Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 81.28 | NA | NA | 0.652943450142838 | NA |
2 | 69.39 | NA | NA | 0.617719131561426 | NA |
3 | 67.63 | NA | NA | 0.591834737709433 | NA |
4 | 51.25 | NA | NA | 0.730889134250637 | NA |
5 | 103.97 | NA | NA | 1.01904371711796 | NA |
6 | 133.83 | NA | NA | 1.25045624547342 | NA |
7 | 162.37 | 162.752017763104 | 112.829583333333 | 1.44245873249646 | 0.997652761739276 |
8 | 172.91 | 155.602709011798 | 112.312916666667 | 1.38543912516858 | 1.11122744004983 |
9 | 163.01 | 154.148736587518 | 111.81875 | 1.37855893208892 | 1.05748515108621 |
10 | 151.5 | 137.752636087019 | 112.60125 | 1.22336684616751 | 1.09979746524993 |
11 | 111.73 | 107.553153133681 | 113.819583333333 | 0.944944182572692 | 1.03883518748286 |
12 | 88.58 | 86.6158199833068 | 113.6175 | 0.762345765250131 | 1.02267691995610 |
13 | 74.29 | 73.4876970744929 | 112.548333333333 | 0.652943450142838 | 1.01091751350833 |
14 | 63.98 | 68.2489556335356 | 110.485416666667 | 0.617719131561426 | 0.937450242367694 |
15 | 61.18 | 64.1097581689522 | 108.32375 | 0.591834737709433 | 0.95430090125701 |
16 | 76.48 | 78.2020919934255 | 106.995833333333 | 0.730889134250637 | 0.977978952358842 |
17 | 107.98 | 108.168518361230 | 106.147083333333 | 1.01904371711796 | 0.99825717903799 |
18 | 124.97 | 131.609477789206 | 105.249166666667 | 1.25045624547342 | 0.949551674387462 |
19 | 145.57 | 150.135312049534 | 104.082916666667 | 1.44245873249646 | 0.969592016779981 |
20 | 140.2 | 142.876873380823 | 103.1275 | 1.38543912516858 | 0.98126447396642 |
21 | 143.84 | 140.192550598782 | 101.695 | 1.37855893208892 | 1.02601742664385 |
22 | 138.8 | 122.072641272453 | 99.7841666666667 | 1.22336684616751 | 1.13702790857300 |
23 | 104.06 | 92.6037424386384 | 97.9991666666667 | 0.944944182572692 | 1.12371268438695 |
24 | 74.7 | 73.6473655841955 | 96.60625 | 0.762345765250131 | 1.01429289978609 |
25 | 60.18 | 62.4575777831841 | 95.6554166666667 | 0.652943450142838 | 0.963534003974818 |
26 | 55.16 | 56.9006830378378 | 92.1141666666667 | 0.617719131561426 | 0.969408398196551 |
27 | 35.62 | 51.5246390693685 | 87.0591666666667 | 0.591834737709433 | 0.691319738349728 |
28 | 56.18 | 60.6555756400425 | 82.98875 | 0.730889134250637 | 0.926213285541916 |
29 | 85.44 | 81.2466571596196 | 79.7283333333333 | 1.01904371711796 | 1.05161249689501 |
30 | 114.08 | 97.9075978799549 | 78.2975 | 1.25045624547342 | 1.16518025638699 |
31 | 133.64 | 112.267164174671 | 77.8304166666667 | 1.44245873249646 | 1.19037477237847 |
32 | 67.14 | 107.635920166951 | 77.6908333333333 | 1.38543912516858 | 0.623769461866083 |
33 | 95.58 | 108.760258148045 | 78.8941666666667 | 1.37855893208892 | 0.878813655167093 |
34 | 89.37 | 98.9137971383164 | 80.85375 | 1.22336684616751 | 0.903513994867968 |
35 | 75.24 | 78.1775945846953 | 82.7325 | 0.944944182572692 | 0.96242408582279 |
36 | 69.18 | 64.274642044514 | 84.3116666666667 | 0.762345765250131 | 1.07631871293953 |
37 | 54.49 | 56.0337024728621 | 85.8170833333333 | 0.652943450142838 | 0.972450464546586 |
38 | 57.5 | 56.1830993133406 | 90.9525 | 0.617719131561426 | 1.02343944536265 |
39 | 62.16 | 57.7344650547847 | 97.5516666666667 | 0.591834737709433 | 1.07665325972997 |
40 | 76.67 | 74.121598864332 | 101.412916666667 | 0.730889134250637 | 1.03438135678013 |
41 | 110.04 | 105.910487324716 | 103.93125 | 1.01904371711796 | 1.03899059271272 |
