| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 5221.3 | NA | NA | 0.999309258071646 | NA |
| 2 | 5115.9 | NA | NA | 1.00029349348077 | NA |
| 3 | 5107.4 | 5173.10549012999 | 5172.45 | 1.00012672720471 | 0.98729863710389 |
| 4 | 5202.1 | 5203.40725150545 | 5202 | 1.00027052124288 | 0.999748770095773 |
| 5 | 5307.5 | 5244.94958918339 | 5248.575 | 0.999309258071646 | 1.01192583641711 |
| 6 | 5266.1 | 5285.58833055839 | 5284.0375 | 1.00029349348077 | 0.996312930682529 |
| 7 | 5329.8 | 5276.06853669572 | 5275.4 | 1.00012672720471 | 1.01018399646073 |
| 8 | 5263.4 | 5252.87062878091 | 5251.45 | 1.00027052124288 | 1.00200449848534 |
| 9 | 5177.1 | 5222.11537263645 | 5225.725 | 0.999309258071646 | 0.991379858654152 |
| 10 | 5204.9 | 5199.9757111851 | 5198.45 | 1.00029349348077 | 1.00094698304154 |
| 11 | 5185.2 | 5199.49633414411 | 5198.8375 | 1.00012672720471 | 0.997250438653024 |
| 12 | 5189.8 | 5230.76465026144 | 5229.35 | 1.00027052124288 | 0.99216851588622 |
| 13 | 5253.8 | 5283.27309923044 | 5286.925 | 0.999309258071646 | 0.994421431813788 |
| 14 | 5372.3 | 5375.2396349116 | 5373.6625 | 1.00029349348077 | 0.999453115561117 |
| 15 | 5478.4 | 5480.1944017182 | 5479.5 | 1.00012672720471 | 0.999672566046629 |
| 16 | 5590.5 | 5589.96179443976 | 5588.45 | 1.00027052124288 | 1.00009628072249 |
| 17 | 5699.8 | 5684.70811956354 | 5688.6375 | 0.999309258071646 | 1.00265482063794 |
| 18 | 5797.9 | 5776.30731112271 | 5774.6125 | 1.00029349348077 | 1.00373814752475 |
| 19 | 5854.3 | 5846.47831397283 | 5845.7375 | 1.00012672720471 | 1.00133784572646 |
| 20 | 5902.4 | 5905.70968785159 | 5904.1125 | 1.00027052124288 | 0.999439578301928 |
| 21 | 5956.9 | 5957.15729741105 | 5961.275 | 0.999309258071646 | 0.99995680869277 |
| 22 | 6007.8 | 6024.74270389733 | 6022.975 | 1.00029349348077 | 0.997187812869358 |
| 23 | 6101.7 | 6085.8336429611 | 6085.0625 | 1.00012672720471 | 1.00260709673805 |
| 24 | 6148.6 | 6146.06219072473 | 6144.4 | 1.00027052124288 | 1.00041291630259 |
| 25 | 6207.4 | 6191.89504213208 | 6196.175 | 0.999309258071646 | 1.00250407310887 |
| 26 | 6232 | 6243.60692027092 | 6241.775 | 1.00029349348077 | 0.998140991190006 |
| 27 | 6291.7 | 6284.12126821352 | 6283.325 | 1.00012672720471 | 1.00120601297509 |
| 28 | 6323.4 | 6330.11196663342 | 6328.4 | 1.00027052124288 | 0.998939676475108 |
| 29 | 6365 | 6374.5812658733 | 6378.9875 | 0.999309258071646 | 0.998496957608087 |
| 30 | 6435 | 6441.5149879561 | 6439.625 | 1.00029349348077 | 0.998988593837277 |
| 31 | 6493.4 | 6510.1374069777 | 6509.3125 | 1.00012672720471 | 0.99742902400804 |
| 32 | 6606.8 | 6581.41743171418 | 6579.6375 | 1.00027052124288 | 1.00385670238200 |
| 33 | 6639.1 | 6644.35729145547 | 6648.95 | 0.999309258071646 | 0.99920875846604 |
| 34 | 6723.5 | 6714.39505297765 | 6712.425 | 1.00029349348077 | 1.00135603385718 |
| 35 | 6759.4 | 6778.38389679809 | 6777.525 | 1.00012672720471 | 0.997199347648773 |
| 36 | 6848.6 | 6844.25101455226 | 6842.4 | 1.00027052124288 | 1.00063542167558 |
| 37 | 6918.1 | 6899.34354001818 | 6904.1125 | 0.999309258071646 | 1.00271858617752 |
| 38 | 6963.5 | 6960.65480740394 | 6958.6125 | 1.00029349348077 | 1.00040875358350 |
