| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.0753244389726097 |
| beta | 0.0743497117620023 |
| gamma | 0.143887003920222 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 95.9 | 95.381704059829 | 0.518295940170901 |
| 14 | 82.8 | 82.4740695437544 | 0.325930456245615 |
| 15 | 83.3 | 82.9787705302623 | 0.32122946973773 |
| 16 | 80 | 79.4057497484978 | 0.594250251502189 |
| 17 | 80.4 | 79.7774554468708 | 0.622544553129217 |
| 18 | 67.5 | 66.5839455318979 | 0.916054468102146 |
| 19 | 75.7 | 70.1510076458758 | 5.54899235412422 |
| 20 | 71.1 | 78.3814528413874 | -7.28145284138742 |
| 21 | 89.3 | 81.2130065973158 | 8.0869934026842 |
| 22 | 101.1 | 103.476636607267 | -2.37663660726733 |
| 23 | 105.2 | 103.047122892837 | 2.15287710716323 |
| 24 | 114.1 | 109.279182457107 | 4.82081754289277 |
| 25 | 96.3 | 98.3706600558605 | -2.07066005586051 |
| 26 | 84.4 | 85.3077252355168 | -0.907725235516764 |
| 27 | 91.2 | 85.7772727842056 | 5.42272721579442 |
| 28 | 81.9 | 82.71181116461 | -0.81181116460995 |
| 29 | 80.5 | 83.0604627821201 | -2.56046278212007 |
| 30 | 70.4 | 69.727511993728 | 0.672488006272033 |
| 31 | 74.8 | 73.9525365786563 | 0.847463421343718 |
| 32 | 75.9 | 80.1553384195549 | -4.25533841955489 |
| 33 | 86.3 | 85.310105078698 | 0.989894921301953 |
| 34 | 98.7 | 105.657749775832 | -6.95774977583179 |
| 35 | 100.9 | 105.470929814007 | -4.57092981400731 |
| 36 | 113.8 | 111.498950168258 | 2.30104983174151 |
| 37 | 89.8 | 99.4170748093222 | -9.61707480932225 |
| 38 | 84.4 | 85.8315249720352 | -1.43152497203523 |
| 39 | 87.2 | 86.9920305775212 | 0.207969422478783 |
| 40 | 85.6 | 82.5632218574948 | 3.03677814250524 |
| 41 | 72 | 82.8496131916392 | -10.8496131916392 |
| 42 | 69.2 | 69.1565077417572 | 0.0434922582428072 |
| 43 | 77.5 | 73.1879919791273 | 4.31200802087265 |
| 44 | 78.1 | 78.8227978561815 | -0.722797856181529 |
| 45 | 94.3 | 84.8112673966747 | 9.4887326033253 |
| 46 | 97.7 | 104.658998448065 | -6.95899844806523 |
| 47 | 100.2 | 104.706981692591 | -4.50698169259113 |
| 48 | 116.4 | 111.571819393128 | 4.82818060687229 |
| 49 | 97.1 | 98.0264512961416 | -0.926451296141593 |
| 50 | 93 | 86.1651105756553 | 6.83488942434474 |
| 51 | 96 | 88.1932220050758 | 7.80677799492423 |
| 52 | 80.5 | 84.7825249040725 | -4.28252490407246 |
| 53 | 76.1 | 82.69840156445 | -6.59840156445006 |
| 54 | 69.9 | 70.8270144560965 | -0.927014456096472 |
| 55 | 73.6 | 75.4000651704758 | -1.80006517047585 |
| 56 | 92.6 | 79.9171264194733 | 12.6828735805267 |
| 57 | 94.2 | 88.361597646559 | 5.83840235344103 |
| 58 | 93.5 | 105.813170849918 | -12.3131708499181 |
| 59 | 108.5 | 105.821258742875 | 2.67874125712525 |
| 60 | 109.4 | 114.546798467673 | -5.14679846767326 |
| 61 | 105.1 | 99.5059698136297 | 5.59403018637029 |
| 62 | 92.5 | 89.2264807140713 | 3.27351928592867 |
| 63 | 97.1 | 91.1537605923013 | 5.94623940769868 |
| 64 | 81.4 | 86.0221506542785 | -4.62215065427846 |
| 65 | 79.1 | 83.6301169552013 | -4.53011695520131 |
| 66 | 72.1 | 72.7064729310604 | -0.606472931060438 |
| 67 | 78.7 | 77.2266845339013 | 1.4733154660987 |
| 68 | 87.1 | 83.9747556100307 | 3.12524438996927 |
| 69 | 91.4 | 90.7926357548406 | 0.607364245159374 |
| 70 | 109.9 | 105.409823970849 | 4.49017602915066 |
