Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
huwelijk[t] = -8.06040832663055 + 1.18849990912292geboortes[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | -8.06040832663055 | 2.919378 | -2.761 | 0.00693 | 0.003465 |
geboortes | 1.18849990912292 | 0.296986 | 4.0019 | 0.000125 | 6.3e-05 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.381537512253696 |
R-squared | 0.145570873256739 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.136481201695641 |
F-TEST (value) | 16.0149761493854 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 1 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 94 |
p-value | 0.000125324935773441 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 1.48456585486723 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 207.169963079142 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 1.579 | 3.5500472855913 | -1.9710472855913 |
2 | 2.146 | 3.0175993263042 | -0.871599326304203 |
3 | 2.462 | 3.75209227014217 | -1.29009227014217 |
4 | 3.695 | 3.03542682494105 | 0.659573175058951 |
5 | 4.831 | 4.05634824687764 | 0.774651753122362 |
6 | 5.134 | 3.18755481330878 | 1.94644518669122 |
7 | 6.25 | 3.8364757636899 | 2.4135242363101 |
8 | 5.76 | 4.07774124524185 | 1.68225875475815 |
9 | 6.249 | 3.30521630431195 | 2.94378369568805 |
10 | 2.917 | 3.69385577459515 | -0.776855774595148 |
11 | 1.741 | 2.99858332775824 | -1.25758332775824 |
12 | 2.359 | 3.10079431994281 | -0.741794319942809 |
13 | 1.511 | 3.73901877114182 | -2.22801877114182 |
14 | 2.059 | 2.26290188401115 | -0.203901884011149 |
15 | 2.635 | 3.63799627886637 | -1.00299627886637 |
16 | 2.867 | 3.38128029849582 | -0.514280298495819 |
17 | 4.403 | 3.91253975787376 | 0.490460242126235 |
18 | 5.72 | 3.23390630976458 | 2.48609369023542 |
19 | 4.502 | 3.9660222537843 | 0.535977746215704 |
20 | 5.749 | 3.82459076459867 | 1.92440923540133 |
21 | 5.627 | 3.00809132703122 | 2.61890867296878 |
22 | 2.846 | 3.6653317767762 | -0.819331776776196 |
23 | 1.762 | 2.84051283984489 | -1.07851283984489 |
24 | 2.429 | 2.92251933357437 | -0.493519333574371 |
25 | 1.169 | 3.41931229558775 | -2.25031229558775 |
26 | 2.154 | 2.52199486419995 | -0.367994864199946 |
27 | 2.249 | 3.53340828686355 | -1.28440828686355 |
28 | 2.687 | 2.73117084820558 | -0.0441708482055808 |
29 | 4.359 | 3.15308831594422 | 1.20591168405578 |
30 | 5.382 | 2.60162435811118 | 2.78037564188882 |
31 | 4.459 | 3.89946625887341 | 0.559533741126587 |
32 | 6.398 | 3.57857128341022 | 2.81942871658978 |
33 | 4.596 | 3.17566981421755 | 1.42033018578245 |
34 | 3.024 | 3.53816228650004 | -0.514162286500045 |
35 | 1.887 | 2.42216087183362 | -0.535160871833621 |
36 | 2.07 | 3.11505631885229 | -1.04505631885229 |
37 | 1.351 | 3.43951679404284 | -2.08851679404284 |
38 | 2.218 | 2.21060788800974 | 0.0073921119902597 |
39 | 2.461 | 3.11386781894316 | -0.65286781894316 |
40 | 3.028 | 3.36107580004073 | -0.333075800040728 |
41 | 4.784 | 2.98550982875789 | 1.79849017124211 |
42 | 4.975 | 3.16853881476282 | 1.80646118523718 |
43 | 4.607 | 4.20372223560888 | 0.403277764391119 |
44 | 6.249 | 3.28738880567511 | 2.96161119432489 |
45 | 4.809 | 3.58807928268321 | 1.22092071731679 |
46 | 3.157 | 3.34443680131301 | -0.187436801313008 |
47 | 1.91 | 2.54457636247328 | -0.634576362473282 |
48 | 2.228 | 3.52271178768145 | -1.29471178768145 |
49 | 1.594 | 3.62135728013865 | -2.02735728013865 |
50 | 2.467 | 2.78465334411611 | -0.317653344116112 |
51 | 2.222 | 3.56549778440987 | -1.34349778440987 |
52 | 3.607 | 3.16021931539896 | 0.446780684601044 |
53 | 4.685 | 2.82862784075366 | 1.85637215924634 |
54 | 4.962 | 3.72356827232322 | 1.23843172767678 |
55 | 5.77 | 4.35228472424925 | 1.41771527575075 |
56 | 5.48 | 4.07298724560536 | 1.40701275439464 |
57 | 5 | 3.80676326596182 | 1.19323673403818 |
58 | 3.228 | 3.63680777895725 | -0.408807778957247 |
59 | 1.993 | 3.14595731648948 | -1.15295731648948 |
