Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Popularity[t] = + 0.303717782313307 + 0.176147992195911FindingFriends[t] -0.151288107973995`Findingfriends*G`[t] + 0.240478962981778KnowingPeople[t] + 0.0325063503433276`Knowingpeople*G`[t] + 0.215766283815847Liked[t] + 0.219515353217923`Liked*G`[t] + 0.708072246853356Celebrity[t] -0.166549255423799`Celebrity*G`[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 0.303717782313307 | 1.415616 | 0.2145 | 0.830417 | 0.415208 |
FindingFriends | 0.176147992195911 | 0.114094 | 1.5439 | 0.124765 | 0.062383 |
`Findingfriends*G` | -0.151288107973995 | 0.142194 | -1.064 | 0.289092 | 0.144546 |
KnowingPeople | 0.240478962981778 | 0.110803 | 2.1703 | 0.031588 | 0.015794 |
`Knowingpeople*G` | 0.0325063503433276 | 0.133519 | 0.2435 | 0.807989 | 0.403994 |
Liked | 0.215766283815847 | 0.14089 | 1.5315 | 0.127806 | 0.063903 |
`Liked*G` | 0.219515353217923 | 0.174534 | 1.2577 | 0.210487 | 0.105243 |
Celebrity | 0.708072246853356 | 0.292824 | 2.4181 | 0.016826 | 0.008413 |
`Celebrity*G` | -0.166549255423799 | 0.345665 | -0.4818 | 0.630648 | 0.315324 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.721556275076144 |
R-squared | 0.52064345810176 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.494556027250155 |
F-TEST (value) | 19.9576363446204 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 8 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 147 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 2.0877829424917 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 640.749129399017 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 13 | 10.8895255927711 | 2.11047440722889 |
2 | 12 | 11.1521951381639 | 0.847804861836061 |
3 | 15 | 14.0417845255514 | 0.958215474448622 |
4 | 12 | 10.9108715265689 | 1.08912847343113 |
5 | 10 | 10.3837776903313 | -0.383777690331296 |
6 | 12 | 8.81425857588693 | 3.18574142411307 |
7 | 15 | 17.1619146884442 | -2.16191468844422 |
8 | 9 | 10.5590648126422 | -1.55906481264216 |
9 | 12 | 12.6838656637188 | -0.683865663718782 |
10 | 11 | 8.1744156666176 | 2.82558433338241 |
11 | 11 | 12.3012826055433 | -1.30128260554330 |
12 | 11 | 12.0773924325350 | -1.07739243253504 |
13 | 15 | 12.4406544864753 | 2.55934551352468 |
14 | 7 | 11.0770216220410 | -4.07702162204099 |
15 | 11 | 11.5065375846547 | -0.506537584654662 |
16 | 11 | 11.1050354392924 | -0.105035439292366 |
17 | 10 | 12.0773924325350 | -2.07739243253504 |
18 | 14 | 13.5492241633687 | 0.450775836631309 |
19 | 10 | 8.57170040105228 | 1.42829959894772 |
20 | 6 | 8.90678250390843 | -2.90678250390843 |
21 | 11 | 9.18006119788441 | 1.81993880211559 |
22 | 15 | 13.8010511634244 | 1.19894883657558 |
23 | 11 | 11.7323875361164 | -0.732387536116447 |
24 | 12 | 9.30656453892443 | 2.69343546107557 |
25 | 14 | 13.6046153228692 | 0.39538467713077 |
26 | 15 | 14.0301820893322 | 0.969817910667754 |
27 | 9 | 14.0415301264062 | -5.0415301264062 |
28 | 13 | 13.1259491182607 | -0.125949118260674 |
29 | 13 | 12.5249166483634 | 0.475083351636604 |
30 | 16 | 11.0459537837681 | 4.95404621623185 |
