| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.0754804609554412 |
| beta | 0.0688123430653692 |
| gamma | 0.145742399878318 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 95.9 | 95.2328359670504 | 0.667164032949628 |
| 14 | 82.8 | 82.4158966582214 | 0.384103341778626 |
| 15 | 83.3 | 82.9246934871367 | 0.375306512863276 |
| 16 | 80 | 79.3934177269914 | 0.60658227300857 |
| 17 | 80.4 | 79.7706270115215 | 0.629372988478465 |
| 18 | 67.5 | 66.7505147737472 | 0.749485226252816 |
| 19 | 75.7 | 70.1054628480633 | 5.59453715193669 |
| 20 | 71.1 | 78.3313164076358 | -7.23131640763584 |
| 21 | 89.3 | 81.1177274645233 | 8.18227253547673 |
| 22 | 101.1 | 104.108334074047 | -3.00833407404703 |
| 23 | 105.2 | 103.554013259526 | 1.6459867404744 |
| 24 | 114.1 | 109.834171797475 | 4.2658282025245 |
| 25 | 96.3 | 98.5504247616478 | -2.25042476164776 |
| 26 | 84.4 | 85.1190236495592 | -0.719023649559205 |
| 27 | 91.2 | 85.6035768631725 | 5.59642313682754 |
| 28 | 81.9 | 82.4375712706993 | -0.537571270699274 |
| 29 | 80.5 | 82.8062143801282 | -2.30621438012822 |
| 30 | 70.4 | 69.1745629699802 | 1.22543703001980 |
| 31 | 74.8 | 73.3972470526686 | 1.40275294733138 |
| 32 | 75.9 | 79.7844650759951 | -3.88446507599514 |
| 33 | 86.3 | 85.1245475950229 | 1.17545240497712 |
| 34 | 98.7 | 106.684221053253 | -7.98422105325315 |
| 35 | 100.9 | 106.372333849685 | -5.47233384968494 |
| 36 | 113.8 | 112.539853560906 | 1.26014643909421 |
| 37 | 89.8 | 99.8730401800989 | -10.0730401800989 |
| 38 | 84.4 | 85.8313336836083 | -1.43133368360833 |
| 39 | 87.2 | 87.0287095177412 | 0.17129048225884 |
| 40 | 85.6 | 82.499303029043 | 3.10069697095707 |
| 41 | 72 | 82.8089361438132 | -10.8089361438132 |
| 42 | 69.2 | 68.9469015220223 | 0.253098477977744 |
| 43 | 77.5 | 72.9643822326154 | 4.53561776738461 |
| 44 | 78.1 | 78.724978298194 | -0.624978298194009 |
| 45 | 94.3 | 84.8582858999982 | 9.44171410000176 |
| 46 | 97.7 | 105.763165615604 | -8.06316561560416 |
| 47 | 100.2 | 105.695209545937 | -5.49520954593746 |
| 48 | 116.4 | 112.679424637046 | 3.72057536295389 |
| 49 | 97.1 | 98.571293424571 | -1.47129342457094 |
| 50 | 93 | 86.2325069906795 | 6.76749300932048 |
| 51 | 96 | 88.3054513151034 | 7.69454868489662 |
| 52 | 80.5 | 84.7055128367741 | -4.20551283677415 |
| 53 | 76.1 | 82.564714764164 | -6.464714764164 |
| 54 | 69.9 | 70.3334361292525 | -0.433436129252485 |
| 55 | 73.6 | 74.9911615105482 | -1.39116151054817 |
| 56 | 92.6 | 79.6715416379072 | 12.9284583620928 |
| 57 | 94.2 | 88.447289844766 | 5.752710155234 |
| 58 | 93.5 | 107.194717238848 | -13.6947172388478 |
| 59 | 108.5 | 107.101967349896 | 1.39803265010393 |
| 60 | 109.4 | 116.148772516106 | -6.74877251610637 |
| 61 | 105.1 | 100.284407077200 | 4.81559292279955 |
| 62 | 92.5 | 89.3042417028188 | 3.19575829718121 |
| 63 | 97.1 | 91.2924278877996 | 5.8075721122004 |
| 64 | 81.4 | 85.8464236098148 | -4.44642360981481 |
| 65 | 79.1 | 83.3516892599446 | -4.25168925994457 |
| 66 | 72.1 | 71.8790144383867 | 0.220985561613318 |
| 67 | 78.7 | 76.5939424696098 | 2.10605753039022 |
| 68 | 87.1 | 83.682796342581 | 3.41720365741902 |
| 69 | 91.4 | 90.899124382917 | 0.500875617082926 |
| 70 | 109.9 | 106.804299604056 | 3.09570039594412 |
