Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Vacatures[t] = + 19808.1911422930 + 323.353687092964Ondernemersvertrouwen[t] + 1875.45382952760M1[t] + 4198.64902031432M2[t] + 6017.04319488648M3[t] + 6515.51000274085M4[t] + 7483.68743024643M5[t] + 8277.93638082915M6[t] + 7080.48854674907M7[t] + 7047.33837698085M8[t] + 5151.9492986196M9[t] + 3273.65973157583M10[t] + 1774.12559149839M11[t] + 151.237193141381t + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 19808.1911422930 | 1768.272469 | 11.202 | 0 | 0 |
Ondernemersvertrouwen | 323.353687092964 | 48.726429 | 6.6361 | 0 | 0 |
M1 | 1875.45382952760 | 2189.609004 | 0.8565 | 0.393489 | 0.196744 |
M2 | 4198.64902031432 | 2188.965894 | 1.9181 | 0.057578 | 0.028789 |
M3 | 6017.04319488648 | 2189.053194 | 2.7487 | 0.00695 | 0.003475 |
M4 | 6515.51000274085 | 2188.597547 | 2.977 | 0.00355 | 0.001775 |
M5 | 7483.68743024643 | 2189.123097 | 3.4186 | 0.000872 | 0.000436 |
M6 | 8277.93638082915 | 2189.085742 | 3.7815 | 0.000249 | 0.000124 |
M7 | 7080.48854674907 | 2189.099567 | 3.2344 | 0.001591 | 0.000796 |
M8 | 7047.33837698085 | 2189.59114 | 3.2186 | 0.001674 | 0.000837 |
M9 | 5151.9492986196 | 2189.888941 | 2.3526 | 0.020342 | 0.010171 |
M10 | 3273.65973157583 | 2239.92157 | 1.4615 | 0.146604 | 0.073302 |
M11 | 1774.12559149839 | 2239.774413 | 0.7921 | 0.429933 | 0.214967 |
t | 151.237193141381 | 12.218785 | 12.3774 | 0 | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.801258013461579 |
R-squared | 0.642014404136396 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.601546467212684 |
F-TEST (value) | 15.8647673427655 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 13 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 115 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 5007.90937821103 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 2884102979.14301 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 27951 | 23904.3457623569 | 4046.65423764311 |
2 | 29781 | 26799.1379395059 | 2981.86206049414 |
3 | 32914 | 29253.7998378588 | 3660.20016214115 |
4 | 33488 | 29709.4916265988 | 3778.50837340118 |
5 | 35652 | 30440.8818227342 | 5211.11817726577 |
6 | 36488 | 31774.3923909699 | 4713.60760903012 |
7 | 35387 | 29952.1329010081 | 5434.86709899192 |
8 | 35676 | 30005.5491869626 | 5670.45081303735 |
9 | 34844 | 28455.4095139986 | 6388.59048600145 |
10 | 32447 | 26243.3266094567 | 6203.67339054329 |
11 | 31068 | 24765.6881876835 | 6302.31181231653 |
12 | 29010 | 23239.8058954543 | 5770.19410454565 |
13 | 29812 | 24813.8017561932 | 4998.19824380682 |
14 | 30951 | 26738.5328720632 | 4212.46712793676 |
15 | 32974 | 28061.4568655909 | 4912.54313440915 |
16 | 32936 | 26900.380218866 | 6035.619781134 |
17 | 34012 | 28052.1302082223 | 5959.86979177774 |
18 | 32946 | 28738.933402272 | 4207.06659772801 |
19 | 31948 | 27272.3629681124 | 4675.63703188756 |
20 | 30599 | 27293.4438853577 | 3305.55611464229 |
21 | 27691 | 24288.2126204753 | 3402.78737952472 |
22 | 25073 | 21429.4223417475 | 3643.57765825248 |
23 | 23406 | 20048.7900261022 | 3357.20997389784 |
24 | 22248 | 19104.9443706404 | 3143.05562935963 |
25 | 22896 | 21940.0196110418 | 955.980388958232 |
26 | 25317 | 24446.7873636792 | 870.212636320842 |
27 | 26558 | 27548.1566362181 | -990.15663621808 |
28 | 26471 | 28456.5435868882 | -1985.54358688820 |
29 | 27543 | 30028.6533694653 | -2485.65336946532 |
30 | 26198 | 30909.4687757708 | -4711.46877577082 |
31 | 24725 | 29378.2276041927 | -4653.22760419268 |
32 | 25005 | 28978.9487282171 | -3973.9487282171 |
33 | 23462 | 27234.7968429972 | -3772.79684299722 |
34 | 20780 | 25087.384675874 | -4307.38467587398 |
35 | 19815 | 24030.1060473216 | -4215.10604732159 |
36 | 19761 | 22148.5346992902 | -2387.53469929021 |
37 | 21454 | 23560.8537164826 | -2106.85371648256 |
38 | 23899 | 26196.9629439571 | -2297.96294395714 |
39 | 24939 | 26905.5149320081 | -1966.51493200812 |
40 | 23580 | 27134.859139783 | -3554.85913978302 |
41 | 24562 | 28836.3103971973 | -4274.31039719731 |
42 | 24696 | 28844.0708483518 | -4148.07084835182 |
43 | 23785 | 28315.2261067619 | -4530.22610676187 |
44 | 23812 | 29435.7095601232 | -5623.70956012322 |
45 | 21917 | 28726.2894736008 | -6809.28947360083 |
46 | 19713 | 27419.5968929193 | -7706.59689291929 |
