Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Vacatures[t] = -334812.325375605 + 363.52729951788Ondernemersvertrouwen[t] + 3918.00539786377CPI[t] + 1371.87950407921M1[t] + 2535.85091872678M2[t] + 4180.64883367968M3[t] + 4183.76149508151M4[t] + 4812.49208059306M5[t] + 5890.78995606329M6[t] + 4340.18992860402M7[t] + 4958.41592071836M8[t] + 3155.01221160367M9[t] + 2162.43607970123M10[t] + 884.882858929163M11[t] -550.550353635371t + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | -334812.325375605 | 33278.128642 | -10.061 | 0 | 0 |
Ondernemersvertrouwen | 363.52729951788 | 34.831317 | 10.4368 | 0 | 0 |
CPI | 3918.00539786377 | 367.409366 | 10.6639 | 0 | 0 |
M1 | 1371.87950407921 | 1556.741892 | 0.8813 | 0.380036 | 0.190018 |
M2 | 2535.85091872678 | 1563.36397 | 1.622 | 0.107556 | 0.053778 |
M3 | 4180.64883367968 | 1565.133096 | 2.6711 | 0.008666 | 0.004333 |
M4 | 4183.76149508151 | 1570.602 | 2.6638 | 0.008846 | 0.004423 |
M5 | 4812.49208059306 | 1575.717689 | 3.0542 | 0.00281 | 0.001405 |
M6 | 5890.78995606329 | 1571.677049 | 3.7481 | 0.000281 | 0.000141 |
M7 | 4340.18992860402 | 1576.744312 | 2.7526 | 0.006881 | 0.00344 |
M8 | 4958.41592071836 | 1568.294584 | 3.1617 | 0.00201 | 0.001005 |
M9 | 3155.01221160367 | 1567.450648 | 2.0128 | 0.046489 | 0.023245 |
M10 | 2162.43607970123 | 1595.186848 | 1.3556 | 0.177906 | 0.088953 |
M11 | 884.882858929163 | 1593.857961 | 0.5552 | 0.579857 | 0.289929 |
t | -550.550353635371 | 66.380213 | -8.2939 | 0 | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.905972198675616 |
R-squared | 0.82078562477313 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.798776841850532 |
F-TEST (value) | 37.2935490190313 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 14 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 114 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 3558.82473961745 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 1443836622.11371 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 27951 | 25579.3106689693 | 2371.68933103072 |
2 | 29781 | 28036.6191086094 | 1744.38089139064 |
3 | 32914 | 31047.4595084560 | 1866.54049154404 |
4 | 33488 | 30947.9663541486 | 2540.03364585141 |
5 | 35652 | 31608.5952300479 | 4043.40476995208 |
6 | 36488 | 33943.8774005565 | 2544.12259944347 |
7 | 35387 | 31714.6825262131 | 3672.31747378692 |
8 | 35676 | 31592.1125428525 | 4083.88745714745 |
9 | 34844 | 31924.6182604675 | 2919.38173953255 |
10 | 32447 | 28974.2396381228 | 3472.76036187722 |
11 | 31068 | 28176.1267632673 | 2891.87323673267 |
12 | 29010 | 25909.4304450709 | 3100.56955492914 |
13 | 29812 | 25830.0208364033 | 3981.97916359675 |
14 | 30951 | 27392.6476473806 | 3558.3523526194 |
15 | 32974 | 28582.6217432138 | 4391.37825678624 |
16 | 32936 | 29212.1955999284 | 3723.80440007162 |
17 | 34012 | 31638.3517464959 | 2373.64825350406 |
18 | 32946 | 32541.3383463533 | 404.661653646666 |
