Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Depression[t] = + 11.0492891845945 + 0.288174165510478Month[t] -0.00848639366683415Expect[t] -0.0502769907245564Criticism[t] -0.224886096320656Concerns[t] + 0.00382140890724104t + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 11.0492891845945 | 8.673509 | 1.2739 | 0.204626 | 0.102313 |
Month | 0.288174165510478 | 0.961714 | 0.2996 | 0.764854 | 0.382427 |
Expect | -0.00848639366683415 | 0.186079 | -0.0456 | 0.963683 | 0.481842 |
Criticism | -0.0502769907245564 | 0.234592 | -0.2143 | 0.830586 | 0.415293 |
Concerns | -0.224886096320656 | 0.216168 | -1.0403 | 0.299829 | 0.149914 |
t | 0.00382140890724104 | 0.016961 | 0.2253 | 0.822041 | 0.411021 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.162386978482884 |
R-squared | 0.0263695307808006 |
Adjusted R-squared | -0.00544845840936947 |
F-TEST (value) | 0.828761699024885 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 5 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 153 |
p-value | 0.531063059143865 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 3.15396006269207 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 1521.96200378965 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 12 | 12.0996980801921 | -0.0996980801920628 |
2 | 11 | 12.1693224557283 | -1.16932245572832 |
3 | 14 | 12.5310091477522 | 1.46899085224784 |
4 | 12 | 12.5150579933028 | -0.51505799330278 |
5 | 21 | 12.4852545131809 | 8.51474548681909 |
6 | 12 | 12.6383027951938 | -0.638302795193795 |
7 | 22 | 12.5238831222591 | 9.4761168777409 |
8 | 11 | 12.5496348283926 | -1.54963482839258 |
9 | 10 | 12.5508171395344 | -2.55081713953443 |
10 | 13 | 12.5998702927988 | 0.400129707201204 |
11 | 10 | 12.1746575199548 | -2.17465751995476 |
12 | 8 | 11.8694472156595 | -3.8694472156595 |
13 | 15 | 12.2453069189940 | 2.75469308100595 |
14 | 14 | 12.5532720823752 | 1.44672791762481 |
15 | 10 | 12.7035239789839 | -2.70352397898385 |
16 | 14 | 12.9393514055782 | 1.06064859442183 |
17 | 14 | 12.3931673260332 | 1.60683267396679 |
18 | 11 | 12.7149882057056 | -1.71498820570558 |
19 | 10 | 12.4688653620587 | -2.46886536205866 |
20 | 13 | 11.8211618535312 | 1.17883814646882 |
21 | 7 | 12.1008680598889 | -5.10086805988887 |
22 | 14 | 11.6738877899774 | 2.32611221002259 |
23 | 12 | 12.2943258138605 | -0.29432581386046 |
24 | 14 | 11.9415653530809 | 2.05843464691910 |
25 | 11 | 12.5415894423309 | -1.54158944233088 |
26 | 9 | 12.6517243921138 | -3.65172439211381 |
27 | 11 | 12.5330615223457 | -1.53306152234570 |
28 | 15 | 12.4182300366792 | 2.58176996332081 |
29 | 14 | 12.3598469138956 | 1.64015308610436 |
30 | 13 | 12.7014369663059 | 0.298563033694105 |
31 | 9 | 12.3736577132498 | -3.37365771324979 |
32 | 15 | 12.0361815948797 | 2.96381840512026 |
33 | 10 | 12.2670515115815 | -2.2670515115815 |
34 | 11 | 12.2955300519552 | -1.29553005195523 |
35 | 13 | 12.6281557374216 | 0.371844262578402 |
36 | 8 | 11.9924675063352 | -3.99246750633523 |
37 | 20 | 11.9468139740519 | 8.05318602594808 |
38 | 12 | 12.9615385554849 | -0.961538555484902 |