| 71 | 116.3 | 110.145382888560 | 6.15461711143966 |
| 72 | 113 | 118.769132691297 | -5.76913269129663 |
| 73 | 100 | 104.180827536405 | -4.18082753640485 |
| 74 | 84.8 | 92.0380475987584 | -7.23804759875838 |
| 75 | 94.3 | 93.597171340214 | 0.70282865978595 |
| 76 | 87.1 | 86.245192432662 | 0.854807567337929 |
| 77 | 90.3 | 84.1197456533712 | 6.1802543466288 |
| 78 | 72.4 | 73.7941374110453 | -1.39413741104534 |
| 79 | 84.9 | 78.7843858805643 | 6.11561411943569 |
| 80 | 92.7 | 86.6012040357212 | 6.09879596427876 |
| 81 | 92.2 | 93.8976216603754 | -1.69762166037536 |
| 82 | 114.9 | 110.539900240134 | 4.36009975986578 |
| 83 | 112.5 | 114.566241004821 | -2.06624100482074 |
| 84 | 118.3 | 121.162805671396 | -2.86280567139642 |
| 85 | 106 | 106.642302070862 | -0.642302070862158 |
| 86 | 91.2 | 94.0084018548739 | -2.80840185487386 |
| 87 | 96.6 | 97.1623620908655 | -0.562362090865463 |
| 88 | 96.3 | 89.532741133076 | 6.76725886692391 |
| 89 | 88.2 | 88.59615162711 | -0.396151627110029 |
| 90 | 70.2 | 76.3665398557712 | -6.16653985577119 |
| 91 | 86.5 | 82.2293512070977 | 4.27064879290229 |
| 92 | 88.2 | 90.145222205961 | -1.94522220596106 |
| 93 | 102.8 | 95.8968797627026 | 6.9031202372974 |
| 94 | 119.1 | 114.564370453497 | 4.53562954650255 |
| 95 | 119.2 | 117.846482727276 | 1.35351727272449 |
| 96 | 125.1 | 124.856062373998 | 0.243937626001724 |
| 97 | 106.1 | 110.418087158746 | -4.31808715874625 |
| 98 | 102.1 | 96.8081770357873 | 5.29182296421268 |
| 99 | 105.2 | 101.096314016265 | 4.1036859837355 |
| 100 | 101 | 94.5926582844397 | 6.40734171556026 |
| 101 | 84.3 | 92.636238706759 | -8.33623870675895 |
| 102 | 87.5 | 78.5479177507134 | 8.95208224928658 |
| 103 | 92.7 | 87.5079593143408 | 5.19204068565925 |
| 104 | 94.4 | 95.1805074953356 | -0.780507495335584 |
| 105 | 113 | 102.786851450214 | 10.2131485497857 |
| 106 | 113.9 | 122.718823778725 | -8.81882377872508 |
| 107 | 122.9 | 124.838131482188 | -1.9381314821876 |
| 108 | 132.7 | 131.946206633851 | 0.75379336614887 |
| 109 | 106.9 | 116.182157130141 | -9.28215713014103 |
| 110 | 96.6 | 102.910309520757 | -6.31030952075689 |
| 111 | 127.3 | 106.348264586809 | 20.9517354131912 |
| 112 | 98.2 | 101.132896397176 | -2.93289639717567 |
| 113 | 100.2 | 96.2882899882601 | 3.91171001173991 |
| 114 | 89.4 | 84.8354324615593 | 4.56456753844076 |
| 115 | 95.3 | 93.4847417648008 | 1.81525823519918 |
| 116 | 104.2 | 100.520750431423 | 3.67924956857736 |
| 117 | 106.4 | 110.575977702752 | -4.17597770275157 |
| 118 | 116.2 | 127.705656998035 | -11.5056569980346 |
| 119 | 135.9 | 130.73341124387 | 5.16658875612998 |
| 120 | 134 | 139.188646836532 | -5.18864683653229 |
| 121 | 104.6 | 120.753601953077 | -16.1536019530766 |
| 122 | 107.1 | 106.772528954680 | 0.327471045320110 |
| 123 | 123.5 | 114.744120000408 | 8.7558799995924 |
| 124 | 98.8 | 104.918906987847 | -6.11890698784731 |
| 125 | 98.6 | 100.547530009895 | -1.94753000989479 |
| 126 | 90.6 | 88.2629380760567 | 2.33706192394331 |
| 127 | 89.1 | 96.518502420977 | -7.41850242097696 |
| 128 | 105.2 | 103.112103318784 | 2.08789668121581 |
| 129 | 114 | 111.981886405564 | 2.01811359443602 |
| 130 | 122.1 | 128.781136471756 | -6.68113647175619 |
| 131 | 138 | 134.417538434051 | 3.58246156594913 |