| 39 | 7013.1 | 7006.53780644166 | 7005.65 | 1.00012672720471 | 1.00093658148141 |
| 40 | 7030.9 | 7052.65737765322 | 7050.75 | 1.00027052124288 | 0.996915009975934 |
| 41 | 7112.1 | 7081.41768683883 | 7086.3125 | 0.999309258071646 | 1.00433279246022 |
| 42 | 7130.3 | 7108.86079213179 | 7106.775 | 1.00029349348077 | 1.00301584297331 |
| 43 | 7130.8 | 7104.51272095545 | 7103.6125 | 1.00012672720471 | 1.00370008191653 |
| 44 | 7076.9 | 7091.14278595803 | 7089.225 | 1.00027052124288 | 0.997991468175448 |
| 45 | 7040.8 | 7077.59532892671 | 7082.4875 | 0.999309258071646 | 0.994801153892435 |
| 46 | 7086.5 | 7092.95612558545 | 7090.875 | 1.00029349348077 | 0.99908978351605 |
| 47 | 7120.7 | 7124.85279826998 | 7123.95 | 1.00012672720471 | 0.99941713907816 |
| 48 | 7154.1 | 7175.74066529215 | 7173.8 | 1.00027052124288 | 0.996984190719597 |
| 49 | 7228.2 | 7226.33002062495 | 7231.325 | 0.999309258071646 | 1.00025877303828 |
| 50 | 7297.9 | 7301.64235566287 | 7299.5 | 1.00029349348077 | 0.999487463849833 |
| 51 | 7369.5 | 7366.44591081037 | 7365.5125 | 1.00012672720471 | 1.00041459466704 |
| 52 | 7450.7 | 7421.4071053094 | 7419.4 | 1.00027052124288 | 1.00394708096119 |
| 53 | 7459.7 | 7460.00599925928 | 7465.1625 | 0.999309258071646 | 0.999958981365524 |
| 54 | 7497.5 | 7511.5164342638 | 7509.3125 | 1.00029349348077 | 0.998134007375679 |
| 55 | 7536 | 7565.53363744455 | 7564.575 | 1.00012672720471 | 0.996096291569126 |
| 56 | 7637.4 | 7638.34077460395 | 7636.275 | 1.00027052124288 | 0.999876835214386 |
| 57 | 7715.1 | 7711.15739854413 | 7716.4875 | 0.999309258071646 | 1.00051128530415 |
| 58 | 7815.7 | 7798.48813387477 | 7796.2 | 1.00029349348077 | 1.0022070772988 |
| 59 | 7859.5 | 7868.7970643012 | 7867.8 | 1.00012672720471 | 0.998818489760858 |
| 60 | 7951.6 | 7923.80547798515 | 7921.6625 | 1.00027052124288 | 1.00350772392029 |
| 61 | 7973.7 | 7961.89658276003 | 7967.4 | 0.999309258071646 | 1.00148248813801 |
| 62 | 7988 | 8014.0013670452 | 8011.65 | 1.00029349348077 | 0.996755507535584 |
| 63 | 8053.1 | 8057.15843178612 | 8056.1375 | 1.00012672720471 | 0.999496294900929 |
| 64 | 8112 | 8122.15912234762 | 8119.9625 | 1.00027052124288 | 0.998749209145674 |
| 65 | 8169.2 | 8193.63639970685 | 8199.3 | 0.999309258071646 | 0.997017636795828 |
| 66 | 8303.1 | 8286.5063220067 | 8284.075 | 1.00029349348077 | 1.00200249385549 |
| 67 | 8372.7 | 8375.82381024172 | 8374.7625 | 1.00012672720471 | 0.999627044418258 |
| 68 | 8470.6 | 8468.25272269765 | 8465.9625 | 1.00027052124288 | 1.00027718555164 |
| 69 | 8536.1 | 8555.51126478604 | 8561.425 | 0.999309258071646 | 0.997731139123627 |
| 70 | 8665.8 | 8660.0659271471 | 8657.525 | 1.00029349348077 | 1.00066212808322 |
| 71 | 8773.7 | 8754.6218081705 | 8753.5125 | 1.00012672720471 | 1.00217921370535 |
| 72 | 8838.4 | 8847.10518261839 | 8844.7125 | 1.00027052124288 | 0.999016041695142 |
| 73 | 8936.2 | 8920.38405763945 | 8926.55 | 0.999309258071646 | 1.00177301137018 |
| 74 | 8995.3 | 9019.6839417221 | 9017.0375 | 1.00029349348077 | 0.997296585791737 |
| 75 | 9098.9 | 9115.44252817778 | 9114.2875 | 1.00012672720471 | 0.99818521940908 |
