Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 26.663 | NA | NA | 0.972903320444247 | NA |
2 | 23.598 | NA | NA | 0.916648826470544 | NA |
3 | 26.931 | NA | NA | 1.03516373026991 | NA |
4 | 24.74 | NA | NA | 0.96784233322079 | NA |
5 | 25.806 | NA | NA | 1.00950358865227 | NA |
6 | 24.364 | NA | NA | 0.993990710237626 | NA |
7 | 24.477 | 25.4018725357326 | 23.9843333333333 | 1.05910271437185 | 0.963590379629235 |
8 | 23.901 | 24.7818762659624 | 23.662125 | 1.04732251503034 | 0.964454819461259 |
9 | 23.175 | 24.0616164055611 | 23.4233333333333 | 1.02724988212158 | 0.963152250845619 |
10 | 23.227 | 23.8757736661164 | 23.161125 | 1.03085552476904 | 0.97282711441359 |
11 | 21.672 | 21.8381357226053 | 22.86425 | 0.955121454786634 | 0.992392403604611 |
12 | 21.87 | 22.1911448460909 | 22.5452083333333 | 0.984295399625166 | 0.985528243435916 |
13 | 21.439 | 21.7477943735505 | 22.3535 | 0.972903320444247 | 0.98580111765605 |
14 | 21.089 | 20.4492513138237 | 22.3087083333333 | 0.916648826470544 | 1.03128469968697 |
15 | 23.709 | 23.0868253579889 | 22.3025833333333 | 1.03516373026991 | 1.02694933722431 |
16 | 21.669 | 21.5778431853381 | 22.2947916666667 | 0.96784233322079 | 1.00422455635992 |
17 | 21.752 | 22.5054103162689 | 22.2935416666667 | 1.00950358865227 | 0.966523146848638 |
18 | 20.761 | 22.1715840360441 | 22.305625 | 0.993990710237626 | 0.936378743451484 |
19 | 23.479 | 23.6548826083762 | 22.3348333333333 | 1.05910271437185 | 0.992564638291042 |
20 | 23.824 | 23.367510847852 | 22.3116666666667 | 1.04732251503034 | 1.01953520660032 |
21 | 23.105 | 22.8694501152805 | 22.2627916666667 | 1.02724988212158 | 1.01029976162663 |
22 | 23.11 | 22.9447393179958 | 22.2579583333333 | 1.03085552476904 | 1.00720255217171 |
23 | 21.759 | 21.2778773959184 | 22.2776666666667 | 0.955121454786634 | 1.02261140033516 |
24 | 22.073 | 22.0029393632210 | 22.354 | 0.984295399625166 | 1.00318414897312 |
25 | 21.937 | 21.8225863163096 | 22.430375 | 0.972903320444247 | 1.00524290210299 |
26 | 20.035 | 20.5665441699108 | 22.4366666666667 | 0.916648826470544 | 0.97415491073661 |
27 | 23.59 | 23.1744260886630 | 22.3872083333333 | 1.03516373026991 | 1.01793243594241 |
28 | 21.672 | 21.6336150997900 | 22.3524166666667 | 0.96784233322079 | 1.00177431742374 |
29 | 22.222 | 22.5367469901666 | 22.3245833333333 | 1.00950358865227 | 0.986034054058292 |
30 | 22.123 | 22.1407289077472 | 22.2745833333333 | 0.993990710237626 | 0.999199262688187 |
31 | 23.95 | 23.5518407401238 | 22.2375416666667 | 1.05910271437185 | 1.01690565354401 |
32 | 23.504 | 23.2713753686599 | 22.219875 | 1.04732251503034 | 1.00999617030171 |
33 | 22.238 | 22.7739586783217 | 22.1698333333333 | 1.02724988212158 | 0.976466160938816 |
34 | 23.142 | 22.7584121818938 | 22.0772083333333 | 1.03085552476904 | 1.01685477066855 |
35 | 21.059 | 21.0260039089457 | 22.0139583333333 | 0.955121454786634 | 1.00156929919719 |