39 | 10 | 11.8149119893825 | -1.81491198938252 |
40 | 10 | 12.3184585053987 | -2.31845850539868 |
41 | 9 | 12.0235054824564 | -3.02350548245640 |
42 | 14 | 12.4180116233566 | 1.58198837664339 |
43 | 8 | 12.6428769565181 | -4.64287695651809 |
44 | 14 | 12.7673455958693 | 1.23265440413070 |
45 | 11 | 12.5727858761186 | -1.57278587611857 |
46 | 13 | 12.8219876551083 | 0.178012344891675 |
47 | 9 | 12.5131789158748 | -3.51317891587483 |
48 | 11 | 11.9888494720316 | -0.988849472031573 |
49 | 15 | 12.1298129254394 | 2.87018707456061 |
50 | 11 | 12.4366553536483 | -1.43665535364830 |
51 | 10 | 12.4161369261085 | -2.41613692610854 |
52 | 14 | 12.6899992271835 | 1.31000077281649 |
53 | 18 | 12.5948707537097 | 5.40512924629033 |
54 | 14 | 13.4626516832183 | 0.537348316781686 |
55 | 11 | 12.1378101792355 | -1.13781017923552 |
56 | 12 | 12.5931617768722 | -0.593161776872189 |
57 | 13 | 12.7971318115048 | 0.202868188495186 |
58 | 9 | 13.0923673843857 | -4.09236738438571 |
59 | 10 | 13.4257917287674 | -3.42579172876735 |
60 | 15 | 13.2046500928439 | 1.79534990715611 |
61 | 20 | 13.0369025186874 | 6.96309748131257 |
62 | 12 | 12.9117475911227 | -0.911747591122703 |
63 | 12 | 12.9873860511785 | -0.987386051178544 |
64 | 14 | 13.0158645915523 | 0.984135408447724 |
65 | 13 | 13.5078076428591 | -0.507807642859146 |
66 | 11 | 12.5710961189601 | -1.57109611896005 |
67 | 17 | 12.3898169047693 | 4.61018309523067 |
68 | 12 | 12.9855977971859 | -0.985597797185888 |
69 | 13 | 13.5516729211498 | -0.551672921149793 |
70 | 14 | 12.9522520674767 | 1.04774793252334 |
71 | 13 | 12.576671523462 | 0.423328476538006 |
72 | 15 | 13.0429947155108 | 1.95700528448920 |
73 | 13 | 12.4201090167074 | 0.579890983292626 |
74 | 10 | 12.4126476465436 | -2.41264764654356 |
75 | 11 | 12.7033159463341 | -1.70331594633407 |
76 | 19 | 12.8202636395518 | 6.17973636044815 |
77 | 13 | 13.3693659761821 | -0.369365976182086 |
78 | 17 | 12.8932314507183 | 4.10676854928169 |
79 | 13 | 13.0403628856658 | -0.0403628856657909 |
80 | 9 | 12.6319595021560 | -3.63195950215603 |
81 | 11 | 12.7848504965301 | -1.78485049653008 |
82 | 10 | 13.0970588567446 | -3.09705885674464 |
83 | 9 | 12.9417201874502 | -3.94172018745021 |
84 | 12 | 12.9342588172864 | -0.934258817286393 |
85 | 12 | 12.9470445931375 | -0.947044593137522 |
86 | 13 | 12.9655933190340 | 0.0344066809660417 |
87 | 13 | 13.0409077028328 | -0.0409077028328412 |
88 | 12 | 13.2791473883898 | -1.27914738838976 |
89 | 15 | 12.4525146289227 | 2.54748537107728 |
90 | 22 | 13.0990504853409 | 8.90094951465911 |
91 | 13 | 12.7184246949588 | 0.281575305041209 |
92 | 15 | 13.5985767784926 | 1.40142322150737 |
93 | 13 | 13.3219461168590 | -0.32194611685905 |
94 | 15 | 12.9760713412970 | 2.02392865870296 |
95 | 10 | 13.0469852406237 | -3.04698524062367 |
96 | 11 | 12.3576518132960 | -1.35765181329604 |
97 | 16 | 12.4665910861240 | 3.53340891387597 |
98 | 11 | 12.4792229649551 | -1.47922296495506 |
99 | 11 | 13.1334431655061 | -2.13344316550606 |
100 | 10 | 12.9572091976828 | -2.95720919768276 |
101 | 10 | 12.8527922810081 | -2.85279228100807 |
