Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 132.8 | NA | NA | -0.577568672839512 | NA |
2 | 132.5 | NA | NA | 0.00363503086419385 | NA |
3 | 131.4 | NA | NA | -0.234753858024696 | NA |
4 | 131.4 | NA | NA | 0.113635030864193 | NA |
5 | 130.7 | NA | NA | 0.374903549382724 | NA |
6 | 131.5 | NA | NA | 0.305278549382719 | NA |
7 | 131.2 | 130.253991512346 | 130.4125 | -0.158508487654322 | 0.946008487654296 |
8 | 130.1 | 129.988838734568 | 129.983333333333 | 0.00550540123456631 | 0.111161265432116 |
9 | 130.5 | 130.242422067901 | 129.6 | 0.642422067901237 | 0.257577932098769 |
10 | 129 | 129.042315586420 | 129.104166666667 | -0.0618510802469051 | -0.0423155864197611 |
11 | 128.2 | 128.333533179012 | 128.570833333333 | -0.237300154320984 | -0.133533179012346 |
12 | 128.4 | 127.887102623457 | 128.0625 | -0.175397376543214 | 0.512897376543208 |
13 | 127.3 | 126.918264660494 | 127.495833333333 | -0.577568672839512 | 0.381735339506179 |
14 | 127.7 | 126.999468364198 | 126.995833333333 | 0.00363503086419385 | 0.700531635802477 |
15 | 127 | 126.273579475309 | 126.508333333333 | -0.234753858024696 | 0.726420524691363 |
16 | 123.9 | 126.155301697531 | 126.041666666667 | 0.113635030864193 | -2.25530169753085 |
17 | 125.4 | 125.991570216049 | 125.616666666667 | 0.374903549382724 | -0.591570216049377 |
18 | 124.6 | 125.442778549383 | 125.1375 | 0.305278549382719 | -0.842778549382714 |
19 | 124.5 | 124.466491512346 | 124.625 | -0.158508487654322 | 0.0335084876543306 |
20 | 124.8 | 124.122172067901 | 124.116666666667 | 0.00550540123456631 | 0.677827932098751 |
21 | 124.1 | 124.309088734568 | 123.666666666667 | 0.642422067901237 | -0.209088734567914 |
22 | 124.2 | 123.333982253086 | 123.395833333333 | -0.0618510802469051 | 0.866017746913613 |
23 | 122.8 | 122.975199845679 | 123.2125 | -0.237300154320984 | -0.175199845678989 |
24 | 122.3 | 122.803769290123 | 122.979166666667 | -0.175397376543214 | -0.503769290123444 |
25 | 121.1 | 122.134931327160 | 122.7125 | -0.577568672839512 | -1.03493132716049 |
26 | 121.7 | 122.361968364198 | 122.358333333333 | 0.00363503086419385 | -0.66196836419752 |
27 | 122.2 | 121.752746141975 | 121.9875 | -0.234753858024696 | 0.447253858024709 |
28 | 122.2 | 121.621968364198 | 121.508333333333 | 0.113635030864193 | 0.578031635802489 |
29 | 122.7 | 121.283236882716 | 120.908333333333 | 0.374903549382724 | 1.41676311728396 |
30 | 121.7 | 120.751111882716 | 120.445833333333 | 0.305278549382719 | 0.948888117283957 |
31 | 121 | 119.941491512346 | 120.1 | -0.158508487654322 | 1.05850848765432 |
32 | 119.8 | 119.709672067901 | 119.704166666667 | 0.00550540123456631 | 0.0903279320987735 |
33 | 120.2 | 119.746588734568 | 119.104166666667 | 0.642422067901237 | 0.453411265432109 |
34 | 116.6 | 118.342315586420 | 118.404166666667 | -0.0618510802469051 | -1.74231558641974 |
35 | 116 | 117.458533179012 | 117.695833333333 | -0.237300154320984 | -1.45853317901232 |
36 | 118 | 116.778769290123 | 116.954166666667 | -0.175397376543214 | 1.22123070987654 |
37 | 117.1 | 115.676597993827 | 116.254166666667 | -0.577568672839512 | 1.42340200617284 |
38 | 116.2 | 115.624468364198 | 115.620833333333 | 0.00363503086419385 | 0.575531635802477 |
39 | 113.3 | 114.769412808642 | 115.004166666667 | -0.234753858024696 | -1.46941280864196 |
40 | 114.3 | 114.646968364198 | 114.533333333333 | 0.113635030864193 | -0.346968364197537 |
41 | 113.6 | 114.587403549383 | 114.2125 | 0.374903549382724 | -0.987403549382705 |
