Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Popularity[t] = + 5.48495180027817 -0.566537820428668Tijd[t] + 0.0888510006565018FindingFriends[t] + 0.246617500855063KnowingPeople[t] + 0.354441237808493Liked[t] + 0.614549687191414Celebrity[t] + 0.00409598796722313t + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 5.48495180027817 | 5.872612 | 0.934 | 0.351821 | 0.17591 |
Tijd | -0.566537820428668 | 0.62376 | -0.9083 | 0.365206 | 0.182603 |
FindingFriends | 0.0888510006565018 | 0.09708 | 0.9152 | 0.361547 | 0.180774 |
KnowingPeople | 0.246617500855063 | 0.061755 | 3.9935 | 0.000102 | 5.1e-05 |
Liked | 0.354441237808493 | 0.097772 | 3.6252 | 0.000396 | 0.000198 |
Celebrity | 0.614549687191414 | 0.157303 | 3.9068 | 0.000141 | 7.1e-05 |
t | 0.00409598796722313 | 0.006547 | 0.6256 | 0.532503 | 0.266251 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.708574818609038 |
R-squared | 0.502078273566831 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.482027734247374 |
F-TEST (value) | 25.0406368411062 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 6 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 149 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 2.11349919739364 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 665.564949750152 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 13 | 11.4493005779774 | 1.55069942202258 |
2 | 12 | 11.1139399345406 | 0.886060065459391 |
3 | 15 | 13.6046773252320 | 1.39532267476802 |
4 | 12 | 10.8690698570334 | 1.13093014296659 |
5 | 10 | 10.7328784232224 | -0.732878423222412 |
6 | 12 | 9.30016577336313 | 2.69983422663687 |
7 | 15 | 16.8120661324904 | -1.81206613249044 |
8 | 9 | 10.5549362021007 | -1.55493620210074 |
9 | 12 | 12.3622084060586 | -0.362208406058635 |
10 | 11 | 8.08805219420388 | 2.91194780579612 |
11 | 11 | 13.4707777534905 | -2.47077775349052 |
12 | 11 | 12.1548607661610 | -1.15486076616096 |
13 | 15 | 12.3342023327471 | 2.66579766725292 |
14 | 7 | 11.3582728698806 | -4.35827286988064 |
15 | 11 | 11.7128219657639 | -0.712821965763871 |
16 | 11 | 11.0809391075487 | -0.080939107548653 |
17 | 10 | 12.1753407059971 | -2.17534070599707 |
18 | 14 | 14.4948206479620 | -0.494820647962019 |
19 | 10 | 8.81578859004646 | 1.18421140995354 |
20 | 6 | 9.66659805271479 | -3.66659805271479 |
21 | 11 | 8.83494414151905 | 2.16505585848095 |
22 | 15 | 14.5246955483588 | 0.475304451641231 |
23 | 11 | 11.7741034737558 | -0.774103473755758 |
24 | 12 | 9.63400200615606 | 2.36599799384394 |
25 | 14 | 13.5490198509636 | 0.450980149036398 |
26 | 15 | 15.0208235534099 | -0.0208235534099302 |
27 | 9 | 14.7917929890499 | -5.79179298904995 |
28 | 13 | 12.6991778620013 | 0.300822137998718 |
29 | 13 | 13.4066745378164 | -0.40667453781642 |
30 | 16 | 10.9685191482399 | 5.03148085176006 |
31 | 13 | 8.6682657080432 | 4.3317342919568 |
32 | 12 | 13.7679219517575 | -1.76792195175751 |
33 | 14 | 14.6586024166547 | -0.658602416654726 |
34 | 11 | 10.2750578596743 | 0.724942140325664 |
35 | 9 | 10.6655278772158 | -1.66552787721577 |