| 132 | 142.2 | 141.339505586341 | 0.860494413658586 |
| 133 | 116.4 | 121.281615501989 | -4.88161550198879 |
| 134 | 112.6 | 110.00266315173 | 2.59733684826999 |
| 135 | 123.8 | 119.517870467601 | 4.28212953239934 |
| 136 | 103.6 | 106.939765300306 | -3.33976530030630 |
| 137 | 113.9 | 103.198904774264 | 10.7010952257364 |
| 138 | 98.6 | 92.0176184962678 | 6.58238150373215 |
| 139 | 95 | 99.601517462436 | -4.60151746243601 |
| 140 | 116 | 108.131573617209 | 7.86842638279057 |
| 141 | 113.9 | 117.960030852564 | -4.0600308525642 |
| 142 | 127.5 | 133.922164212146 | -6.42216421214579 |
| 143 | 131.4 | 141.399907179708 | -9.9999071797076 |
| 144 | 145.9 | 147.197977553068 | -1.29797755306834 |
| 145 | 131.5 | 125.379731561904 | 6.12026843809555 |
| 146 | 131 | 115.531397826611 | 15.4686021733894 |
| 147 | 130.5 | 126.900924925775 | 3.59907507422508 |
| 148 | 118.9 | 112.568822097604 | 6.3311779023956 |
| 149 | 114.3 | 111.488568862143 | 2.81143113785735 |
| 150 | 85.7 | 98.5039597334794 | -12.8039597334794 |
| 151 | 104.6 | 103.360198512349 | 1.23980148765125 |
| 152 | 105.1 | 114.551508528088 | -9.45150852808788 |
| 153 | 117.3 | 121.684416224237 | -4.3844162242371 |
| 154 | 142.5 | 137.809028400856 | 4.69097159914432 |
| 155 | 140 | 145.936978429468 | -5.93697842946821 |
| 156 | 159.8 | 153.565245826811 | 6.23475417318915 |
| 157 | 131.2 | 132.348159955103 | -1.14815995510347 |
| 158 | 125.4 | 122.790308082030 | 2.60969191796958 |
| 159 | 126.5 | 131.821789672770 | -5.32178967276957 |
| 160 | 119.4 | 116.658746568187 | 2.74125343181279 |
| 161 | 113.5 | 114.661535221815 | -1.16153522181524 |
| 162 | 98.7 | 98.7969112500533 | -0.0969112500532958 |
| 163 | 114.5 | 106.685149231439 | 7.81485076856107 |
| 164 | 113.8 | 117.235502044247 | -3.43550204424663 |
| 165 | 133.1 | 125.840037548489 | 7.2599624515108 |
| 166 | 143.4 | 144.957714999671 | -1.55771499967111 |
| 167 | 137.3 | 151.49431237477 | -14.1943123747700 |
| 168 | 165.2 | 160.520272784680 | 4.67972721532024 |
| 169 | 126.9 | 137.303535637755 | -10.4035356377552 |
| 170 | 124 | 127.202626974008 | -3.20262697400842 |
| 171 | 135.7 | 134.867742692728 | 0.8322573072723 |
| 172 | 130 | 120.765105707162 | 9.23489429283825 |
| 173 | 109.4 | 118.618374126380 | -9.21837412638044 |
| 174 | 117.8 | 101.762756492383 | 16.0372435076169 |
| 175 | 120.3 | 112.345434738981 | 7.95456526101921 |
| 176 | 121 | 121.786312429892 | -0.786312429891609 |
| 177 | 132.3 | 132.543558005469 | -0.243558005468628 |
| 178 | 142.9 | 150.62853366763 | -7.72853366762996 |
| 179 | 147.4 | 155.155224560388 | -7.75522456038814 |
| 180 | 175.9 | 167.747459455240 | 8.15254054475955 |
| 181 | 132.6 | 141.697494772399 | -9.09749477239902 |
| 182 | 123.7 | 132.338655230114 | -8.63865523011422 |
| 183 | 153.3 | 140.493725121465 | 12.8062748785346 |
| 184 | 134 | 127.865029834123 | 6.1349701658773 |
| 185 | 119.6 | 122.790403784752 | -3.19040378475178 |
| 186 | 116.2 | 109.191945483937 | 7.00805451606345 |
| 187 | 118.6 | 118.377638177415 | 0.222361822584546 |
| 188 | 130.7 | 126.327797314632 | 4.37220268536844 |
| 189 | 129.3 | 138.000924457495 | -8.70092445749481 |
| 190 | 144.4 | 155.016682399648 | -10.6166823996484 |
| 191 | 163.2 | 159.437382507700 | 3.76261749230017 |