42 | 113 | 114.051111882716 | 113.745833333333 | 0.305278549382719 | -1.05111188271604 |
43 | 112.9 | 112.987324845679 | 113.145833333333 | -0.158508487654322 | -0.0873248456789923 |
44 | 112.7 | 112.518005401235 | 112.5125 | 0.00550540123456631 | 0.181994598765442 |
45 | 112.5 | 112.654922067901 | 112.0125 | 0.642422067901237 | -0.154922067901225 |
46 | 113 | 111.567315586420 | 111.629166666667 | -0.0618510802469051 | 1.43268441358023 |
47 | 111.9 | 110.975199845679 | 111.2125 | -0.237300154320984 | 0.924800154320991 |
48 | 110.9 | 110.699602623457 | 110.875 | -0.175397376543214 | 0.200397376543222 |
49 | 109.8 | 110.076597993827 | 110.654166666667 | -0.577568672839512 | -0.276597993827153 |
50 | 108.3 | 110.457801697531 | 110.454166666667 | 0.00363503086419385 | -2.15780169753087 |
51 | 109.2 | 109.986079475309 | 110.220833333333 | -0.234753858024696 | -0.786079475308654 |
52 | 109.2 | 110.067801697531 | 109.954166666667 | 0.113635030864193 | -0.867801697530865 |
53 | 108.7 | 110.137403549383 | 109.7625 | 0.374903549382724 | -1.43740354938271 |
54 | 109.8 | 110.051111882716 | 109.745833333333 | 0.305278549382719 | -0.25111188271606 |
55 | 110.8 | 109.753991512346 | 109.9125 | -0.158508487654322 | 1.04600848765433 |
56 | 110 | 110.305505401235 | 110.3 | 0.00550540123456631 | -0.305505401234569 |
57 | 109.6 | 111.396588734568 | 110.754166666667 | 0.642422067901237 | -1.79658873456789 |
58 | 109.5 | 111.088148919753 | 111.15 | -0.0618510802469051 | -1.58814891975308 |
59 | 110.8 | 111.266866512346 | 111.504166666667 | -0.237300154320984 | -0.466866512345675 |
60 | 111.6 | 111.612102623457 | 111.7875 | -0.175397376543214 | -0.0121026234567978 |
61 | 113.1 | 111.359931327160 | 111.9375 | -0.577568672839512 | 1.74006867283951 |
62 | 114.3 | 111.999468364198 | 111.995833333333 | 0.00363503086419385 | 2.30053163580249 |
63 | 114.1 | 111.823579475309 | 112.058333333333 | -0.234753858024696 | 2.27642052469137 |
64 | 113.8 | 112.213635030864 | 112.1 | 0.113635030864193 | 1.58636496913583 |
65 | 112.6 | 112.449903549383 | 112.075 | 0.374903549382724 | 0.150096450617298 |
66 | 112.7 | 112.334445216049 | 112.029166666667 | 0.305278549382719 | 0.3655547839506 |
67 | 111.5 | 111.687324845679 | 111.845833333333 | -0.158508487654322 | -0.187324845679044 |
68 | 110.7 | 111.426338734568 | 111.420833333333 | 0.00550540123456631 | -0.726338734567904 |
69 | 110.4 | 111.521588734568 | 110.879166666667 | 0.642422067901237 | -1.12158873456788 |
70 | 109.7 | 110.317315586420 | 110.379166666667 | -0.0618510802469051 | -0.617315586419735 |
71 | 110 | 109.833533179012 | 110.070833333333 | -0.237300154320984 | 0.166466820987665 |
72 | 111.3 | 109.699602623457 | 109.875 | -0.175397376543214 | 1.60039737654321 |
73 | 109 | 109.114097993827 | 109.691666666667 | -0.577568672839512 | -0.114097993827144 |
74 | 108.2 | 109.561968364198 | 109.558333333333 | 0.00363503086419385 | -1.36196836419752 |
75 | 107.2 | 109.231912808642 | 109.466666666667 | -0.234753858024696 | -2.03191280864196 |
76 | 108.7 | 109.534468364198 | 109.420833333333 | 0.113635030864193 | -0.834468364197534 |
77 | 110.3 | 109.845736882716 | 109.470833333333 | 0.374903549382724 | 0.454263117283958 |
78 | 110.3 | 109.776111882716 | 109.470833333333 | 0.305278549382719 | 0.523888117283946 |
79 | 109.5 | 109.278991512346 | 109.4375 | -0.158508487654322 | 0.221008487654316 |
80 | 109.5 | 109.567713734568 | 109.562208333333 | 0.00550540123456631 | -0.0677137345679029 |
