Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
O[t] = + 16.1007876215598 -0.0711082166488146CM[t] + 0.220341505387472D[t] -0.152876682627122PE[t] -0.249255555197606PC[t] + 0.423996843472858PS[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)16.10078762155982.005398.028800
CM-0.07110821664881460.063041-1.1280.2610990.130549
D0.2203415053874720.1128341.95280.052670.026335
PE-0.1528766826271220.104464-1.46340.1453980.072699
PC-0.2492555551976060.130658-1.90770.0583050.029152
PS0.4239968434728580.0757595.596700


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.471298501870746
R-squared0.222122277865609
Adjusted R-squared0.196701437272982
F-TEST (value)8.7378022397116
F-TEST (DF numerator)5
F-TEST (DF denominator)153
p-value2.60674177576803e-07
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation3.50596517552417
Sum Squared Residuals1880.64414723419


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
12722.98218556949184.01781443050821
22324.2825786314523-1.28257863145234
32524.34095422879860.659045771201429
42321.9980665446631.00193345533700
51921.8336821330798-2.83368213307984
62922.91509268754766.08490731245238
72524.80329369959090.196706300409119
82122.7152854982447-1.71528549824465
92221.97494106921050.0250589307894630
102522.48745245018632.51254754981370
112420.25433801550753.74566198449251
121819.7289967387193-1.72899673871928
132218.41378427295533.58621572704472
141520.7260760142444-5.72607601424443
152223.5341603804863-1.53416038048629
162824.28659735689383.71340264310620
172022.2993290364022-2.29932903640223
181219.0571642730681-7.05716427306815
192421.42559339704182.57440660295819
202021.3924266689121-1.39242666891212
212123.3129722470528-2.31297224705279
222020.6189146601678-0.61891466016778
232119.26593287205761.73406712794237
242321.09034589553051.9096541044695
252821.97773698347256.02226301652755
262421.94126536196902.05873463803104
272423.47293435329970.52706564670029
282420.41583177547523.58416822452483
292322.00607772830930.993922271690717
302322.72002183808180.279978161918176
312924.32610308785474.67389691214535
322422.13259505138341.86740494861663
331824.9735809453894-6.97358094538944
342526.0744041616619-1.07440416166193
352122.6327389723991-1.63273897239909
362626.7752737608804-0.775273760880398
372225.1784611738214-3.17846117382137
382222.8289932628498-0.828993262849823
392222.5984874210279-0.598487421027921
402325.6837796527932-2.68377965279324
413022.90301250519887.0969874948012
422322.73582793703640.264172062963616
431718.6730159033882-1.67301590338816
442323.7826378758166-0.782637875816639
452324.3831450049004-1.38314500490044
462522.48251135545522.51748864454482
472420.76251843776383.23748156223624
482427.5354730638752-3.53547306387521
492323.013420846334-0.0134208463340025
502123.8063083098388-2.80630830983878
512425.7679598408398-1.76795984083984
522421.87928235019212.12071764980794
532821.53341057880906.46658942119095
541621.0863166062874-5.08631660628735
552019.93824341567540.0617565843245719
562923.463773168975.53622683103
572723.93517520634863.06482479365144
582223.1947973370129-1.19479733701295
592824.05065111670893.94934888329110
601620.3649096621750-4.36490966217502
612522.97312554206182.02687445793816
622423.50392416381980.496075836180247
632823.68469137006764.3153086299324
642424.3948900774714-0.394890077471401
652322.72113925004430.278860749955726
663026.98414012603283.01585987396719
672421.311407554472.68859244553002
682124.1992785117533-3.19927851175327
692523.3568931102851.64310688971498
702524.02661298418790.973387015812072
712220.77311739004121.22688260995881
722322.51605973662220.483940263377783
732622.86207920816453.13792079183554
742321.60210792497011.39789207502990
752523.04628505340681.95371494659318
762121.3200859288626-0.320085928862601
772523.68216538814161.31783461185842
782422.19597013942901.80402986057096
792923.62294570190565.37705429809438
802223.6505049961384-1.65050499613838
812723.67004837475443.32995162524556
822619.67514714276536.32485285723467
832221.32611184683520.673888153164806
842422.10269394449471.89730605550531
852723.13672850304093.86327149695906
862421.32039269223682.67960730776318
872424.9069267712173-0.906926771217318
882924.50093826190294.49906173809706
892222.2661656990094-0.266165699009353
902120.58178382023690.418216179763108
912420.41038340479323.58961659520677
922421.82880621579072.17119378420933
932321.97259113384741.02740886615261
942022.279068894971-2.27906889497098
952721.46253970577525.53746029422485
962623.46626995291192.53373004708814
972521.94225715101793.05774284898208
982120.06417567205180.935824327948169
992120.78543915832230.214560841677722
1001920.3903237759386-1.39032377593858
1012121.6349353010046-0.634935301004597
1022121.3024414128131-0.302441412813057
1031619.7444211846365-3.74442118463651
1042220.7017996865281.29820031347199
1052921.85581752264447.1441824773556
1061521.6878883349162-6.68788833491623
1071720.7286345848914-3.72863458489142
1081519.9532515703311-4.95325157033112
