Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 66857.2 | NA | NA | 1.04725585796514 | NA |
2 | 64722.8 | NA | NA | 0.929807391279941 | NA |
3 | 68489.6 | NA | NA | 1.00648705996556 | NA |
4 | 71342.9 | NA | NA | 1.11653084294536 | NA |
5 | 63542.5 | NA | NA | 0.945795982000637 | NA |
6 | 69425 | NA | NA | 1.02582053138681 | NA |
7 | 58927.9 | 62351.5062469715 | 65695 | 0.949105810898417 | 0.945091843757379 |
8 | 61009 | 60672.950731438 | 65425.1875 | 0.927363803602978 | 1.00553869993977 |
9 | 66837 | 64913.4673378176 | 65099.725 | 0.997138887112312 | 1.02963225877570 |
10 | 66147.6 | 67966.3215129246 | 64798.8791666667 | 1.04888112860889 | 0.973240842340148 |
11 | 65982.3 | 65122.5231939853 | 64452.3416666667 | 1.01039809431261 | 1.01320244922718 |
12 | 65527.5 | 63814.5499628248 | 64108.5125 | 0.995414609921339 | 1.02684262504669 |
13 | 65914.6 | 66871.8900932831 | 63854.3958333333 | 1.04725585796514 | 0.985684716075054 |
14 | 59189.9 | 59233.2791323546 | 63704.8916666667 | 0.929807391279941 | 0.999267656071215 |
15 | 66211.4 | 63735.629518172 | 63324.8375 | 1.00648705996556 | 1.03884437167318 |
16 | 66400.8 | 70262.7462899771 | 62929.5166666667 | 1.11653084294536 | 0.94503564842116 |
17 | 60167.7 | 59413.2208605954 | 62818.2208333333 | 0.945795982000637 | 1.01269884258884 |
18 | 64547.9 | 64105.2347072476 | 62491.6666666667 | 1.02582053138681 | 1.00690529088262 |
19 | 57706.2 | 58877.1936971666 | 62034.3833333333 | 0.949105810898417 | 0.980111251511246 |
20 | 58642.6 | 57277.0063068975 | 61763.2541666667 | 0.927363803602978 | 1.02384191809512 |
21 | 60082.1 | 61227.647310241 | 61403.3291666667 | 0.997138887112312 | 0.981290358840076 |
22 | 63414.8 | 64167.2959167933 | 61176.9 | 1.04888112860889 | 0.988272905908812 |
23 | 66044 | 61690.6765967081 | 61055.8125 | 1.01039809431261 | 1.07056695830637 |
24 | 57628.5 | 60457.547371352 | 60736.0458333333 | 0.995414609921339 | 0.953206051281323 |
25 | 62838.8 | 63360.0702984096 | 60501.0416666667 | 1.04725585796514 | 0.991772889519304 |
26 | 55758.6 | 56122.9145664272 | 60359.7208333333 | 0.929807391279941 | 0.99350863066821 |
27 | 61004.5 | 60478.0712431522 | 60088.275 | 1.00648705996556 | 1.00870445677296 |
28 | 66173.4 | 66813.6336453399 | 59840.3833333333 | 1.11653084294536 | 0.99041761972207 |
29 | 57489 | 56273.1782003533 | 59498.2208333333 | 0.945795982000637 | 1.02160570699096 |
30 | 59552.2 | 60779.1954270711 | 59249.3458333333 | 1.02582053138681 | 0.97981224630485 |
31 | 57061.8 | 56139.8262180564 | 59150.2291666667 | 0.949105810898417 | 1.01642281147011 |
32 | 55895.3 | 54627.9452337154 | 58906.7041666667 | 0.927363803602978 | 1.02319975171796 |
33 | 56314.7 | 58375.867485808 | 58543.3666666667 | 0.997138887112312 | 0.964691445719258 |
34 | 61232.8 | 61151.181417084 | 58301.3458333333 | 1.04888112860889 | 1.00133470165293 |
35 | 60014.1 | 58777.5852210193 | 58172.7 | 1.01039809431261 | 1.02103718236010 |
36 | 57685.4 | 57631.212751111 | 57896.6916666667 | 0.995414609921339 | 1.00094024134323 |