| 192 | 179.4 | 175.656136324161 | 3.74386367583855 |
| 193 | 128.1 | 145.814815896969 | -17.7148158969692 |
| 194 | 138.4 | 135.514828167827 | 2.88517183217309 |
| 195 | 152.7 | 147.885269666006 | 4.81473033399402 |
| 196 | 120 | 133.201586468767 | -13.2015864687667 |
| 197 | 140.5 | 125.122926183154 | 15.3770738168465 |
| 198 | 116.2 | 113.856340843052 | 2.34365915694816 |
| 199 | 121.4 | 121.952780204266 | -0.552780204265744 |
| 200 | 127.8 | 130.585659578754 | -2.78565957875357 |
| 201 | 143.6 | 140.077422881536 | 3.522577118464 |
| 202 | 157.6 | 158.229649746253 | -0.629649746252994 |
| 203 | 166.2 | 165.590624645950 | 0.609375354049632 |
| 204 | 182.3 | 182.084508373576 | 0.215491626424296 |
| 205 | 153.1 | 147.972158830709 | 5.1278411692912 |
| 206 | 147.6 | 141.978410040908 | 5.62158995909178 |
| 207 | 157.7 | 155.487489708773 | 2.21251029122649 |
| 208 | 137.2 | 137.448950487248 | -0.248950487248436 |
| 209 | 151.5 | 134.144342366703 | 17.355657633297 |
| 210 | 98.7 | 120.613075888685 | -21.9130758886849 |
| 211 | 145.8 | 126.797616946527 | 19.0023830534734 |
| 212 | 151.7 | 137.154458537139 | 14.5455414628607 |
| 213 | 129.4 | 149.685219241002 | -20.2852192410020 |
| 214 | 174.1 | 166.486348985370 | 7.61365101462951 |
| 215 | 197 | 175.216054849226 | 21.7839451507737 |
| 216 | 193.9 | 194.636601696513 | -0.736601696512736 |
| 217 | 164.1 | 159.047103883118 | 5.05289611688175 |
| 218 | 142.8 | 152.881948834189 | -10.0819488341889 |
| 219 | 157.9 | 165.676549288060 | -7.77654928806027 |
| 220 | 159.2 | 145.545083942813 | 13.6549160571870 |
| 221 | 162.2 | 145.722716921373 | 16.4772830786271 |
| 222 | 123.1 | 125.563638027374 | -2.46363802737426 |
| 223 | 130 | 140.015136307893 | -10.0151363078928 |
| 224 | 150.1 | 148.193702873056 | 1.90629712694391 |
| 225 | 169.4 | 155.461651624815 | 13.9383483751854 |
| 226 | 179.7 | 180.511521336569 | -0.811521336568518 |
| 227 | 182.1 | 191.415316212980 | -9.31531621297975 |
| 228 | 194.3 | 206.379110257327 | -12.0791102573266 |
| 229 | 161.4 | 168.728188593815 | -7.32818859381541 |
| 230 | 169.4 | 159.072209525697 | 10.3277904743029 |
| 231 | 168.8 | 174.576852082780 | -5.77685208277958 |
| 232 | 158.1 | 156.479380994632 | 1.62061900536807 |
| 233 | 158.5 | 156.054075962605 | 2.44592403739512 |
| 234 | 135.3 | 131.065471921700 | 4.23452807830043 |
| 235 | 149.3 | 145.630349988117 | 3.66965001188274 |
| 236 | 143.4 | 157.071332800774 | -13.6713328007744 |
| 237 | 142.2 | 165.141905273146 | -22.9419052731463 |
| 238 | 188.4 | 185.834788828588 | 2.56521117141241 |
| 239 | 166.2 | 195.874064125495 | -29.6740641254952 |
| 240 | 199.2 | 208.855213423628 | -9.65521342362817 |
| 241 | 182.7 | 170.946119495629 | 11.7538805043706 |
| 242 | 145.2 | 164.701891098602 | -19.5018910986019 |
| 243 | 182.1 | 175.551280973688 | 6.5487190263116 |
| 244 | 158.7 | 158.830764636220 | -0.130764636219794 |
| 245 | 141.6 | 158.081036694607 | -16.4810366946066 |
| 246 | 132.6 | 131.535137507642 | 1.06486249235797 |
| 247 | 139.6 | 145.372698202468 | -5.77269820246832 |
| 248 | 147 | 153.222013245283 | -6.22201324528265 |
| 249 | 166.6 | 160.075562077040 | 6.52443792296032 |
| 250 | 157 | 186.144982254351 | -29.1449822543510 |
| 251 | 180.4 | 188.837027777461 | -8.43702777746122 |