102 | 16 | 13.3701945133154 | 2.62980548668456 |
103 | 12 | 12.9941359960237 | -0.99413599602372 |
104 | 11 | 13.1138800746457 | -2.11388007464572 |
105 | 16 | 12.8850507039707 | 3.1149492960293 |
106 | 19 | 12.9133658463450 | 6.08663415365496 |
107 | 11 | 13.0713020870865 | -2.07130208708652 |
108 | 16 | 12.8385535958350 | 3.16144640416495 |
109 | 15 | 13.0452004790699 | 1.9547995209301 |
110 | 24 | 13.5877412067396 | 10.4122587932604 |
111 | 14 | 13.7665727460099 | 0.233427253990101 |
112 | 15 | 12.8788581900243 | 2.12114180997570 |
113 | 11 | 13.2860939214248 | -2.28609392142475 |
114 | 15 | 13.0515779331059 | 1.94842206689414 |
115 | 12 | 13.8984258132488 | -1.89842581324880 |
116 | 10 | 13.6810398999024 | -3.68103989990240 |
117 | 14 | 13.4440482118175 | 0.555951788182491 |
118 | 13 | 13.6310420684977 | -0.631042068497732 |
119 | 9 | 13.1336915588669 | -4.13369155886687 |
120 | 15 | 13.5447802502986 | 1.45521974970145 |
121 | 15 | 13.1030726633979 | 1.8969273366021 |
122 | 14 | 13.759133302799 | 0.240866697200994 |
123 | 11 | 13.2536170851395 | -2.25361708513953 |
124 | 8 | 13.7678988557857 | -5.76789885578573 |
125 | 11 | 13.5379467499385 | -2.53794674993847 |
126 | 11 | 13.4289659507921 | -2.42896595079213 |
127 | 8 | 13.8126672858983 | -5.81266728589834 |
128 | 10 | 13.4620679496071 | -3.46206794960712 |
129 | 11 | 13.5269711550329 | -2.52697115503292 |
130 | 13 | 12.8197899490549 | 0.180210050945095 |
131 | 11 | 13.2884315532309 | -2.28843155323088 |
132 | 20 | 13.6710101531648 | 6.32898984683515 |
133 | 10 | 13.7050153038018 | -3.70501530380179 |
134 | 15 | 13.7919365429287 | 1.20806345707131 |
135 | 12 | 13.4328508129706 | -1.43285081297064 |
136 | 14 | 13.1028260895701 | 0.897173910429943 |
137 | 23 | 13.6414443060445 | 9.35855569395548 |
138 | 14 | 13.5656070320315 | 0.434392967968494 |
139 | 16 | 13.6231465789627 | 2.37685342103729 |
140 | 11 | 13.2767904395049 | -2.27679043950491 |
141 | 12 | 12.9935981689107 | -0.993598168910745 |
142 | 10 | 12.9468219014552 | -2.94682190145521 |
143 | 14 | 12.9624169543086 | 1.03758304569141 |
144 | 12 | 13.5638749633897 | -1.56387496338973 |
145 | 12 | 13.3744334317891 | -1.37443343178913 |
146 | 11 | 13.1313581080207 | -2.1313581080207 |
147 | 12 | 12.9331061064963 | -0.93310610649631 |
148 | 13 | 13.5636346231142 | -0.563634623114218 |
149 | 11 | 13.7108356092257 | -2.71083560922566 |
150 | 19 | 13.3819336209973 | 5.61806637900268 |
151 | 12 | 13.5248218591114 | -1.52482185911138 |
152 | 17 | 13.1322685277630 | 3.86773147223695 |
153 | 9 | 12.6407653140336 | -3.64076531403363 |
154 | 12 | 13.4977732380754 | -1.49777323807540 |
155 | 19 | 13.4013647417905 | 5.59863525820952 |
156 | 18 | 13.7592828196392 | 4.24071718036078 |
157 | 15 | 13.1725915564663 | 1.82740844353366 |
158 | 14 | 13.4082616954218 | 0.59173830457817 |
159 | 11 | 12.7945071521804 | -1.79450715218042 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
9 | 0.994712349525612 | 0.0105753009487762 | 0.00528765047438808 |
10 | 0.98813593348303 | 0.0237281330339419 | 0.0118640665169709 |
11 | 0.97538040368224 | 0.0492391926355209 | 0.0246195963177605 |
