Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 6 | 0 | 1 |
Trend | 25 | 1 | 3 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 9700 | 9648.7896381318 | 194.113955011394 | 9557.0964068568 | -51.2103618681958 |
2 | 9081 | 9128.72732119468 | -515.866565833626 | 9549.13924463895 | 47.7273211946813 |
3 | 9084 | 8782.89947601815 | -156.081558439239 | 9541.1820824211 | -301.100523981848 |
4 | 9743 | 9754.19380355556 | 198.581276241213 | 9533.22492020323 | 11.1938035555559 |
5 | 8587 | 8381.29527316323 | -730.201292013188 | 9522.90601884996 | -205.704726836771 |
6 | 9731 | 9788.37379592734 | 161.039086575973 | 9512.5871174967 | 57.3737959273367 |
7 | 9563 | 9719.9268542358 | -96.1950703792141 | 9502.26821614342 | 156.926854235793 |
8 | 9998 | 10479.6744828082 | 25.1730378021758 | 9491.15247938966 | 481.674482808165 |
9 | 9437 | 9522.88844393629 | -128.925186572186 | 9480.0367426359 | 85.8884439362882 |
10 | 10038 | 9946.22706751444 | 660.85192660343 | 9468.92100588214 | -91.7729324855645 |
11 | 9918 | 10041.5720265670 | 337.051306698611 | 9457.37666673434 | 123.572026567048 |
12 | 9252 | 9004.32635796205 | 53.8413144514089 | 9445.83232758655 | -247.673642037955 |
13 | 9737 | 9855.1468593109 | 184.565152250358 | 9434.28798843875 | 118.146859310891 |
14 | 9035 | 9182.68699638795 | -522.316186859395 | 9409.62919047144 | 147.686996387951 |
15 | 9133 | 9013.69196969873 | -132.662362202867 | 9384.97039250414 | -119.308030301268 |
16 | 9487 | 9417.23114424422 | 196.457261218950 | 9360.31159453683 | -69.7688557557776 |
17 | 8700 | 8773.44551109998 | -715.165186236695 | 9341.71967513671 | 73.4455110999843 |
18 | 9627 | 9775.28947089163 | 155.582773371777 | 9323.12775573659 | 148.289470891634 |
19 | 8947 | 8692.53270858419 | -103.068544920668 | 9304.53583633647 | -254.467291415805 |
20 | 9283 | 9288.19955951163 | -17.0263357452204 | 9294.8267762336 | 5.19955951162592 |
21 | 8829 | 8482.71656021038 | -109.834276341095 | 9285.11771613072 | -346.283439789622 |
22 | 9947 | 9959.85589490995 | 658.735449062215 | 9275.40865602784 | 12.8558949099461 |
23 | 9628 | 9645.24477148803 | 337.265854172617 | 9273.48937433935 | 17.2447714880345 |
24 | 9318 | 9289.34463926362 | 75.085268085516 | 9271.57009265086 | -28.6553607363785 |
25 | 9605 | 9766.741169359 | 173.608019678619 | 9269.65081096237 | 161.741169359009 |
26 | 8640 | 8533.67379026937 | -530.138565659667 | 9276.4647753903 | -106.326209730631 |
27 | 9214 | 9229.957513254 | -85.2362530722167 | 9283.27873981822 | 15.9575132539958 |
28 | 9567 | 9655.53852845529 | 188.368767298568 | 9290.09270424615 | 88.5385284552867 |
29 | 8547 | 8455.63042265412 | -662.943306189075 | 9301.31288353496 | -91.369577345884 |
30 | 9185 | 8908.21134938882 | 149.255587787411 | 9312.53306282377 | -276.788650611179 |
31 | 9470 | 9748.91154150943 | -132.664783622009 | 9323.75324211258 | 278.911541509429 |
32 | 9123 | 9049.88758924884 | -141.068808023471 | 9337.18121877463 | -73.1124107511587 |
33 | 9278 | 9286.55752347025 | -81.1667189069241 | 9350.60919543668 | 8.55752347024645 |
34 | 10170 | 10319.3613742596 | 656.601453641642 | 9364.03717209873 | 149.36137425963 |
35 | 9434 | 9157.31642162733 | 330.477731327288 | 9380.20584704539 | -276.683578372675 |
36 | 9655 | 9775.99018453992 | 137.635293468037 | 9396.37452199204 | 120.99018453992 |
37 | 9429 | 9311.8876575746 | 133.569145486689 | 9412.5431969387 | -117.112342425393 |