47 | 19282 | 26944.3549011342 | -7662.35490113424 |
48 | 18788 | 25580.1494524516 | -6792.1494524516 |
49 | 21453 | 27509.8343689927 | -6056.8343689927 |
50 | 24482 | 30275.2850713045 | -5793.28507130445 |
51 | 27474 | 32535.9347574017 | -5061.93475740167 |
52 | 27264 | 33767.6753951648 | -6503.67539516475 |
53 | 27349 | 35307.4498090326 | -7958.44980903258 |
54 | 30632 | 36123.5944779195 | -5491.59447791949 |
55 | 29429 | 36176.7863730969 | -6747.78637309687 |
56 | 30084 | 35454.1538100283 | -5370.15381002832 |
57 | 26290 | 33968.6848744828 | -7678.68487448282 |
58 | 24379 | 32047.6202883247 | -7668.62028832465 |
59 | 23335 | 30084.9513359120 | -6749.95133591196 |
60 | 21346 | 27847.6909320783 | -6501.69093207832 |
61 | 21106 | 30327.0771166775 | -9221.07711667746 |
62 | 24514 | 32219.4728638382 | -7705.47286383821 |
63 | 28353 | 33995.092019296 | -5642.09201929598 |
64 | 30805 | 33771.7410651407 | -2966.74106514073 |
65 | 31348 | 34535.4666299854 | -3187.46662998543 |
66 | 34556 | 35642.629617256 | -1086.62961725601 |
67 | 33855 | 34370.0713953522 | -515.071395352239 |
68 | 34787 | 34682.1706309812 | 104.829369018820 |
69 | 32529 | 34199.0981254239 | -1670.09812542387 |
70 | 29998 | 33118.7531257074 | -3120.75312570740 |
71 | 29257 | 32093.8098658643 | -2836.80986586431 |
72 | 28155 | 30761.939785891 | -2606.93978589097 |
73 | 30466 | 32917.9722833971 | -2451.97228339714 |
74 | 35704 | 35909.770566674 | -205.770566673977 |
75 | 39327 | 38235.0909901898 | 1091.90900981022 |
76 | 39351 | 39531.5023653715 | -180.502365371463 |
77 | 42234 | 40715.587723437 | 1518.41227656298 |
78 | 43630 | 41919.7568168355 | 1710.24318316451 |
79 | 43722 | 41326.2413378269 | 2395.75866217305 |
80 | 43121 | 41056.3039366885 | 2064.69606331145 |
81 | 37985 | 38988.7983643757 | -1003.79836437571 |
82 | 37135 | 37714.4411524035 | -579.44115240347 |
83 | 34646 | 35978.1197809559 | -1332.11978095586 |
84 | 33026 | 34743.2558071104 | -1717.25580711040 |
85 | 35087 | 36511.263880105 | -1424.26388010501 |
86 | 38846 | 38565.3364708123 | 280.663529187747 |
87 | 42013 | 40179.2787827235 | 1833.72121727646 |
88 | 43908 | 41508.0255266145 | 2399.97447338548 |
89 | 42868 | 42950.7938343544 | -82.7938343544389 |
90 | 44423 | 44445.9812461366 | -22.9812461365819 |
91 | 44167 | 42979.410811977 | 1187.58918802297 |
92 | 43636 | 42386.1197237457 | 1249.88027625433 |
93 | 44382 | 40544.9617323979 | 3837.03826760209 |
94 | 42142 | 38041.8605094724 | 4100.1394905276 |
95 | 43452 | 36725.8989312456 | 6726.10106875436 |
96 | 36912 | 34359.2970525748 | 2552.70294742518 |
97 | 42413 | 36968.0247120111 | 5444.97528798887 |
98 | 45344 | 39377.7863585206 | 5966.21364147937 |
99 | 44873 | 41444.4238323621 | 3428.57616763793 |
100 | 47510 | 40833.0484536953 | 6676.95154630474 |
101 | 49554 | 42728.5119233653 | 6825.48807663466 |
102 | 47369 | 43091.9614303221 | 4277.0385696779 |
103 | 45998 | 41399.0434151975 | 4598.95658480253 |
104 | 48140 | 41678.8072821171 | 6461.19271788288 |
105 | 48441 | 38253.2162240138 | 10187.7837759862 |
106 | 44928 | 34618.3770962629 | 10309.6229037370 |
107 | 40454 | 30683.2506525832 | 9770.74934741682 |
108 | 38661 | 26829.2218132847 | 11831.7781867153 |
109 | 37246 | 29243.9372604653 | 8002.06273953474 |
110 | 36843 | 30489.6256334401 | 6353.37436655991 |
111 | 36424 | 32329.9155263164 | 4094.08447368355 |
112 | 37594 | 33755.6683763353 | 3838.33162366469 |
113 | 38144 | 35457.1196337496 | 2686.88036625039 |
114 | 38737 | 37696.0205258456 | 1040.97947415444 |
115 | 34560 | 36908.4928345812 | -2348.49283458124 |
116 | 36080 | 38514.0068185820 | -2434.00681858204 |
117 | 33508 | 36899.1964081994 | -3391.19640819935 |
118 | 35462 | 36336.2173078316 | -874.21730783163 |
119 | 33374 | 36734.0302711976 | -3360.03027119758 |
120 | 32110 | 35402.1601912242 | -3292.16019122424 |
121 | 35533 | 37719.8695322769 | -2186.86953227689 |
122 | 35532 | 40194.301916205 | -4662.30191620499 |
123 | 37903 | 43263.3358200346 | -5360.33582003461 |
124 | 36763 | 44301.0642455419 | -7538.06424554192 |
125 | 40399 | 44612.0946484565 | -4213.09464845647 |
126 | 44164 | 44652.1904683203 | -488.190468320264 |
127 | 44496 | 43994.0042518931 | 501.995748106872 |
128 | 43110 | 44564.7864371964 | -1454.78643719644 |
129 | 43880 | 43370.3358200346 | 509.664179965391 |