Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.839082605513062
beta0
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
130.960.960080128205128-8.01282051284824e-05
140.960.96018771919682-0.000187719196819036
150.960.960621699125539-0.00062169912553911
160.960.960691534044928-0.000691534044928499
170.960.960286105031534-0.000286105031534145
180.950.9498041977843830.000195802215617435
190.950.948059983859120.00194001614087991
200.950.959029309498839-0.00902930949883884
210.950.950377798133395-0.00037779813339478
220.950.949402286132760.000597713867240279
230.950.9396619759499940.0103380240500064
240.950.9485112572805550.00148874271944510
250.950.959922366553357-0.00992236655335677
260.950.951754193285682-0.00175419328568227
270.950.95080393713506-0.000803937135060995
280.960.9507096216573250.0092903783426751
290.960.958745082278610.00125491772139119
300.960.9496337676767330.0103662323232674
310.970.9567040591056670.0132959408943334
320.970.97543678837430-0.00543678837430095
330.970.971191877661696-0.00119187766169615
340.960.969690262538792-0.00969026253879213
350.950.9528848756439-0.00288487564390072
360.950.9492150485520650.000784951447935223
370.950.958199372838646-0.0081993728386458
380.950.952791334786346-0.00279133478634563
390.950.951123743986915-0.00112374398691517
400.950.95238543508847-0.00238543508847089
410.950.9493308783677850.000669121632214997
420.950.9411942014631880.00880579853681185
430.950.9474266011147140.00257339888528552
440.950.954147809911136-0.00414780991113584
450.950.951667538577556-0.00166753857755586
460.950.9483992667022620.00160073329773802
470.940.942163063140325-0.00216306314032488
480.940.9396894353785170.000310564621482934
490.940.946829975875315-0.00682997587531498
500.930.94344122238765-0.0134412223876503
510.930.93310584051781-0.0031058405178106
520.930.932501360853135-0.00250136085313446
530.930.9298410641485940.000158935851406139
540.920.92258563207701-0.00258563207700990
550.930.9182567789352440.0117432210647556


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
560.9315906666107840.9203647798924640.942816553329105
570.9329898692252330.9183356377280130.947644100722454
580.9316467217590360.9142262605442540.949067182973817
590.9234617104147090.9036577098820570.94326571094736
600.9232011210429350.9012711323229460.945131109762924
610.9289320349959850.905064685469480.952799384522492
620.9302103308982960.9045514856089610.95586917618763
630.9328163876522880.9054832153200550.960149559984521
640.9349152360342650.9060045411635920.963825930904937
650.9347818757259570.9043753921070530.965188359344862
660.9269514346260330.8951193719497270.958783497302339
670.9270979020979020.8939014236342180.960294380561586