42 | 127.38 | 131.822576374372 | 105.419583333333 | 1.25045624547342 | 0.96629882000064 |
43 | 156.47 | 153.483619382342 | 106.404166666667 | 1.44245873249646 | 1.01945732469482 |
44 | 167.56 | 148.450379528116 | 107.150416666667 | 1.38543912516858 | 1.12872732648194 |
45 | 153.54 | 147.507528932179 | 107.00125 | 1.37855893208892 | 1.04089602145389 |
46 | 124.08 | 129.667200706224 | 105.992083333333 | 1.22336684616751 | 0.95691122600169 |
47 | 100.97 | 98.4938945100081 | 104.2325 | 0.944944182572692 | 1.02513968507703 |
48 | 79.17 | 77.8987138017404 | 102.182916666667 | 0.762345765250131 | 1.01631973284559 |
49 | 68.13 | 64.9474688063955 | 99.46875 | 0.652943450142838 | 1.04900162011073 |
50 | 61.77 | 58.7715998575545 | 95.1429166666667 | 0.617719131561426 | 1.05101784109524 |
51 | 54.31 | 53.3758488093621 | 90.1870833333333 | 0.591834737709433 | 1.01750138333115 |
52 | 60.3 | 62.564718966133 | 85.6008333333333 | 0.730889134250637 | 0.963801979717051 |
53 | 84.18 | 83.4010854182265 | 81.8425 | 1.01904371711796 | 1.00933938183020 |
54 | 104.05 | 99.3383282341507 | 79.4416666666666 | 1.25045624547342 | 1.04743055223099 |
55 | 114.66 | 111.937201739613 | 77.6016666666667 | 1.44245873249646 | 1.02432433737911 |
56 | 105.55 | 105.446349082883 | 76.1104166666667 | 1.38543912516858 | 1.00098297302864 |
57 | 96.61 | 104.399416726204 | 75.7308333333333 | 1.37855893208892 | 0.925388311827143 |
58 | 70.94 | 93.6426152398921 | 76.545 | 1.22336684616751 | 0.757561072149332 |
59 | 63.91 | 73.7816355020186 | 78.0804166666667 | 0.944944182572692 | 0.866204707514941 |
60 | 58.61 | 60.8504389822655 | 79.82 | 0.762345765250131 | 0.96318121907192 |
61 | 44.53 | 53.4730759092187 | 81.8954166666667 | 0.652943450142838 | 0.832755536180463 |
62 | 49.58 | 52.1133597682367 | 84.3641666666666 | 0.617719131561426 | 0.95138751791281 |
63 | 57.39 | 51.639553647607 | 87.2533333333333 | 0.591834737709433 | 1.11135739847084 |
64 | 76.76 | 66.7965670534443 | 91.3908333333333 | 0.730889134250637 | 1.14916085341009 |
65 | 104.57 | 97.1106202258534 | 95.2958333333333 | 1.01904371711796 | 1.07681322348470 |
66 | 125.41 | 121.506833372652 | 97.17 | 1.25045624547342 | 1.03212302155367 |
67 | 143.11 | 142.193975702670 | 98.5775 | 1.44245873249646 | 1.00644207529049 |
68 | 136.35 | 138.632234261088 | 100.06375 | 1.38543912516858 | 0.983537492032412 |
69 | 135.15 | 139.063281073580 | 100.875833333333 | 1.37855893208892 | 0.971859709886257 |
70 | 131.7 | 123.166025391215 | 100.677916666667 | 1.22336684616751 | 1.06928838193550 |
71 | 96.87 | 94.6070241056925 | 100.119166666667 | 0.944944182572692 | 1.02391974502632 |
72 | 70.63 | 76.3000112031971 | 100.085833333333 | 0.762345765250131 | 0.92568793747491 |
73 | 66.29 | 65.1430797816674 | 99.7683333333333 | 0.652943450142838 | 1.01760617124914 |
74 | 63.49 | 61.949764789438 | 100.287916666667 | 0.617719131561426 | 1.02486264824083 |
75 | 62.97 | 60.2374327996809 | 101.780833333333 | 0.591834737709433 | 1.04536327451746 |
76 | 66.43 | 74.879896341117 | 102.450416666667 | 0.730889134250637 | 0.887154005894675 |
77 | 101.49 | 104.687210262625 | 102.730833333333 | 1.01904371711796 | 0.969459399533098 |
78 | 127.69 | 128.911097416161 | 103.09125 | 1.25045624547342 | 0.990527600488735 |
79 | 133.21 | 148.583466863157 | 103.007083333333 | 1.44245873249646 | 0.896533125873851 |