36 | 16 | 14.4607246944186 | 1.53927530558140 |
37 | 12 | 13.0739666779120 | -1.07396667791195 |
38 | 10 | 9.39937554684417 | 0.600624453155834 |
39 | 13 | 13.2708951809932 | -0.270895180993161 |
40 | 16 | 15.4460995712874 | 0.553900428712596 |
41 | 14 | 13.1213206567290 | 0.878679343270954 |
42 | 15 | 8.33339209869503 | 6.66660790130497 |
43 | 5 | 9.96488783097495 | -4.96488783097495 |
44 | 8 | 10.7213645052177 | -2.72136450521770 |
45 | 11 | 11.4613248658576 | -0.46132486585763 |
46 | 16 | 14.0219405209086 | 1.97805947909143 |
47 | 17 | 13.2901721362031 | 3.70982786379691 |
48 | 9 | 8.68891750505838 | 0.311082494941622 |
49 | 9 | 12.2040703717639 | -3.20407037176385 |
50 | 13 | 14.9613607644247 | -1.96136076442472 |
51 | 10 | 11.1893405295608 | -1.18934052956077 |
52 | 6 | 12.1176382280635 | -6.11763822806347 |
53 | 12 | 12.0972087416691 | -0.097208741669074 |
54 | 8 | 10.1458438012161 | -2.14584380121614 |
55 | 14 | 12.0864279813066 | 1.91357201869341 |
56 | 12 | 12.1594394688159 | -0.159439468815874 |
57 | 11 | 10.5236075287601 | 0.47639247123994 |
58 | 16 | 14.1610378457643 | 1.83896215423566 |
59 | 8 | 10.0504908433400 | -2.05049084334004 |
60 | 15 | 14.9749724587311 | 0.0250275412689427 |
61 | 7 | 9.2055247919868 | -2.20552479198679 |
62 | 16 | 13.7350923239857 | 2.26490767601425 |
63 | 14 | 13.5036053369317 | 0.496394663068334 |
64 | 16 | 13.5156395353621 | 2.48436046463794 |
65 | 9 | 9.69122011455888 | -0.691220114558882 |
66 | 14 | 12.0426328482895 | 1.95736715171046 |
67 | 11 | 12.8000722873498 | -1.80007228734981 |
68 | 13 | 10.2166785812851 | 2.78332141871488 |
69 | 15 | 12.6694704993826 | 2.33052950061737 |
70 | 5 | 5.33798232973368 | -0.337982329733683 |
71 | 15 | 12.2208792883242 | 2.77912071167578 |
72 | 13 | 12.0672087760929 | 0.932791223907117 |
73 | 11 | 11.8436599995020 | -0.843659999501972 |
74 | 11 | 13.8212268873688 | -2.82122688736877 |
75 | 12 | 12.2697269250179 | -0.2697269250179 |
76 | 12 | 13.1913774168633 | -1.19137741686331 |
77 | 12 | 12.0687159796321 | -0.0687159796320693 |
78 | 12 | 11.7363807012702 | 0.263619298729785 |
79 | 14 | 10.6026847382052 | 3.39731526179479 |
80 | 6 | 7.821122636654 | -1.821122636654 |
81 | 7 | 9.6553767376676 | -2.65537673766761 |
82 | 14 | 11.8351711012090 | 2.16482889879098 |
83 | 14 | 13.7012870436927 | 0.298712956307269 |
84 | 10 | 11.0909823908679 | -1.09098239086794 |
85 | 13 | 8.56397600063496 | 4.43602399936504 |
86 | 12 | 12.2268945568184 | -0.226894556818366 |
87 | 9 | 9.12883669005252 | -0.128836690052520 |
88 | 12 | 11.9041370541928 | 0.0958629458071936 |
89 | 16 | 14.8471386089255 | 1.15286139107453 |
90 | 10 | 10.0966246304262 | -0.096624630426239 |
91 | 14 | 12.9942024448653 | 1.00579755513467 |
92 | 10 | 13.3837096975892 | -3.38370969758925 |
93 | 16 | 15.1855001137781 | 0.814499886221934 |
94 | 15 | 13.3340206998154 | 1.66597930018461 |
95 | 12 | 11.2248892591639 | 0.775110740836106 |
96 | 10 | 9.60899282022252 | 0.391007179777477 |
97 | 8 | 10.1203456514868 | -2.1203456514868 |
98 | 8 | 8.4904273709585 | -0.4904273709585 |