| 71 | 116.3 | 108.747060011172 | 7.55293998882813 |
| 72 | 113 | 116.894654216458 | -3.89465421645802 |
| 73 | 100 | 103.480296227977 | -3.48029622797719 |
| 74 | 84.8 | 92.2608272747916 | -7.46082727479161 |
| 75 | 94.3 | 93.7273144879492 | 0.572685512050768 |
| 76 | 87.1 | 86.7469030318494 | 0.353096968150638 |
| 77 | 90.3 | 84.7318051597807 | 5.56819484021929 |
| 78 | 72.4 | 75.1373341218339 | -2.73733412183394 |
| 79 | 84.9 | 79.8083067761149 | 5.09169322388514 |
| 80 | 92.7 | 87.1035350972503 | 5.59646490274974 |
| 81 | 92.2 | 93.8412151353293 | -1.6412151353293 |
| 82 | 114.9 | 108.861698488487 | 6.0383015115128 |
| 83 | 112.5 | 112.787777999 | -0.287777998999516 |
| 84 | 118.3 | 118.842509855483 | -0.542509855482663 |
| 85 | 106 | 105.775377236359 | 0.224622763640582 |
| 86 | 91.2 | 94.3657203529248 | -3.16572035292479 |
| 87 | 96.6 | 97.308983382073 | -0.708983382073043 |
| 88 | 96.3 | 90.2800372416029 | 6.01996275839707 |
| 89 | 88.2 | 89.4946140803101 | -1.29461408031014 |
| 90 | 70.2 | 78.3486897784115 | -8.14868977841145 |
| 91 | 86.5 | 83.6939168760708 | 2.80608312392917 |
| 92 | 88.2 | 90.9115610551227 | -2.71156105512271 |
| 93 | 102.8 | 96.0413701198732 | 6.75862988012685 |
| 94 | 119.1 | 112.744250641703 | 6.35574935829712 |
| 95 | 119.2 | 115.882275400714 | 3.31772459928608 |
| 96 | 125.1 | 122.224600958735 | 2.87539904126531 |
| 97 | 106.1 | 109.586030976262 | -3.48603097626165 |
| 98 | 102.1 | 97.4940536459653 | 4.60594635403467 |
| 99 | 105.2 | 101.441366596375 | 3.75863340362481 |
| 100 | 101 | 95.7610271762296 | 5.23897282377041 |
| 101 | 84.3 | 94.056014736406 | -9.75601473640597 |
| 102 | 87.5 | 81.4258608417262 | 6.07413915827377 |
| 103 | 92.7 | 89.444633904644 | 3.2553660953561 |
| 104 | 94.4 | 96.1092203073772 | -1.70922030737715 |
| 105 | 113 | 102.727357239584 | 10.2726427604161 |
| 106 | 113.9 | 119.813835355396 | -5.91383535539576 |
| 107 | 122.9 | 121.727250333659 | 1.17274966634101 |
| 108 | 132.7 | 127.940938705081 | 4.75906129491889 |
| 109 | 106.9 | 114.700205818255 | -7.80020581825451 |
| 110 | 96.6 | 103.43806453785 | -6.83806453784959 |
| 111 | 127.3 | 106.424710357986 | 20.8752896420142 |
| 112 | 98.2 | 102.340570652769 | -4.1405706527692 |
| 113 | 100.2 | 97.9913954004071 | 2.20860459959286 |
| 114 | 89.4 | 88.4930698015795 | 0.906930198420554 |
| 115 | 95.3 | 95.8430703452157 | -0.543070345215668 |
| 116 | 104.2 | 101.635215794541 | 2.56478420545876 |
| 117 | 106.4 | 110.267604481654 | -3.86760448165367 |
| 118 | 116.2 | 124.154336949683 | -7.95433694968334 |
| 119 | 135.9 | 126.864438340442 | 9.03556165955823 |
| 120 | 134 | 134.199102005128 | -0.199102005127827 |
| 121 | 104.6 | 118.937694375548 | -14.3376943755477 |
| 122 | 107.1 | 107.298311445254 | -0.198311445254063 |
| 123 | 123.5 | 114.496685563189 | 9.00331443681051 |
| 124 | 98.8 | 106.147842883308 | -7.34784288330833 |
| 125 | 98.6 | 102.341746917011 | -3.741746917011 |
| 126 | 90.6 | 92.1286193075609 | -1.52861930756092 |
| 127 | 89.1 | 98.995193784973 | -9.89519378497306 |
| 128 | 105.2 | 104.336968082323 | 0.863031917676679 |
| 129 | 114 | 111.81639724639 | 2.1836027536101 |
| 130 | 122.1 | 125.480133134192 | -3.38013313419226 |
| 131 | 138 | 130.685821024736 | 7.31417897526424 |
