| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 0 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 188.5 | 190.796474358974 | -2.29647435897439 |
| 14 | 202.9 | 204.36351981352 | -1.46351981351984 |
| 15 | 214 | 213.467686480186 | 0.532313519813528 |
| 16 | 230.3 | 225.967686480186 | 4.33231351981354 |
| 17 | 230 | 222.959353146853 | 7.04064685314682 |
| 18 | 241 | 233.401019813520 | 7.59898018648019 |
| 19 | 259.6 | 278.26351981352 | -18.6635198135199 |
| 20 | 247.8 | 260.246853146853 | -12.4468531468532 |
| 21 | 270.3 | 214.813519813520 | 55.4864801864803 |
| 22 | 289.7 | 257.684353146853 | 32.0156468531468 |
| 23 | 322.7 | 293.942686480187 | 28.7573135198135 |
| 24 | 315 | 334.617686480186 | -19.6176864801865 |
| 25 | 320.2 | 289.134353146853 | 31.0656468531469 |
| 26 | 329.5 | 336.06351981352 | -6.56351981351986 |
| 27 | 360.6 | 340.067686480186 | 20.5323135198136 |
| 28 | 382.2 | 372.567686480186 | 9.63231351981352 |
| 29 | 435.4 | 374.859353146853 | 60.5406468531468 |
| 30 | 464 | 438.80101981352 | 25.1989801864802 |
| 31 | 468.8 | 501.26351981352 | -32.4635198135198 |
| 32 | 403 | 469.446853146853 | -66.4468531468532 |
| 33 | 351.6 | 370.01351981352 | -18.4135198135197 |
| 34 | 252 | 338.984353146853 | -86.9843531468532 |
| 35 | 188 | 256.242686480187 | -68.2426864801865 |
| 36 | 146.5 | 199.917686480186 | -53.4176864801865 |
| 37 | 152.9 | 120.634353146853 | 32.2656468531468 |
| 38 | 148.1 | 168.76351981352 | -20.6635198135199 |
| 39 | 165.1 | 158.667686480186 | 6.43231351981353 |
| 40 | 177 | 177.067686480186 | -0.0676864801864667 |
| 41 | 206.1 | 169.659353146853 | 36.4406468531468 |
| 42 | 244.9 | 209.501019813520 | 35.3989801864802 |
| 43 | 228.6 | 282.16351981352 | -53.5635198135199 |
| 44 | 253.4 | 229.246853146853 | 24.1531468531469 |
| 45 | 241.1 | 220.413519813520 | 20.6864801864803 |
| 46 | 261.4 | 228.484353146853 | 32.9156468531468 |
| 47 | 273.7 | 265.642686480187 | 8.05731351981348 |
| 48 | 263.7 | 285.617686480186 | -21.9176864801865 |
| 49 | 272.5 | 237.834353146853 | 34.6656468531469 |
| 50 | 263.2 | 288.36351981352 | -25.1635198135199 |
| 51 | 279.8 | 273.767686480186 | 6.03231351981356 |
| 52 | 298.1 | 291.767686480186 | 6.33231351981357 |
| 53 | 267.6 | 290.759353146853 | -23.1593531468532 |
| 54 | 264.3 | 271.00101981352 | -6.70101981351985 |
| 55 | 264.3 | 301.56351981352 | -37.2635198135198 |
| 56 | 268.7 | 264.946853146853 | 3.7531468531468 |
| 57 | 269.1 | 235.713519813520 | 33.3864801864803 |
| 58 | 288.6 | 256.484353146853 | 32.1156468531469 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 59 | 292.842686480187 | 228.635746171010 | 357.049626789363 |
| 60 | 304.760372960373 | 213.958047176656 | 395.56269874409 |
| 61 | 278.894726107226 | 167.685043293191 | 390.104408921261 |
| 62 | 294.758245920746 | 166.344365302394 | 423.172126539098 |
| 63 | 305.325932400932 | 161.754849242343 | 448.897015559522 |
| 64 | 317.293618881119 | 160.0193771783 | 474.567860583938 |
| 65 | 309.952972027972 | 140.077375525523 | 479.828568530421 |
| 66 | 313.353991841492 | 131.749340274059 | 494.958643408925 |
| 67 | 350.617511655012 | 157.996690727483 | 543.23833258254 |
| 68 | 351.264364801865 | 148.224191834392 | 554.304537769337 |
| 69 | 318.277884615385 | 105.327554673102 | 531.228214557668 |
| 70 | 305.662237762238 | 83.2428721341672 | 528.081603390308 |
