Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 801 | 0 | 81 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 37 | 32.4811009767169 | 10.8239302421397 | 30.6949687811434 | -4.51889902328311 |
2 | 30 | 27.2985899953377 | -1.03310251324410 | 33.7345125179064 | -2.70141000466227 |
3 | 47 | 65.973235602222 | -8.74729185689133 | 36.7740562546693 | 18.973235602222 |
4 | 35 | 29.9409697710143 | 0.211063123633800 | 39.8479671053519 | -5.05903022898575 |
5 | 30 | 20.9087257445871 | -3.83060370062167 | 42.9218779560346 | -9.0912742554129 |
6 | 43 | 38.8460363523986 | 1.16880931521469 | 45.9851543323867 | -4.15396364760139 |
7 | 82 | 103.783378724494 | 11.1681905667669 | 49.0484307087388 | 21.7833787244942 |
8 | 40 | 31.1818742447283 | -3.19365940559943 | 52.0117851608711 | -8.81812575527168 |
9 | 47 | 35.8989420655802 | 3.12591832141643 | 54.9751396130034 | -11.1010579344198 |
10 | 19 | -7.09430739591033 | -12.4241261593586 | 57.5184335552689 | -26.0943073959103 |
11 | 52 | 58.9124544564098 | -14.9741819539442 | 60.0617274975344 | 6.9124544564098 |
12 | 136 | 191.180872217145 | 17.7050473644277 | 63.1140804184271 | 55.1808722171452 |
13 | 80 | 83.0096364185405 | 10.8239302421397 | 66.1664333393199 | 3.00963641854047 |
14 | 42 | 15.4866052460361 | -1.03310251324410 | 69.546497267208 | -26.5133947539639 |
15 | 54 | 43.8207306617952 | -8.74729185689133 | 72.9265611950961 | -10.1792693382048 |
16 | 66 | 57.2816939430763 | 0.211063123633800 | 74.5072429332899 | -8.7183060569237 |
17 | 81 | 89.742679029138 | -3.83060370062167 | 76.0879246714837 | 8.742679029138 |
18 | 63 | 49.4740980291279 | 1.16880931521469 | 75.3570926556574 | -13.5259019708721 |
19 | 137 | 188.205548793402 | 11.1681905667669 | 74.626260639831 | 51.205548793402 |
20 | 72 | 72.9393615229569 | -3.19365940559943 | 74.2542978826425 | 0.939361522956943 |
21 | 107 | 136.991746553130 | 3.12591832141643 | 73.8823351254539 | 29.9917465531296 |
22 | 58 | 55.0195757740472 | -12.4241261593586 | 73.4045503853114 | -2.98042422595285 |
23 | 36 | 14.0474163087753 | -14.9741819539442 | 72.926765645169 | -21.9525836912247 |
24 | 52 | 14.5570725626039 | 17.7050473644277 | 71.7378800729684 | -37.4429274373961 |
25 | 79 | 76.6270752570924 | 10.8239302421397 | 70.548994500768 | -2.37292474290763 |
26 | 77 | 85.6879770932907 | -1.03310251324410 | 69.3451254199534 | 8.68797709329074 |
27 | 54 | 48.6060355177526 | -8.74729185689133 | 68.1412563391388 | -5.39396448224745 |
28 | 84 | 100.098028085092 | 0.211063123633800 | 67.6909087912745 | 16.0980280850917 |
29 | 48 | 32.5900424572114 | -3.83060370062167 | 67.2405612434103 | -15.4099575427886 |
30 | 96 | 123.919881278344 | 1.16880931521469 | 66.9113094064411 | 27.9198812783442 |
31 | 83 | 88.2497518637612 | 11.1681905667669 | 66.5820575694719 | 5.24975186376118 |
32 | 66 | 69.7518148486832 | -3.19365940559943 | 65.4418445569163 | 3.75181484868315 |
33 | 61 | 54.5724501342229 | 3.12591832141643 | 64.3016315443607 | -6.42754986577711 |
34 | 53 | 54.9904373554191 | -12.4241261593586 | 63.4336888039395 | 1.99043735541912 |
35 | 30 | 12.4084358904260 | -14.9741819539442 | 62.5657460635182 | -17.5915641095740 |
36 | 74 | 67.5605757867283 | 17.7050473644277 | 62.7343768488441 | -6.43942421327175 |
37 | 69 | 64.2730621236904 | 10.8239302421397 | 62.90300763417 | -4.72693787630963 |
38 | 59 | 54.4760980645201 | -1.03310251324410 | 64.557004448724 | -4.52390193547991 |
39 | 42 | 26.5362905936132 | -8.74729185689133 | 66.2110012632781 | -15.4637094063868 |