| 132 | 142.2 | 136.543072883903 | 5.65692711609688 |
| 133 | 116.4 | 119.755351746186 | -3.35535174618593 |
| 134 | 112.6 | 110.799647532065 | 1.80035246793537 |
| 135 | 123.8 | 119.35924039449 | 4.44075960551035 |
| 136 | 103.6 | 108.452077391352 | -4.85207739135211 |
| 137 | 113.9 | 105.288590804035 | 8.6114091959651 |
| 138 | 98.6 | 96.3444242308463 | 2.25557576915372 |
| 139 | 95 | 102.448083754534 | -7.44808375453407 |
| 140 | 116 | 109.48446422977 | 6.51553577022977 |
| 141 | 113.9 | 117.675931447071 | -3.77593144707137 |
| 142 | 127.5 | 130.227710935714 | -2.72771093571427 |
| 143 | 131.4 | 136.986251838805 | -5.58625183880486 |
| 144 | 145.9 | 141.65988801329 | 4.24011198670973 |
| 145 | 131.5 | 123.567035950785 | 7.932964049215 |
| 146 | 131 | 116.211459285026 | 14.7885407149744 |
| 147 | 130.5 | 126.23730279104 | 4.26269720896038 |
| 148 | 118.9 | 114.21594901124 | 4.68405098876039 |
| 149 | 114.3 | 113.751094733226 | 0.548905266773886 |
| 150 | 85.7 | 103.497863850553 | -17.7978638505527 |
| 151 | 104.6 | 106.831518042338 | -2.23151804233829 |
| 152 | 105.1 | 116.179459739376 | -11.0794597393761 |
| 153 | 117.3 | 121.638571898801 | -4.33857189880092 |
| 154 | 142.5 | 134.246529735205 | 8.25347026479454 |
| 155 | 140 | 141.472489434589 | -1.47248943458877 |
| 156 | 159.8 | 147.807009750429 | 11.9929902495708 |
| 157 | 131.2 | 130.876518668219 | 0.323481331780613 |
| 158 | 125.4 | 123.904322692379 | 1.49567730762111 |
| 159 | 126.5 | 131.498427706537 | -4.99842770653666 |
| 160 | 119.4 | 118.753669750189 | 0.646330249810788 |
| 161 | 113.5 | 117.33001186107 | -3.83001186106954 |
| 162 | 98.7 | 104.176914087738 | -5.47691408773758 |
| 163 | 114.5 | 110.449710240323 | 4.05028975967666 |
| 164 | 113.8 | 119.068787682872 | -5.2687876828715 |
| 165 | 133.1 | 125.870164353433 | 7.22983564656671 |
| 166 | 143.4 | 141.097361069721 | 2.30263893027924 |
| 167 | 137.3 | 146.62022279027 | -9.32022279026961 |
| 168 | 165.2 | 154.150405079901 | 11.0495949200988 |
| 169 | 126.9 | 135.586178042608 | -8.68617804260757 |
| 170 | 124 | 128.03077542472 | -4.03077542471965 |
| 171 | 135.7 | 134.253102194541 | 1.44689780545858 |
| 172 | 130 | 122.68949065839 | 7.31050934161026 |
| 173 | 109.4 | 121.154185771239 | -11.7541857712387 |
| 174 | 117.8 | 107.122656914684 | 10.6773430853158 |
| 175 | 120.3 | 115.907887156526 | 4.39211284347357 |
| 176 | 121 | 123.342775254675 | -2.34277525467476 |
| 177 | 132.3 | 132.073820708886 | 0.226179291114477 |
| 178 | 142.9 | 146.12503217166 | -3.22503217166027 |
| 179 | 147.4 | 149.661279337455 | -2.26127933745497 |
| 180 | 175.9 | 160.449046789983 | 15.450953210017 |
| 181 | 132.6 | 139.630872397595 | -7.03087239759503 |
| 182 | 123.7 | 132.869164387094 | -9.16916438709445 |
| 183 | 153.3 | 139.454079866162 | 13.8459201338383 |
| 184 | 134 | 129.694840201474 | 4.30515979852581 |
| 185 | 119.6 | 125.470069318725 | -5.87006931872467 |
| 186 | 116.2 | 114.972644259717 | 1.22735574028304 |
| 187 | 118.6 | 122.263292068495 | -3.66329206849461 |
| 188 | 130.7 | 128.203704346996 | 2.49629565300376 |
| 189 | 129.3 | 137.6765086935 | -8.37650869349994 |
| 190 | 144.4 | 150.607832195131 | -6.20783219513137 |
| 191 | 163.2 | 154.018207266885 | 9.18179273311478 |