| 252 | 210.2 | 205.552711413196 | 4.64728858680371 |
| 253 | 159.8 | 171.458398622834 | -11.6583986228344 |
| 254 | 157.8 | 159.015207908992 | -1.21520790899234 |
| 255 | 168.2 | 174.265920592401 | -6.06592059240054 |
| 256 | 158.4 | 155.669082919605 | 2.73091708039533 |
| 257 | 152 | 152.647651348802 | -0.647651348802128 |
| 258 | 142.2 | 129.753184768845 | 12.4468152311552 |
| 259 | 137.2 | 143.259107675992 | -6.05910767599235 |
| 260 | 152.6 | 150.772284275781 | 1.82771572421908 |
| 261 | 166.8 | 159.747538899656 | 7.05246110034437 |
| 262 | 165.6 | 180.698354700027 | -15.0983547000267 |
| 263 | 198.6 | 187.12632072931 | 11.4736792706899 |
| 264 | 201.5 | 207.214128316498 | -5.71412831649809 |
| 265 | 170.7 | 170.053816848923 | 0.64618315107731 |
| 266 | 164.4 | 159.908219327289 | 4.4917806727108 |
| 267 | 179.7 | 175.134022558505 | 4.56597744149488 |
| 268 | 157 | 158.386925147099 | -1.38692514709891 |
| 269 | 168 | 154.634003892909 | 13.3659961070913 |
| 270 | 139.3 | 134.250390752676 | 5.04960924732367 |
| 271 | 138.6 | 144.974503955605 | -6.37450395560478 |
| 272 | 153.4 | 153.791455120714 | -0.391455120713687 |
| 273 | 138.9 | 163.564208150216 | -24.6642081502156 |
| 274 | 172.1 | 179.103326021629 | -7.00332602162894 |
| 275 | 198.4 | 189.749653467146 | 8.65034653285392 |
| 276 | 217.8 | 207.332551107878 | 10.4674488921222 |
| 277 | 173.7 | 171.909863318466 | 1.79013668153414 |
| 278 | 153.8 | 162.292610114483 | -8.49261011448337 |
| 279 | 175.6 | 176.581133624842 | -0.981133624841817 |
| 280 | 147.1 | 158.509455759079 | -11.4094557590793 |
| 281 | 160.3 | 155.869004748775 | 4.43099525122517 |
| 282 | 135.2 | 133.730554641587 | 1.46944535841308 |
| 283 | 148.8 | 142.383561876337 | 6.41643812366257 |
| 284 | 151 | 152.813397235032 | -1.8133972350316 |
| 285 | 148.2 | 159.009787032605 | -10.8097870326053 |
| 286 | 182.2 | 177.893990476923 | 4.30600952307728 |
| 287 | 189.2 | 191.547511503034 | -2.34751150303362 |
| 288 | 183.1 | 208.464412193103 | -25.3644121931027 |
| 289 | 170 | 169.500809177604 | 0.4991908223964 |
| 290 | 158.4 | 158.381632053845 | 0.0183679461547115 |
| 291 | 176.1 | 173.949801572865 | 2.15019842713500 |
| 292 | 156.2 | 154.818607436064 | 1.38139256393626 |
| 293 | 153.2 | 155.207642157460 | -2.00764215745963 |
| 294 | 117.9 | 132.353309114108 | -14.4533091141084 |
| 295 | 149.8 | 140.098296458894 | 9.70170354110607 |
| 296 | 156.6 | 149.317174965689 | 7.28282503431109 |
| 297 | 166.7 | 154.765729744963 | 11.9342702550370 |
| 298 | 156.8 | 177.240271089512 | -20.4402710895122 |
| 299 | 158.6 | 187.761750279868 | -29.1617502798684 |
| 300 | 210.8 | 198.80780529114 | 11.9921947088597 |
| 301 | 203.6 | 166.611165296203 | 36.9888347037968 |
| 302 | 175.2 | 158.27762798104 | 16.9223720189598 |
| 303 | 168.7 | 175.714405059563 | -7.01440505956339 |
| 304 | 155.9 | 155.825745034868 | 0.0742549651322975 |
| 305 | 147.3 | 155.776615023442 | -8.47661502344232 |
| 306 | 137 | 130.756675657504 | 6.2433243424957 |
| 307 | 141.1 | 143.687069540194 | -2.58706954019408 |
| 308 | 167.4 | 151.865121528125 | 15.5348784718751 |
| 309 | 160.2 | 158.821973280508 | 1.37802671949214 |
| 310 | 191.9 | 176.439662314221 | 15.4603376857787 |
