Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Yt[t] = + 44.9444 + 22.1286000000001M1[t] + 20.0048M2[t] + 30.9002000000000M3[t] + 29.0516M4[t] + 24.918M5[t] + 33.5596M6[t] + 22.7112M7[t] + 15.5694M8[t] + 17.131M9[t] + 19.5426M10[t] + 10.4772M11[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)44.94441.95897722.942800
M122.12860000000012.7704127.987500
M220.00482.7704127.220900
M330.90020000000002.77041211.153600
M429.05162.77041210.486400
M524.9182.7704128.994300
M633.55962.77041212.113600
M722.71122.7704128.197800
M815.56942.7704125.61991e-060
M917.1312.7704126.183600
M1019.54262.7704127.05400
M1110.47722.7704123.78180.0004310.000216


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.914125792852386
R-squared0.835625965158004
Adjusted R-squared0.797956915506713
F-TEST (value)22.1833567051345
F-TEST (DF numerator)11
F-TEST (DF denominator)48
p-value3.5527136788005e-15
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation4.38040539124709
Sum Squared Residuals921.021666799997


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
163.15267.0729999999998-3.9209999999998
260.10664.9492-4.84320000000002
372.61675.8446-3.22859999999997
473.15973.996-0.836999999999917
568.84869.8624-1.01440000000000
677.05678.504-1.448
762.24667.6556-5.40959999999995
860.77760.51380.263200000000004
964.51362.07542.4376
1058.35364.487-6.13399999999998
1156.51155.42161.08940000000000
1244.55444.9444-0.390399999999999
1371.41467.0734.34099999999995
1465.71964.94920.769799999999996
1580.99775.84465.15239999999999
1669.82673.996-4.17000000000003
1765.38669.8624-4.47640000000001
1875.58978.504-2.915
1965.5267.6556-2.13560000000001
2059.00360.5138-1.51080000000000
2163.96162.07541.8856
2259.71664.487-4.771
2357.5255.42162.09840000000000
2442.88644.9444-2.05839999999999
2569.80567.0732.73199999999996
2664.65664.9492-0.293199999999991
2780.35375.84464.50839999999998
2871.32173.996-2.67500000000002
2976.57769.86246.7146
3081.5878.5043.076
3171.12767.65563.47139999999998
3263.47860.51382.9642
3348.15262.0754-13.9234
3469.23664.4874.749
3557.03855.42161.61640000000000
3643.62144.9444-1.32339999999999
3769.55167.0732.47799999999995
3872.00964.94927.0598
3972.1475.8446-3.70460000000001
4081.51973.9967.52299999999998
4173.3169.86243.4476
4280.40678.5041.90200000000000
4370.69767.65563.04139999999999
4459.32860.5138-1.1858
4568.28162.07546.2056
4670.04164.4875.55399999999999
4751.24455.4216-4.1776
4846.53844.94441.59360000000000
4961.44367.073-5.63000000000005
5062.25664.9492-2.69320000000000
5173.11775.8446-2.72760000000001
5274.15573.9960.158999999999981
5365.19169.8624-4.6714
5477.88978.504-0.615000000000005
5568.68867.65561.03239999999999
5659.98360.5138-0.530800000000005
5765.4762.07543.3946
5865.08964.4870.601999999999994
5954.79555.4216-0.626599999999998
6047.12344.94442.17860000000000


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
150.70792545438350.5841490912330010.292074545616500
160.5986326155855480.8027347688289040.401367384414452
170.505817284133840.988365431732320.49418271586616
180.3850676646931770.7701353293863530.614932335306823
190.3056432319685120.6112864639370240.694356768031488
200.2133101887753330.4266203775506650.786689811224667
210.140817981063970.281635962127940.85918201893603
220.1126829743297970.2253659486595930.887317025670203
230.0712046685031090.1424093370062180.928795331496891
240.04423075079488040.08846150158976080.95576924920512
250.03080997254266220.06161994508532440.969190027457338
260.01832025474484690.03664050948969370.981679745255153
270.01857922648925240.03715845297850490.981420773510748
280.01281421807890590.02562843615781180.987185781921094
290.05912029750273760.1182405950054750.940879702497262
300.05529234818817740.1105846963763550.944707651811823
310.06621288388561060.1324257677712210.933787116114389
320.05193759277992880.1038751855598580.948062407220071
330.8153011775772780.3693976448454430.184698822422722
340.8336128315649390.3327743368701220.166387168435061
350.7959035570909280.4081928858181450.204096442909072
360.7396755083819140.5206489832361710.260324491618086
370.7820449845573720.4359100308852560.217955015442628
380.9209264589665140.1581470820669710.0790735410334856
390.8843439853373480.2313120293253050.115656014662652
400.946276345560650.1074473088786980.053723654439349
410.987655324061940.02468935187611820.0123446759380591
420.977186107671880.04562778465624000.0228138923281200
430.954739776440120.09052044711975980.0452602235598799
440.8948898422695550.210220315460890.105110157730445
450.8398759735788120.3202480528423760.160124026421188


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level50.161290322580645NOK
10% type I error level80.258064516129032NOK