| 192 | 179.4 | 168.059173621878 | 11.3408263781216 |
| 193 | 128.1 | 143.951872953372 | -15.8518729533724 |
| 194 | 138.4 | 136.203476708882 | 2.19652329111824 |
| 195 | 152.7 | 146.732533214517 | 5.96746678548283 |
| 196 | 120 | 135.092242387971 | -15.0922423879709 |
| 197 | 140.5 | 127.925714429328 | 12.5742855706717 |
| 198 | 116.2 | 119.738342107991 | -3.53834210799118 |
| 199 | 121.4 | 125.969070213638 | -4.56907021363833 |
| 200 | 127.8 | 132.605456933839 | -4.80545693383912 |
| 201 | 143.6 | 139.98543090414 | 3.61456909586028 |
| 202 | 157.6 | 154.079453215698 | 3.52054678430238 |
| 203 | 166.2 | 160.295604180906 | 5.90439581909439 |
| 204 | 182.3 | 174.38402484431 | 7.91597515569026 |
| 205 | 153.1 | 146.388678469276 | 6.71132153072435 |
| 206 | 147.6 | 142.855406574161 | 4.74459342583881 |
| 207 | 157.7 | 154.206631602585 | 3.49336839741531 |
| 208 | 137.2 | 139.69267301151 | -2.49267301151002 |
| 209 | 151.5 | 137.341422046095 | 14.1585779539053 |
| 210 | 98.7 | 127.323715800007 | -28.6237158000067 |
| 211 | 145.8 | 131.581374046164 | 14.2186259538363 |
| 212 | 151.7 | 139.760309125413 | 11.9396908745866 |
| 213 | 129.4 | 149.774481634233 | -20.3744816342331 |
| 214 | 174.1 | 162.16729086279 | 11.9327091372096 |
| 215 | 197 | 169.499620798144 | 27.5003792018564 |
| 216 | 193.9 | 185.768699391705 | 8.13130060829465 |
| 217 | 164.1 | 157.916814857912 | 6.18318514208764 |
| 218 | 142.8 | 154.366653117081 | -11.5666531170812 |
| 219 | 157.9 | 164.515982510186 | -6.61598251018637 |
| 220 | 159.2 | 148.580705067377 | 10.6192949326226 |
| 221 | 162.2 | 149.642564175685 | 12.5574358243155 |
| 222 | 123.1 | 134.01318271328 | -10.9131827132803 |
| 223 | 130 | 145.605246702785 | -15.6052467027849 |
| 224 | 150.1 | 151.367729385919 | -1.26772938591907 |
| 225 | 169.4 | 156.146956092896 | 13.2530439071045 |
| 226 | 179.7 | 175.618756045213 | 4.08124395478711 |
| 227 | 182.1 | 184.63455096641 | -2.53455096640997 |
| 228 | 194.3 | 196.09963901259 | -1.79963901259026 |
| 229 | 161.4 | 167.220307170115 | -5.82030717011466 |
| 230 | 169.4 | 160.316960296293 | 9.08303970370676 |
| 231 | 168.8 | 172.708608296053 | -3.90860829605307 |
| 232 | 158.1 | 159.313768770815 | -1.21376877081482 |
| 233 | 158.5 | 159.719280564451 | -1.21928056445054 |
| 234 | 135.3 | 139.82938794936 | -4.52938794935955 |
| 235 | 149.3 | 151.213735539886 | -1.91373553988581 |
| 236 | 143.4 | 159.927491603588 | -16.5274916035877 |
| 237 | 142.2 | 165.416175238885 | -23.216175238885 |
| 238 | 188.4 | 180.643332925942 | 7.75666707405759 |
| 239 | 166.2 | 188.799015287482 | -22.5990152874823 |
| 240 | 199.2 | 198.481431742 | 0.718568258000431 |
| 241 | 182.7 | 168.901834010465 | 13.798165989535 |
| 242 | 145.2 | 165.213976921336 | -20.0139769213365 |
| 243 | 182.1 | 173.277298797499 | 8.82270120250138 |
| 244 | 158.7 | 160.863196420228 | -2.16319642022816 |
| 245 | 141.6 | 160.854355892029 | -19.2543558920289 |
| 246 | 132.6 | 138.722468924335 | -6.1224689243347 |
| 247 | 139.6 | 149.88279955737 | -10.2827995573697 |
| 248 | 147 | 155.522919797583 | -8.52291979758326 |
| 249 | 166.6 | 160.270552293466 | 6.32944770653421 |
| 250 | 157 | 181.555512957908 | -24.5555129579079 |
| 251 | 180.4 | 182.768948090535 | -2.36894809053496 |