| 311 | 174.4 | 189.096550260132 | -14.6965502601316 |
| 312 | 208.2 | 207.908365654612 | 0.291634345387564 |
| 313 | 159.4 | 177.490585575635 | -18.0905855756352 |
| 314 | 161.1 | 162.190382656486 | -1.09038265648621 |
| 315 | 172.1 | 175.013447861397 | -2.91344786139672 |
| 316 | 158.4 | 156.307126141605 | 2.09287385839485 |
| 317 | 114.6 | 155.235345762939 | -40.6353457629387 |
| 318 | 159.6 | 129.879828487425 | 29.7201715125748 |
| 319 | 159.7 | 143.361285707579 | 16.3387142924211 |
| 320 | 159.4 | 155.570623830657 | 3.82937616934296 |
| 321 | 160.7 | 159.759992705524 | 0.94000729447626 |
| 322 | 165.5 | 179.319665823398 | -13.819665823398 |
| 323 | 205 | 185.479944180646 | 19.5200558193542 |
| 324 | 205.2 | 209.029456781255 | -3.82945678125478 |
| 325 | 141.6 | 175.685047034729 | -34.0850470347292 |
| 326 | 148.1 | 161.430675030397 | -13.3306750303968 |
| 327 | 184.9 | 172.813291526024 | 12.0867084739758 |
| 328 | 132.5 | 155.917198925 | -23.4171989249999 |
| 329 | 137.3 | 146.981489970683 | -9.68148997068278 |
| 330 | 135.5 | 133.379973322293 | 2.12002667770696 |
| 331 | 121.7 | 142.584204036107 | -20.8842040361067 |
| 332 | 166.1 | 149.522649578926 | 16.5773504210744 |
| 333 | 146.8 | 153.809689736714 | -7.00968973671411 |
| 334 | 162.8 | 169.607494808112 | -6.80749480811232 |
| 335 | 186.8 | 179.858344034479 | 6.94165596552057 |
| 336 | 185.5 | 197.8576040439 | -12.3576040438998 |
| 337 | 151.5 | 161.267548450630 | -9.76754845063033 |
| 338 | 158.1 | 151.711560632387 | 6.38843936761333 |
| 339 | 143 | 167.088154391356 | -24.0881543913558 |
| 340 | 151.2 | 143.545233512191 | 7.6547664878089 |
| 341 | 147.6 | 138.806146175922 | 8.79385382407759 |
| 342 | 130.7 | 128.485552885035 | 2.21444711496531 |
| 343 | 137.5 | 134.202467648771 | 3.29753235122871 |
| 344 | 146.1 | 147.615246453815 | -1.51524645381460 |
| 345 | 133.6 | 147.252161274955 | -13.6521612749548 |
| 346 | 167.9 | 161.755345849111 | 6.14465415088901 |
| 347 | 181.9 | 174.285476638414 | 7.61452336158573 |
| 348 | 202 | 189.092769105883 | 12.9072308941172 |
| 349 | 166.5 | 155.714185405355 | 10.7858145946449 |
| 350 | 151.3 | 150.121909688815 | 1.17809031118546 |
| 351 | 146.2 | 160.869258858163 | -14.6692588581630 |
| 352 | 148.3 | 142.690373874223 | 5.60962612577745 |
| 353 | 144.7 | 138.139355913426 | 6.56064408657414 |
| 354 | 123.6 | 127.035205388819 | -3.43520538881944 |
| 355 | 151.6 | 132.449500066821 | 19.1504999331786 |
| 356 | 133.9 | 146.492844078083 | -12.5928440780827 |
| 357 | 137.4 | 143.782992727413 | -6.38299272741304 |
| 358 | 181.6 | 161.536374332517 | 20.0636256674827 |
| 359 | 182 | 175.579694942619 | 6.42030505738052 |
| 360 | 190 | 191.30070031177 | -1.30070031177007 |
| 361 | 161.2 | 156.836432104226 | 4.36356789577425 |
| 362 | 155.5 | 149.634934210359 | 5.86506578964148 |
| 363 | 141.9 | 158.735187114784 | -16.8351871147838 |
| 364 | 164.6 | 143.290897932204 | 21.3091020677962 |
| 365 | 136.2 | 140.230768655027 | -4.03076865502723 |
| 366 | 126.8 | 127.086133693249 | -0.286133693248814 |
| 367 | 152.5 | 135.978286479825 | 16.5217135201749 |
| 368 | 126.6 | 145.747217413100 | -19.1472174131003 |
| 369 | 150.1 | 143.504510593641 | 6.5954894063587 |
| 370 | 186.3 | 166.245745027873 | 20.0542549721269 |