99 | 11 | 12.7778964250540 | -1.77789642505395 |
100 | 13 | 12.3032111246564 | 0.696788875343581 |
101 | 16 | 15.3760345177144 | 0.623965482285588 |
102 | 16 | 14.6213052668195 | 1.37869473318048 |
103 | 14 | 15.7451122840439 | -1.74511228404394 |
104 | 11 | 8.81853900850769 | 2.18146099149231 |
105 | 4 | 6.89814409500296 | -2.89814409500296 |
106 | 14 | 14.4624436400695 | -0.462443640069505 |
107 | 9 | 10.3105319775397 | -1.31053197753974 |
108 | 14 | 15.1715798811578 | -1.17157988115777 |
109 | 8 | 10.4265476904276 | -2.42654769042761 |
110 | 8 | 10.8864641005702 | -2.88646410057018 |
111 | 11 | 12.1570740424550 | -1.15707404245501 |
112 | 12 | 13.5979786682488 | -1.59797866824875 |
113 | 11 | 11.3699889648101 | -0.369988964810069 |
114 | 14 | 13.5626724335247 | 0.437327566475344 |
115 | 15 | 14.2891418456367 | 0.710858154363276 |
116 | 16 | 13.3741896718492 | 2.62581032815083 |
117 | 16 | 13.4671366604729 | 2.53286333952711 |
118 | 11 | 12.7004101189267 | -1.70041011892673 |
119 | 14 | 13.7219461372624 | 0.278053862737596 |
120 | 14 | 10.9593567720081 | 3.04064322799188 |
121 | 12 | 11.4067449984403 | 0.59325500155966 |
122 | 14 | 12.5685684385542 | 1.43143156144577 |
123 | 8 | 10.2317922333446 | -2.2317922333446 |
124 | 13 | 13.8312770777550 | -0.831277077755021 |
125 | 16 | 13.7465220650657 | 2.25347793493426 |
126 | 12 | 10.9165108581460 | 1.08348914185401 |
127 | 16 | 15.4460783901449 | 0.553921609855059 |
128 | 12 | 13.4043687911589 | -1.40436879115892 |
129 | 11 | 11.5598648228419 | -0.5598648228419 |
130 | 4 | 6.41852874211252 | -2.41852874211252 |
131 | 16 | 15.4624623420138 | 0.537537657986166 |
132 | 15 | 12.5920492398061 | 2.40795076019388 |
133 | 10 | 11.5327505640522 | -1.53275056405225 |
134 | 13 | 13.2402081918155 | -0.240208191815495 |
135 | 15 | 13.2942469430278 | 1.70575305697215 |
136 | 12 | 10.7283323153835 | 1.2716676846165 |
137 | 14 | 13.7068229200159 | 0.293177079984082 |
138 | 7 | 10.7540033697383 | -3.75400336973829 |
139 | 19 | 14.1583071344154 | 4.84169286558464 |
140 | 12 | 12.7690926952146 | -0.76909269521461 |
141 | 12 | 12.3862837605486 | -0.386283760548553 |
142 | 13 | 13.5695363596535 | -0.569536359653473 |
143 | 15 | 13.0534154488549 | 1.94658455114514 |
144 | 8 | 8.34892705400389 | -0.348927054003887 |
145 | 12 | 11.0118137079436 | 0.98818629205643 |
146 | 10 | 10.8541550658197 | -0.854155065819745 |
147 | 8 | 11.4957616071678 | -3.4957616071678 |
148 | 10 | 14.4617240280899 | -4.46172402808988 |
149 | 15 | 14.0025922764777 | 0.997407723522341 |
150 | 16 | 14.6926098738725 | 1.30739012612755 |
151 | 13 | 13.2844226983748 | -0.284422698374774 |
152 | 16 | 15.1805459029892 | 0.819454097010831 |
153 | 9 | 10.3546718723613 | -1.35467187236130 |
154 | 14 | 13.3021924500455 | 0.697807549954485 |
155 | 14 | 12.8250507269539 | 1.17494927304612 |
156 | 12 | 10.3399779392073 | 1.66002206079275 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
10 | 0.0741712171667625 | 0.148342434333525 | 0.925828782833238 |
11 | 0.112202301095871 | 0.224404602191742 | 0.887797698904129 |