19 | 31948 | 29693.342098035 | 2254.65790196499 |
20 | 30599 | 29612.77949268 | 986.22050732004 |
21 | 27691 | 26898.9304192334 | 792.069580766621 |
22 | 25073 | 23495.7575757035 | 1577.24242429655 |
23 | 23406 | 22023.1018111306 | 1382.89818886942 |
24 | 22248 | 20567.4748479808 | 1680.52515201917 |
25 | 22896 | 24570.0653779804 | -1674.06537798040 |
26 | 25317 | 25846.7200326026 | -529.720032602583 |
27 | 26558 | 29192.8144916986 | -2634.81449169864 |
28 | 26471 | 29014.5587470367 | -2543.55874703665 |
29 | 27543 | 30189.3780079175 | -2646.37800791746 |
30 | 26198 | 29586.5586124255 | -3388.55861242547 |
31 | 24725 | 28193.8790093704 | -3468.87900937045 |
32 | 25005 | 27562.3708066849 | -2557.37080668489 |
33 | 23462 | 26266.2782013580 | -2804.27820135804 |
34 | 20780 | 23819.5856326820 | -3039.58563268197 |
35 | 19815 | 22005.2161960115 | -2190.21619601153 |
36 | 19761 | 20474.8614137259 | -713.861413725869 |
37 | 21454 | 22290.2310161672 | -836.23101616718 |
38 | 23899 | 25710.4793435071 | -1811.47934350706 |
39 | 24939 | 26444.8318941281 | -1505.83189412806 |
40 | 23580 | 24484.487417034 | -904.48741703399 |
41 | 24562 | 24119.9752766405 | 442.024723359507 |
42 | 24696 | 24729.7151952540 | -33.7151952539551 |
43 | 23785 | 23954.6295189820 | -169.629518982032 |
44 | 23812 | 26167.9211894110 | -2355.92118941103 |
45 | 21917 | 26113.4760504987 | -4196.47605049871 |
46 | 19713 | 23789.1733270177 | -4076.17332701770 |
47 | 19282 | 23647.8344329240 | -4365.83443292405 |
48 | 18788 | 22268.142736102 | -3480.14273610198 |
49 | 21453 | 24116.6352620709 | -2663.63526207092 |
50 | 24482 | 26467.7128358802 | -1985.71283588017 |
51 | 27474 | 28476.8357764434 | -1002.83577644338 |
52 | 27264 | 30660.2900842098 | -3396.29008420982 |
53 | 27349 | 32699.8978566475 | -5350.89785664746 |
54 | 30632 | 32925.5142427606 | -2293.51424276064 |
55 | 29429 | 33392.4785153004 | -3963.47851530043 |
56 | 30084 | 32985.1438227766 | -2901.14382277659 |
57 | 26290 | 31196.2719774913 | -4906.27197749133 |
58 | 24379 | 31354.851757196 | -6975.85175719601 |
59 | 23335 | 28365.8856659609 | -5030.88566596094 |
60 | 21346 | 24946.8088030174 | -3600.80880301739 |
61 | 21106 | 27334.9376302095 | -6228.93763020946 |
62 | 24514 | 29958.2532226369 | -5444.25322263687 |
63 | 28353 | 33381.0879128552 | -5028.08791285515 |
64 | 30805 | 32792.4478074106 | -1987.44780741062 |
65 | 31348 | 33058.4488194967 | -1710.44881949672 |
66 | 34556 | 34982.5416644282 | -426.541664428237 |
67 | 33855 | 35056.0855203466 | -1201.08552034664 |
68 | 34787 | 35694.4980243441 | -907.49802434409 |
69 | 32529 | 35267.641131436 | -2738.64113143604 |
70 | 29998 | 33667.9681653612 | -3669.96816536121 |
71 | 29257 | 32125.0317825144 | -2868.0317825144 |
72 | 28155 | 30938.4130315587 | -2783.41303155869 |
73 | 30466 | 32022.6932637456 | -1556.69326374560 |