| 252 | 210.2 | 196.721291484759 | 13.4787085152413 |
| 253 | 159.8 | 169.55826220591 | -9.75826220591003 |
| 254 | 157.8 | 159.18063453672 | -1.38063453671992 |
| 255 | 168.2 | 172.171810091403 | -3.97181009140328 |
| 256 | 158.4 | 156.948276441041 | 1.45172355895852 |
| 257 | 152 | 154.573982923802 | -2.57398292380242 |
| 258 | 142.2 | 135.175346758063 | 7.02465324193656 |
| 259 | 137.2 | 146.575707815325 | -9.37570781532492 |
| 260 | 152.6 | 152.326641951858 | 0.273358048141517 |
| 261 | 166.8 | 159.570538830777 | 7.22946116922259 |
| 262 | 165.6 | 176.676726135823 | -11.0767261358235 |
| 263 | 198.6 | 181.795465461335 | 16.8045345386649 |
| 264 | 201.5 | 199.3460569223 | 2.15394307770021 |
| 265 | 170.7 | 168.220427020237 | 2.47957297976296 |
| 266 | 164.4 | 159.929858819 | 4.47014118100006 |
| 267 | 179.7 | 173.100372500913 | 6.59962749908675 |
| 268 | 157 | 159.537309349504 | -2.53730934950443 |
| 269 | 168 | 156.447177054426 | 11.5528229455736 |
| 270 | 139.3 | 139.589084951856 | -0.289084951856069 |
| 271 | 138.6 | 148.414898343717 | -9.81489834371675 |
| 272 | 153.4 | 155.57249153035 | -2.17249153035036 |
| 273 | 138.9 | 163.699903926979 | -24.7999039269786 |
| 274 | 172.1 | 175.920752047979 | -3.8207520479788 |
| 275 | 198.4 | 185.299118667611 | 13.1008813323886 |
| 276 | 217.8 | 200.604256168537 | 17.1957438314633 |
| 277 | 173.7 | 170.721970685116 | 2.97802931488428 |
| 278 | 153.8 | 162.803587209743 | -9.00358720974319 |
| 279 | 175.6 | 175.236863930835 | 0.363136069165392 |
| 280 | 147.1 | 159.947794057183 | -12.8477940571833 |
| 281 | 160.3 | 157.857375041345 | 2.44262495865499 |
| 282 | 135.2 | 138.588160114225 | -3.38816011422546 |
| 283 | 148.8 | 145.746432814856 | 3.05356718514437 |
| 284 | 151 | 154.795510298768 | -3.79551029876791 |
| 285 | 148.2 | 159.686391591131 | -11.4863915911307 |
| 286 | 182.2 | 175.672155644462 | 6.52784435553843 |
| 287 | 189.2 | 188.110215381173 | 1.0897846188272 |
| 288 | 183.1 | 203.016961886855 | -19.9169618868553 |
| 289 | 170 | 168.201210314067 | 1.798789685933 |
| 290 | 158.4 | 158.346934913543 | 0.053065086456968 |
| 291 | 176.1 | 172.50642386082 | 3.59357613917956 |
| 292 | 156.2 | 155.518872038426 | 0.681127961574077 |
| 293 | 153.2 | 156.373535341611 | -3.17353534161109 |
| 294 | 117.9 | 135.765706907933 | -17.8657069079327 |
| 295 | 149.8 | 142.469650797894 | 7.3303492021061 |
| 296 | 156.6 | 150.732684669396 | 5.86731533060401 |
| 297 | 166.7 | 155.185337288156 | 11.5146627118439 |
| 298 | 156.8 | 175.286416123188 | -18.486416123188 |
| 299 | 158.6 | 184.962675665886 | -26.3626756658861 |
| 300 | 210.8 | 194.698827519082 | 16.1011724809179 |
| 301 | 203.6 | 165.379259332456 | 38.2207406675438 |
| 302 | 175.2 | 158.134039104192 | 17.0659608958078 |
| 303 | 168.7 | 174.239212497778 | -5.53921249777815 |
| 304 | 155.9 | 156.318230836684 | -0.418230836683591 |
| 305 | 147.3 | 156.713060514289 | -9.4130605142886 |
| 306 | 137 | 133.781357352957 | 3.21864264704291 |
| 307 | 141.1 | 145.644742463477 | -4.54474246347695 |
| 308 | 167.4 | 152.97110163678 | 14.4288983632204 |
| 309 | 160.2 | 159.020436143086 | 1.1795638569144 |
| 310 | 191.9 | 174.493954539771 | 17.4060454602288 |