12 | 0.96379605158239 | 0.0724078968352212 | 0.0362039484176106 |
13 | 0.9705574609338 | 0.0588850781324017 | 0.0294425390662009 |
14 | 0.950806395899729 | 0.0983872082005423 | 0.0491936041002712 |
15 | 0.94397886790798 | 0.112042264184041 | 0.0560211320920207 |
16 | 0.917614165163924 | 0.164771669672152 | 0.082385834836076 |
17 | 0.897266592027123 | 0.205466815945755 | 0.102733407972877 |
18 | 0.861379482445373 | 0.277241035109254 | 0.138620517554627 |
19 | 0.821277303686182 | 0.357445392627636 | 0.178722696313818 |
20 | 0.825004575719188 | 0.349990848561624 | 0.174995424280812 |
21 | 0.849742035127992 | 0.300515929744017 | 0.150257964872009 |
22 | 0.860451553089915 | 0.279096893820171 | 0.139548446910085 |
23 | 0.846423824007952 | 0.307152351984097 | 0.153576175992048 |
24 | 0.817266282561415 | 0.36546743487717 | 0.182733717438585 |
25 | 0.770692380402775 | 0.458615239194449 | 0.229307619597225 |
26 | 0.737323065090689 | 0.525353869818622 | 0.262676934909311 |
27 | 0.686327588430183 | 0.627344823139633 | 0.313672411569817 |
28 | 0.714095600545581 | 0.571808798908839 | 0.285904399454419 |
29 | 0.693935245577751 | 0.612129508844499 | 0.306064754422249 |
30 | 0.637746252758251 | 0.724507494483497 | 0.362253747241749 |
31 | 0.639396749816301 | 0.721206500367399 | 0.360603250183699 |
32 | 0.69443702253105 | 0.6111259549379 | 0.30556297746895 |
33 | 0.663849540495435 | 0.67230091900913 | 0.336150459504565 |
34 | 0.609368548066428 | 0.781262903867144 | 0.390631451933572 |
35 | 0.559144270809999 | 0.881711458380002 | 0.440855729190001 |
36 | 0.542503790352362 | 0.914992419295277 | 0.457496209647638 |
37 | 0.83624950968319 | 0.327500980633621 | 0.163750490316810 |
38 | 0.80005939737073 | 0.399881205258541 | 0.199940602629271 |
39 | 0.766992338139806 | 0.466015323720388 | 0.233007661860194 |
40 | 0.736716918392436 | 0.526566163215128 | 0.263283081607564 |
41 | 0.715436622465093 | 0.569126755069814 | 0.284563377534907 |
42 | 0.696828827757217 | 0.606342344485565 | 0.303171172242783 |
43 | 0.711580320682043 | 0.576839358635914 | 0.288419679317957 |
44 | 0.686648866913752 | 0.626702266172496 | 0.313351133086248 |
45 | 0.642968415416852 | 0.714063169166296 | 0.357031584583148 |
46 | 0.603694634147388 | 0.792610731705224 | 0.396305365852612 |
47 | 0.589965234165538 | 0.820069531668923 | 0.410034765834462 |
48 | 0.542085799276546 | 0.915828401446909 | 0.457914200723454 |
49 | 0.550036397648573 | 0.899927204702853 | 0.449963602351427 |
50 | 0.507318618190915 | 0.985362763618171 | 0.492681381809085 |
51 | 0.482141353494504 | 0.964282706989009 | 0.517858646505496 |
52 | 0.460508778602625 | 0.92101755720525 | 0.539491221397375 |
53 | 0.578971233119704 | 0.842057533760592 | 0.421028766880296 |
54 | 0.530264366990342 | 0.939471266019317 | 0.469735633009658 |
55 | 0.483520157809045 | 0.96704031561809 | 0.516479842190955 |
56 | 0.435659478340243 | 0.871318956680487 | 0.564340521659757 |
57 | 0.387952096912755 | 0.77590419382551 | 0.612047903087245 |
58 | 0.404989721853905 | 0.80997944370781 | 0.595010278146095 |