12 | 0.0741244480892257 | 0.148248896178451 | 0.925875551910774 |
13 | 0.551140337566569 | 0.897719324866862 | 0.448859662433431 |
14 | 0.721848220248342 | 0.556303559503315 | 0.278151779751658 |
15 | 0.655715183066684 | 0.688569633866633 | 0.344284816933316 |
16 | 0.580082450484022 | 0.839835099031956 | 0.419917549515978 |
17 | 0.494046717222321 | 0.988093434444641 | 0.505953282777679 |
18 | 0.457164118630552 | 0.914328237261104 | 0.542835881369448 |
19 | 0.398702691806448 | 0.797405383612896 | 0.601297308193552 |
20 | 0.527646011800372 | 0.944707976399257 | 0.472353988199628 |
21 | 0.527310648948094 | 0.945378702103813 | 0.472689351051906 |
22 | 0.566379806582869 | 0.867240386834263 | 0.433620193417131 |
23 | 0.503524519147538 | 0.992950961704923 | 0.496475480852462 |
24 | 0.517815059112432 | 0.964369881775137 | 0.482184940887568 |
25 | 0.491173905781173 | 0.982347811562347 | 0.508826094218827 |
26 | 0.434174203378595 | 0.86834840675719 | 0.565825796621405 |
27 | 0.665506774401732 | 0.668986451196536 | 0.334493225598268 |
28 | 0.617299688975276 | 0.765400622049447 | 0.382700311024724 |
29 | 0.562210370549315 | 0.875579258901371 | 0.437789629450685 |
30 | 0.724856060399248 | 0.550287879201505 | 0.275143939600752 |
31 | 0.815272135970578 | 0.369455728058845 | 0.184727864029422 |
32 | 0.781849336375504 | 0.436301327248993 | 0.218150663624496 |
33 | 0.73713017621658 | 0.52573964756684 | 0.26286982378342 |
34 | 0.700991496824609 | 0.598017006350782 | 0.299008503175391 |
35 | 0.70754766997187 | 0.58490466005626 | 0.29245233002813 |
36 | 0.711411276126 | 0.577177447747999 | 0.288588723873999 |
37 | 0.680668306625127 | 0.638663386749746 | 0.319331693374873 |
38 | 0.629960901945593 | 0.740078196108814 | 0.370039098054407 |
39 | 0.576764139013112 | 0.846471721973775 | 0.423235860986888 |
40 | 0.546327939559265 | 0.90734412088147 | 0.453672060440735 |
41 | 0.503426595810007 | 0.993146808379986 | 0.496573404189993 |
42 | 0.760193257406362 | 0.479613485187277 | 0.239806742593638 |
43 | 0.955199677249064 | 0.0896006455018713 | 0.0448003227509357 |
44 | 0.966171914935365 | 0.0676561701292693 | 0.0338280850646347 |
45 | 0.955673579790998 | 0.0886528404180045 | 0.0443264202090022 |
46 | 0.960283165639154 | 0.0794336687216919 | 0.0397168343608460 |
47 | 0.98249463097523 | 0.0350107380495389 | 0.0175053690247694 |
48 | 0.978626268770566 | 0.0427474624588676 | 0.0213737312294338 |
49 | 0.9830455852271 | 0.033908829545799 | 0.0169544147728995 |
50 | 0.978879152705956 | 0.0422416945880871 | 0.0211208472940435 |
51 | 0.97430177395400 | 0.0513964520919977 | 0.0256982260459989 |
52 | 0.989925402143615 | 0.0201491957127703 | 0.0100745978563851 |
53 | 0.992519880838565 | 0.0149602383228694 | 0.00748011916143468 |
54 | 0.991164592609655 | 0.0176708147806899 | 0.00883540739034496 |
55 | 0.994908677893344 | 0.0101826442133122 | 0.00509132210665612 |
56 | 0.993470720982195 | 0.0130585580356100 | 0.00652927901780498 |
57 | 0.991211645067473 | 0.0175767098650537 | 0.00878835493252685 |