| 311 | 174.4 | 186.169409628363 | -11.7694096283628 |
| 312 | 208.2 | 203.079825196952 | 5.1201748030476 |
| 313 | 159.4 | 176.239874269589 | -16.8398742695886 |
| 314 | 161.1 | 162.088040230811 | -0.988040230810782 |
| 315 | 172.1 | 173.780020381115 | -1.68002038111496 |
| 316 | 158.4 | 156.806988841516 | 1.59301115848351 |
| 317 | 114.6 | 156.143744790002 | -41.5437447900019 |
| 318 | 159.6 | 132.279687527072 | 27.3203124729278 |
| 319 | 159.7 | 144.867824914876 | 14.8321750851243 |
| 320 | 159.4 | 156.228893688965 | 3.171106311035 |
| 321 | 160.7 | 159.655119828904 | 1.04488017109648 |
| 322 | 165.5 | 177.264339327424 | -11.7643393274238 |
| 323 | 205 | 182.684360231908 | 22.3156397680923 |
| 324 | 205.2 | 204.423807975044 | 0.776192024956288 |
| 325 | 141.6 | 174.325019142401 | -32.7250191424015 |
| 326 | 148.1 | 160.98687878748 | -12.8868787874801 |
| 327 | 184.9 | 171.525046683747 | 13.3749533162529 |
| 328 | 132.5 | 156.04033683494 | -23.5403368349404 |
| 329 | 137.3 | 147.522729784611 | -10.222729784611 |
| 330 | 135.5 | 135.133684757054 | 0.366315242946087 |
| 331 | 121.7 | 143.832538394001 | -22.1325383940011 |
| 332 | 166.1 | 150.453296970186 | 15.6467030298135 |
| 333 | 146.8 | 154.201743585898 | -7.40174358589752 |
| 334 | 162.8 | 169.088565583847 | -6.2885655838474 |
| 335 | 186.8 | 179.10410344175 | 7.69589655824987 |
| 336 | 185.5 | 196.443411135034 | -10.9434111350338 |
| 337 | 151.5 | 160.505801568835 | -9.00580156883541 |
| 338 | 158.1 | 151.227822201273 | 6.87217779872691 |
| 339 | 143 | 166.493176272817 | -23.493176272817 |
| 340 | 151.2 | 142.858127072996 | 8.3418729270036 |
| 341 | 147.6 | 138.230739452282 | 9.3692605477176 |
| 342 | 130.7 | 128.55285008826 | 2.14714991174031 |
| 343 | 137.5 | 134.228912297003 | 3.27108770299665 |
| 344 | 146.1 | 147.768450139479 | -1.66845013947932 |
| 345 | 133.6 | 147.027886354299 | -13.4278863542992 |
| 346 | 167.9 | 161.456962882339 | 6.44303711766145 |
| 347 | 181.9 | 174.211482218352 | 7.68851778164824 |
| 348 | 202 | 188.989620133082 | 13.0103798669176 |
| 349 | 166.5 | 155.167586148579 | 11.3324138514212 |
| 350 | 151.3 | 149.701491710726 | 1.59850828927424 |
| 351 | 146.2 | 160.667375611316 | -14.4673756113159 |
| 352 | 148.3 | 142.136192225056 | 6.16380777494425 |
| 353 | 144.7 | 137.657625300316 | 7.04237469968373 |
| 354 | 123.6 | 127.006729609647 | -3.40672960964676 |
| 355 | 151.6 | 132.546042027963 | 19.0539579720366 |
| 356 | 133.9 | 146.83766025704 | -12.9376602570404 |
| 357 | 137.4 | 143.84100328795 | -6.44100328794966 |
| 358 | 181.6 | 161.636626877577 | 19.9633731224228 |
| 359 | 182 | 175.847447828519 | 6.15255217148146 |
| 360 | 190 | 191.481535580967 | -1.48153558096652 |
| 361 | 161.2 | 156.527073276355 | 4.67292672364474 |
| 362 | 155.5 | 149.40939526856 | 6.09060473143956 |
| 363 | 141.9 | 158.746377594347 | -16.8463775943467 |
| 364 | 164.6 | 142.937908376727 | 21.6620916232729 |
| 365 | 136.2 | 139.987386125708 | -3.78738612570817 |
| 366 | 126.8 | 127.313606439873 | -0.513606439873229 |
| 367 | 152.5 | 136.258514094495 | 16.2414859055047 |
| 368 | 126.6 | 146.265392239242 | -19.6653922392418 |
| 369 | 150.1 | 143.772221451339 | 6.3277785486612 |
| 370 | 186.3 | 166.260102943253 | 20.0398970567466 |
