | 18637.2780671296 | 16876.75 | 1760.52806712963 | 413.721932870369 |
| 49 | 16747 | 16914.1322337963 | 16929.375 | -15.2427662037039 | -167.132233796296 |
| 50 | 16320 | 16222.4516782407 | 17000.625 | -778.173321759259 | 97.548321759259 |
| 51 | 17910 | 17711.6391782407 | 17091.2916666667 | 620.347511574073 | 198.360821759259 |
| 52 | 16961 | 17026.6322337963 | 17174.625 | -147.992766203704 | -65.6322337962956 |
| 53 | 17480 | 17653.2641782407 | 17256.7083333333 | 396.555844907408 | -173.264178240741 |
| 54 | 17049 | 17066.5627893519 | 17346 | -279.437210648149 | -17.5627893518504 |
| 55 | 16879 | 17145.9204282407 | 17439.4166666667 | -293.496238425926 | -266.920428240741 |
| 56 | 17473 | 17398.7016782407 | 17524 | -125.298321759259 | 74.2983217592591 |
| 57 | 16998 | 17064.9447337963 | 17609.75 | -544.805266203704 | -66.9447337962956 |
| 58 | 17307 | 17408.4864004630 | 17692.875 | -284.388599537037 | -101.486400462964 |
| 59 | 17418 | 17486.9030671296 | 17795.5 | -308.59693287037 | -68.9030671296314 |
| 60 | 20169 | 19684.9030671296 | 17924.375 | 1760.52806712963 | 484.096932870369 |
| 61 | 17871 | 18019.7155671296 | 18034.9583333333 | -15.2427662037039 | -148.715567129628 |
| 62 | 17226 | 17364.1600115741 | 18142.3333333333 | -778.173321759259 | -138.160011574073 |
| 63 | 19062 | 18867.8891782407 | 18247.5416666667 | 620.347511574073 | 194.110821759263 |
| 64 | 17804 | 18211.7572337963 | 18359.75 | -147.992766203704 | -407.757233796296 |
| 65 | 19100 | 18882.8058449074 | 18486.25 | 396.555844907408 | 217.194155092591 |
| 66 | 18522 | 18313.7294560185 | 18593.1666666667 | -279.437210648149 | 208.270543981485 |
| 67 | 18060 | 18415.0870949074 | 18708.5833333333 | -293.496238425926 | -355.087094907401 |
| 68 | 18869 | 18704.1183449074 | 18829.4166666667 | -125.298321759259 | 164.881655092595 |
| 69 | 18127 | 18385.2780671296 | 18930.0833333333 | -544.805266203704 | -258.278067129631 |
| 70 | 18871 | 18755.1947337963 | 19039.5833333333 | -284.388599537037 | 115.805266203704 |
| 71 | 18890 | 18837.3197337963 | 19145.9166666667 | -308.59693287037 | 52.6802662037044 |
| 72 | 21263 | 20990.3614004630 | 19229.8333333333 | 1760.52806712963 | 272.638599537036 |
| 73 | 19547 | 19308.4655671296 | 19323.7083333333 | -15.2427662037039 | 238.534432870372 |
| 74 | 18450 | 18649.8683449074 | 19428.0416666667 | -778.173321759259 | -199.868344907401 |
| 75 | 20254 | 20118.1391782407 | 19497.7916666667 | 620.347511574073 | 135.860821759259 |
| 76 | 19240 | 19417.7989004630 | 19565.7916666667 | -147.992766203704 | -177.798900462964 |
| 77 | 20216 | 20034.2641782407 | 19637.7083333333 | 396.555844907408 | 181.735821759259 |
| 78 | 19420 | 19413.5627893519 | 19693 | -279.437210648149 | 6.43721064814963 |
| 79 | 19415 | 19299.6079282407 | 19593.1041666667 | -293.496238425926 | 115.392071759263 |
| 80 | 20018 | NA | NA | -125.298321759259 | NA |
| 81 | 18652 | NA | NA | -544.805266203704 | NA |
| 82 | 19978 | NA | NA | -284.388599537037 | NA |
| 83 | 19509 | NA | NA | -308.59693287037 | NA |
| 84 | 21971 | NA | NA | 1760.52806712963 | NA |
| 85 | 16441.5 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