36 | 21.573 | 21.6801314844522 | 22.0260416666667 | 0.984295399625166 | 0.995058540833618 |
37 | 21.548 | 21.4658956364517 | 22.06375 | 0.972903320444247 | 1.00382487481253 |
38 | 20 | 20.2399116380784 | 22.0803333333333 | 0.916648826470544 | 0.988146606449255 |
39 | 22.424 | 22.9114513693523 | 22.1331666666667 | 1.03516373026991 | 0.978724552997792 |
40 | 20.615 | 21.4532334849359 | 22.1660416666667 | 0.96784233322079 | 0.960927405860542 |
41 | 21.761 | 22.3861627048593 | 22.1754166666667 | 1.00950358865227 | 0.972073699583912 |
42 | 22.874 | 22.0799298093043 | 22.2134166666667 | 0.993990710237626 | 1.03596343817910 |
43 | 24.104 | 23.5928368410259 | 22.27625 | 1.05910271437185 | 1.02166603204262 |
44 | 23.748 | 23.4155131297909 | 22.3575 | 1.04732251503034 | 1.01419942703652 |
45 | 23.262 | 23.1014373803263 | 22.488625 | 1.02724988212158 | 1.00695033027730 |
46 | 22.907 | 23.4106430628779 | 22.7099166666667 | 1.03085552476904 | 0.978486577172392 |
47 | 21.519 | 21.9540635891800 | 22.985625 | 0.955121454786634 | 0.980183004052405 |
48 | 22.025 | 22.7996854769092 | 23.1634583333333 | 0.984295399625166 | 0.966022098081406 |
49 | 22.604 | 22.5875315520089 | 23.216625 | 0.972903320444247 | 1.00072909463140 |
50 | 20.894 | 21.3301126423607 | 23.2696666666667 | 0.916648826470544 | 0.979554133179088 |
51 | 24.677 | 24.1554593822042 | 23.3349166666667 | 1.03516373026991 | 1.02159100390283 |
52 | 23.673 | 22.6734407065440 | 23.4267916666667 | 0.96784233322079 | 1.04408502910489 |
53 | 25.32 | 23.7297699187060 | 23.506375 | 1.00950358865227 | 1.06701413822139 |
54 | 23.583 | 23.4285267054192 | 23.5701666666667 | 0.993990710237626 | 1.00659338491588 |
55 | 24.671 | 25.0359966771969 | 23.638875 | 1.05910271437185 | 0.985421124555057 |
56 | 24.454 | 24.8813719048903 | 23.757125 | 1.04732251503034 | 0.98282361975361 |
57 | 24.122 | 24.5138203640867 | 23.8635416666667 | 1.02724988212158 | 0.984016348399914 |
58 | 24.252 | 24.6326363828645 | 23.8953333333333 | 1.03085552476904 | 0.984547476894137 |
59 | 22.084 | 22.8020124573941 | 23.8734166666667 | 0.955121454786634 | 0.968511004950297 |
60 | 22.991 | 23.5064505861484 | 23.8815 | 0.984295399625166 | 0.978071951600718 |
61 | 23.287 | 23.3504904434290 | 24.0008333333333 | 0.972903320444247 | 0.997280980303914 |
62 | 23.049 | 22.1127779653622 | 24.1235 | 0.916648826470544 | 1.04233850835496 |
63 | 25.076 | 25.0604512733927 | 24.2091666666667 | 1.03516373026991 | 1.00062044878752 |
64 | 24.037 | 23.501228188795 | 24.2820833333333 | 0.96784233322079 | 1.02279760899732 |
65 | 24.43 | 24.5859551498317 | 24.3545 | 1.00950358865227 | 0.993656738211664 |
66 | 24.667 | 24.2855951953216 | 24.4324166666667 | 0.993990710237626 | 1.01570498073491 |
67 | 26.451 | 25.9426768592587 | 24.4949583333333 | 1.05910271437185 | 1.01959408982731 |
68 | 25.618 | 25.6424262658123 | 24.4837916666667 | 1.04732251503034 | 0.99904742766698 |