31 | 13 | 8.3845441931217 | 4.6154558068783 |
32 | 12 | 13.1933706035968 | -1.19337060359682 |
33 | 14 | 14.7437162750412 | -0.743716275041222 |
34 | 11 | 9.27398410075426 | 1.72601589924574 |
35 | 9 | 10.5590648126422 | -1.55906481264216 |
36 | 16 | 13.5739368425346 | 2.42606315746538 |
37 | 12 | 13.1102520303112 | -1.11025203031124 |
38 | 10 | 8.94284322014831 | 1.05715677985169 |
39 | 13 | 13.3067701253222 | -0.306770125322209 |
40 | 16 | 15.7001086545033 | 0.299891345496714 |
41 | 14 | 12.5971153781535 | 1.40288462184649 |
42 | 15 | 8.30505028859622 | 6.69494971140378 |
43 | 5 | 9.7084471709368 | -4.7084471709368 |
44 | 8 | 10.0676197194897 | -2.0676197194897 |
45 | 11 | 11.2335766083378 | -0.233576608337807 |
46 | 16 | 13.3448059166268 | 2.65519408337320 |
47 | 17 | 13.4735140842515 | 3.52648591574847 |
48 | 9 | 8.94723070108285 | 0.0527692989171527 |
49 | 9 | 12.2192765072424 | -3.21927650724244 |
50 | 13 | 15.1834455472956 | -2.18344554729565 |
51 | 10 | 10.8747621896182 | -0.874762189618176 |
52 | 6 | 12.1180967598976 | -6.11809675989763 |
53 | 12 | 11.8643304521342 | 0.135669547865782 |
54 | 8 | 9.9785760695379 | -1.97857606953790 |
55 | 14 | 12.0651911234961 | 1.93480887650394 |
56 | 12 | 12.7652471338927 | -0.765247133892652 |
57 | 11 | 11.1927521103353 | -0.192752110335282 |
58 | 16 | 15.1088658946299 | 0.891134105370103 |
59 | 8 | 9.29877407723053 | -1.29877407723053 |
60 | 15 | 15.5333646955740 | -0.533364695573968 |
61 | 7 | 9.0547375388687 | -2.0547375388687 |
62 | 16 | 13.5343185509147 | 2.46568144908531 |
63 | 14 | 14.1866952864701 | -0.186695286470134 |
64 | 16 | 14.1773333993897 | 1.82266660061025 |
65 | 9 | 10.0963632218142 | -1.09636322181421 |
66 | 14 | 12.5171217047895 | 1.48287829521054 |
67 | 11 | 12.8623070203012 | -1.86230702030121 |
68 | 13 | 10.2304030695936 | 2.76959693040637 |
69 | 15 | 13.0586446962190 | 1.94135530378098 |
70 | 5 | 6.22668143776913 | -1.22668143776913 |
71 | 15 | 12.7652471338927 | 2.23475286610735 |
72 | 13 | 12.5171217047895 | 0.482878295210537 |
73 | 11 | 11.4477034969565 | -0.447703496956529 |
74 | 11 | 12.6437715232232 | -1.64377152322320 |
75 | 12 | 12.7359396144501 | -0.735939614450082 |
76 | 12 | 13.6046153228692 | -1.60461532286923 |
77 | 12 | 12.3796852653027 | -0.379685265302714 |
78 | 12 | 12.4176821679018 | -0.417682167901798 |
79 | 14 | 11.0459537837681 | 2.95404621623185 |
80 | 6 | 8.11109226315751 | -2.11109226315751 |
81 | 7 | 9.52233082274028 | -2.52233082274028 |
82 | 14 | 12.4742037538538 | 1.52579624614625 |
83 | 14 | 14.3396297230984 | -0.339629723098414 |
84 | 10 | 11.4861496726617 | -1.48614967266165 |
85 | 13 | 8.33330064992337 | 4.66669935007663 |
86 | 12 | 12.3170181235518 | -0.317018123551792 |
87 | 9 | 9.15512922589445 | -0.155129225894450 |
88 | 12 | 12.7174149310972 | -0.717414931097212 |
89 | 16 | 15.2603793822489 | 0.739620617751137 |
90 | 10 | 9.82714075650792 | 0.172859243492077 |
91 | 14 | 13.5206737831231 | 0.479326216876903 |
92 | 10 | 13.9043480860646 | -3.90434808606464 |