58 | 0.991508942778104 | 0.0169821144437913 | 0.00849105722189564 |
59 | 0.992613299721703 | 0.0147734005565943 | 0.00738670027829715 |
60 | 0.99122780368389 | 0.0175443926322215 | 0.00877219631611077 |
61 | 0.991493443936462 | 0.0170131121270769 | 0.00850655606353845 |
62 | 0.99331276136589 | 0.0133744772682205 | 0.00668723863411024 |
63 | 0.991397378134413 | 0.0172052437311733 | 0.00860262186558665 |
64 | 0.992450240136325 | 0.0150995197273493 | 0.00754975986367465 |
65 | 0.990096362028706 | 0.0198072759425878 | 0.0099036379712939 |
66 | 0.989566390431926 | 0.0208672191361473 | 0.0104336095680737 |
67 | 0.989265419238058 | 0.0214691615238844 | 0.0107345807619422 |
68 | 0.991261034079185 | 0.0174779318416295 | 0.00873896592081476 |
69 | 0.99158391175856 | 0.0168321764828785 | 0.00841608824143925 |
70 | 0.988635618904562 | 0.0227287621908753 | 0.0113643810954376 |
71 | 0.99045338502367 | 0.0190932299526586 | 0.0095466149763293 |
72 | 0.98748207428565 | 0.0250358514286988 | 0.0125179257143494 |
73 | 0.984225920503106 | 0.0315481589937888 | 0.0157740794968944 |
74 | 0.988480271248361 | 0.0230394575032776 | 0.0115197287516388 |
75 | 0.98446794834342 | 0.031064103313159 | 0.0155320516565795 |
76 | 0.981763138190198 | 0.0364737236196037 | 0.0182368618098018 |
77 | 0.976039476331006 | 0.0479210473379888 | 0.0239605236689944 |
78 | 0.968474997917452 | 0.0630500041650965 | 0.0315250020825482 |
79 | 0.979911528836039 | 0.0401769423279225 | 0.0200884711639613 |
80 | 0.979051045490935 | 0.0418979090181291 | 0.0209489545090645 |
81 | 0.982441884988268 | 0.0351162300234634 | 0.0175581150117317 |
82 | 0.983310438131075 | 0.0333791237378504 | 0.0166895618689252 |
83 | 0.977691230126222 | 0.0446175397475563 | 0.0223087698737782 |
84 | 0.972682221381389 | 0.0546355572372218 | 0.0273177786186109 |
85 | 0.992596794742124 | 0.0148064105157528 | 0.0074032052578764 |
86 | 0.989797392071149 | 0.0204052158577029 | 0.0102026079288514 |
87 | 0.98628477793078 | 0.0274304441384386 | 0.0137152220692193 |
88 | 0.98218367226876 | 0.0356326554624804 | 0.0178163277312402 |
89 | 0.977885466648729 | 0.0442290667025428 | 0.0221145333512714 |
90 | 0.971191399152196 | 0.0576172016956074 | 0.0288086008478037 |
91 | 0.966093146569196 | 0.0678137068616084 | 0.0339068534308042 |
92 | 0.979256530494548 | 0.0414869390109042 | 0.0207434695054521 |
93 | 0.973176766043085 | 0.0536464679138295 | 0.0268232339569148 |
94 | 0.96963095479708 | 0.0607380904058385 | 0.0303690452029192 |
95 | 0.962474782729718 | 0.0750504345405634 | 0.0375252172702817 |
96 | 0.953952927856277 | 0.0920941442874463 | 0.0460470721437232 |
97 | 0.949820090992317 | 0.100359818015365 | 0.0501799090076827 |
98 | 0.937088820835008 | 0.125822358329984 | 0.0629111791649919 |
99 | 0.931970141655347 | 0.136059716689306 | 0.0680298583446528 |
100 | 0.918071441069307 | 0.163857117861385 | 0.0819285589306927 |
101 | 0.898329928577223 | 0.203340142845555 | 0.101670071422777 |
102 | 0.884123545874621 | 0.231752908250757 | 0.115876454125379 |
103 | 0.88616665796714 | 0.22766668406572 | 0.11383334203286 |