69 | 25.014 | 25.1047458587771 | 24.4387916666667 | 1.02724988212158 | 0.996385310598738 |
70 | 25.11 | 25.1201880937668 | 24.3682916666667 | 1.03085552476904 | 0.9995944260557 |
71 | 22.964 | 23.2017307862223 | 24.2919166666667 | 0.955121454786634 | 0.98975374775215 |
72 | 23.981 | 23.8951652443837 | 24.2764166666667 | 0.984295399625166 | 1.00359213902639 |
73 | 23.798 | 23.6143499314611 | 24.2720416666667 | 0.972903320444247 | 1.00777705374367 |
74 | 22.27 | 22.2498169649195 | 24.273 | 0.916648826470544 | 1.00090711016240 |
75 | 24.775 | 25.1435231627468 | 24.2894166666667 | 1.03516373026991 | 0.985343217004177 |
76 | 22.646 | 23.5198188269456 | 24.3012916666667 | 0.96784233322079 | 0.962847552807484 |
77 | 23.988 | 24.5443131267998 | 24.31325 | 1.00950358865227 | 0.977334337126251 |
78 | 24.737 | 24.2054132780291 | 24.35175 | 0.993990710237626 | 1.02196148092433 |
79 | 26.276 | 25.8480195541617 | 24.4055833333333 | 1.05910271437185 | 1.01655757203918 |
80 | 25.816 | 25.601537049288 | 24.44475 | 1.04732251503034 | 1.00837695605147 |
81 | 25.21 | 25.1606881752743 | 24.49325 | 1.02724988212158 | 1.00195987583417 |
82 | 25.199 | 25.3437548857010 | 24.5851666666667 | 1.03085552476904 | 0.994288340999435 |
83 | 23.162 | 23.59559899614 | 24.7042916666667 | 0.955121454786634 | 0.981623734315415 |
84 | 24.707 | 24.3713181439524 | 24.7601666666667 | 0.984295399625166 | 1.01377364384088 |
85 | 24.364 | 24.1148276145530 | 24.7864583333333 | 0.972903320444247 | 1.01033274587029 |
86 | 22.644 | 22.7786469503908 | 24.8499166666667 | 0.916648826470544 | 0.994088896031267 |
87 | 25.565 | 25.8034400407939 | 24.9269166666667 | 1.03516373026991 | 0.99075937005233 |
88 | 24.062 | 24.2189236056421 | 25.023625 | 0.96784233322079 | 0.993520620148224 |
89 | 25.431 | 25.4022229265561 | 25.1630833333333 | 1.00950358865227 | 1.00113285650343 |
90 | 24.635 | 25.1177725011885 | 25.269625 | 0.993990710237626 | 0.980779645123165 |
91 | 27.009 | 26.7969314569591 | 25.3015416666667 | 1.05910271437185 | 1.00791391146339 |
92 | 26.606 | 26.5404616840127 | 25.34125 | 1.04732251503034 | 1.00246937362159 |
93 | 26.268 | 26.1206959921953 | 25.4277916666667 | 1.02724988212158 | 1.00563935998676 |
94 | 26.462 | 26.3650320445524 | 25.575875 | 1.03085552476904 | 1.00367790015516 |
95 | 25.246 | 24.5839109214805 | 25.7390416666667 | 0.955121454786634 | 1.02693180432659 |
96 | 25.18 | 25.4687665022261 | 25.875125 | 0.984295399625166 | 0.988661936093337 |
97 | 24.657 | 25.2219915932185 | 25.9244583333333 | 0.972903320444247 | 0.977599247421427 |
98 | 23.304 | 23.7624403034003 | 25.9231666666667 | 0.916648826470544 | 0.980707355913495 |
99 | 26.982 | 26.8414504713220 | 25.9296666666667 | 1.03516373026991 | 1.00523628664658 |
100 | 26.199 | 25.0878040602911 | 25.921375 | 0.96784233322079 | 1.04429227592174 |
