| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.99991938208817 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 454 | 444 | 10 |
| 3 | 469 | 453.999193820882 | 15.0008061791183 |
| 4 | 471 | 468.99879066633 | 2.00120933366998 |
| 5 | 443 | 470.999838666682 | -27.9998386666824 |
| 6 | 437 | 443.002257288525 | -6.0022572885249 |
| 7 | 444 | 437.000483889449 | 6.99951611055116 |
| 8 | 451 | 443.999435713627 | 7.00056428637265 |
| 9 | 457 | 450.999435629126 | 6.00056437087443 |
| 10 | 460 | 456.999516247031 | 3.00048375296933 |
| 11 | 454 | 459.999758107265 | -5.99975810726534 |
| 12 | 439 | 454.00048368797 | -15.0004836879701 |
| 13 | 441 | 439.001209307671 | 1.99879069232867 |
| 14 | 446 | 440.999838861668 | 5.00016113833180 |
| 15 | 459 | 445.99959689745 | 13.0004031025498 |
| 16 | 456 | 458.998951934649 | -2.99895193464891 |
| 17 | 433 | 456.000241769243 | -23.0002417692427 |
| 18 | 424 | 433.001854231463 | -9.00185423146303 |
| 19 | 430 | 424.000725710691 | 5.99927428930926 |
| 20 | 428 | 429.999516351034 | -1.99951635103429 |
| 21 | 424 | 428.000161196833 | -4.00016119683289 |
| 22 | 419 | 424.000322484643 | -5.00032248464271 |
| 23 | 409 | 419.000403115557 | -10.0004031155572 |
| 24 | 397 | 409.000806211617 | -12.0008062116166 |
| 25 | 397 | 397.000967479937 | -0.000967479937060034 |
| 26 | 413 | 397.000000077996 | 15.9999999220038 |
| 27 | 413 | 412.998710113417 | 0.00128988658303797 |
| 28 | 390 | 412.999999896012 | -22.999999896012 |
| 29 | 385 | 390.001854211964 | -5.00185421196369 |
| 30 | 397 | 385.000403239042 | 11.9995967609582 |
| 31 | 398 | 396.999032617566 | 1.00096738243366 |
| 32 | 406 | 397.9999193041 | 8.00008069590018 |
| 33 | 412 | 405.9993550502 | 6.00064494980018 |
| 34 | 409 | 411.999516240535 | -2.99951624053455 |
| 35 | 404 | 409.000241814736 | -5.00024181473583 |
| 36 | 412 | 404.000403109054 | 7.99959689094624 |
| 37 | 418 | 411.999355089203 | 6.00064491079684 |
| 38 | 434 | 417.999516240538 | 16.0004837594623 |
| 39 | 431 | 433.998710074411 | -2.99871007441101 |
| 40 | 406 | 431.000241749744 | -25.0002417497444 |
| 41 | 416 | 406.002015467285 | 9.9979845327149 |
| 42 | 424 | 415.999193983364 | 8.00080601663552 |
| 43 | 427 | 423.999354991726 | 3.00064500827398 |
| 44 | 401 | 426.999758094265 | -25.9997580942652 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 45 | 401.002096046206 | 378.410552230622 | 423.593639861790 |
| 46 | 401.002096046206 | 369.054116202926 | 432.950075889486 |
| 47 | 401.002096046206 | 361.874497344499 | 440.129694747912 |
| 48 | 401.002096046206 | 355.821740312137 | 446.182451780274 |
| 49 | 401.002096046206 | 350.48912634186 | 451.515065750552 |
| 50 | 401.002096046206 | 345.668058849853 | 456.336133242558 |
| 51 | 401.002096046206 | 341.23461963518 | 460.769572457232 |
| 52 | 401.002096046206 | 337.108068151279 | 464.896123941133 |
| 53 | 401.002096046206 | 333.2323213326 | 468.771870759811 |
| 54 | 401.002096046206 | 329.566545171112 | 472.437646921299 |
| 55 | 401.002096046206 | 326.079913130041 | 475.92427896237 |
| 56 | 401.002096046206 | 322.748475957302 | 479.255716135109 |