59 | 0.394610088809811 | 0.789220177619621 | 0.60538991119019 |
60 | 0.381298356578564 | 0.762596713157128 | 0.618701643421436 |
61 | 0.578190150643809 | 0.843619698712383 | 0.421809849356191 |
62 | 0.533705269843493 | 0.932589460313015 | 0.466294730156507 |
63 | 0.489329446787223 | 0.978658893574445 | 0.510670553212777 |
64 | 0.446400333805255 | 0.89280066761051 | 0.553599666194745 |
65 | 0.400637097902892 | 0.801274195805785 | 0.599362902097108 |
66 | 0.364357548388636 | 0.728715096777272 | 0.635642451611364 |
67 | 0.417592788832606 | 0.835185577665212 | 0.582407211167394 |
68 | 0.37556271443582 | 0.75112542887164 | 0.62443728556418 |
69 | 0.33292668156067 | 0.66585336312134 | 0.66707331843933 |
70 | 0.295748083581523 | 0.591496167163047 | 0.704251916418477 |
71 | 0.257170468448045 | 0.51434093689609 | 0.742829531551955 |
72 | 0.234419807081388 | 0.468839614162775 | 0.765580192918612 |
73 | 0.201432388530166 | 0.402864777060332 | 0.798567611469834 |
74 | 0.185190012594234 | 0.370380025188469 | 0.814809987405766 |
75 | 0.162794069682867 | 0.325588139365735 | 0.837205930317133 |
76 | 0.258795086854903 | 0.517590173709806 | 0.741204913145097 |
77 | 0.223313676240897 | 0.446627352481794 | 0.776686323759103 |
78 | 0.247952831547952 | 0.495905663095905 | 0.752047168452048 |
79 | 0.213619330636654 | 0.427238661273309 | 0.786380669363346 |
80 | 0.221262424407868 | 0.442524848815737 | 0.778737575592132 |
81 | 0.197581606291134 | 0.395163212582267 | 0.802418393708866 |
82 | 0.194932008321399 | 0.389864016642798 | 0.805067991678601 |
83 | 0.210768234140841 | 0.421536468281682 | 0.78923176585916 |
84 | 0.182040099729805 | 0.364080199459611 | 0.817959900270195 |
85 | 0.154941235748747 | 0.309882471497494 | 0.845058764251253 |
86 | 0.131211690340401 | 0.262423380680802 | 0.8687883096596 |
87 | 0.108730562077893 | 0.217461124155786 | 0.891269437922107 |
88 | 0.0916166379453867 | 0.183233275890773 | 0.908383362054613 |
89 | 0.086173319237361 | 0.172346638474722 | 0.913826680762639 |
90 | 0.277702581426437 | 0.555405162852874 | 0.722297418573563 |
91 | 0.239824126919408 | 0.479648253838816 | 0.760175873080592 |
92 | 0.210145108598830 | 0.420290217197661 | 0.78985489140117 |
93 | 0.178065741409277 | 0.356131482818555 | 0.821934258590723 |
94 | 0.158965149351880 | 0.317930298703760 | 0.84103485064812 |
95 | 0.154919915692214 | 0.309839831384427 | 0.845080084307786 |
96 | 0.133661037863853 | 0.267322075727705 | 0.866338962136147 |
97 | 0.140516926358572 | 0.281033852717145 | 0.859483073641428 |
98 | 0.119926226151205 | 0.239852452302409 | 0.880073773848795 |
99 | 0.108222667512177 | 0.216445335024353 | 0.891777332487823 |
100 | 0.107851121732213 | 0.215702243464425 | 0.892148878267787 |
101 | 0.109948805984194 | 0.219897611968388 | 0.890051194015806 |
102 | 0.0977761657694837 | 0.195552331538967 | 0.902223834230516 |
103 | 0.090709063541506 | 0.181418127083012 | 0.909290936458494 |
104 | 0.100894265276111 | 0.201788530552221 | 0.89910573472389 |
105 | 0.0891529006972885 | 0.178305801394577 | 0.910847099302711 |
106 | 0.122648877521078 | 0.245297755042156 | 0.877351122478922 |