38 | 8739 | 8617.06531936522 | -572.230470883054 | 9433.16515151784 | -121.934680634784 |
39 | 9552 | 9622.54191774503 | 27.6709761579942 | 9453.78710609697 | 70.5419177450312 |
40 | 9687 | 9755.04749859592 | 144.543440727966 | 9474.4090606761 | 68.0474985959245 |
41 | 9019 | 9206.04126557087 | -667.197775398505 | 9499.15650982764 | 187.041265570868 |
42 | 9672 | 9635.40435348419 | 184.691687536647 | 9523.90395897917 | -36.5956465158124 |
43 | 9206 | 9018.98264715072 | -155.634055281415 | 9548.6514081307 | -187.017352849280 |
44 | 9069 | 8741.35032221922 | -178.967797899334 | 9575.61747568012 | -327.649677780782 |
45 | 9788 | 9961.14213627507 | 12.2743204953929 | 9602.58354322954 | 173.142136275066 |
46 | 10312 | 10460.6143696453 | 533.836019575728 | 9629.54961077896 | 148.614369645307 |
47 | 10105 | 10186.4552548612 | 369.421155955093 | 9654.12358918367 | 81.4552548612319 |
48 | 9863 | 9830.6595688932 | 216.642863518406 | 9678.69756758839 | -32.3404311067934 |
49 | 9656 | 9430.56145642106 | 178.166997585843 | 9703.2715459931 | -225.438543578941 |
50 | 9295 | 9433.84963411472 | -568.066189522139 | 9724.21655540741 | 138.849634114724 |
51 | 9946 | 10228.0724458634 | -81.2340106851115 | 9745.16156482173 | 282.072445863383 |
52 | 9701 | 9513.695388544 | 122.198037219960 | 9766.10657423604 | -187.304611456004 |
53 | 9049 | 9022.04344860256 | -706.393158487211 | 9782.34970988465 | -26.9565513974394 |
54 | 10190 | 10348.1679258633 | 233.239228603469 | 9798.59284553326 | 158.167925863276 |
55 | 9706 | 9796.58797108658 | -199.423952268445 | 9814.83598118186 | 90.5879710865829 |
56 | 9765 | 9797.0680936497 | -96.6904691669315 | 9829.62237551723 | 32.0680936497047 |
57 | 9893 | 9901.17796390303 | 40.4132662443789 | 9844.4087698526 | 8.17796390302829 |
58 | 9994 | 9677.27770924774 | 451.527126564304 | 9859.19516418796 | -316.722290752261 |
59 | 10433 | 10585.6257951497 | 403.081667674049 | 9877.29253717628 | 152.625795149674 |
60 | 10073 | 9995.94473453017 | 254.665355305235 | 9895.3899101646 | -77.0552654698349 |
61 | 10112 | 10115.3544680698 | 195.158248777285 | 9913.48728315292 | 3.35446806979417 |
62 | 9266 | 9155.73384380986 | -561.762352758733 | 9938.02850894887 | -110.266156190140 |
63 | 9820 | 9807.02848542067 | -129.598220165501 | 9962.56973474483 | -12.9715145793252 |
64 | 10097 | 10099.1661988534 | 107.722840605784 | 9987.11096054078 | 2.16619885343789 |
65 | 9115 | 8939.84779151278 | -719.537002106804 | 10009.6892105940 | -175.152208487225 |
66 | 10411 | 10536.5515934051 | 253.180945947648 | 10032.2674606473 | 125.551593405071 |
67 | 9678 | 9515.83287395914 | -214.678584659676 | 10054.8457107005 | -162.167126040857 |
68 | 10408 | 10812.2787028050 | -72.1975809569163 | 10075.9188781519 | 404.278702805044 |
69 | 10153 | 10158.0512185151 | 50.9567358816819 | 10096.9920456032 | 5.05121851510739 |
70 | 10368 | 10201.7664337577 | 416.168353187756 | 10118.0652130545 | -166.233566242305 |
71 | 10581 | 10602.3081474939 | 420.270564331877 | 10139.4212881742 | 21.3081474939008 |
72 | 10597 | 10768.9578386878 | 264.264798018342 | 10160.7773632939 | 171.957838687764 |
73 | 10680 | 10975.6243404436 | 202.242221142823 | 10182.1334384136 | 295.62434044361 |
74 | 9738 | 9831.51885538242 | -558.772302587373 | 10203.2534472050 | 93.518855382421 |
75 | 9556 | 9037.47953667353 | -149.852992669871 | 10224.3734559963 | -518.520463326468 |