37 | 60403.1 | 60313.3804657193 | 57591.8291666667 | 1.04725585796514 | 1.00148755605453 |
38 | 52349.7 | 53284.42568171 | 57306.95 | 0.929807391279941 | 0.982457806952945 |
39 | 55693.3 | 57504.0487603169 | 57133.4208333333 | 1.00648705996556 | 0.968510934458471 |
40 | 65676.1 | 63720.8478625931 | 57070.3875 | 1.11653084294536 | 1.03068465350027 |
41 | 54898.8 | 53658.5567346452 | 56733.7541666667 | 0.945795982000637 | 1.02311361581132 |
42 | 55518.2 | 57793.7071920539 | 56339.0041666667 | 1.02582053138681 | 0.960627076846063 |
43 | 53779.1 | 53380.0479779863 | 56242.4625 | 0.949105810898417 | 1.00747567746995 |
44 | 52340.9 | 52145.6666765955 | 56230 | 0.927363803602978 | 1.00374399899066 |
45 | 55704.4 | 55990.3581144796 | 56151.0125 | 0.997138887112312 | 0.994892725745835 |
46 | 60330.3 | 58703.241454404 | 55967.4875 | 1.04888112860889 | 1.02771667296873 |
47 | 52837.4 | 56192.6753563552 | 55614.3916666667 | 1.01039809431261 | 0.940289809391043 |
48 | 55388.1 | 55214.9516221097 | 55469.3 | 0.995414609921339 | 1.00313589657880 |
49 | 60383.4 | 58193.5949750834 | 55567.6958333333 | 1.04725585796514 | 1.03762965711010 |
50 | 52070.3 | 51466.0982215204 | 55351.3541666667 | 0.929807391279941 | 1.01173980152680 |
51 | 54077 | 55455.8601743752 | 55098.4333333333 | 1.00648705996556 | 0.975135897810628 |
52 | 62887.8 | 61306.7081350359 | 54908.2083333333 | 1.11653084294536 | 1.02578986726023 |
53 | 49212.8 | 51718.969565374 | 54683.0083333333 | 0.945795982000637 | 0.951542546449883 |
54 | 57722 | 55951.709651878 | 54543.3708333333 | 1.02582053138681 | 1.03163961135659 |
55 | 53936.8 | 51454.1224665112 | 54213.2625 | 0.949105810898417 | 1.04825031337585 |
56 | 46991 | 49935.8398769424 | 53847.0875 | 0.927363803602978 | 0.941027528841021 |
57 | 54984.2 | 53546.7321650138 | 53700.375 | 0.997138887112312 | 1.02684510850366 |
58 | 56485.1 | 56104.332534613 | 53489.6958333333 | 1.04888112860889 | 1.00678677471391 |
59 | 51277.8 | 53848.7833271132 | 53294.6208333333 | 1.01039809431261 | 0.952255498299835 |
60 | 53596.4 | 52896.7305370639 | 53140.4 | 0.995414609921339 | 1.01322708333450 |
61 | 54252.5 | 55315.8318758489 | 52819.7875 | 1.04725585796514 | 0.980777078825545 |
62 | 49413 | 48905.4590305025 | 52597.4083333333 | 0.929807391279941 | 1.01037800236536 |
63 | 53213.2 | 52887.6113371572 | 52546.7375 | 1.00648705996556 | 1.00615623686930 |
64 | 58695.3 | 58378.6478693183 | 52285.7458333333 | 1.11653084294536 | 1.00542410868081 |
65 | 48723.5 | 49295.7653839732 | 52120.9291666667 | 0.945795982000637 | 0.988391185743528 |
66 | 54510 | 53526.8366115159 | 52179.5333333333 | 1.02582053138681 | 1.01836767219441 |
67 | 49454.1 | NA | NA | 0.949105810898417 | NA |
68 | 46136.6 | NA | NA | 0.927363803602978 | NA |
69 | 54622.5 | NA | NA | 0.997138887112312 | NA |
70 | 50583 | NA | NA | 1.04888112860889 | NA |
71 | 53224.3 | NA | NA | 1.01039809431261 | NA |
72 | 53056.4 | NA | NA | 0.995414609921339 | NA |