Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 357704 | NA | NA | 1.14598247101246 | NA |
2 | 281463 | NA | NA | 0.901957858125932 | NA |
3 | 282445 | NA | NA | 0.891855154779054 | NA |
4 | 319107 | NA | NA | 1.00535075315857 | NA |
5 | 315278 | NA | NA | 0.987498053952509 | NA |
6 | 328499 | NA | NA | 1.04916044887786 | NA |
7 | 321151 | 326851.658421699 | 319309.083333333 | 1.02362154878160 | 0.98255888175931 |
8 | 328025 | 328904.470378775 | 321007.416666667 | 1.02460084503377 | 0.997326061340054 |
9 | 326280 | 334762.292088832 | 322004.208333333 | 1.03962086030345 | 0.97466174569452 |
10 | 313444 | 312052.247687432 | 323342.291666667 | 0.965083305616965 | 1.00445999771795 |
11 | 319639 | 318150.420003593 | 325003.375 | 0.978914203594327 | 1.00467885598388 |
12 | 324067 | 322077.251793572 | 326532.958333333 | 0.986354496763502 | 1.00617786011073 |
13 | 386918 | 376399.327332862 | 328451.208333333 | 1.14598247101246 | 1.02794551398822 |
14 | 293009 | 298230.336384159 | 330647.75 | 0.901957858125932 | 0.982492269406715 |
15 | 294822 | 296826.972489145 | 332819.708333333 | 0.891855154779054 | 0.993245315705876 |
16 | 338844 | 336620.210322799 | 334828.625 | 1.00535075315857 | 1.00660622746052 |
17 | 335407 | 332096.007001751 | 336300.416666667 | 0.987498053952509 | 1.00996998737847 |
18 | 345080 | 354367.9741295 | 337763.375 | 1.04916044887786 | 0.973790029552428 |
19 | 350608 | 347323.577586556 | 339308.583333333 | 1.02362154878160 | 1.00945637620189 |
20 | 351285 | 349484.901794036 | 341093.708333333 | 1.02460084503377 | 1.00515071809032 |
21 | 355147 | 356497.775367804 | 342911.333333333 | 1.03962086030345 | 0.996210985141743 |
22 | 332791 | 332602.409902804 | 344635.958333333 | 0.965083305616965 | 1.00056701362221 |
23 | 335615 | 338947.12595422 | 346248.041666667 | 0.978914203594327 | 0.990169186580829 |
24 | 343202 | 343343.917803978 | 348093.833333333 | 0.986354496763502 | 0.999586659915557 |
25 | 404868 | 401009.062151506 | 349926 | 1.14598247101246 | 1.00962306893463 |
26 | 317902 | 316598.858491203 | 351012.916666667 | 0.901957858125932 | 1.00411606508946 |
27 | 313552 | 314179.203665578 | 352276.041666667 | 0.891855154779054 | 0.998003675423898 |
28 | 361505 | 355530.229645491 | 353638 | 1.00535075315857 | 1.01680523864445 |
29 | 351436 | 350256.096213938 | 354690.416666667 | 0.987498053952509 | 1.00336868879319 |
30 | 373350 | 373237.037372531 | 355748.291666667 | 1.04916044887786 | 1.00030265653233 |
31 | 366310 | 365212.558376655 | 356784.75 | 1.02362154878160 | 1.00300493944738 |
32 | 361669 | 366508.559450869 | 357708.625 | 1.02460084503377 | 0.986795507700776 |
33 | 375078 | 372720.842305160 | 358516.125 | 1.03962086030345 | 1.00632419072747 |
34 | 345547 | 346855.081854591 | 359404.291666667 | 0.965083305616965 | 0.996228736659713 |
35 | 348117 | 352599.308166098 | 360194.291666667 | 0.978914203594327 | 0.987287813497393 |
36 | 356089 | 356297.505919453 | 361226.625 | 0.986354496763502 | 0.999414798262718 |
37 | 416856 | 415296.264363967 | 362393.208333333 | 1.14598247101246 | 1.00375571795336 |
38 | 328087 | 327624.053114738 | 363236.541666667 | 0.901957858125932 | 1.00141304303167 |
39 | 322747 | 324785.368129999 | 364168.291666667 | 0.891855154779054 | 0.993723953324206 |
40 | 373626 | 366946.071226836 | 364993.083333333 | 1.00535075315857 | 1.01820411580053 |
41 | 358275 | 361555.295821776 | 366132.666666667 | 0.987498053952509 | 0.990927263797035 |
42 | 391287 | 385901.103430786 | 367818.958333333 | 1.04916044887786 | 1.01395667574239 |
43 | 376371 | 377751.11198217 | 369033.958333333 | 1.02362154878160 | 0.996346504514763 |
44 | 371848 | 379074.392289469 | 369972.75 | 1.02460084503377 | 0.980936743719818 |
45 | 387261 | 386165.652445963 | 371448.541666667 | 1.03962086030345 | 1.00283647068842 |
46 | 353159 | 359334.332808697 | 372335.041666667 | 0.965083305616965 | 0.982814520503988 |
47 | 367855 | 364966.583909574 | 372827.958333333 | 0.978914203594327 | 1.00791419329267 |
48 | 376822 | 368585.551338237 | 373684.666666667 | 0.986354496763502 | 1.02234609748499 |
49 | 425283 | 428844.976372399 | 374216 | 1.14598247101246 | 0.991694023321599 |
50 | 342191 | 338208.077600916 | 374971.041666667 | 0.901957858125932 | 1.01177654427220 |
51 | 344062 | 334850.845406835 | 375454.291666667 | 0.891855154779054 | 1.02750823155896 |
52 | 373587 | 377334.737565755 | 375326.458333333 | 1.00535075315857 | 0.990067870268365 |
53 | 370144 | 369976.596934379 | 374660.583333333 | 0.987498053952509 | 1.00045246933727 |
54 | 399979 | 390744.246637900 | 372435.166666667 | 1.04916044887786 | 1.02363375389800 |
55 | 380431 | 378018.789017176 | 369295.458333333 | 1.02362154878160 | 1.00638119335046 |
56 | 385909 | 375566.329762880 | 366548.916666667 | 1.02460084503377 | 1.02753886442283 |
57 | 384798 | 378100.143859121 | 363690.416666667 | 1.03962086030345 | 1.01771450302165 |
58 | 352554 | 347796.962949068 | 360380.25 | 0.965083305616965 | 1.01367762676993 |
59 | 352479 | 349786.398202069 | 357320.791666667 | 0.978914203594327 | 1.00769784591903 |
60 | 338788 | 349185.889997788 | 354016.625 | 0.986354496763502 | 0.970222479499804 |
61 | 387964 | 402147.929981344 | 350919.791666667 | 1.14598247101246 | 0.96472957107599 |
62 | 313593 | 314237.194584433 | 348394.541666667 | 0.901957858125932 | 0.99794997347375 |
63 | 304056 | 308602.730667796 | 346023.375 | 0.891855154779054 | 0.985266719260854 |
64 | 334149 | 345886.863331579 | 344045.958333333 | 1.00535075315857 | 0.96606444309992 |
65 | 336155 | 338514.620915186 | 342800.291666667 | 0.987498053952509 | 0.993029485967825 |
66 | 354668 | 359680.223202318 | 342826.708333333 | 1.04916044887786 | 0.986064779548641 |
67 | 351418 | NA | NA | 1.02362154878160 | NA |
68 | 354316 | NA | NA | 1.02460084503377 | NA |
69 | 359483 | NA | NA | 1.03962086030345 | NA |
70 | 330411 | NA | NA | 0.965083305616965 | NA |
71 | 344726 | NA | NA | 0.978914203594327 | NA |
72 | 347175 | NA | NA | 0.986354496763502 | NA |