101 | 27.21 | 26.1417684305429 | 25.8956666666667 | 1.00950358865227 | 1.04086301859399 |
102 | 26.122 | 25.7389752788074 | 25.8945833333333 | 0.993990710237626 | 1.01488111772297 |
103 | 26.706 | 27.4621362201442 | 25.929625 | 1.05910271437185 | 0.972466227168827 |
104 | 26.878 | 27.2120136083378 | 25.9824583333333 | 1.04732251503034 | 0.987725509286257 |
105 | 26.152 | 26.7193258610017 | 26.0105416666667 | 1.02724988212158 | 0.97876720902492 |
106 | 26.379 | 26.6848979234256 | 25.8861666666667 | 1.03085552476904 | 0.988536665034157 |
107 | 24.712 | 24.5188034756458 | 25.670875 | 0.955121454786634 | 1.00787952497544 |
108 | 25.688 | 25.1715092915393 | 25.573125 | 0.984295399625166 | 1.02051886132367 |
109 | 24.99 | 24.9512001690282 | 25.646125 | 0.972903320444247 | 1.00155502864427 |
110 | 24.239 | 23.6374323196904 | 25.7867916666667 | 0.916648826470544 | 1.02544978964608 |
111 | 26.721 | 26.8437795897151 | 25.9319166666667 | 1.03516373026991 | 0.995426143725223 |
112 | 23.475 | 25.2257215927750 | 26.063875 | 0.96784233322079 | 0.930597759658282 |
113 | 24.767 | 26.411936828456 | 26.1632916666667 | 1.00950358865227 | 0.937719946888418 |
114 | 26.219 | 26.0961078577398 | 26.253875 | 0.993990710237626 | 1.00470921345551 |
115 | 28.361 | 27.9123431323117 | 26.3547083333333 | 1.05910271437185 | 1.01607378017537 |
116 | 28.599 | 27.6545073709381 | 26.4049583333333 | 1.04732251503034 | 1.03415329791969 |
117 | 27.914 | 27.1746543712521 | 26.4537916666667 | 1.02724988212158 | 1.02720717690268 |
118 | 27.784 | 27.4716124980785 | 26.6493333333333 | 1.03085552476904 | 1.01137128379135 |
119 | 25.693 | 25.7422742625002 | 26.9518333333333 | 0.955121454786634 | 0.99808586211157 |
120 | 26.881 | 26.7205031643911 | 27.1468333333333 | 0.984295399625166 | 1.00600650499062 |
121 | 26.217 | 26.4737127902468 | 27.2110416666667 | 0.972903320444247 | 0.990303105866536 |
122 | 24.218 | 24.9502644077017 | 27.219 | 0.916648826470544 | 0.970651036167949 |
123 | 27.914 | 28.1636996094535 | 27.207 | 1.03516373026991 | 0.991133991168914 |
124 | 26.975 | 26.3923345451811 | 27.26925 | 0.96784233322079 | 1.02207707142472 |
125 | 28.527 | 27.6104279014339 | 27.3505 | 1.00950358865227 | 1.03319659158627 |
126 | 27.139 | 27.2152999811878 | 27.3798333333333 | 0.993990710237626 | 0.997196430638628 |
127 | 28.982 | 29.0191495981101 | 27.39975 | 1.05910271437185 | 0.998719824714901 |
128 | 28.169 | 28.7401007962052 | 27.4415 | 1.04732251503034 | 0.98012878241956 |
129 | 28.056 | 28.2003633785505 | 27.4522916666667 | 1.02724988212158 | 0.994880797221916 |
130 | 29.136 | 28.2800179910651 | 27.4335416666667 | 1.03085552476904 | 1.03026808572772 |
131 | 26.291 | 26.2131889364373 | 27.444875 | 0.955121454786634 | 1.00296839364914 |
132 | 26.987 | 27.038553615395 | 27.4699583333333 | 0.984295399625166 | 0.998093329394453 |
133 | 26.589 | 26.6986156078228 | 27.4422083333333 | 0.972903320444247 | 0.995894333645125 |
