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Author*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Modulerwasp_grangercausality.wasp
Title produced by softwareBivariate Granger Causality
Date of computationWed, 31 Mar 2010 09:38:46 +0000
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2010/Mar/31/t1270028341t773dkzvundmi7k.htm/, Retrieved Tue, 18 Jan 2022 13:46:20 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=74586, Retrieved Tue, 18 Jan 2022 13:46:20 +0000
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Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact161
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
-     [Analysis of Variance Free Statistics Software (Calculator)] [mixed ANOVA versi...] [2010-01-25 10:27:16] [98fd0e87c3eb04e0cc2efde01dbafab6]
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Dataseries X:
87.28
87.28
87.09
86.92
87.59
90.72
90.69
90.3
89.55
88.94
88.41
87.82
87.07
86.82
86.4
86.02
85.66
85.32
85
84.67
83.94
82.83
81.95
81.19
80.48
78.86
69.47
68.77
70.06
73.95
75.8
77.79
81.57
83.07
84.34
85.1
85.25
84.26
83.63
86.44
85.3
84.1
83.36
82.48
81.58
80.47
79.34
82.13
81.69
80.7
79.88
79.16
78.38
77.42
76.47
75.46
74.48
78.27
80.7
79.91
78.75
77.78
81.14
81.08
80.03
78.91
78.01
76.9
75.97
81.93
80.27
78.67
77.42
76.16
74.7
76.39
76.04
74.65
73.29
71.79
74.39
74.91
74.54
73.08
72.75
71.32
70.38
70.35
70.01
69.36
67.77
69.26
69.8
68.38
67.62
68.39
66.95
65.21
66.64
63.45
60.66
62.34
60.32
58.64
60.46
58.59
61.87
61.85
67.44
77.06
91.74
93.15
94.15
93.11
91.51
89.96
88.16
86.98
88.03
86.24
84.65
83.23
81.7
80.25
78.8
77.51
76.2
75.04
74
75.49
77.14
76.15
76.27
78.19
76.49
77.31
76.65
74.99
73.51
72.07
70.59
71.96
76.29
74.86
74.93
71.9
71.01
77.47
75.78
76.6
76.07
74.57
73.02
72.65
73.16
71.53
69.78
67.98
69.96
72.16
70.47
68.86
67.37
65.87
72.16
71.34
69.93
68.44
67.16
66.01
67.25
70.91
69.75
68.59
67.48
66.31
64.81
66.58
65.97
64.7
64.7
60.94
59.08
58.42
57.77
57.11
53.31
49.96
49.4
48.84
48.3
47.74
47.24
46.76
46.29
48.9
49.23
48.53
48.03
54.34
53.79
53.24
52.96
52.17
51.7
58.55
78.2
77.03
76.19
77.15
75.87
95.47
109.67
112.28
112.01
107.93
105.96
105.06
102.98
102.2
105.23
101.85
99.89
96.23
94.76
91.51
91.63
91.54
85.23
87.83
87.38
84.44
85.19
84.03
86.73
102.52
104.45
106.98
107.02
99.26
94.45
113.44
157.33
147.38
171.89
171.95
132.71
126.02
121.18
115.45
110.48
117.85
117.63
124.65
109.59
111.27
99.78
98.21
99.2
97.97
89.55
87.91
93.34
94.42
93.2
90.29
91.46
89.98
88.35
88.41
82.44
79.89
75.69
75.66
84.5
96.73
87.48
82.39
83.48
79.31
78.16
72.77
72.45
68.46
67.62
68.76
70.07
68.55
65.3
58.96
59.17
62.37
66.28
55.62
55.23
55.85
56.75
50.89
53.88
52.95
55.08
53.61
58.78
61.85
55.91
53.32
46.41
44.57
50
50
53.36
46.23
50.45
49.07
45.85
48.45
49.96
46.53
50.51
47.58
48.05
46.84
47.67
49.16
55.54
55.82
58.22
56.19
57.77
63.19
54.76
55.74
62.54
61.39
69.6
79.23
80
93.68
107.63
100.18
97.3
90.45
80.64
80.58
75.82
85.59
89.35
89.42
104.73
95.32
89.27
90.44
86.97
79.98
81.22
87.35
83.64
82.22
94.4
102.18
