Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 167.16 | NA | NA | 0.999982204104269 | NA |
2 | 179.84 | NA | NA | 1.03716151365447 | NA |
3 | 174.44 | NA | NA | 1.05682814473984 | NA |
4 | 180.35 | NA | NA | 0.985682997956348 | NA |
5 | 193.17 | NA | NA | 0.983051682033842 | NA |
6 | 195.16 | NA | NA | 1.03398001321637 | NA |
7 | 202.43 | 193.914943701812 | 192.925416666667 | 0.989527035145743 | 1.06037081029508 |
8 | 189.91 | 195.964984695419 | 194.969166666667 | 0.995818028752133 | 0.978142014360496 |
9 | 195.98 | 197.842953812578 | 196.835833333333 | 1.00712047924496 | 0.988612649212912 |
10 | 212.09 | 199.571854037366 | 198.611666666667 | 0.960187370699353 | 1.11213996332746 |
11 | 205.81 | 200.42208125752 | 199.46625 | 0.955831257520136 | 1.07948303406991 |
12 | 204.31 | 201.728995939599 | 200.734166666667 | 0.994829272932542 | 1.02310396663975 |
13 | 196.07 | 204.394982204104 | 203.395 | 0.999982204104269 | 0.964003487319606 |
14 | 199.98 | 208.840494846988 | 207.803333333333 | 1.03716151365447 | 0.927871128448571 |
15 | 199.1 | 217.20932814474 | 216.1525 | 1.05682814473984 | 0.871578736689774 |
16 | 198.31 | 227.705682997956 | 226.72 | 0.985682997956348 | 0.887396100908084 |
17 | 195.72 | 237.663885015367 | 236.680833333333 | 0.983051682033842 | 0.8411932260439 |
18 | 223.04 | 249.394396679883 | 248.360416666667 | 1.03398001321637 | 0.868536816829029 |
19 | 238.41 | 263.426193701812 | 262.436666666667 | 0.989527035145743 | 0.91806258970965 |
20 | 259.73 | 280.038318028752 | 279.0425 | 0.995818028752133 | 0.9346989969479 |
21 | 326.54 | 299.451287145912 | 298.444166666667 | 1.00712047924496 | 1.08640527725365 |
22 | 335.15 | 316.260187370699 | 315.3 | 0.960187370699353 | 1.10702967716330 |
23 | 321.81 | 328.629164590853 | 327.673333333333 | 0.955831257520136 | 1.02748906244151 |
24 | 368.62 | 339.441079272932 | 338.44625 | 0.994829272932542 | 1.09481473118860 |
25 | 369.59 | 348.416232204104 | 347.41625 | 0.999982204104269 | 1.06384366678920 |
26 | 425 | 355.094244846988 | 354.057083333333 | 1.03716151365447 | 1.15736208221459 |
27 | 439.72 | 356.72307814474 | 355.66625 | 1.05682814473984 | 1.16984734235277 |
28 | 362.23 | 351.286932997956 | 350.30125 | 0.985682997956348 | 1.04907240486157 |
29 | 328.76 | 343.253885015367 | 342.270833333333 | 0.983051682033842 | 0.97708586117988 |
30 | 348.55 | 333.161480013216 | 332.1275 | 1.03398001321637 | 1.01495808317140 |
31 | 328.18 | 321.504110368479 | 320.514583333333 | 0.989527035145743 | 1.03475289920842 |
32 | 329.34 | 307.737901362085 | 306.742083333333 | 0.995818028752133 | 1.07817965762691 |
33 | 295.55 | 290.705453812578 | 289.698333333333 | 1.00712047924496 | 1.01298622530989 |
34 | 237.38 | 276.596020704033 | 275.635833333333 | 0.960187370699353 | 0.896917421734397 |
35 | 226.85 | 268.224164590853 | 267.268333333333 | 0.955831257520136 | 0.88799403709152 |
36 | 220.14 | 261.296495939599 | 260.301666666667 | 0.994829272932542 | 0.85010673591638 |
37 | 239.36 | 253.036232204104 | 252.03625 | 0.999982204104269 | 0.949721556726096 |
38 | 224.69 | 243.815078180321 | 242.777916666667 | 1.03716151365447 | 0.892335500171742 |
39 | 230.98 | 234.525161478073 | 233.468333333333 | 1.05682814473984 | 0.936142631792353 |
40 | 233.47 | 228.496099664623 | 227.510416666667 | 0.985682997956348 | 1.04110020506525 |
41 | 256.7 | 226.229301682034 | 225.24625 | 0.983051682033842 | 1.15928962361112 |
42 | 253.41 | 225.042730013216 | 224.00875 | 1.03398001321637 | 1.09407381083447 |
43 | 224.95 | 222.829110368479 | 221.839583333333 | 0.989527035145743 | 1.02475322191683 |
44 | 210.37 | 219.981651362085 | 218.985833333333 | 0.995818028752133 | 0.964690056260092 |
45 | 191.09 | 217.067120479245 | 216.06 | 1.00712047924496 | 0.878177208271354 |
46 | 198.85 | 213.666020704033 | 212.705833333333 | 0.960187370699353 | 0.973621611937199 |
47 | 211.04 | 208.841247924187 | 207.885416666667 | 0.955831257520136 | 1.06208561130187 |
48 | 206.25 | 201.762329272933 | 200.7675 | 0.994829272932542 | 1.03264724372992 |
49 | 201.19 | NA | 195.577916666667 | NA | NA |
50 | 194.37 | NA | 195.876666666667 | NA | NA |
51 | 191.08 | NA | 200.742916666667 | NA | NA |
52 | 192.87 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
53 | 181.61 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
54 | 157.67 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
55 | 196.14 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
56 | 246.35 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
57 | 271.9 | NA | NA | NA | NA |