60 | 2.288 | 3.98147275260289 | -1.69347275260289 |
61 | 1.58 | 3.64512727832111 | -2.06512727832111 |
62 | 2.111 | 2.84051283984489 | -0.72951283984489 |
63 | 2.192 | 4.19659123615414 | -2.00459123615414 |
64 | 3.601 | 3.60947228104742 | -0.0084722810474205 |
65 | 4.665 | 3.77110826868814 | 0.893891731311863 |
66 | 4.876 | 3.88163876023657 | 0.994361239763432 |
67 | 5.813 | 3.92204775714675 | 1.89095224285325 |
68 | 5.589 | 4.46756921543417 | 1.12143078456583 |
69 | 5.331 | 4.07179874569624 | 1.25920125430376 |
70 | 3.075 | 4.10151124342431 | -1.02651124342431 |
71 | 2.002 | 3.15784231558071 | -1.15584231558071 |
72 | 2.306 | 3.78061626796112 | -1.47461626796112 |
73 | 1.507 | 4.01237375024009 | -2.50537375024009 |
74 | 1.992 | 2.9035033350284 | -0.911503335028404 |
75 | 2.487 | 4.38793972152293 | -1.90093972152293 |
76 | 3.49 | 3.5357852866818 | -0.0457852866817977 |
77 | 4.647 | 4.4069557200689 | 0.2400442799311 |
78 | 5.594 | 4.15855923906221 | 1.43544076093779 |
79 | 5.611 | 4.35228472424925 | 1.25871527575075 |
80 | 5.788 | 4.58523070643734 | 1.20276929356266 |
81 | 6.204 | 4.6505982014391 | 1.5534017985609 |
82 | 3.013 | 4.75875169316928 | -1.74575169316928 |
83 | 1.931 | 3.62492277986602 | -1.69392277986602 |
84 | 2.549 | 3.52390028759057 | -0.974900287590569 |
85 | 1.504 | 4.31306422724819 | -2.80906422724819 |
86 | 2.09 | 3.24341430903756 | -1.15341430903756 |
87 | 2.702 | 4.30236772806608 | -1.60036772806608 |
88 | 2.939 | 3.46922929177092 | -0.530229291770915 |
89 | 4.5 | 4.46638071552504 | 0.0336192844749552 |
90 | 6.208 | 3.95770275442044 | 2.25029724557956 |
91 | 6.415 | 4.91206818144614 | 1.50293181855386 |
92 | 5.657 | 5.23058615709108 | 0.426413842908916 |
93 | 5.964 | 4.28097472970187 | 1.68302527029813 |
94 | 3.163 | 4.81579968880718 | -1.65279968880718 |
95 | 1.997 | 3.68910177495865 | -1.69210177495865 |
96 | 2.422 | 4.08130674496922 | -1.65930674496922 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
5 | 0.542004549354245 | 0.915990901291509 | 0.457995450645755 |
6 | 0.684574676083912 | 0.630850647832175 | 0.315425323916088 |
7 | 0.803498257240918 | 0.393003485518164 | 0.196501742759082 |
8 | 0.751927203520611 | 0.496145592958778 | 0.248072796479389 |
9 | 0.861151979262762 | 0.277696041474477 | 0.138848020737238 |
10 | 0.842025600350674 | 0.315948799298651 | 0.157974399649326 |
11 | 0.828132091467973 | 0.343735817064054 | 0.171867908532027 |
12 | 0.776935732085422 | 0.446128535829156 | 0.223064267914578 |
13 | 0.863095757708223 | 0.273808484583554 | 0.136904242291777 |
14 | 0.810831459433524 | 0.378337081132952 | 0.189168540566476 |
15 | 0.779305610889601 | 0.441388778220797 | 0.220694389110399 |
16 | 0.720177916956563 | 0.559644166086874 | 0.279822083043437 |
17 | 0.652448344425302 | 0.695103311149396 | 0.347551655574698 |
18 | 0.755483957061639 | 0.489032085876722 | 0.244516042938361 |
19 | 0.694887548184813 | 0.610224903630373 | 0.305112451815187 |
20 | 0.707014937691085 | 0.58597012461783 | 0.292985062308915 |
21 | 0.798803636587615 | 0.40239272682477 | 0.201196363412385 |
22 | 0.7717734567374 | 0.4564530865252 | 0.2282265432626 |
23 | 0.749101084358892 | 0.501797831282217 | 0.250898915641108 |
24 | 0.698239183306252 | 0.603521633387497 | 0.301760816693748 |
25 | 0.772606869294472 | 0.454786261411056 | 0.227393130705528 |
26 | 0.720224035872286 | 0.559551928255429 | 0.279775964127714 |
27 | 0.708218597679171 | 0.583562804641658 | 0.291781402320829 |
28 | 0.649432980450205 | 0.70113403909959 | 0.350567019549795 |
29 | 0.626172961678065 | 0.74765407664387 | 0.373827038321935 |
30 | 0.755397207486384 | 0.489205585027232 | 0.244602792513616 |
31 | 0.708366051639289 | 0.583267896721423 | 0.291633948360711 |
32 | 0.81425079887743 | 0.371498402245141 | 0.185749201122571 |
33 | 0.805658940555676 | 0.388682118888647 | 0.194341059444324 |
34 | 0.76926604454586 | 0.461467910908279 | 0.23073395545414 |