1092121.7008324905864-0.700832490586391
1102121.0066281433363-0.00662814333629869
1111919.2957595789363-0.295759578936263
1122418.06733919659905.93266080340104
1132022.4284701075653-2.42847010756527
1141725.2117708701399-8.21177087013988
1152325.1139465965675-2.11394659656751
1162422.39604726106791.60395273893209
1171422.0787535781367-8.07875357813666
1181922.9242178924195-3.92421789241954
1192422.19934360098161.80065639901840
1201320.3943031311854-7.39430313118542
1212225.4191648291204-3.41916482912037
1221621.1576664088684-5.15766640886844
1231923.3390243535785-4.33902435357853
1242522.86403985743612.13596014256388
1252524.24469929156580.755300708434188
1262321.41336551453381.58663448546623
1272423.59903792426860.400962075731441
1282623.60261614071512.39738385928493
1292621.54461493512774.45538506487232
1302524.18722752738860.81277247261139
1311822.4068796765704-4.40687967657038
1322119.90151456612541.0984854338746
1332623.69902760200652.30097239799347
1342321.98481901635541.01518098364457
1352319.76631498826883.2336850117312
1362222.5902422845035-0.590242284503534
1372022.4111657951914-2.41116579519144
1381322.1381746285297-9.13817462852975
1392421.48079350625582.51920649374420
1401521.6539345726315-6.65393457263151
1411423.1850594569731-9.18505945697312
1422224.121841856075-2.12184185607499
1431017.7287537233398-7.7287537233398
1442424.5001568112989-0.500156811298874
1452221.88316733001280.116832669987208
1462425.8348513586269-1.83485135862688
1471921.6372239393157-2.63722393931569
1482022.1391981547192-2.13919815471916
1491317.1082779500906-4.10827795009065
1502020.146246659087-0.146246659087016
1512223.3199882509133-1.31998825091329
1522423.37107452132630.628925478673697
1532923.16314118732715.83685881267292
1541220.9396135417921-8.93961354179206
1552020.9804482210829-0.980448221082944
1562121.4480313076632-0.44803130766325
1572423.69477492368700.305225076313032
1582221.94307119034300.0569288096570307
1592017.73709747760762.26290252239236


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
90.7610618130989850.4778763738020290.238938186901014
100.6421522010094480.7156955979811030.357847798990552
110.5226549547416130.9546900905167740.477345045258387
120.476485795178290.952971590356580.52351420482171
130.5034459803739270.9931080392521470.496554019626073
140.7204440581309550.5591118837380910.279555941869045
150.6560507799711860.6878984400576290.343949220028814
160.6137224027697510.7725551944604980.386277597230249
170.5506215175117890.8987569649764210.449378482488211
180.6603404702184150.679319059563170.339659529781585
190.5874921033891550.825015793221690.412507896610845
200.599910689595960.800178620808080.40008931040404
210.5562926062965140.8874147874069710.443707393703486
220.4882761467208630.9765522934417250.511723853279137
230.4261965625964750.852393125192950.573803437403525
240.4262391750374370.8524783500748740.573760824962563
250.5653286833019510.8693426333960980.434671316698049
260.5028998786259060.9942002427481870.497100121374093
270.4385862580758650.877172516151730.561413741924135
280.431882165636730.863764331273460.56811783436327
290.3698863509225350.7397727018450710.630113649077464
300.3111429669731710.6222859339463420.688857033026829
310.3341460927232170.6682921854464340.665853907276783
320.2823097509817620.5646195019635250.717690249018238
330.5050750920675840.989849815864830.494924907932415
340.4598960654950410.9197921309900820.540103934504959
350.4247676406930180.8495352813860360.575232359306982
360.3683133100286230.7366266200572470.631686689971377
370.3455730237702920.6911460475405830.654426976229708
380.2949532492346920.5899064984693840.705046750765308
390.2488270992659450.4976541985318910.751172900734055
400.2251824768616520.4503649537233050.774817523138348
410.3785020127160580.7570040254321160.621497987283942
420.3274778527029060.6549557054058130.672522147297094
430.2939462944267860.5878925888535720.706053705573214
440.2505909885228880.5011819770457770.749409011477112
450.2173990120299900.4347980240599790.78260098797001
460.1950180583978300.3900361167956610.80498194160217
470.1816082996966240.3632165993932490.818391700303376
480.1685866375244230.3371732750488450.831413362475577
490.1380945007132750.2761890014265490.861905499286725
500.1279404656624580.2558809313249160.872059534337542
510.1059702708320390.2119405416640770.894029729167961
520.089941508238660.179883016477320.91005849176134
530.1483548149892090.2967096299784170.851645185010791
540.1800111005226060.3600222010452120.819988899477394
550.1732755066087670.3465510132175340.826724493391233
560.2293642147041570.4587284294083140.770635785295843
570.2195072276329700.4390144552659400.78049277236703
580.1886873844930730.3773747689861470.811312615506927
590.1991083310907370.3982166621814750.800891668909263
600.2284447398879710.4568894797759420.77155526011203
610.2014580229871250.402916045974250.798541977012875
620.1696565523923780.3393131047847560.830343447607622
630.1845379343657620.3690758687315240.815462065634238