| 371 | 147.5 | 178.856989558717 | -31.3569895587165 |
| 372 | 200.4 | 190.657734007785 | 9.74226599221484 |
| 373 | 177.2 | 157.438147348888 | 19.7618526511122 |
| 374 | 127.4 | 151.800763133638 | -24.4007631336375 |
| 375 | 177.1 | 155.773608615681 | 21.3263913843187 |
| 376 | 154.4 | 148.162114370919 | 6.23788562908089 |
| 377 | 135.2 | 140.775496221925 | -5.57549622192477 |
| 378 | 126.4 | 128.504332689485 | -2.10433268948498 |
| 379 | 147.3 | 139.651488119595 | 7.64851188040515 |
| 380 | 140.6 | 144.278438217088 | -3.67843821708757 |
| 381 | 152.3 | 146.582068202691 | 5.71793179730858 |
| 382 | 151.2 | 170.979211185298 | -19.779211185298 |
| 383 | 172.2 | 173.646267966007 | -1.44626796600662 |
| 384 | 215.3 | 193.243553768482 | 22.0564462315179 |
| 385 | 154.1 | 162.42891005253 | -8.32891005252992 |
| 386 | 159.3 | 148.786794205464 | 10.5132057945358 |
| 387 | 160.4 | 161.655960293943 | -1.25596029394313 |
| 388 | 151.9 | 150.391989100535 | 1.50801089946489 |
| 389 | 148.4 | 141.106884150291 | 7.29311584970915 |
| 390 | 139.6 | 130.368489059299 | 9.23151094070087 |
| 391 | 148.2 | 143.832212802859 | 4.36778719714061 |
| 392 | 153.5 | 146.851731896344 | 6.64826810365594 |
| 393 | 145.1 | 151.387948948841 | -6.28794894884072 |
| 394 | 183.7 | 171.625712373505 | 12.0742876264947 |
| 395 | 210.5 | 179.447003708627 | 31.0529962913733 |
| 396 | 203.3 | 205.117005055233 | -1.81700505523315 |
| 397 | 153.3 | 168.825391120635 | -15.5253911206353 |
| 398 | 144.3 | 157.471841566143 | -13.1718415661434 |
| 399 | 169.6 | 167.182143171211 | 2.4178568287889 |
| 400 | 143.7 | 156.774289693994 | -13.0742896939945 |
| 401 | 160.1 | 147.290462852393 | 12.8095371476074 |
| 402 | 135.6 | 137.38636459677 | -1.78636459677031 |
| 403 | 141.8 | 149.472230858216 | -7.67223085821561 |
| 404 | 159.9 | 151.919999666434 | 7.98000033356635 |
| 405 | 145.7 | 154.874580845336 | -9.17458084533581 |
| 406 | 183.5 | 177.361017909495 | 6.13898209050507 |
| 407 | 198.2 | 187.250124331638 | 10.9498756683622 |
| 408 | 186.8 | 206.909765079185 | -20.1097650791855 |
| 409 | 172 | 167.19113892143 | 4.80886107857046 |
| 410 | 150.6 | 157.571035301468 | -6.9710353014677 |
| 411 | 163.3 | 169.745969310568 | -6.44596931056776 |
| 412 | 153.7 | 156.482970675534 | -2.78297067553416 |
| 413 | 152.9 | 151.14950767293 | 1.75049232706954 |
| 414 | 135.5 | 138.339855399218 | -2.83985539921773 |
| 415 | 148.5 | 149.426790202806 | -0.926790202806416 |
| 416 | 148.4 | 154.366472456479 | -5.96647245647861 |
| 417 | 133.6 | 153.811348286886 | -20.2113482868856 |
| 418 | 194.1 | 177.265289646598 | 16.834710353402 |
| 419 | 208.6 | 188.421420722325 | 20.1785792776753 |
| 420 | 197.3 | 204.516735881192 | -7.21673588119171 |
| 421 | 164.4 | 169.029843902297 | -4.62984390229744 |
| 422 | 148.1 | 157.023794817004 | -8.9237948170044 |
| 423 | 152 | 169.002882294934 | -17.0028822949341 |
| 424 | 144.1 | 155.254309845245 | -11.1543098452449 |
| 425 | 155 | 149.668831953488 | 5.33116804651152 |
| 426 | 124.5 | 136.313584612084 | -11.8135846120839 |
| 427 | 153 | 146.724286072235 | 6.275713927765 |
| 428 | 146 | 151.321482552468 | -5.32148255246798 |
| 429 | 138 | 148.708803775667 | -10.7088037756675 |
| 430 | 190 | 177.649795518744 | 12.350204481256 |