40 | 65 | 60.7200318479674 | 0.211063123633800 | 69.0689050283988 | -4.27996815203261 |
41 | 70 | 71.9037949071022 | -3.83060370062167 | 71.9268087935195 | 1.90379490710215 |
42 | 100 | 123.449601307616 | 1.16880931521469 | 75.381589377169 | 23.4496013076163 |
43 | 63 | 35.9954394724146 | 11.1681905667669 | 78.8363699608185 | -27.0045605275854 |
44 | 105 | 131.333607920214 | -3.19365940559943 | 81.860051485385 | 26.3336079202144 |
45 | 82 | 75.9903486686321 | 3.12591832141643 | 84.8837330099515 | -6.00965133136792 |
46 | 81 | 88.5642966485719 | -12.4241261593586 | 85.8598295107867 | 7.56429664857191 |
47 | 75 | 78.1382559423224 | -14.9741819539442 | 86.8359260116219 | 3.13825594232236 |
48 | 102 | 101.871125796406 | 17.7050473644277 | 84.4238268391666 | -0.128874203594279 |
49 | 121 | 149.164342091149 | 10.8239302421397 | 82.0117276667114 | 28.1643420911489 |
50 | 98 | 119.633854322911 | -1.03310251324410 | 77.3992481903329 | 21.6338543229112 |
51 | 76 | 87.960523142937 | -8.74729185689133 | 72.7867687139543 | 11.960523142937 |
52 | 77 | 86.2103069667973 | 0.211063123633800 | 67.5786299095689 | 9.2103069667973 |
53 | 63 | 67.4601125954382 | -3.83060370062167 | 62.3704911051834 | 4.46011259543825 |
54 | 37 | 16.1105222053334 | 1.16880931521469 | 56.7206684794519 | -20.8894777946666 |
55 | 35 | 7.76096357951262 | 11.1681905667669 | 51.0708458537204 | -27.2390364204874 |
56 | 23 | 3.69281484509678 | -3.19365940559943 | 45.5008445605026 | -19.3071851549032 |
57 | 40 | 36.9432384112987 | 3.12591832141643 | 39.9308432672849 | -3.0567615887013 |
58 | 29 | 34.3050316747587 | -12.4241261593586 | 36.1190944845999 | 5.30503167475867 |
59 | 37 | 56.6668362520293 | -14.9741819539442 | 32.3073457019149 | 19.6668362520293 |
60 | 51 | 54.2029423075293 | 17.7050473644277 | 30.0920103280431 | 3.20294230752926 |
61 | 20 | 1.29939480368909 | 10.8239302421397 | 27.8766749541712 | -18.7006051963109 |
62 | 28 | 30.9885179585308 | -1.03310251324410 | 26.0445845547133 | 2.98851795853084 |
63 | 13 | 10.5347977016360 | -8.74729185689133 | 24.2124941552553 | -2.46520229836397 |
64 | 22 | 21.3762981015246 | 0.211063123633800 | 22.4126387748416 | -0.62370189847536 |
65 | 25 | 33.2178203061939 | -3.83060370062167 | 20.6127833944278 | 8.21782030619385 |
66 | 13 | 5.55867327034633 | 1.16880931521469 | 19.2725174144390 | -7.44132672965367 |
67 | 16 | 2.89955799878291 | 11.1681905667669 | 17.9322514344501 | -13.1004420012171 |
68 | 13 | 12.1124425198699 | -3.19365940559943 | 17.0812168857296 | -0.887557480130138 |
69 | 16 | 12.6438993415746 | 3.12591832141643 | 16.230182337009 | -3.35610065842542 |
70 | 17 | 30.9585327255352 | -12.4241261593586 | 15.4655934338234 | 13.9585327255352 |
71 | 9 | 18.2731774233064 | -14.9741819539442 | 14.7010045306378 | 9.27317742330638 |
72 | 17 | 2.56620502277369 | 17.7050473644277 | 13.7287476127987 | -14.4337949772263 |
73 | 25 | 26.4195790629008 | 10.8239302421397 | 12.7564906949595 | 1.41957906290083 |
74 | 14 | 17.3245134745749 | -1.03310251324410 | 11.7085890386692 | 3.32451347457486 |
75 | 8 | 14.0866044745123 | -8.74729185689133 | 10.660687382379 | 6.08660447451232 |
76 | 7 | 4.20545233106673 | 0.211063123633800 | 9.58348454529947 | -2.79454766893327 |
77 | 10 | 15.3243219924017 | -3.83060370062167 | 8.50628170821992 | 5.32432199240175 |
78 | 7 | 5.45719984258658 | 1.16880931521469 | 7.37399084219873 | -1.54280015741342 |
79 | 10 | 2.59010945705553 | 11.1681905667669 | 6.24169997617753 | -7.40989054294447 |
80 | 3 | 4.13708965813068 | -3.19365940559943 | 5.05656974746875 | 1.13708965813068 |