| Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast | ||||||||
| time | Y[t] | F[t] | 95% LB | 95% UB | p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t]) | P(F[t]>Y[t-1]) | P(F[t]>Y[t-s]) | P(F[t]>Y[340]) |
| 328 | 15300578 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 329 | 10623864.0000000 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 330 | 6880178 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 331 | 29947357 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 332 | 18611399.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 333 | 42432604 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 334 | 20208278.0000000 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 335 | 14004392 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 336 | 25737765 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 337 | 16735738 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 338 | 22450825.0000000 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 339 | 6880840 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 340 | 8510379 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 341 | 8182481 | 11693131.9586 | 3131846.3587 | 43657740.3039 | 0.4148 | 0.5774 | 0.5261 | 0.5774 |
| 342 | 10948683 | 12426978.1668 | 2950745.1494 | 52335860.4491 | 0.4711 | 0.5826 | 0.6073 | 0.5763 |
| 343 | 4805277 | 13541200.9968 | 3020952.6413 | 60697450.8402 | 0.3583 | 0.5429 | 0.2476 | 0.5828 |
| 344 | 2589229 | 13522341.8863 | 2884189.0524 | 63398663.1143 | 0.3337 | 0.634 | 0.4207 | 0.5781 |
| 345 | 5658407 | 13663368.8126 | 2796433.548 | 66759193.1315 | 0.3838 | 0.6587 | 0.1441 | 0.5754 |
| 346 | 12862611 | 11542122.072 | 2288347.2294 | 58216943.7446 | 0.4779 | 0.5976 | 0.358 | 0.5507 |
| 347 | 5666188 | 11495463.8215 | 2190752.6643 | 60319766.1815 | 0.4075 | 0.4781 | 0.4599 | 0.5477 |
| 348 | 6875556 | 11956246.5342 | 2090244.871 | 68389992.5647 | 0.43 | 0.5865 | 0.3161 | 0.5476 |
| 349 | 7098766 | 12207337.8022 | 2000415.8398 | 74494059.309 | 0.4361 | 0.5666 | 0.4433 | 0.5463 |
| 350 | 36083309 | 12420143.3157 | 1927810.9088 | 80018200.5834 | 0.2463 | 0.5613 | 0.3856 | 0.5451 |
| 351 | 10200330 | 12532090.0245 | 1852677.653 | 84770969.2664 | 0.4748 | 0.2614 | 0.5609 | 0.5434 |
| 352 | 7784976 | 12534264.3316 | 1769956.1648 | 88763657.234 | 0.4514 | 0.5239 | 0.5412 | 0.5412 |
| Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance | ||||||
| time | % S.E. | PE | MAPE | Sq.E | MSE | RMSE |
| 341 | 1.3947 | -0.3002 | 0 | 12324670153042.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 342 | 1.6385 | -0.119 | 0.2096 | 2185356600244.08 | 7255013376643.06 | 2693513.2034 |
| 343 | 1.7767 | -0.6451 | 0.3548 | 76316368078589.5 | 30275464943958.5 | 5502314.5079 |
| 344 | 1.8819 | -0.8085 | 0.4682 | 119532957384958 | 52589838054208.5 | 7251885.138 |
| 345 | 1.9827 | -0.5859 | 0.4917 | 64079413621018.8 | 54887753167570.6 | 7408626.9421 |
| 346 | 2.0632 | 0.1144 | 0.4289 | 1743691009010.13 | 46030409474477.2 | 6784571.4289 |
| 347 | 2.167 | -0.5071 | 0.44 | 33980456602633.4 | 44308987635642.4 | 6656499.6534 |
| 348 | 2.4082 | -0.4249 | 0.4381 | 25813416304293.6 | 41997041219223.8 | 6480512.4195 |
| 349 | 2.6033 | -0.4185 | 0.436 | 26097505857838.2 | 40230426179069.8 | 6342745.9494 |
| 350 | 2.7768 | 1.9052 | 0.5829 | 559945410200786 | 92201924581241.4 | 9602183.3237 |
| 351 | 2.941 | -0.1861 | 0.5468 | 5437104811913.68 | 84314213693120.7 | 9182277.1518 |
| 352 | 3.1029 | -0.3789 | 0.5328 | 22555739656402.6 | 79167674190060.9 | 8897621.8278 |