93 | 16 | 15.7249685387252 | 0.275031461274797 |
94 | 15 | 13.8278808677505 | 1.17211913224950 |
95 | 12 | 11.0161709293248 | 0.983829070675166 |
96 | 10 | 9.74010887266684 | 0.259891127333161 |
97 | 8 | 10.4774774551835 | -2.47747745518349 |
98 | 8 | 8.55887400045114 | -0.55887400045114 |
99 | 11 | 11.8564626931300 | -0.856462693129975 |
100 | 13 | 12.5126740695688 | 0.487325930431191 |
101 | 16 | 15.9730939678284 | 0.0269060321716083 |
102 | 16 | 15.0167015883663 | 0.983298411633672 |
103 | 14 | 14.9901586335517 | -0.990158633551675 |
104 | 11 | 9.20047344688567 | 1.79952655311433 |
105 | 4 | 6.60092088806472 | -2.60092088806472 |
106 | 14 | 14.6534395344260 | -0.653439534426044 |
107 | 9 | 10.8383853268363 | -1.83838532683631 |
108 | 14 | 15.5333646955740 | -1.53336469557397 |
109 | 8 | 11.0006816505450 | -3.00068165054497 |
110 | 8 | 11.6299213130174 | -3.62992131301744 |
111 | 11 | 12.6296982600543 | -1.62969826005430 |
112 | 12 | 14.0466987774111 | -2.04669877741112 |
113 | 11 | 11.4207328162684 | -0.420732816268387 |
114 | 14 | 13.9292079702866 | 0.0707920297134405 |
115 | 15 | 13.7120075134726 | 1.28799248652737 |
116 | 16 | 13.7420517623560 | 2.25794823764402 |
117 | 16 | 13.7669116465779 | 2.23308835342210 |
118 | 11 | 12.0420194146922 | -1.04201941469216 |
119 | 14 | 13.2938395879329 | 0.706160412067092 |
120 | 14 | 10.5485776454533 | 3.45142235454674 |
121 | 12 | 11.7026134000348 | 0.297386599965199 |
122 | 14 | 12.2185657442337 | 1.78143425576628 |
123 | 8 | 9.82714075650792 | -1.82714075650792 |
124 | 13 | 13.4699875801288 | -0.46998758012882 |
125 | 16 | 13.2938395879329 | 2.70616041206709 |
126 | 12 | 11.0415061485475 | 0.958493851452505 |
127 | 16 | 15.7205209035045 | 0.279479096495450 |
128 | 12 | 13.6046153228692 | -1.60461532286923 |
129 | 11 | 12.0340078649603 | -1.03400786496025 |
130 | 4 | 6.04772724989257 | -2.04772724989257 |
131 | 16 | 15.7205209035045 | 0.279479096495450 |
132 | 15 | 12.760799498672 | 2.239200501328 |
133 | 10 | 11.9165170578357 | -1.91651705783569 |
134 | 13 | 13.4080972278583 | -0.408097227858265 |
135 | 15 | 12.8128816619694 | 2.18711833803065 |
136 | 12 | 10.8836574600595 | 1.11634253994052 |
137 | 14 | 13.117691595737 | 0.882308404263004 |
138 | 7 | 10.9987940848966 | -3.99879408489658 |
139 | 19 | 14.4751785969368 | 4.52482140306323 |
140 | 12 | 13.1756688867045 | -1.17566888670451 |
141 | 12 | 11.7262597811962 | 0.273740218803786 |
142 | 13 | 13.0533606249511 | -0.0533606249511303 |
143 | 15 | 13.5544289377863 | 1.44557106221368 |
144 | 8 | 8.59687402439871 | -0.596874024398706 |
145 | 12 | 11.1566427733846 | 0.84335722661541 |
146 | 10 | 10.6266367605150 | -0.626636760514988 |
147 | 8 | 10.9024146002071 | -2.90241460020711 |
148 | 10 | 14.0380498483365 | -4.03804984833649 |
149 | 15 | 13.3581705587188 | 1.64182944128123 |
150 | 16 | 14.7392686398206 | 1.26073136017943 |
151 | 13 | 13.3023224901016 | -0.302322490101555 |
152 | 16 | 15.4519832254001 | 0.548016774599902 |
153 | 9 | 10.4235159388038 | -1.42351593880380 |
154 | 14 | 12.4358729984116 | 1.5641270015884 |