104 | 0.924474543313484 | 0.151050913373033 | 0.0755254566865163 |
105 | 0.921545875976543 | 0.156908248046914 | 0.0784541240234568 |
106 | 0.900678625503464 | 0.198642748993072 | 0.0993213744965358 |
107 | 0.879656537389574 | 0.240686925220852 | 0.120343462610426 |
108 | 0.870054808590735 | 0.259890382818530 | 0.129945191409265 |
109 | 0.865998093532728 | 0.268003812934544 | 0.134001906467272 |
110 | 0.889364476303296 | 0.221271047393409 | 0.110635523696704 |
111 | 0.878953946591296 | 0.242092106817408 | 0.121046053408704 |
112 | 0.916753704637318 | 0.166492590725365 | 0.0832462953626823 |
113 | 0.89301023524797 | 0.213979529504059 | 0.106989764752029 |
114 | 0.867185372220987 | 0.265629255558026 | 0.132814627779013 |
115 | 0.836867795364546 | 0.326264409270908 | 0.163132204635454 |
116 | 0.830879687750082 | 0.338240624499836 | 0.169120312249918 |
117 | 0.834685476689381 | 0.330629046621238 | 0.165314523310619 |
118 | 0.827651400084535 | 0.34469719983093 | 0.172348599915465 |
119 | 0.789342118736039 | 0.421315762527923 | 0.210657881263961 |
120 | 0.838035114338567 | 0.323929771322866 | 0.161964885661433 |
121 | 0.807463655315766 | 0.385072689368469 | 0.192536344684234 |
122 | 0.781633839476693 | 0.436732321046615 | 0.218366160523307 |
123 | 0.767836747529315 | 0.46432650494137 | 0.232163252470685 |
124 | 0.723150216700639 | 0.553699566598723 | 0.276849783299361 |
125 | 0.722966162521897 | 0.554067674956206 | 0.277033837478103 |
126 | 0.711175056042909 | 0.577649887914182 | 0.288824943957091 |
127 | 0.65220729612298 | 0.69558540775404 | 0.34779270387702 |
128 | 0.613090521765875 | 0.77381895646825 | 0.386909478234125 |
129 | 0.627141908039979 | 0.745716183920041 | 0.372858091960021 |
130 | 0.628583444228252 | 0.742833111543497 | 0.371416555771748 |
131 | 0.572747829282612 | 0.854504341434777 | 0.427252170717388 |
132 | 0.540323234254351 | 0.919353531491297 | 0.459676765745649 |
133 | 0.525914513137671 | 0.948170973724657 | 0.474085486862329 |
134 | 0.449145895515348 | 0.898291791030697 | 0.550854104484652 |
135 | 0.404058068115826 | 0.808116136231651 | 0.595941931884174 |
136 | 0.390644611089812 | 0.781289222179624 | 0.609355388910188 |
137 | 0.316892689001983 | 0.633785378003967 | 0.683107310998017 |
138 | 0.3827700494465 | 0.765540098893 | 0.6172299505535 |
139 | 0.752204540523978 | 0.495590918952044 | 0.247795459476022 |
140 | 0.755926579817525 | 0.48814684036495 | 0.244073420182475 |
141 | 0.707273400881692 | 0.585453198236616 | 0.292726599118308 |
142 | 0.621385605239751 | 0.757228789520498 | 0.378614394760249 |
143 | 0.544097586276402 | 0.911804827447195 | 0.455902413723598 |
144 | 0.417459848433508 | 0.834919696867016 | 0.582540151566492 |
145 | 0.477376684850801 | 0.954753369701602 | 0.522623315149199 |
146 | 0.617289921074538 | 0.765420157850924 | 0.382710078925462 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
5% type I error level | 41 | 0.299270072992701 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 54 | 0.394160583941606 | NOK |