Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 1576.23 | NA | NA | 0.970741572608833 | NA |
2 | 1546.37 | NA | NA | 1.02475349300509 | NA |
3 | 1545.05 | NA | NA | 1.02237222918878 | NA |
4 | 1552.34 | NA | NA | 1.02552164379197 | NA |
5 | 1594.3 | NA | NA | 1.01087992292518 | NA |
6 | 1605.78 | NA | NA | 1.05154184884078 | NA |
7 | 1673.21 | 1688.28202028122 | 1595.85666666667 | 1.05791582386130 | 0.99107256957063 |
8 | 1612.94 | 1603.72463221123 | 1612.12666666667 | 0.994788229343785 | 1.00574622825121 |
9 | 1566.34 | 1626.39387302328 | 1638.95708333333 | 0.992334631310481 | 0.963075443151018 |
10 | 1530.17 | 1583.95289389314 | 1674.83458333333 | 0.945736916144093 | 0.966045143071804 |
11 | 1582.54 | 1567.58755840106 | 1712.28208333333 | 0.915496093581387 | 1.00953850489486 |
12 | 1702.16 | 1725.51580720994 | 1746.61916666667 | 0.98791759539831 | 0.98646444899992 |
13 | 1701.93 | 1731.34105433586 | 1783.52416666667 | 0.970741572608833 | 0.983012558812602 |
14 | 1811.15 | 1860.44807918256 | 1815.50791666667 | 1.02475349300509 | 0.973502039785911 |
15 | 1924.2 | 1884.53063628354 | 1843.29208333333 | 1.02237222918878 | 1.02104999672210 |
16 | 2034.25 | 1922.98896372775 | 1875.1325 | 1.02552164379197 | 1.05785838523824 |
17 | 2011.13 | 1928.01968699761 | 1907.26875 | 1.01087992292518 | 1.04310656865325 |
18 | 2013.04 | 2040.73340003941 | 1940.70583333333 | 1.05154184884078 | 0.98642968256467 |
19 | 2151.67 | 2094.1933019403 | 1979.54625 | 1.05791582386130 | 1.02744574629593 |
20 | 1902.09 | 2020.05179609352 | 2030.635 | 0.994788229343785 | 0.941604568594905 |
21 | 1944.01 | 2074.40773722142 | 2090.43166666667 | 0.992334631310481 | 0.937139774943144 |
22 | 1916.67 | 2029.03047862725 | 2145.44916666667 | 0.945736916144093 | 0.944623562922887 |
23 | 1967.31 | 2012.94856158890 | 2198.75166666667 | 0.915496093581387 | 0.977327507289669 |
24 | 2119.88 | 2241.7924866538 | 2269.21 | 0.98791759539831 | 0.945618299918664 |
25 | 2216.38 | 2276.05569982778 | 2344.65666666667 | 0.970741572608833 | 0.973781089877414 |
26 | 2522.83 | 2475.14133819419 | 2415.35291666667 | 1.02475349300509 | 1.01926704591367 |
27 | 2647.64 | 2538.5170179783 | 2482.9675 | 1.02237222918878 | 1.04298690189936 |
28 | 2631.23 | 2591.74188286094 | 2527.2425 | 1.02552164379197 | 1.01523613034160 |
29 | 2693.41 | 2572.14816188586 | 2544.46458333333 | 1.01087992292518 | 1.04714418862451 |
30 | 3021.76 | 2692.21352363409 | 2560.25333333333 | 1.05154184884078 | 1.12240725836674 |
31 | 2953.67 | 2739.06528749839 | 2589.11458333333 | 1.05791582386130 | 1.07834961564483 |
32 | 2796.8 | 2597.59516941345 | 2611.20416666667 | 0.994788229343785 | 1.07668817409740 |
33 | 2672.05 | 2590.52594063916 | 2610.53666666667 | 0.992334631310481 | 1.03147008029602 |
34 | 2251.23 | 2459.29782325453 | 2600.40375 | 0.945736916144093 | 0.915395434710227 |
35 | 2046.08 | 2371.94929244237 | 2590.88958333333 | 0.915496093581387 | 0.862615405194085 |
36 | 2420.04 | 2540.61080316025 | 2571.68291666667 | 0.98791759539831 | 0.95254259211593 |
37 | 2608.89 | 2477.41541080707 | 2552.08541666667 | 0.970741572608833 | 1.05306925460276 |
38 | 2660.47 | 2615.75673156249 | 2552.57166666667 | 1.02475349300509 | 1.0170938175932 |
39 | 2493.98 | 2636.82747956024 | 2579.12666666667 | 1.02237222918878 | 0.945826004671317 |
40 | 2541.7 | 2713.26406114686 | 2645.74041666667 | 1.02552164379197 | 0.936768387712936 |
41 | 2554.6 | 2777.91024299748 | 2748.01208333333 | 1.01087992292518 | 0.919612146015015 |
42 | 2699.61 | 2996.15117962303 | 2849.29333333333 | 1.05154184884078 | 0.901025962361371 |
43 | 2805.48 | 3103.1752293689 | 2933.29125 | 1.05791582386130 | 0.90406754135201 |
44 | 2956.66 | 2981.79606192417 | 2997.41791666667 | 0.994788229343785 | 0.99157016060047 |
45 | 3149.51 | 3024.73064149708 | 3048.09541666667 | 0.992334631310481 | 1.04125304805361 |
46 | 3372.5 | 2933.00680501080 | 3101.2925 | 0.945736916144093 | 1.14984390565967 |
47 | 3379.33 | 2888.51376722191 | 3155.135 | 0.915496093581387 | 1.16991999080903 |
48 | 3517.54 | 3164.10329780637 | 3202.80083333333 | 0.98791759539831 | 1.11170201125818 |
49 | 3527.34 | NA | 3242.67083333333 | NA | NA |
50 | 3281.06 | NA | 3265.135 | NA | NA |
51 | 3089.65 | NA | 3257.4575 | NA | NA |
52 | 3222.76 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
53 | 3165.76 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
54 | 3232.43 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
55 | 3229.54 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
56 | 3071.74 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
57 | 2850.17 | NA | NA | NA | NA |