35 | 0.727720990647411 | 0.544558018705177 | 0.272279009352589 |
36 | 0.703408341050207 | 0.593183317899587 | 0.296591658949793 |
37 | 0.754653798540467 | 0.490692402919066 | 0.245346201459533 |
38 | 0.705080140465173 | 0.589839719069654 | 0.294919859534827 |
39 | 0.66171645640686 | 0.676567087186281 | 0.33828354359314 |
40 | 0.608573507239829 | 0.782852985520341 | 0.391426492760171 |
41 | 0.63573247962777 | 0.728535040744461 | 0.364267520372231 |
42 | 0.664464574154464 | 0.671070851691071 | 0.335535425845536 |
43 | 0.611442825414786 | 0.777114349170429 | 0.388557174585214 |
44 | 0.773600107139246 | 0.452799785721509 | 0.226399892860754 |
45 | 0.762806056322487 | 0.474387887355025 | 0.237193943677513 |
46 | 0.71783133822626 | 0.56433732354748 | 0.28216866177374 |
47 | 0.67379007422437 | 0.65241985155126 | 0.32620992577563 |
48 | 0.659134067869188 | 0.681731864261624 | 0.340865932130812 |
49 | 0.700594906875655 | 0.598810186248691 | 0.299405093124345 |
50 | 0.650343784593892 | 0.699312430812215 | 0.349656215406108 |
51 | 0.635160099663993 | 0.729679800672013 | 0.364839900336007 |
52 | 0.590488425121721 | 0.819023149756558 | 0.409511574878279 |
53 | 0.666511087744794 | 0.666977824510412 | 0.333488912255206 |
54 | 0.664403836194965 | 0.67119232761007 | 0.335596163805035 |
55 | 0.656614834030614 | 0.686770331938772 | 0.343385165969386 |
56 | 0.657942966023528 | 0.684114067952945 | 0.342057033976472 |
57 | 0.65553502873384 | 0.68892994253232 | 0.34446497126616 |
58 | 0.603795510363307 | 0.792408979273385 | 0.396204489636693 |
59 | 0.564129926800543 | 0.871740146398913 | 0.435870073199457 |
60 | 0.575519788265539 | 0.848960423468923 | 0.424480211734461 |
61 | 0.60772469796204 | 0.78455060407592 | 0.39227530203796 |
62 | 0.554321822126268 | 0.891356355747465 | 0.445678177873732 |
63 | 0.599150666050508 | 0.801698667898983 | 0.400849333949492 |
64 | 0.541562378679735 | 0.91687524264053 | 0.458437621320265 |
65 | 0.518892862281405 | 0.96221427543719 | 0.481107137718595 |
66 | 0.502103308549699 | 0.995793382900601 | 0.497896691450301 |
67 | 0.581024555561687 | 0.837950888876626 | 0.418975444438313 |
68 | 0.556421242397937 | 0.887157515204126 | 0.443578757602063 |
69 | 0.566767416992003 | 0.866465166015995 | 0.433232583007997 |
70 | 0.520474458042764 | 0.959051083914473 | 0.479525541957236 |
71 | 0.465375788677438 | 0.930751577354877 | 0.534624211322562 |
72 | 0.433377707752863 | 0.866755415505725 | 0.566622292247137 |
73 | 0.518818618793365 | 0.96236276241327 | 0.481181381206635 |
74 | 0.45510625133232 | 0.91021250266464 | 0.54489374866768 |
75 | 0.490766445337976 | 0.981532890675953 | 0.509233554662024 |
76 | 0.428777569754422 | 0.857555139508843 | 0.571222430245578 |
77 | 0.358747423905755 | 0.71749484781151 | 0.641252576094245 |
78 | 0.376265097339806 | 0.752530194679611 | 0.623734902660194 |
79 | 0.370492684493662 | 0.740985368987323 | 0.629507315506338 |
80 | 0.352352397528443 | 0.704704795056887 | 0.647647602471557 |
81 | 0.380625711059027 | 0.761251422118053 | 0.619374288940973 |
82 | 0.38988952861852 | 0.779779057237039 | 0.61011047138148 |
83 | 0.341706764603457 | 0.683413529206913 | 0.658293235396543 |
84 | 0.265725713463112 | 0.531451426926225 | 0.734274286536888 |
85 | 0.420360810018369 | 0.840721620036738 | 0.579639189981631 |
86 | 0.332148220972014 | 0.664296441944028 | 0.667851779027986 |
87 | 0.327922175015247 | 0.655844350030493 | 0.672077824984753 |
88 | 0.232234426931447 | 0.464468853862893 | 0.767765573068553 |
89 | 0.149599373547874 | 0.299198747095748 | 0.850400626452126 |
90 | 0.311661485705067 | 0.623322971410135 | 0.688338514294933 |
91 | 0.276972414497288 | 0.553944828994576 | 0.723027585502712 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
5% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
10% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |