Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 18288.3 | NA | NA | 1364.43969907407 | NA |
2 | 16049 | NA | NA | 23.6855324074068 | NA |
3 | 16764.5 | NA | NA | 99.1049768518524 | NA |
4 | 17880.2 | NA | NA | 1604.79594907407 | NA |
5 | 16555.9 | NA | NA | -423.15613425926 | NA |
6 | 16087.1 | NA | NA | -564.80335648148 | NA |
7 | 16373.5 | 17548.6501157407 | 18701.7833333333 | -1153.13321759259 | -1175.15011574074 |
8 | 17842.2 | 19149.7181712963 | 19156.1791666667 | -6.46099537037110 | -1307.51817129630 |
9 | 22321.5 | 20282.6334490741 | 19634.6083333333 | 648.025115740739 | 2038.86655092593 |
10 | 22786.7 | 21134.5146990741 | 20038.025 | 1096.48969907407 | 1652.18530092592 |
11 | 18274.1 | 18568.7126157407 | 20375.625 | -1806.91238425926 | -294.612615740742 |
12 | 22392.9 | 19886.3667824074 | 20768.4416666667 | -882.07488425926 | 2506.53321759259 |
13 | 23899.3 | 22396.3521990741 | 21031.9125 | 1364.43969907407 | 1502.94780092592 |
14 | 21343.5 | 21235.8480324074 | 21212.1625 | 23.6855324074068 | 107.651967592596 |
15 | 22952.3 | 21422.1258101852 | 21323.0208333333 | 99.1049768518524 | 1530.17418981481 |
16 | 21374.4 | 22797.2084490741 | 21192.4125 | 1604.79594907407 | -1422.80844907408 |
17 | 21164.1 | 20622.9313657407 | 21046.0875 | -423.15613425926 | 541.168634259258 |
18 | 20906.5 | 20344.1424768519 | 20908.9458333333 | -564.80335648148 | 562.357523148148 |
19 | 17877.4 | 19513.8292824074 | 20666.9625 | -1153.13321759259 | -1636.42928240740 |
20 | 20664.3 | 20469.8640046296 | 20476.325 | -6.46099537037110 | 194.435995370372 |
21 | 22160 | 20879.4292824074 | 20231.4041666667 | 648.025115740739 | 1280.57071759259 |
22 | 19813.6 | 21145.3313657407 | 20048.8416666667 | 1096.48969907407 | -1331.73136574074 |
23 | 17735.4 | 18133.0209490741 | 19939.9333333333 | -1806.91238425926 | -397.620949074073 |
24 | 19640.2 | 18867.3459490741 | 19749.4208333333 | -882.07488425926 | 772.854050925926 |
25 | 20844.4 | 21009.0146990741 | 19644.575 | 1364.43969907407 | -164.614699074074 |
26 | 19823.1 | 19616.7146990741 | 19593.0291666667 | 23.6855324074068 | 206.385300925926 |
27 | 18594.6 | 19570.0091435185 | 19470.9041666667 | 99.1049768518524 | -975.409143518518 |
28 | 21350.6 | 20968.3292824074 | 19363.5333333333 | 1604.79594907407 | 382.27071759259 |
29 | 18574.1 | 18860.4188657407 | 19283.575 | -423.15613425926 | -286.318865740737 |
30 | 18924.2 | 18567.3008101852 | 19132.1041666667 | -564.80335648148 | 356.899189814812 |
31 | 17343.4 | 17849.2084490741 | 19002.3416666667 | -1153.13321759259 | -505.808449074069 |
32 | 19961.2 | 18936.1890046296 | 18942.65 | -6.46099537037110 | 1025.01099537037 |
33 | 19932.1 | 19515.3334490741 | 18867.3083333333 | 648.025115740739 | 416.766550925924 |
34 | 19464.6 | 19892.8480324074 | 18796.3583333333 | 1096.48969907407 | -428.24803240741 |
35 | 16165.4 | 16943.5917824074 | 18750.5041666667 | -1806.91238425926 | -778.191782407408 |
36 | 17574.9 | 17775.4709490741 | 18657.5458333333 | -882.07488425926 | -200.570949074074 |
37 | 19795.4 | 19992.3271990741 | 18627.8875 | 1364.43969907407 | -196.927199074074 |
38 | 19439.5 | 18644.3146990741 | 18620.6291666667 | 23.6855324074068 | 795.185300925928 |
39 | 17170 | 18592.3716435185 | 18493.2666666667 | 99.1049768518524 | -1422.37164351852 |
40 | 21072.4 | 19996.0584490741 | 18391.2625 | 1604.79594907407 | 1076.34155092592 |
41 | 17751.8 | 17914.5105324074 | 18337.6666666667 | -423.15613425926 | -162.710532407407 |
42 | 17515.5 | 17675.3383101852 | 18240.1416666667 | -564.80335648148 | -159.838310185183 |