107 | 0.121588978736141 | 0.243177957472282 | 0.878411021263859 |
108 | 0.105563674538690 | 0.211127349077380 | 0.89443632546131 |
109 | 0.0934876022624589 | 0.186975204524918 | 0.906512397737541 |
110 | 0.459821332860726 | 0.919642665721452 | 0.540178667139274 |
111 | 0.415104788348246 | 0.830209576696491 | 0.584895211651754 |
112 | 0.425445101139062 | 0.850890202278125 | 0.574554898860938 |
113 | 0.397517505064288 | 0.795035010128577 | 0.602482494935712 |
114 | 0.403793343060174 | 0.807586686120348 | 0.596206656939826 |
115 | 0.364254454114792 | 0.728508908229584 | 0.635745545885208 |
116 | 0.368507030983811 | 0.737014061967622 | 0.631492969016189 |
117 | 0.32720749880272 | 0.65441499760544 | 0.67279250119728 |
118 | 0.285713597589268 | 0.571427195178536 | 0.714286402410732 |
119 | 0.280879926364791 | 0.561759852729582 | 0.719120073635209 |
120 | 0.269651711800176 | 0.539303423600352 | 0.730348288199824 |
121 | 0.341100919553641 | 0.682201839107281 | 0.65889908044636 |
122 | 0.297419736266568 | 0.594839472533136 | 0.702580263733432 |
123 | 0.256946306226487 | 0.513892612452975 | 0.743053693773513 |
124 | 0.304308518125449 | 0.608617036250897 | 0.695691481874551 |
125 | 0.264151700411054 | 0.528303400822108 | 0.735848299588946 |
126 | 0.233263255627736 | 0.466526511255471 | 0.766736744372264 |
127 | 0.356030541205571 | 0.712061082411143 | 0.643969458794429 |
128 | 0.353075306399597 | 0.706150612799195 | 0.646924693600403 |
129 | 0.359989819973777 | 0.719979639947553 | 0.640010180026223 |
130 | 0.358774971241769 | 0.717549942483539 | 0.64122502875823 |
131 | 0.31912314043937 | 0.63824628087874 | 0.68087685956063 |
132 | 0.431942957530451 | 0.863885915060902 | 0.568057042469549 |
133 | 0.521452022270956 | 0.95709595545809 | 0.478547977729045 |
134 | 0.456955339098075 | 0.913910678196149 | 0.543044660901925 |
135 | 0.415033728717488 | 0.830067457434975 | 0.584966271282512 |
136 | 0.349615324591956 | 0.699230649183912 | 0.650384675408044 |
137 | 0.779978695728158 | 0.440042608543685 | 0.220021304271842 |
138 | 0.717428954398521 | 0.565142091202958 | 0.282571045601479 |
139 | 0.698850436546122 | 0.602299126907756 | 0.301149563453878 |
140 | 0.633643374481206 | 0.732713251037588 | 0.366356625518794 |
141 | 0.597690473835498 | 0.804619052329003 | 0.402309526164502 |
142 | 0.514625758713534 | 0.970748482572932 | 0.485374241286466 |
143 | 0.429805120291531 | 0.859610240583061 | 0.570194879708469 |
144 | 0.339132905195457 | 0.678265810390913 | 0.660867094804543 |
145 | 0.27485470919733 | 0.54970941839466 | 0.72514529080267 |
146 | 0.196461596902626 | 0.392923193805253 | 0.803538403097374 |
147 | 0.130154376280119 | 0.260308752560237 | 0.869845623719881 |
148 | 0.0795957983078335 | 0.159191596615667 | 0.920404201692167 |
149 | 0.158675078662526 | 0.317350157325052 | 0.841324921337474 |
150 | 0.153995110201816 | 0.307990220403632 | 0.846004889798184 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
5% type I error level | 3 | 0.0211267605633803 | OK |
10% type I error level | 6 | 0.0422535211267606 | OK |