| 371 | 147.5 | 178.820459049232 | -31.3204590492318 |
| 372 | 200.4 | 190.662563222386 | 9.73743677761405 |
| 373 | 177.2 | 157.815989345257 | 19.3840106547429 |
| 374 | 127.4 | 152.036268159643 | -24.6362681596433 |
| 375 | 177.1 | 155.730461601357 | 21.3695383986428 |
| 376 | 154.4 | 148.339599575485 | 6.06040042451454 |
| 377 | 135.2 | 140.755226446009 | -5.55522644600893 |
| 378 | 126.4 | 127.998353906702 | -1.59835390670202 |
| 379 | 147.3 | 139.193225524307 | 8.1067744756931 |
| 380 | 140.6 | 143.542221776613 | -2.94222177661291 |
| 381 | 152.3 | 146.141836333723 | 6.15816366627732 |
| 382 | 151.2 | 171.064457327278 | -19.8644573272776 |
| 383 | 172.2 | 173.555411973667 | -1.35541197366652 |
| 384 | 215.3 | 193.41727014621 | 21.88272985379 |
| 385 | 154.1 | 162.496053594127 | -8.39605359412732 |
| 386 | 159.3 | 148.632513442267 | 10.6674865577334 |
| 387 | 160.4 | 161.545361181224 | -1.14536118122368 |
| 388 | 151.9 | 150.358137718704 | 1.54186228129578 |
| 389 | 148.4 | 140.838101379886 | 7.56189862011433 |
| 390 | 139.6 | 129.538148200398 | 10.0618517996021 |
| 391 | 148.2 | 143.339709840559 | 4.86029015944146 |
| 392 | 153.5 | 146.146521303914 | 7.35347869608623 |
| 393 | 145.1 | 151.060318899433 | -5.96031889943262 |
| 394 | 183.7 | 172.151902134628 | 11.5480978653715 |
| 395 | 210.5 | 180.086042879421 | 30.4139571205789 |
| 396 | 203.3 | 207.238303697958 | -3.93830369795774 |
| 397 | 153.3 | 168.983678191185 | -15.6836781911848 |
| 398 | 144.3 | 156.956345105342 | -12.6563451053421 |
| 399 | 169.6 | 167.057267351793 | 2.54273264820660 |
| 400 | 143.7 | 156.303219173420 | -12.6032191734197 |
| 401 | 160.1 | 146.35743236885 | 13.7425676311499 |
| 402 | 135.6 | 135.577766600603 | 0.0222333993969244 |
| 403 | 141.8 | 148.367365687373 | -6.56736568737313 |
| 404 | 159.9 | 150.732835949363 | 9.16716405063664 |
| 405 | 145.7 | 154.082058602173 | -8.38205860217306 |
| 406 | 183.5 | 177.944218476874 | 5.55578152312552 |
| 407 | 198.2 | 188.111863506676 | 10.0881364933243 |
| 408 | 186.8 | 209.227402537999 | -22.4274025379993 |
| 409 | 172 | 167.583075132478 | 4.41692486752248 |
| 410 | 150.6 | 157.254950644472 | -6.6549506444722 |
| 411 | 163.3 | 170.017244445381 | -6.7172444453808 |
| 412 | 153.7 | 156.276884726660 | -2.57688472665981 |
| 413 | 152.9 | 150.503656395929 | 2.39634360407106 |
| 414 | 135.5 | 136.801781825397 | -1.30178182539714 |
| 415 | 148.5 | 148.599094607332 | -0.099094607332006 |
| 416 | 148.4 | 153.552637480464 | -5.15263748046357 |
| 417 | 133.6 | 153.310556948823 | -19.7105569488233 |
| 418 | 194.1 | 177.874012851900 | 16.2259871480995 |
| 419 | 208.6 | 189.262074056446 | 19.3379259435538 |
| 420 | 197.3 | 206.556548526833 | -9.256548526833 |
| 421 | 164.4 | 169.210519559140 | -4.81051955914026 |
| 422 | 148.1 | 156.556086862315 | -8.45608686231517 |
| 423 | 152 | 169.046528016972 | -17.0465280169716 |
| 424 | 144.1 | 154.978579659446 | -10.8785796594455 |
| 425 | 155 | 149.093739473351 | 5.90626052664871 |
| 426 | 124.5 | 135.129908403824 | -10.6299084038238 |
| 427 | 153 | 145.956169645207 | 7.04383035479299 |
| 428 | 146 | 150.502603038921 | -4.50260303892091 |
| 429 | 138 | 148.152089424049 | -10.1520894240486 |
| 430 | 190 | 177.712651301005 | 12.2873486989951 |