43 | 18040.3 | 16981.7709490741 | 18134.9041666667 | -1153.13321759259 | 1058.52905092592 |
44 | 19090.1 | 17985.1515046296 | 17991.6125 | -6.46099537037110 | 1104.94849537037 |
45 | 17746.5 | 18574.5792824074 | 17926.5541666667 | 648.025115740739 | -828.079282407409 |
46 | 19202.1 | 18969.7021990741 | 17873.2125 | 1096.48969907407 | 232.397800925923 |
47 | 15141.6 | 15936.4209490741 | 17743.3333333333 | -1806.91238425926 | -794.820949074074 |
48 | 16258.1 | 16749.0709490741 | 17631.1458333333 | -882.07488425926 | -490.970949074072 |
49 | 18586.5 | 18876.4146990741 | 17511.975 | 1364.43969907407 | -289.914699074074 |
50 | 17209.4 | 17410.4980324074 | 17386.8125 | 23.6855324074068 | -201.098032407404 |
51 | 17838.7 | 17421.6424768519 | 17322.5375 | 99.1049768518524 | 417.057523148149 |
52 | 19123.5 | 18875.1084490741 | 17270.3125 | 1604.79594907407 | 248.391550925920 |
53 | 16583.6 | 16736.5730324074 | 17159.7291666667 | -423.15613425926 | -152.973032407408 |
54 | 15991.2 | 16527.4091435185 | 17092.2125 | -564.80335648148 | -536.209143518518 |
55 | 16704.5 | 15894.8584490741 | 17047.9916666667 | -1153.13321759259 | 809.641550925924 |
56 | 17422 | 16937.1515046296 | 16943.6125 | -6.46099537037110 | 484.84849537037 |
57 | 17872 | 17456.2876157407 | 16808.2625 | 648.025115740739 | 415.712384259259 |
58 | 17823.2 | 17793.1313657407 | 16696.6416666667 | 1096.48969907407 | 30.0686342592599 |
59 | 13866.5 | 14785.6709490741 | 16592.5833333333 | -1806.91238425926 | -919.170949074074 |
60 | 15912.8 | 15598.6042824074 | 16480.6791666667 | -882.07488425926 | 314.195717592593 |
61 | 17870.5 | 17709.6438657407 | 16345.2041666667 | 1364.43969907407 | 160.856134259258 |
62 | 15420.3 | 16189.8646990741 | 16166.1791666667 | 23.6855324074068 | -769.564699074075 |
63 | 16379.4 | 16115.3424768518 | 16016.2375 | 99.1049768518524 | 264.057523148151 |
64 | 17903.9 | 17509.1542824074 | 15904.3583333333 | 1604.79594907407 | 394.745717592597 |
65 | 15305.8 | 15326.9355324074 | 15750.0916666667 | -423.15613425926 | -21.1355324074066 |
66 | 14583.3 | 15061.3799768519 | 15626.1833333333 | -564.80335648148 | -478.079976851852 |
67 | 14861 | 14339.2251157407 | 15492.3583333333 | -1153.13321759259 | 521.774884259261 |
68 | 14968.9 | 15366.5556712963 | 15373.0166666667 | -6.46099537037110 | -397.655671296296 |
69 | 16726.5 | 15959.7001157407 | 15311.675 | 648.025115740739 | 766.799884259261 |
70 | 16283.6 | 16286.7230324074 | 15190.2333333333 | 1096.48969907407 | -3.12303240740403 |
71 | 11703.7 | 13279.7167824074 | 15086.6291666667 | -1806.91238425926 | -1576.01678240741 |
72 | 15101.8 | 14188.0917824074 | 15070.1666666667 | -882.07488425926 | 913.708217592592 |
73 | 15469.7 | 16392.2813657407 | 15027.8416666667 | 1364.43969907407 | -922.581365740738 |
74 | 14956.9 | 15005.6938657407 | 14982.0083333333 | 23.6855324074068 | -48.7938657407431 |
75 | 15370.6 | 15094.3424768519 | 14995.2375 | 99.1049768518524 | 276.257523148148 |
76 | 15998.1 | 16587.2751157407 | 14982.4791666667 | 1604.79594907407 | -589.175115740738 |
77 | 14725.1 | 14553.3646990741 | 14976.5208333333 | -423.15613425926 | 171.735300925928 |
78 | 14768.9 | 14424.2633101852 | 14989.0666666667 | -564.80335648148 | 344.636689814814 |
79 | 13659.6 | 13817.5417824074 | 14970.675 | -1153.13321759259 | -157.941782407406 |
80 | 15070.3 | NA | NA | -6.46099537037110 | NA |
81 | 16942.6 | NA | NA | 648.025115740739 | NA |
82 | 15761.3 | NA | NA | 1096.48969907407 | NA |
83 | 12083 | NA | NA | -1806.91238425926 | NA |
84 | 15023.6 | NA | NA | -882.07488425926 | NA |
85 | 15106.5 | NA | NA | NA | NA |