81 | 109.4 | 110.391630401235 | 109.749208333333 | 0.642422067901237 | -0.99163040123456 |
82 | 109.6 | 109.745273919753 | 109.807125 | -0.0618510802469051 | -0.145273919753080 |
83 | 111.3 | 109.457074845679 | 109.694375 | -0.237300154320984 | 1.84292515432098 |
84 | 110 | 109.288519290123 | 109.463916666667 | -0.175397376543214 | 0.71148070987654 |
85 | 109.5 | 108.567514660494 | 109.145083333333 | -0.577568672839512 | 0.932485339506187 |
86 | 110.693 | 108.939926697531 | 108.936291666667 | 0.00363503086419385 | 1.75307330246913 |
87 | 109.195 | 108.743329475309 | 108.978083333333 | -0.234753858024696 | 0.451670524691366 |
88 | 108.095 | 109.168093364198 | 109.054458333333 | 0.113635030864193 | -1.07309336419753 |
89 | 108.199 | 109.352736882716 | 108.977833333333 | 0.374903549382724 | -1.15373688271605 |
90 | 106.87 | 109.202070216049 | 108.896791666667 | 0.305278549382719 | -2.33207021604936 |
91 | 105.278 | 108.803324845679 | 108.961833333333 | -0.158508487654322 | -3.52532484567901 |
92 | 108.711 | 109.036755401235 | 109.03125 | 0.00550540123456631 | -0.325755401234559 |
93 | 111.192 | 109.723047067901 | 109.080625 | 0.642422067901237 | 1.46895293209876 |
94 | 109.641 | 109.219440586420 | 109.281291666667 | -0.0618510802469051 | 0.421559413580255 |
95 | 109.42 | 109.325908179012 | 109.563208333333 | -0.237300154320984 | 0.0940918209876713 |
96 | 109.935 | 109.711352623457 | 109.88675 | -0.175397376543214 | 0.223647376543227 |
97 | 111.126 | 109.784181327160 | 110.36175 | -0.577568672839512 | 1.34181867283952 |
98 | 110.733 | 110.741468364198 | 110.737833333333 | 0.00363503086419385 | -0.00846836419749764 |
99 | 110.34 | 110.755871141975 | 110.990625 | -0.234753858024696 | -0.415871141975302 |
100 | 111.766 | 111.361551697531 | 111.247916666667 | 0.113635030864193 | 0.404448302469149 |
101 | 111.294 | 111.776445216049 | 111.401541666667 | 0.374903549382724 | -0.482445216049399 |
102 | 111.54 | 111.716903549383 | 111.411625 | 0.305278549382719 | -0.176903549382700 |
103 | 112.008 | 111.059074845679 | 111.217583333333 | -0.158508487654322 | 0.94892515432096 |
104 | 111.007 | 111.098130401235 | 111.092625 | 0.00550540123456631 | -0.0911304012345653 |
105 | 114.963 | 111.870088734568 | 111.227666666667 | 0.642422067901237 | 3.09291126543208 |
106 | 112.045 | 111.418357253086 | 111.480208333333 | -0.0618510802469051 | 0.626642746913575 |
107 | 110.703 | 111.548116512346 | 111.785416666667 | -0.237300154320984 | -0.845116512345683 |
108 | 108.894 | 111.924144290123 | 112.099541666667 | -0.175397376543214 | -3.03014429012345 |
109 | 107.51 | 111.688181327160 | 112.26575 | -0.577568672839512 | -4.17818132716047 |
110 | 111.35 | 112.273760030864 | 112.270125 | 0.00363503086419385 | -0.923760030864202 |
111 | 112.964 | 111.946787808642 | 112.181541666667 | -0.234753858024696 | 1.01721219135804 |
112 | 115.203 | 112.178510030864 | 112.064875 | 0.113635030864193 | 3.02448996913581 |
113 | 115.182 | 112.334861882716 | 111.959958333333 | 0.374903549382724 | 2.84713811728395 |
114 | 115.191 | 112.159653549383 | 111.854375 | 0.305278549382719 | 3.03134645061728 |
115 | 112.346 | 111.638283179012 | 111.796791666667 | -0.158508487654322 | 0.707716820987642 |
116 | 110.774 | NA | NA | 0.00550540123456631 | NA |
117 | 113.07 | NA | NA | 0.642422067901237 | NA |
118 | 111.138 | NA | NA | -0.0618510802469051 | NA |
119 | 109.092 | NA | NA | -0.237300154320984 | NA |
120 | 107.971 | NA | NA | -0.175397376543214 | NA |
121 | 107.051 | NA | NA | NA | NA |