74 | 35704 | 34980.8604330251 | 723.139566974875 |
75 | 39327 | 36318.2678078977 | 3008.73219210226 |
76 | 39351 | 38496.0674676105 | 854.932532389493 |
77 | 42234 | 40174.9752645571 | 2059.02473544286 |
78 | 43630 | 40915.184518049 | 2714.81548195102 |
79 | 43722 | 40733.4542995103 | 2988.54570048968 |
80 | 43121 | 40874.2378802902 | 2246.76211970983 |
81 | 37985 | 36981.3548986631 | 1003.64510133695 |
82 | 37135 | 35124.3854988989 | 2010.6145011011 |
83 | 34646 | 33878.7305685146 | 767.269431485386 |
84 | 33026 | 33428.0508710725 | -402.05087107246 |
85 | 35087 | 34154.4584517952 | 932.541548204829 |
86 | 38846 | 36528.5571002165 | 2317.44289978354 |
87 | 42013 | 37262.104686043 | 4750.89531395702 |
88 | 43908 | 39358.7169137716 | 4549.2830862284 |
89 | 42868 | 39291.0837434433 | 3576.91625655666 |
90 | 44423 | 40397.64762048 | 4025.35237952001 |
91 | 44167 | 39587.0141790508 | 4579.98582094924 |
92 | 43636 | 38345.5890568681 | 5290.41094313188 |
93 | 44382 | 36274.3773440491 | 8107.62265595089 |
94 | 42142 | 36052.8683624720 | 6089.13163752795 |
95 | 43452 | 38179.1229158802 | 5272.87708411983 |
96 | 36912 | 37082.9785337837 | -170.978533783692 |
97 | 42413 | 40282.5791984198 | 2130.42080158023 |
98 | 45344 | 43879.3390098621 | 1464.66099013785 |
99 | 44873 | 48217.049079326 | -3344.04907932604 |
100 | 47510 | 47231.3562684387 | 278.643731561285 |
101 | 49554 | 52060.8273630429 | -2506.82736304293 |
102 | 47369 | 54363.3890924211 | -6994.38909242114 |
103 | 45998 | 53846.8072970304 | -7848.80729703039 |
104 | 48140 | 51392.8228607423 | -3252.8228607423 |
105 | 48441 | 47853.7678121147 | 587.232187885282 |
106 | 44928 | 43382.2291798486 | 1545.77082015135 |
107 | 40454 | 36020.8435927294 | 4433.15640727056 |
108 | 38661 | 31136.7507180042 | 7524.24928199576 |
109 | 37246 | 32825.2932216346 | 4420.70677836545 |
110 | 36843 | 33546.152595667 | 3296.84740433297 |
111 | 36424 | 31987.4657825446 | 4436.53421745541 |
112 | 37594 | 33213.6348506626 | 4380.36514933736 |
113 | 38144 | 33632.7237898419 | 4511.27621015809 |
114 | 38737 | 34791.7993761969 | 3945.20062380308 |
115 | 34560 | 32707.2104568661 | 1852.78954313392 |
116 | 36080 | 35779.233508401 | 300.766491599007 |
117 | 33508 | 32434.4688000776 | 1073.53119992243 |
118 | 35462 | 32395.9408626973 | 3066.05913730270 |
119 | 33374 | 33667.1062710669 | -293.106271066941 |
120 | 32110 | 33264.088599684 | -1154.088599684 |
121 | 35533 | 36410.7750726044 | -877.775072604417 |
122 | 35532 | 38865.6586706126 | -3333.65867061258 |
123 | 37903 | 42841.4613173937 | -4938.4613173937 |
124 | 36763 | 44258.2784897485 | -7495.27848974849 |
125 | 40399 | 45190.7429018687 | -4791.74290186867 |
126 | 44164 | 44661.4339310748 | -497.433931074808 |
127 | 44496 | 43192.4165792948 | 1303.58342070519 |
128 | 43110 | 44043.2908149493 | -933.290814949295 |
129 | 43880 | 43717.8151046106 | 162.184895389403 |