155 | 14 | 12.4456800651235 | 1.55431993487648 |
156 | 12 | 10.7570038566624 | 1.24299614333756 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
12 | 0.0148846440769442 | 0.0297692881538884 | 0.985115355923056 |
13 | 0.270367171934365 | 0.54073434386873 | 0.729632828065635 |
14 | 0.452738580422579 | 0.905477160845158 | 0.547261419577421 |
15 | 0.389044558071467 | 0.778089116142934 | 0.610955441928533 |
16 | 0.276315944135212 | 0.552631888270424 | 0.723684055864788 |
17 | 0.235200479882294 | 0.470400959764589 | 0.764799520117706 |
18 | 0.204340223034756 | 0.408680446069512 | 0.795659776965244 |
19 | 0.173504075125319 | 0.347008150250639 | 0.82649592487468 |
20 | 0.592540890119907 | 0.814918219760185 | 0.407459109880093 |
21 | 0.514915020553154 | 0.970169958893693 | 0.485084979446846 |
22 | 0.628094801832265 | 0.74381039633547 | 0.371905198167735 |
23 | 0.55325496882702 | 0.89349006234596 | 0.44674503117298 |
24 | 0.535315395432962 | 0.929369209134076 | 0.464684604567038 |
25 | 0.468126579253763 | 0.936253158507525 | 0.531873420746237 |
26 | 0.450052518477259 | 0.900105036954519 | 0.549947481522741 |
27 | 0.572164399366448 | 0.855671201267104 | 0.427835600633552 |
28 | 0.515245281531433 | 0.969509436937133 | 0.484754718468567 |
29 | 0.47256789059977 | 0.94513578119954 | 0.52743210940023 |
30 | 0.656623223302466 | 0.686753553395067 | 0.343376776697534 |
31 | 0.791957586015767 | 0.416084827968467 | 0.208042413984233 |
32 | 0.769104639811598 | 0.461790720376803 | 0.230895360188402 |
33 | 0.72016070876808 | 0.55967858246384 | 0.27983929123192 |
34 | 0.682663579072978 | 0.634672841854044 | 0.317336420927022 |
35 | 0.685076429537626 | 0.629847140924748 | 0.314923570462374 |
36 | 0.745622651723302 | 0.508754696553397 | 0.254377348276698 |
37 | 0.720143966453238 | 0.559712067093523 | 0.279856033546762 |
38 | 0.679312296762485 | 0.64137540647503 | 0.320687703237515 |
39 | 0.625390911420816 | 0.749218177158368 | 0.374609088579184 |
40 | 0.580955240167808 | 0.838089519664383 | 0.419044759832192 |
41 | 0.57615307976735 | 0.8476938404653 | 0.42384692023265 |
42 | 0.836294121196182 | 0.327411757607635 | 0.163705878803818 |
43 | 0.944939600945146 | 0.110120798109708 | 0.0550603990548541 |
44 | 0.954875370139415 | 0.0902492597211698 | 0.0451246298605849 |
45 | 0.94223098825242 | 0.115538023495162 | 0.0577690117475809 |
46 | 0.95981750997817 | 0.0803649800436617 | 0.0401824900218309 |
47 | 0.97438791061741 | 0.0512241787651819 | 0.0256120893825910 |
48 | 0.96617470249647 | 0.0676505950070607 | 0.0338252975035304 |
49 | 0.979247374158265 | 0.0415052516834708 | 0.0207526258417354 |
50 | 0.979779674816592 | 0.0404406503668161 | 0.0202203251834080 |
51 | 0.974027405471502 | 0.051945189056996 | 0.025972594528498 |
52 | 0.996860285932767 | 0.00627942813446516 | 0.00313971406723258 |
53 | 0.995429796880836 | 0.00914040623832878 | 0.00457020311916439 |
54 | 0.996502020401508 | 0.0069959591969838 | 0.0034979795984919 |
55 | 0.996628550692515 | 0.00674289861497084 | 0.00337144930748542 |
