Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 43657 | NA | NA | 0.975980189395886 | NA |
2 | 42811 | NA | NA | 0.995022987322727 | NA |
3 | 45419 | NA | NA | 1.07968564766037 | NA |
4 | 50846 | NA | NA | 1.18409664287106 | NA |
5 | 54500 | NA | NA | 1.24142341825675 | NA |
6 | 51035 | NA | NA | 1.17042490499207 | NA |
7 | 38675 | 37493.0452313273 | 43422.6666666667 | 0.86344409750654 | 1.03152464040678 |
8 | 36214 | 36197.9420516869 | 43170.5833333333 | 0.8384862852603 | 1.00044361495165 |
9 | 38763 | 37111.0149739746 | 42937.25 | 0.864308146748442 | 1.04451468188579 |
10 | 39486 | 38182.9027601615 | 42666.75 | 0.894910035570123 | 1.03412776781335 |
11 | 40540 | 39517.5648402619 | 42386.0833333333 | 0.932324049133938 | 1.02587292926249 |
12 | 40719 | 40478.4729396346 | 42169.75 | 0.959893595281797 | 1.00594209817955 |
13 | 40471 | 40963.0678583408 | 41971.2083333333 | 0.975980189395886 | 0.987987524273267 |
14 | 39947 | 41556.8863097869 | 41764.75 | 0.995022987322727 | 0.961260660921853 |
15 | 42683 | 44902.1916494094 | 41588.2083333333 | 1.07968564766037 | 0.950577208641918 |
16 | 47090 | 49067.6327718535 | 41438.875 | 1.18409664287106 | 0.959695777845065 |
17 | 51520 | 51331.1513877165 | 41348.625 | 1.24142341825675 | 1.00367902544903 |
18 | 48823 | 48423.5994526018 | 41372.6666666667 | 1.17042490499207 | 1.00824805573962 |
19 | 36122 | 35814.6538131241 | 41478.8333333333 | 0.86344409750654 | 1.00858157637037 |
20 | 33812 | 34911.3547208121 | 41636.1666666667 | 0.8384862852603 | 0.968510109974143 |
21 | 36928 | 36198.6296865632 | 41881.625 | 0.864308146748442 | 1.02014911392371 |
22 | 37737 | 37760.6170871269 | 42194.875 | 0.894910035570123 | 0.999374557701946 |
23 | 40123 | 39668.2517147031 | 42547.7083333333 | 0.932324049133938 | 1.01146378440289 |
24 | 41713 | 41181.5949981785 | 42902.25 | 0.959893595281797 | 1.01290394414896 |
25 | 42025 | 42127.9408802261 | 43164.75 | 0.975980189395886 | 0.997556470169792 |
26 | 42169 | 43217.6625942108 | 43433.8333333333 | 0.995022987322727 | 0.97573532367872 |
27 | 46352 | 47254.7816887593 | 43767.1666666667 | 1.07968564766037 | 0.98089544260927 |
28 | 50939 | 52229.2694830395 | 44108.9583333333 | 1.18409664287106 | 0.975296045764942 |
29 | 56139 | 55208.1167229323 | 44471.625 | 1.24142341825675 | 1.01686134815537 |
30 | 52713 | 52512.4300904873 | 44866.125 | 1.17042490499207 | 1.00381947491607 |
31 | 38532 | 39095.6694299742 | 45278.75 | 0.86344409750654 | 0.985582305196645 |
32 | 37860 | 38387.5092379299 | 45781.9166666667 | 0.8384862852603 | 0.986258310361832 |
33 | 40880 | 40129.5031379751 | 46429.625 | 0.864308146748442 | 1.01870187277038 |
34 | 41988 | 42230.3571235363 | 47189.5 | 0.894910035570123 | 0.994261068576158 |
35 | 44576 | 44673.2391383018 | 47916 | 0.932324049133938 | 0.997823324653027 |
36 | 46728 | 46592.2752213832 | 48539 | 0.959893595281797 | 1.00291303178417 |
37 | 46913 | 47959.0158534542 | 49139.3333333333 | 0.975980189395886 | 0.978189380352373 |
38 | 49357 | 49423.2892918135 | 49670.5 | 0.995022987322727 | 0.998658743827791 |
39 | 54709 | 54046.3193208569 | 50057.4583333333 | 1.07968564766037 | 1.01226134707174 |
40 | 60819 | 59625.0384396919 | 50354.875 | 1.18409664287106 | 1.02002449963224 |
41 | 63695 | 62873.3373449344 | 50646.1666666667 | 1.24142341825675 | 1.01306853890319 |
42 | 60109 | 59564.6302846995 | 50891.4583333333 | 1.17042490499207 | 1.00913914369482 |