| 431 | 192 | 188.730259684113 | 3.26974031588719 |
| 432 | 192 | 199.629545156666 | -7.62954515666601 |
| 433 | 147 | 164.175962359629 | -17.1759623596293 |
| 434 | 133 | 150.303537227622 | -17.3035372276222 |
| 435 | 163 | 160.179541241248 | 2.82045875875193 |
| 436 | 150 | 148.416342806543 | 1.58365719345682 |
| 437 | 129 | 145.769101648067 | -16.7691016480674 |
| 438 | 131 | 128.129689464188 | 2.8703105358116 |
| 439 | 145 | 141.797055711462 | 3.20294428853779 |
| 440 | 137 | 144.346445157159 | -7.34644515715863 |
| 441 | 138 | 140.579760749587 | -2.5797607495868 |
| 442 | 168 | 172.961867018186 | -4.96186701818618 |
| 443 | 176 | 181.19403625308 | -5.19403625307993 |
| 444 | 188 | 189.622127547596 | -1.62212754759554 |
| 445 | 139 | 153.001026292929 | -14.0010262929288 |
| 446 | 143 | 139.018674007532 | 3.98132599246753 |
| 447 | 150 | 152.962520781902 | -2.96252078190236 |
| 448 | 154 | 140.353879928992 | 13.6461200710079 |
| 449 | 137 | 135.995690799327 | 1.00430920067254 |
| 450 | 129 | 122.229854538622 | 6.77014546137795 |
| 451 | 128 | 136.178874201569 | -8.17887420156859 |
| 452 | 140 | 136.347252836529 | 3.65274716347074 |
| 453 | 143 | 133.984779218247 | 9.01522078175321 |
| 454 | 151 | 166.929771729927 | -15.929771729927 |
| 455 | 177 | 174.249912885279 | 2.7500871147214 |
| 456 | 184 | 183.741131869213 | 0.258868130786823 |
| 457 | 151 | 145.614755119355 | 5.38524488064542 |
| 458 | 134 | 135.593800201548 | -1.59380020154805 |
| 459 | 164 | 148.271217655407 | 15.7287823445926 |
| 460 | 126 | 139.462310625354 | -13.4623106253537 |
| 461 | 131 | 131.410461968137 | -0.410461968137071 |
| 462 | 125 | 118.327518744118 | 6.67248125588215 |
| 463 | 127 | 130.302008191566 | -3.30200819156576 |
| 464 | 143 | 132.461004513689 | 10.5389954863109 |
| 465 | 143 | 131.418357261673 | 11.5816427383273 |
| 466 | 160 | 161.339788623503 | -1.33978862350315 |
| 467 | 190 | 172.427979595608 | 17.572020404392 |
| 468 | 182 | 182.970941515961 | -0.970941515960732 |
| 469 | 138 | 145.693843747809 | -7.69384374780898 |
| 470 | 136 | 133.945768241187 | 2.05423175881336 |
| 471 | 152 | 149.409758635789 | 2.59024136421053 |
| 472 | 127 | 135.860816396765 | -8.86081639676465 |
| 473 | 151 | 130.05133323589 | 20.9486667641101 |
| 474 | 130 | 119.798477847503 | 10.2015221524967 |
| 475 | 119 | 131.010306751809 | -12.0103067518089 |
| 476 | 153 | 134.604724967246 | 18.3952750327535 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 477 | 134.586409164776 | 114.814870639324 | 154.357947690229 |
| 478 | 162.14525628071 | 142.309083263991 | 181.98142929743 |
| 479 | 176.087040169628 | 156.177234177619 | 195.996846161637 |
| 480 | 182.977351949697 | 162.984400669025 | 202.970303230368 |
| 481 | 145.022424568521 | 124.936323405228 | 165.108525731814 |
| 482 | 135.337450266373 | 115.147725827717 | 155.527174705029 |
| 483 | 150.893114851834 | 130.588850250796 | 171.197379452872 |
| 484 | 135.786101040228 | 115.355962877219 | 156.216239203236 |
| 485 | 134.820379779293 | 114.252646622768 | 155.388112935817 |
| 486 | 121.652573324972 | 100.935165483224 | 142.369981166721 |
| 487 | 129.176479261339 | 108.296989612719 | 150.05596890996 |
| 488 | 137.824013129657 | 116.7697387586 | 158.878287500714 |