| 76 | 9237.1 | 9213.8543692321 | 9211.3625 | 1.00027052124288 | 1.00252289973733 |
| 77 | 9315.5 | 9305.0056997055 | 9311.4375 | 0.999309258071646 | 1.00112781234458 |
| 78 | 9392.6 | 9418.86356396427 | 9416.1 | 1.00029349348077 | 0.997211599490118 |
| 79 | 9502.2 | 9519.06867210942 | 9517.8625 | 1.00012672720471 | 0.998227907299498 |
| 80 | 9671.1 | 9624.89053317382 | 9622.2875 | 1.00027052124288 | 1.00480103816941 |
| 81 | 9695.6 | 9714.28529771447 | 9721 | 0.999309258071646 | 0.998076513388086 |
| 82 | 9847.9 | 9792.74826449004 | 9789.875 | 1.00029349348077 | 1.00563189556398 |
| 83 | 9836.6 | 9840.69692599437 | 9839.45 | 1.00012672720471 | 0.99958367521882 |
| 84 | 9887.7 | 9871.8698282502 | 9869.2 | 1.00027052124288 | 1.00160356366374 |
| 85 | 9875.6 | 9873.93744305714 | 9880.7625 | 0.999309258071646 | 1.00016837831437 |
| 86 | 9905.9 | 9890.76452318248 | 9887.8625 | 1.00029349348077 | 1.00153026358903 |
| 87 | 9871.1 | 9904.61752544684 | 9903.3625 | 1.00012672720471 | 0.996615969737274 |
| 88 | 9910 | 9934.47425949849 | 9931.7875 | 1.00027052124288 | 0.99753643133404 |
| 89 | 9977.3 | 9968.05988380177 | 9974.95 | 0.999309258071646 | 1.00092697238038 |
| 90 | 10031.6 | 10028.5674555781 | 10025.625 | 1.00029349348077 | 1.00030239058921 |
| 91 | 10090.7 | 10068.7133182129 | 10067.4375 | 1.00012672720471 | 1.00218366350220 |
| 92 | 10095.8 | 10111.3971079433 | 10108.6625 | 1.00027052124288 | 0.998457472515734 |
| 93 | 10126 | 10162.7752927370 | 10169.8 | 0.999309258071646 | 0.996381373032688 |
| 94 | 10212.7 | 10257.7096875972 | 10254.7 | 1.00029349348077 | 0.995612111380803 |
| 95 | 10398.7 | 10354.6120447685 | 10353.3 | 1.00012672720471 | 1.00425780850513 |
| 96 | 10467 | 10461.0166618807 | 10458.1875 | 1.00027052124288 | 1.00057196526042 |
| 97 | 10543.6 | 10544.8362048293 | 10552.125 | 0.999309258071646 | 0.999882766805927 |
| 98 | 10634.2 | 10637.6711710959 | 10634.55 | 1.00029349348077 | 0.99967369069413 |
| 99 | 10728.7 | 10718.6081671347 | 10717.25 | 1.00012672720471 | 1.00094152456252 |
| 100 | 10796.4 | 10800.6835241318 | 10797.7625 | 1.00027052124288 | 0.999603402495572 |
| 101 | 10875.8 | 10869.3993604852 | 10876.9125 | 0.999309258071646 | 1.00058886782080 |
| 102 | 10946.1 | 10956.5022184742 | 10953.2875 | 1.00029349348077 | 0.999050589479488 |
| 103 | 11050 | 11033.5855782837 | 11032.1875 | 1.00012672720471 | 1.00148767792662 |
| 104 | 11086.1 | 11121.0826754674 | 11118.075 | 1.00027052124288 | 0.996854382213652 |
| 105 | 11217.3 | 11186.5551362657 | 11194.2875 | 0.999309258071646 | 1.00274837636429 |
| 106 | 11291.7 | 11264.3925557676 | 11261.0875 | 1.00029349348077 | 1.00242422696982 |
| 107 | 11314.1 | 11313.8710935828 | 11312.4375 | 1.00012672720471 | 1.00002023236921 |
| 108 | 11356.4 | 11358.0342585683 | 11354.9625 | 1.00027052124288 | 0.999856114312467 |
| 109 | 11357.8 | 11410.9875042629 | 11418.875 | 0.999309258071646 | 0.995338921873063 |
| 110 | 11491.4 | 11494.2349932322 | 11490.8625 | 1.00029349348077 | 0.999753355205124 |
| 111 | 11625.7 | NA | NA | 1.00012672720471 | NA |
| 112 | 11620.7 | NA | NA | 1.00027052124288 | NA |