56 | 0.99539510372897 | 0.00920979254206052 | 0.00460489627103026 |
57 | 0.993843588774736 | 0.0123128224505288 | 0.00615641122526438 |
58 | 0.991733896728822 | 0.0165322065423565 | 0.00826610327117827 |
59 | 0.991759954653213 | 0.0164800906935736 | 0.00824004534678678 |
60 | 0.98881901924196 | 0.0223619615160791 | 0.0111809807580395 |
61 | 0.9893008756718 | 0.0213982486563988 | 0.0106991243281994 |
62 | 0.99162227861669 | 0.016755442766622 | 0.008377721383311 |
63 | 0.988439811817906 | 0.0231203763641873 | 0.0115601881820937 |
64 | 0.987275009119605 | 0.0254499817607891 | 0.0127249908803945 |
65 | 0.985464003473448 | 0.0290719930531038 | 0.0145359965265519 |
66 | 0.983124120031612 | 0.0337517599367754 | 0.0168758799683877 |
67 | 0.982730008719138 | 0.0345399825617251 | 0.0172699912808625 |
68 | 0.986243887365243 | 0.0275122252695143 | 0.0137561126347572 |
69 | 0.986093386505474 | 0.0278132269890531 | 0.0139066134945265 |
70 | 0.983264873700425 | 0.033470252599149 | 0.0167351262995745 |
71 | 0.983952833005262 | 0.0320943339894756 | 0.0160471669947378 |
72 | 0.978743511892171 | 0.0425129762156572 | 0.0212564881078286 |
73 | 0.972155674548958 | 0.0556886509020846 | 0.0278443254510423 |
74 | 0.970049565314358 | 0.0599008693712843 | 0.0299504346856422 |
75 | 0.96216949605184 | 0.0756610078963196 | 0.0378305039481598 |
76 | 0.95795278436673 | 0.0840944312665404 | 0.0420472156332702 |
77 | 0.947008750444686 | 0.105982499110627 | 0.0529912495553137 |
78 | 0.935509515496803 | 0.128980969006394 | 0.0644904845031971 |
79 | 0.949698181643263 | 0.100603636713475 | 0.0503018183567374 |
80 | 0.952358834397114 | 0.0952823312057727 | 0.0476411656028863 |
81 | 0.956683961435184 | 0.086632077129632 | 0.043316038564816 |
82 | 0.956439291433866 | 0.0871214171322678 | 0.0435607085661339 |
83 | 0.944775217018713 | 0.110449565962575 | 0.0552247829812873 |
84 | 0.937492091445042 | 0.125015817109916 | 0.0625079085549582 |
85 | 0.990164132554969 | 0.0196717348900629 | 0.00983586744503145 |
86 | 0.98691637540894 | 0.02616724918212 | 0.01308362459106 |
87 | 0.982929157927117 | 0.034141684145766 | 0.017070842072883 |
88 | 0.98011878313635 | 0.0397624337273017 | 0.0198812168636508 |
89 | 0.974653369327958 | 0.0506932613440848 | 0.0253466306720424 |
90 | 0.969186284745768 | 0.0616274305084647 | 0.0308137152542324 |
91 | 0.961437358968518 | 0.0771252820629644 | 0.0385626410314822 |
92 | 0.982707754985226 | 0.0345844900295482 | 0.0172922450147741 |
93 | 0.976696160274005 | 0.0466076794519893 | 0.0233038397259947 |
94 | 0.972235967753082 | 0.0555280644938356 | 0.0277640322469178 |
95 | 0.966669858890535 | 0.0666602822189292 | 0.0333301411094646 |
96 | 0.956037744874722 | 0.0879245102505565 | 0.0439622551252783 |
97 | 0.95414638268592 | 0.0917072346281603 | 0.0458536173140801 |
98 | 0.951585182800178 | 0.0968296343996447 | 0.0484148171998223 |
99 | 0.949950511715705 | 0.100098976568590 | 0.0500494882842949 |
100 | 0.935840018472108 | 0.128319963055784 | 0.0641599815278922 |
101 | 0.91772783289984 | 0.164544334200320 | 0.0822721671001602 |