80 | 158.72 | 141.718877178703 | 102.291666666667 | 1.38543912516858 | 1.11996371379558 |
81 | 148.61 | 139.778982919156 | 101.395 | 1.37855893208892 | 1.06317843281169 |
82 | 134.31 | 123.026357676278 | 100.56375 | 1.22336684616751 | 1.09171727536154 |
83 | 100.99 | 93.8022466435347 | 99.2675 | 0.944944182572692 | 1.07662666528425 |
84 | 75.16 | 74.1403491790572 | 97.2529166666667 | 0.762345765250131 | 1.01375298109913 |
85 | 59.74 | 62.4311879854075 | 95.615 | 0.652943450142838 | 0.956893532347382 |
86 | 52.87 | 58.1016319827818 | 94.0583333333333 | 0.617719131561426 | 0.909957228321363 |
87 | 52.07 | 54.7550703460325 | 92.5175 | 0.591834737709433 | 0.950962160598758 |
88 | 57.38 | 66.6114084727674 | 91.1375 | 0.730889134250637 | 0.861414002729855 |
89 | 79.43 | 91.2982496243418 | 89.5920833333333 | 1.01904371711796 | 0.87000572658101 |
90 | 101.4 | 110.911300786007 | 88.6966666666667 | 1.25045624547342 | 0.91424407865923 |
91 | 120.19 | 128.021818655892 | 88.7525 | 1.44245873249646 | 0.938824344645947 |
92 | 134.38 | 123.521711535916 | 89.1570833333333 | 1.38543912516858 | 1.08790591005474 |
93 | 135.97 | 122.965159144111 | 89.1983333333333 | 1.37855893208892 | 1.10576037103850 |
94 | 113.83 | 109.553010810486 | 89.5504166666667 | 1.22336684616751 | 1.03904036190217 |
95 | 84.38 | 85.4800444822685 | 90.4604166666667 | 0.944944182572692 | 0.987130979061473 |
96 | 70.28 | 69.8054605714037 | 91.5666666666667 | 0.762345765250131 | 1.00679802732783 |
97 | 65.96 | 60.6083875204254 | 92.8233333333333 | 0.652943450142838 | 1.0882982157836 |
98 | 56.36 | 57.642203378683 | 93.3145833333333 | 0.617719131561426 | 0.977755822929608 |
99 | 49.57 | 54.99427021919 | 92.9216666666667 | 0.591834737709433 | 0.901366629694865 |
100 | 68.33 | 67.861228892336 | 92.8475 | 0.730889134250637 | 1.00690778984282 |
101 | 90.32 | 94.9978029190288 | 93.2225 | 1.01904371711796 | 0.950758830464574 |
102 | 117.06 | 117.121379115090 | 93.6629166666666 | 1.25045624547342 | 0.999475935857712 |
103 | 134.69 | 136.056313795897 | 94.3225 | 1.44245873249646 | 0.989957733251932 |
104 | 131.67 | 132.228041904996 | 95.44125 | 1.38543912516858 | 0.995779700758204 |
105 | 129.25 | 134.110233710495 | 97.2829166666667 | 1.37855893208892 | 0.963759412119236 |
106 | 118.77 | 121.404377132734 | 99.2379166666666 | 1.22336684616751 | 0.978300805992736 |
107 | 88.44 | 95.1822588768336 | 100.727916666667 | 0.944944182572692 | 0.929164752377246 |
108 | 76.79 | 77.2434140876941 | 101.323333333333 | 0.762345765250131 | 0.994130061532763 |
109 | 75.28 | 65.9366781333619 | 100.98375 | 0.652943450142838 | 1.14170143433281 |
110 | 73.89 | 62.2032870163497 | 100.698333333333 | 0.617719131561426 | 1.18787934760712 |
111 | 76.24 | 59.3615173878709 | 100.300833333333 | 0.591834737709433 | 1.28433374608409 |
112 | 88.58 | 72.2426047150293 | 98.8420833333333 | 0.730889134250637 | 1.22614626575849 |
113 | 105.83 | 99.0990292788798 | 97.2470833333333 | 1.01904371711796 | 1.06792166149457 |
114 | 115.84 | 119.629064910699 | 95.6683333333333 | 1.25045624547342 | 0.968326552468433 |
115 | 127.76 | NA | NA | 1.44245873249646 | NA |
116 | 131.75 | NA | NA | 1.38543912516858 | NA |
117 | 119.63 | NA | NA | 1.37855893208892 | NA |
118 | 93.38 | NA | NA | 1.22336684616751 | NA |
119 | 75.55 | NA | NA | 0.944944182572692 | NA |
120 | 51.79 | NA | NA | 0.762345765250131 | NA |