| 431 | 192 | 188.834001841098 | 3.16599815890208 |
| 432 | 192 | 200.472299877024 | -8.47229987702445 |
| 433 | 147 | 164.368288641132 | -17.3682886411324 |
| 434 | 133 | 150.364193581064 | -17.3641935810645 |
| 435 | 163 | 160.19442486749 | 2.80557513250983 |
| 436 | 150 | 148.561365290672 | 1.43863470932777 |
| 437 | 129 | 145.752440032313 | -16.7524400323126 |
| 438 | 131 | 128.218584042153 | 2.7814159578472 |
| 439 | 145 | 141.739553927189 | 3.26044607281077 |
| 440 | 137 | 144.104710687596 | -7.1047106875962 |
| 441 | 138 | 140.643121127480 | -2.64312112747984 |
| 442 | 168 | 172.240937376648 | -4.24093737664813 |
| 443 | 176 | 180.094610093677 | -4.09461009367749 |
| 444 | 188 | 188.676334780369 | -0.676334780369046 |
| 445 | 139 | 153.479480209668 | -14.4794802096682 |
| 446 | 143 | 140.043648158909 | 2.95635184109068 |
| 447 | 150 | 153.310711924240 | -3.31071192423963 |
| 448 | 154 | 141.389428761313 | 12.6105712386875 |
| 449 | 137 | 137.033897157788 | -0.0338971577880898 |
| 450 | 129 | 123.827513984973 | 5.17248601502693 |
| 451 | 128 | 137.059923483735 | -9.05992348373476 |
| 452 | 140 | 136.941461596336 | 3.05853840366436 |
| 453 | 143 | 134.866746650031 | 8.13325334996932 |
| 454 | 151 | 166.007828434087 | -15.0078284340870 |
| 455 | 177 | 172.680227685543 | 4.31977231445731 |
| 456 | 184 | 181.997354408142 | 2.00264559185834 |
| 457 | 151 | 146.365684693923 | 4.63431530607733 |
| 458 | 134 | 137.046300187522 | -3.04630018752235 |
| 459 | 164 | 148.731380910241 | 15.2686190897588 |
| 460 | 126 | 140.658736853849 | -14.6587368538486 |
| 461 | 131 | 132.755076320922 | -1.75507632092206 |
| 462 | 125 | 120.507374017629 | 4.49262598237134 |
| 463 | 127 | 131.392057650653 | -4.3920576506533 |
| 464 | 143 | 133.197841251031 | 9.80215874896928 |
| 465 | 143 | 132.39691207622 | 10.6030879237800 |
| 466 | 160 | 159.983289250016 | 0.0167107499840995 |
| 467 | 190 | 170.366734125451 | 19.6332658745486 |
| 468 | 182 | 180.693844499038 | 1.30615550096203 |
| 469 | 138 | 145.880962898054 | -7.88096289805372 |
| 470 | 136 | 134.856652074421 | 1.14334792557946 |
| 471 | 152 | 149.320779769235 | 2.67922023076454 |
| 472 | 127 | 136.550252906727 | -9.55025290672728 |
| 473 | 151 | 130.945697982197 | 20.0543020178033 |
| 474 | 130 | 121.388144675785 | 8.61185532421496 |
| 475 | 119 | 131.681550320279 | -12.6815503202795 |
| 476 | 153 | 134.989039690101 | 18.0109603098986 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 477 | 135.151601073994 | 131.000321391756 | 139.302880756231 |
| 478 | 160.847118808214 | 156.282918281663 | 165.411319334765 |
| 479 | 174.176650351491 | 169.176766941744 | 179.176533761238 |
| 480 | 180.697626543404 | 175.275004310943 | 186.120248775865 |
| 481 | 144.718396240073 | 139.460979532342 | 149.975812947803 |
| 482 | 135.625274846243 | 130.175441510890 | 141.075108181596 |
| 483 | 150.428828785048 | 144.305842627938 | 156.551814942157 |
| 484 | 135.882174682901 | 129.740078407166 | 142.024270958637 |
| 485 | 135.131309944456 | 128.630480234669 | 141.632139654243 |
| 486 | 122.583049334962 | 116.090909171625 | 129.075189498299 |
| 487 | 129.334822439710 | 122.212881538455 | 136.456763340964 |
| 488 | 137.827254274072 | 90.2473389036252 | 185.407169644518 |