102 | 0.901372102246794 | 0.197255795506412 | 0.0986278977532062 |
103 | 0.900379568307531 | 0.199240863384939 | 0.0996204316924694 |
104 | 0.913638471767218 | 0.172723056465563 | 0.0863615282327816 |
105 | 0.92160393619139 | 0.156792127617220 | 0.0783960638086098 |
106 | 0.905080534980456 | 0.189838930039087 | 0.0949194650195436 |
107 | 0.894429209817369 | 0.211141580365262 | 0.105570790182631 |
108 | 0.889313923951246 | 0.221372152097508 | 0.110686076048754 |
109 | 0.903514003491531 | 0.192971993016938 | 0.0964859965084689 |
110 | 0.930852808776104 | 0.138294382447791 | 0.0691471912238956 |
111 | 0.926802528012315 | 0.146394943975369 | 0.0731974719876846 |
112 | 0.9441847247261 | 0.1116305505478 | 0.0558152752739 |
113 | 0.92619333897152 | 0.147613322056960 | 0.0738066610284801 |
114 | 0.904464404152022 | 0.191071191695956 | 0.095535595847978 |
115 | 0.880871630988122 | 0.238256738023756 | 0.119128369011878 |
116 | 0.876708961081778 | 0.246582077836443 | 0.123291038918222 |
117 | 0.881594411496969 | 0.236811177006062 | 0.118405588503031 |
118 | 0.855064887972663 | 0.289870224054673 | 0.144935112027337 |
119 | 0.820592561253514 | 0.358814877492971 | 0.179407438746486 |
120 | 0.941442736498356 | 0.117114527003287 | 0.0585572635016436 |
121 | 0.92237837011889 | 0.155243259762219 | 0.0776216298811095 |
122 | 0.903788175871854 | 0.192423648256292 | 0.096211824128146 |
123 | 0.888066944665287 | 0.223866110669425 | 0.111933055334713 |
124 | 0.855615312362776 | 0.288769375274448 | 0.144384687637224 |
125 | 0.854742073912206 | 0.290515852175588 | 0.145257926087794 |
126 | 0.825531619683513 | 0.348936760632973 | 0.174468380316487 |
127 | 0.779937688607489 | 0.440124622785022 | 0.220062311392511 |
128 | 0.771910269209207 | 0.456179461581585 | 0.228089730790793 |
129 | 0.774090906217091 | 0.451818187565818 | 0.225909093782909 |
130 | 0.733977715527072 | 0.532044568945855 | 0.266022284472928 |
131 | 0.685945193791664 | 0.628109612416673 | 0.314054806208336 |
132 | 0.664865901028745 | 0.670268197942509 | 0.335134098971255 |
133 | 0.765809370205923 | 0.468381259588155 | 0.234190629794077 |
134 | 0.70446240082087 | 0.591075198358260 | 0.295537599179130 |
135 | 0.736481317349152 | 0.527037365301696 | 0.263518682650848 |
136 | 0.701595930249042 | 0.596808139501917 | 0.298404069750958 |
137 | 0.622107042530114 | 0.755785914939772 | 0.377892957469886 |
138 | 0.746905905494873 | 0.506188189010254 | 0.253094094505127 |
139 | 0.96208041821085 | 0.0758391635783024 | 0.0379195817891512 |
140 | 0.991564584116266 | 0.0168708317674676 | 0.0084354158837338 |
141 | 0.987862844543467 | 0.0242743109130662 | 0.0121371554565331 |
142 | 0.967172934632297 | 0.0656541307354055 | 0.0328270653677028 |
143 | 0.918753170800533 | 0.162493658398933 | 0.0812468291994665 |
144 | 0.833472140086662 | 0.333055719826677 | 0.166527859913338 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 5 | 0.037593984962406 | NOK |
5% type I error level | 32 | 0.240601503759398 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 54 | 0.406015037593985 | NOK |