134 | 24.848 | 25.1187750169679 | 27.4028333333333 | 0.916648826470544 | 0.989220214091451 |
135 | 27.543 | 28.4079982497972 | 27.443 | 1.03516373026991 | 0.969550890485452 |
136 | 26.896 | 26.5742082502988 | 27.4571666666667 | 0.96784233322079 | 1.01210917543320 |
137 | 28.878 | 27.7051109255195 | 27.4442916666667 | 1.00950358865227 | 1.04233475468240 |
138 | 27.39 | 27.3245561267548 | 27.48975 | 0.993990710237626 | 1.00239505713987 |
139 | 28.065 | 29.1714397425808 | 27.5435416666667 | 1.05910271437185 | 0.96207113010724 |
140 | 28.141 | 28.8739835243766 | 27.5693333333333 | 1.04732251503034 | 0.97461439555932 |
141 | 29.048 | 28.384626326156 | 27.6316666666667 | 1.02724988212158 | 1.02337087922953 |
142 | 28.484 | 28.5320621668711 | 27.6780416666667 | 1.03085552476904 | 0.99831550321915 |
143 | 26.634 | 26.3859863262991 | 27.6257916666667 | 0.955121454786634 | 1.00939944676063 |
144 | 27.735 | 27.178487611375 | 27.612125 | 0.984295399625166 | 1.02047620885248 |
145 | 27.132 | 26.9362067062029 | 27.6864166666667 | 0.972903320444247 | 1.00726877752063 |
146 | 24.924 | 25.4467825220400 | 27.7606666666667 | 0.916648826470544 | 0.979455849807842 |
147 | 28.963 | 28.7357569658939 | 27.759625 | 1.03516373026991 | 1.00790802324699 |
148 | 26.589 | 26.8192739944231 | 27.710375 | 0.96784233322079 | 0.991413861744693 |
149 | 27.931 | 27.9206820043463 | 27.6578333333333 | 1.00950358865227 | 1.00036954669130 |
150 | 28.009 | 27.4155062767415 | 27.58125 | 0.993990710237626 | 1.02164810371428 |
151 | 29.229 | 29.1155279451179 | 27.49075 | 1.05910271437185 | 1.00389730370323 |
152 | 28.759 | 28.7613963540108 | 27.4618333333333 | 1.04732251503034 | 0.999916681583144 |
153 | 28.405 | 28.1698882987142 | 27.422625 | 1.02724988212158 | 1.00834620637443 |
154 | 27.945 | 28.1853940443540 | 27.34175 | 1.03085552476904 | 0.991470970958374 |
155 | 25.912 | 26.0282933414815 | 27.2512916666667 | 0.955121454786634 | 0.995532041230832 |
156 | 26.619 | 26.6602150711641 | 27.0855833333333 | 0.984295399625166 | 0.998454060814812 |
157 | 26.076 | 26.2378242726774 | 26.9685833333333 | 0.972903320444247 | 0.993832405042598 |
158 | 25.286 | 24.7542161399404 | 27.005125 | 0.916648826470544 | 1.02148255703406 |
159 | 27.66 | 28.0451733623376 | 27.0925 | 1.03516373026991 | 0.9862659660769 |
160 | 25.951 | 26.2988167797336 | 27.172625 | 0.96784233322079 | 0.986774432376683 |
161 | 26.398 | 27.5211709591372 | 27.2620833333333 | 1.00950358865227 | 0.959188838265463 |
162 | 25.565 | 27.1959171623382 | 27.3603333333333 | 0.993990710237626 | 0.940030808573107 |
163 | 28.865 | NA | NA | 1.05910271437185 | NA |
164 | 30 | NA | NA | 1.04732251503034 | NA |
165 | 29.261 | NA | NA | 1.02724988212158 | NA |
166 | 29.012 | NA | NA | 1.03085552476904 | NA |
167 | 26.992 | NA | NA | 0.955121454786634 | NA |
168 | 27.897 | NA | NA | 0.984295399625166 | NA |