43 | 45544 | 44191.7524702952 | 51180.7916666667 | 0.86344409750654 | 1.03059954525709 |
44 | 43596 | 43195.9136515408 | 51516.5416666667 | 0.8384862852603 | 1.00926213418442 |
45 | 44431 | 44757.2610455424 | 51783.9166666667 | 0.864308146748442 | 0.992710433169481 |
46 | 45575 | 46526.9320680629 | 51990.625 | 0.894910035570123 | 0.979540192620688 |
47 | 47980 | 48587.7181990968 | 52114.625 | 0.932324049133938 | 0.987492349473862 |
48 | 49211 | 50093.8470702717 | 52186.875 | 0.959893595281797 | 0.982376137551718 |
49 | 51374 | 50946.3285498301 | 52200.1666666667 | 0.975980189395886 | 1.00839454897621 |
50 | 52954 | 51911.5101087785 | 52171.1666666667 | 0.995022987322727 | 1.02008205673534 |
51 | 57529 | 56368.1383192486 | 52207.9166666667 | 1.07968564766037 | 1.02059428810965 |
52 | 62960 | 61969.1550936956 | 52334.5416666667 | 1.18409664287106 | 1.01598932412111 |
53 | 64530 | 65146.487075714 | 52477.25 | 1.24142341825675 | 0.990536909918143 |
54 | 61008 | 61575.9079485196 | 52609.875 | 1.17042490499207 | 0.990777108004735 |
55 | 44964 | 45555.670352819 | 52760.4166666667 | 0.86344409750654 | 0.987012146935022 |
56 | 43480 | 44384.8173301828 | 52934.4583333333 | 0.8384862852603 | 0.97961426035728 |
57 | 45429 | 45929.5870080884 | 53140.2916666667 | 0.864308146748442 | 0.989100990435638 |
58 | 47616 | 47759.4469145519 | 53367.875 | 0.894910035570123 | 0.996996470356775 |
59 | 49364 | 49965.2658285275 | 53592.1666666667 | 0.932324049133938 | 0.987966323834021 |
60 | 51010 | 51647.0348985706 | 53804.9583333333 | 0.959893595281797 | 0.987665605589523 |
61 | 53188 | 52726.0690910347 | 54023.7083333333 | 0.975980189395886 | 1.00876095860982 |
62 | 55317 | 53962.335404233 | 54232.25 | 0.995022987322727 | 1.02510389117927 |
63 | 60106 | 58772.4183089803 | 54434.75 | 1.07968564766037 | 1.02269060435813 |
64 | 65845 | 64704.4676760879 | 54644.5833333333 | 1.18409664287106 | 1.01762679402018 |
65 | 67028 | 68118.1443831661 | 54871 | 1.24142341825675 | 0.983996270112203 |
66 | 63617 | 64483.779857268 | 55094.3333333333 | 1.17042490499207 | 0.98655817231579 |
67 | 47605 | 47700.5734215374 | 55244.5416666667 | 0.86344409750654 | 0.997996388414604 |
68 | 45844 | 46357.9851809716 | 55287.7083333333 | 0.8384862852603 | 0.988912693703898 |
69 | 47925 | 47754.5736599477 | 55251.7916666667 | 0.864308146748442 | 1.00356879617994 |
70 | 50156 | 49375.0578321011 | 55173.2083333333 | 0.894910035570123 | 1.01581653171029 |
71 | 52258 | 51363.6742085577 | 55092.0833333333 | 0.932324049133938 | 1.01741163974779 |
72 | 53476 | 52814.8254483639 | 55021.5416666667 | 0.959893595281797 | 1.01251873022439 |
73 | 54327 | 53582.369709706 | 54901.0833333333 | 0.975980189395886 | 1.01389692718572 |
74 | 55214 | 54454.6230272109 | 54727 | 0.995022987322727 | 1.01394513322422 |
75 | 59347 | 58889.6091886534 | 54543.2916666667 | 1.07968564766037 | 1.00776691877647 |
76 | 64718 | 64322.201809881 | 54321.75 | 1.18409664287106 | 1.00615336818365 |
77 | 66208 | 67104.2635322807 | 54054.2916666667 | 1.24142341825675 | 0.986643717029253 |
78 | 62744 | 62980.5641376232 | 53810 | 1.17042490499207 | 0.996243854896151 |
79 | 45587 | 46280.5676495131 | 53599.9583333333 | 0.86344409750654 | 0.985013847393456 |
80 | 43684 | NA | NA | 0.8384862852603 | NA |
81 | 45676 | NA | NA | 0.864308146748442 | NA |
82 | 47088 | NA | NA | 0.894910035570123 | NA |
83 | 48907 | NA | NA | 0.932324049133938 | NA |
84 | 50964 | NA | NA | 0.959893595281797 | NA |
85 | 51798 | NA | NA | NA | NA |