640.1563682286995640.3127364573991290.843631771300436
650.1293836235394550.2587672470789100.870616376460545
660.1252372264675860.2504744529351730.874762773532414
670.1147226176779660.2294452353559320.885277382322034
680.1150635398107610.2301270796215230.884936460189239
690.09781217758461990.1956243551692400.90218782241538
700.08000681981452310.1600136396290460.919993180185477
710.06530921589906880.1306184317981380.934690784100931
720.05177757888973220.1035551577794640.948222421110268
730.04869168050985560.09738336101971120.951308319490144
740.0391536408137210.0783072816274420.960846359186279
750.0327517076337370.0655034152674740.967248292366263
760.02524953351896140.05049906703792280.974750466481039
770.01987801723782720.03975603447565440.980121982762173
780.01594764202757390.03189528405514790.984052357972426
790.02359034305213220.04718068610426440.976409656947868
800.01885548627546740.03771097255093480.981144513724533
810.01836838669770060.03673677339540110.9816316133023
820.03281462710839130.06562925421678270.967185372891609
830.02540800364715350.0508160072943070.974591996352847
840.02127412630551310.04254825261102620.978725873694487
850.02332675317860860.04665350635721730.976673246821391
860.0208038418957160.0416076837914320.979196158104284
870.01589201136201950.03178402272403910.98410798863798
880.02060901993369260.04121803986738520.979390980066307
890.01633876336296510.03267752672593030.983661236637035
900.01228547609714730.02457095219429450.987714523902853
910.01240968280972230.02481936561944450.987590317190278
920.01089193161672320.02178386323344650.989108068383277
930.008397844045307920.01679568809061580.991602155954692
940.006954377881051850.01390875576210370.993045622118948
950.01268757026202320.02537514052404650.987312429737977
960.01153837611875350.02307675223750710.988461623881246
970.01100726837737900.02201453675475810.98899273162262
980.008472686417339930.01694537283467990.99152731358266
990.006288619223921310.01257723844784260.993711380776079
1000.004839968127998570.009679936255997140.995160031872001
1010.003601604552226070.007203209104452140.996398395447774
1020.002578486537578040.005156973075156080.997421513462422
1030.002758813951051470.005517627902102950.997241186048949
1040.002175702845250650.00435140569050130.99782429715475
1050.009102389741956920.01820477948391380.990897610258043
1060.02026745527607140.04053491055214280.979732544723929
1070.02017772737707970.04035545475415950.97982227262292
1080.0254803582767060.0509607165534120.974519641723294
1090.01982573610055810.03965147220111620.980174263899442
1100.01460095195607070.02920190391214150.98539904804393
1110.01065945079489390.02131890158978770.989340549205106
1120.0259665655265970.0519331310531940.974033434473403
1130.02378966379604360.04757932759208720.976210336203956
1140.06542837527981190.1308567505596240.934571624720188
1150.05637027332980990.1127405466596200.94362972667019
1160.04612834507156610.09225669014313220.953871654928434
1170.1321930639967030.2643861279934060.867806936003297
1180.1275700505777090.2551401011554180.87242994942229
1190.1139734070165520.2279468140331050.886026592983448
1200.1954596967199740.3909193934399490.804540303280026
1210.1874076495061760.3748152990123510.812592350493824
1220.2226176627297030.4452353254594070.777382337270297
1230.2165690459609180.4331380919218370.783430954039082
1240.2161968093111790.4323936186223570.783803190688821
1250.1980543298387070.3961086596774150.801945670161293
1260.1634980828757260.3269961657514520.836501917124274
1270.1299090692460920.2598181384921840.870090930753908
1280.1344144751442470.2688289502884930.865585524855753
1290.1902087825267230.3804175650534450.809791217473278
1300.1660159448253260.3320318896506520.833984055174674
1310.1472815275431390.2945630550862790.85271847245686
1320.1293530194144750.2587060388289500.870646980585525
1330.1199843719629170.2399687439258340.880015628037083
1340.09975902886246690.1995180577249340.900240971137533
1350.1349896127424430.2699792254848870.865010387257557
1360.1027046409128130.2054092818256260.897295359087187
1370.07698445809870310.1539689161974060.923015541901297
1380.1877057864635630.3754115729271260.812294213536437
1390.2613033288023510.5226066576047020.738696671197649
1400.2421298966270620.4842597932541240.757870103372938
1410.4869183831220390.9738367662440770.513081616877961
1420.4388218459836630.8776436919673260.561178154016337
1430.7496694010908750.500661197818250.250330598909125
1440.6996712039798970.6006575920402070.300328796020103
1450.6009163598806050.7981672802387910.399083640119395
1460.5380748047556420.9238503904887160.461925195244358
1470.5606659498867790.8786681002264410.439334050113221
1480.4332756750981670.8665513501963330.566724324901833
1490.3400566648954190.6801133297908380.659943335104581
1500.2435626919644850.487125383928970.756437308035515


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level50.0352112676056338NOK
5% type I error level330.232394366197183NOK
10% type I error level420.295774647887324NOK