Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 9911 | 9790.27072414976 | 1301.08166394886 | 8730.64761190139 | -120.729275850241 |
2 | 8915 | 8745.71596199845 | 325.947713525088 | 8758.33632447647 | -169.284038001553 |
3 | 9452 | 9258.9607148132 | 859.014248135249 | 8786.02503705154 | -193.039285186793 |
4 | 9112 | 9461.3152314919 | -45.6398869677805 | 8808.32465547588 | 349.315231491901 |
5 | 8472 | 8454.46898931641 | -341.093263216628 | 8830.62427390022 | -17.5310106835877 |
6 | 8230 | 8171.82859601071 | -559.063742146776 | 8847.23514613606 | -58.1714039892868 |
7 | 8384 | 8254.18819917618 | -350.03421754809 | 8863.84601837191 | -129.811800823822 |
8 | 8625 | 9083.60890931956 | -708.300897694264 | 8874.69198837471 | 458.608909319557 |
9 | 8221 | 8361.829293493 | -805.3672518705 | 8885.5379583775 | 140.829293492998 |
10 | 8649 | 8661.7318985968 | -227.685753215111 | 8863.95385461831 | 12.7318985968013 |
11 | 8625 | 8626.43476131369 | -218.804512172808 | 8842.36975085912 | 1.43476131369061 |
12 | 10443 | 11322.9564450633 | 769.94558057462 | 8793.09797436208 | 879.956445063295 |
13 | 10357 | 10669.0921381861 | 1301.08166394886 | 8743.82619786505 | 312.092138186094 |
14 | 8586 | 8151.85467039 | 325.947713525088 | 8694.19761608491 | -434.145329609999 |
15 | 8892 | 8280.41671755998 | 859.014248135249 | 8644.56903430477 | -611.583282440022 |
16 | 8329 | 8105.51845040613 | -45.6398869677805 | 8598.12143656165 | -223.481549593866 |
17 | 8101 | 7991.4194243981 | -341.093263216628 | 8551.67383881852 | -109.580575601894 |
18 | 7922 | 7871.46905929234 | -559.063742146776 | 8531.59468285444 | -50.5309407076602 |
19 | 8120 | 8078.51869065774 | -350.03421754809 | 8511.51552689035 | -41.4813093422581 |
20 | 7838 | 7837.45367127504 | -708.300897694264 | 8546.84722641923 | -0.546328724964042 |
21 | 7735 | 7693.18832592239 | -805.3672518705 | 8582.1789259481 | -41.8116740776077 |
22 | 8406 | 8406.940554586 | -227.685753215111 | 8632.7451986291 | 0.940554586009966 |
23 | 8209 | 7953.49304086272 | -218.804512172808 | 8683.3114713101 | -255.506959137285 |
24 | 9451 | 9434.1785662299 | 769.94558057462 | 8697.87585319548 | -16.8214337701011 |
25 | 10041 | 10068.4781009703 | 1301.08166394886 | 8712.44023508087 | 27.4781009702747 |
26 | 9411 | 9798.97172911141 | 325.947713525088 | 8697.0805573635 | 387.971729111412 |
27 | 10405 | 11269.2648722186 | 859.014248135249 | 8681.72087964613 | 864.264872218622 |
28 | 8467 | 8324.08599071113 | -45.6398869677805 | 8655.55389625665 | -142.914009288867 |
29 | 8464 | 8639.70635034946 | -341.093263216628 | 8629.38691286717 | 175.706350349461 |
30 | 8102 | 8170.89136242293 | -559.063742146776 | 8592.17237972384 | 68.8913624229317 |
31 | 7627 | 7049.07637096757 | -350.03421754809 | 8554.95784658052 | -577.923629032434 |
32 | 7513 | 7226.49508486926 | -708.300897694264 | 8507.805812825 | -286.504915130738 |
33 | 7510 | 7364.71347280102 | -805.3672518705 | 8460.65377906948 | -145.286527198979 |
34 | 8291 | 8373.72407362088 | -227.685753215111 | 8435.96167959423 | 82.7240736208769 |
35 | 8064 | 7935.53493205382 | -218.804512172808 | 8411.26958011899 | -128.465067946179 |
36 | 9383 | 9562.07315003704 | 769.94558057462 | 8433.98126938834 | 179.073150037038 |
37 | 9706 | 9654.22537739345 | 1301.08166394886 | 8456.6929586577 | -51.7746226065501 |
38 | 8579 | 8341.34636740338 | 325.947713525088 | 8490.70591907154 | -237.653632596624 |
39 | 9474 | 9564.26687237937 | 859.014248135249 | 8524.71887948538 | 90.2668723793704 |
40 | 8318 | 8152.37547368875 | -45.6398869677805 | 8529.26441327903 | -165.624526311251 |
41 | 8213 | 8233.28331614394 | -341.093263216628 | 8533.80994707268 | 20.2833161439448 |
42 | 8059 | 8159.78888277817 | -559.063742146776 | 8517.27485936861 | 100.788882778168 |
43 | 9111 | 10071.2944458836 | -350.03421754809 | 8500.73977166453 | 960.29444588356 |
44 | 7708 | 7638.73403248608 | -708.300897694264 | 8485.56686520819 | -69.2659675139239 |
45 | 7680 | 7694.97329311866 | -805.3672518705 | 8470.39395875185 | 14.9732931186554 |
46 | 8014 | 7807.40183347222 | -227.685753215111 | 8448.28391974289 | -206.598166527776 |
47 | 8007 | 7806.63063143888 | -218.804512172808 | 8426.17388073393 | -200.369368561120 |
48 | 8718 | 8274.18308670424 | 769.94558057462 | 8391.87133272114 | -443.816913295763 |
49 | 9486 | 9313.34955134279 | 1301.08166394886 | 8357.56878470836 | -172.650448657213 |
50 | 9113 | 9561.3568256425 | 325.947713525088 | 8338.6954608324 | 448.356825642508 |
51 | 9025 | 8871.1636149083 | 859.014248135249 | 8319.82213695645 | -153.836385091703 |
52 | 8476 | 8659.1867926295 | -45.6398869677805 | 8338.45309433829 | 183.186792629496 |
53 | 7952 | 7888.00921149651 | -341.093263216628 | 8357.08405172012 | -63.9907885034881 |
54 | 7759 | 7708.56419692598 | -559.063742146776 | 8368.4995452208 | -50.4358030740241 |
55 | 7835 | 7640.1191788266 | -350.03421754809 | 8379.91503872148 | -194.880821173395 |
56 | 7600 | 7518.67488538143 | -708.300897694264 | 8389.62601231283 | -81.3251146185703 |
57 | 7651 | 7708.03026596632 | -805.3672518705 | 8399.33698590418 | 57.0302659663193 |
58 | 8319 | 8456.0155584209 | -227.685753215111 | 8409.67019479422 | 137.015558420895 |
59 | 8812 | 9422.80110848855 | -218.804512172808 | 8420.00340368425 | 610.801108488555 |
60 | 8630 | 8059.10906577428 | 769.94558057462 | 8430.9453536511 | -570.890934225723 |