| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.999933893038648 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 590 | 593 | -3 |
| 3 | 580 | 590.000198320884 | -10.0001983208841 |
| 4 | 574 | 580.000661082724 | -6.00066108272392 |
| 5 | 573 | 574.00039668547 | -1.00039668547026 |
| 6 | 573 | 573.000066133185 | -6.61331851006253e-05 |
| 7 | 620 | 573.000000004372 | 46.9999999956281 |
| 8 | 626 | 619.996892972817 | 6.0031070271832 |
| 9 | 620 | 625.999603152836 | -5.99960315283579 |
| 10 | 588 | 620.000396615534 | -32.0003966155338 |
| 11 | 566 | 588.002115448982 | -22.0021154489824 |
| 12 | 557 | 566.001454492996 | -9.00145449299566 |
| 13 | 561 | 557.000595058804 | 3.99940494119573 |
| 14 | 549 | 560.999735611492 | -11.9997356114922 |
| 15 | 532 | 549.000793266058 | -17.0007932660583 |
| 16 | 526 | 532.001123870783 | -6.00112387078343 |
| 17 | 511 | 526.000396716064 | -15.0003967160637 |
| 18 | 499 | 511.000991630646 | -12.0009916306460 |
| 19 | 555 | 499.00079334909 | 55.9992066509101 |
| 20 | 565 | 554.99629806261 | 10.0037019373898 |
| 21 | 542 | 564.999338685663 | -22.9993386856626 |
| 22 | 527 | 542.001520416394 | -15.0015204163936 |
| 23 | 510 | 527.00099170493 | -17.0009917049304 |
| 24 | 514 | 510.001123883902 | 3.99887611609842 |
| 25 | 517 | 513.999735646451 | 3.00026435354891 |
| 26 | 508 | 516.99980166164 | -8.9998016616404 |
| 27 | 493 | 508.000594949541 | -15.0005949495406 |
| 28 | 490 | 493.000991643751 | -3.00099164375058 |
| 29 | 469 | 490.000198386439 | -21.0001983864386 |
| 30 | 478 | 469.001388259303 | 8.9986117406969 |
| 31 | 528 | 477.999405129121 | 50.0005948708786 |
| 32 | 534 | 527.996694612607 | 6.00330538739263 |
| 33 | 518 | 533.999603139723 | -15.9996031397228 |
| 34 | 506 | 518.001057685146 | -12.0010576851464 |
| 35 | 502 | 506.000793353457 | -4.00079335345657 |
| 36 | 516 | 502.000264480292 | 13.9997355197085 |
| 37 | 528 | 515.999074520025 | 12.0009254799750 |
| 38 | 533 | 527.999206655283 | 5.00079334471684 |
| 39 | 536 | 532.999669412748 | 3.00033058725239 |
| 40 | 537 | 535.999801657262 | 1.00019834273814 |
| 41 | 524 | 536.999933879927 | -12.9999338799267 |
| 42 | 536 | 524.000859386127 | 11.9991406138735 |
| 43 | 587 | 535.999206773275 | 51.0007932267248 |
| 44 | 597 | 586.996628492533 | 10.0033715074668 |
| 45 | 581 | 596.999338707506 | -15.9993387075064 |
| 46 | 564 | 581.001057667666 | -17.0010576676656 |
| 47 | 558 | 564.001123888262 | -6.00112388826221 |
| 48 | 575 | 558.000396716065 | 16.999603283935 |
| 49 | 580 | 574.998876207883 | 5.00112379211726 |
| 50 | 575 | 579.999669390903 | -4.99966939090268 |
| 51 | 563 | 575.000330512951 | -12.0003305129512 |
| 52 | 552 | 563.000793305385 | -11.0007933053854 |
| 53 | 537 | 552.000727229018 | -15.0007272290178 |
| 54 | 545 | 537.000991652495 | 7.99900834750486 |
| 55 | 601 | 544.999471209864 | 56.0005287901356 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 56 | 600.996297975208 | 562.01815314626 | 639.974442804155 |
| 57 | 600.996297975208 | 545.874698912787 | 656.117897037628 |
| 58 | 600.996297975208 | 533.487146061632 | 668.505449888783 |
| 59 | 600.996297975208 | 523.043873375443 | 678.948722574972 |
| 60 | 600.996297975208 | 513.843125859249 | 688.149470091166 |
| 61 | 600.996297975208 | 505.524991716386 | 696.46760423403 |
| 62 | 600.996297975208 | 497.875663630487 | 704.116932319929 |
| 63 | 600.996297975208 | 490.755832915641 | 711.236763034774 |
| 64 | 600.996297975208 | 484.068734734364 | 717.92386121605 |
| 65 | 600.996297975208 | 477.743914816368 | 724.248681134047 |
| 66 | 600.996297975208 | 471.728185653471 | 730.264410296944 |
| 67 | 600.996297975208 | 465.980225701878 | 736.012370248537 |