Dataseries Y:
255
280.2
299.9
339.2
374.2
393.5
389.2
381.7
375.2
369
357.4
352.1
346.5
342.9
340.3
328.3
322.9
314.3
308.9
294
285.6
281.2
280.3
278.8
274.5
270.4
263.4
259.9
258
262.7
284.7
311.3
322.1
327
331.3
333.3
321.4
327
320
314.7
316.7
314.4
321.3
318.2
307.2
301.3
287.5
277.7
274.4
258.8
253.3
251
248.4
249.5
246.1
244.5
243.6
244
240.8
249.8
248
259.4
260.5
260.8
261.3
259.5
256.6
257.9
256.5
254.2
253.3
253.8
255.5
257.1
257.3
253.2
252.8
252
250.7
252.2
250
251
253.4
251.2
255.6
261.1
258.9
259.9
261.2
264.7
267.1
266.4
267.7
268.6
267.5
268.5
268.5
270.5
270.9
270.1
269.3
269.8
270.1
264.9
263.7
264.8
263.7
255.9
276.2
360.1
380.5
373.7
369.8
366.6
359.3
345.8
326.2
324.5
328.1
327.5
324.4
316.5
310.9
301.5
291.7
290.4
287.4
277.7
281.6
288
276
272.9
283
283.3
276.8
284.5
282.7
281.2
287.4
283.1
284
285.5
289.2
292.5
296.4
305.2
303.9
311.5
316.3
316.7
322.5
317.1
309.8
303.8
290.3
293.7
291.7
296.5
289.1
288.5
293.8
297.7
305.4
302.7
302.5
303
294.5
294.1
294.5
297.1
289.4
292.4
287.9
286.6
280.5
272.4
269.2
270.6
267.3
262.5
266.8
268.8
263.1
261.2
266
262.5
265.2
261.3
253.7
249.2
239.1
236.4
235.2
245.2
246.2
247.7
251.4
253.3
254.8
250
249.3
241.5
243.3
248
253
252.9
251.5
251.6
253.5
259.8
334.1
448
445.8
445
448.2
438.2
439.8
423.4
410.8
408.4
406.7
405.9
402.7
405.1
399.6
386.5
381.4
375.2
357.7
359
355
352.7
344.4
343.8
338
339
333.3
334.4
328.3
330.7
330
331.6
351.2
389.4
410.9
442.8
462.8
466.9
461.7
439.2
430.3
416.1
402.5
397.3
403.3
395.9
387.8
378.6
377.1
370.4
362
350.3
348.2
344.6
343.5
342.8
347.6
346.6
349.5
342.1
342
342.8
339.3
348.2
333.7
334.7
354
367.7
363.3
358.4
353.1
343.1
344.6
344.4
333.9
331.7
324.3
321.2
322.4
321.7
320.5
312.8
309.7
315.6
309.7
304.6
302.5
301.5
298.8
291.3
293.6
294.6
285.9
297.6
301.1
293.8
297.7
292.9
292.1
287.2
288.2
283.8
299.9
292.4
293.3
300.8
293.7
293.1
294.4
292.1
291.9
282.5
277.9
287.5
289.2
285.6
293.2
290.8
283.1
275
287.8
287.8
287.4
284
277.8
277.6
304.9
294
300.9
324
332.9
341.6
333.4
348.2
344.7
344.7
329.3
323.5
323.2
317.4
330.1
329.2
334.9
315.8
315.4
319.6
317.3
313.8
315.8
311.3




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'George Udny Yule' @ 72.249.76.132

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 2 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'George Udny Yule' @ 72.249.76.132 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=74586&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]2 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'George Udny Yule' @ 72.249.76.132[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=74586&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=74586&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'George Udny Yule' @ 72.249.76.132







Granger Causality Test: Y = f(X)
ModelRes.DFDiff. DFFp-value
Complete model346
Reduced model350-45.415612254662330.000306470756129839

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Granger Causality Test: Y = f(X) \tabularnewline
Model & Res.DF & Diff. DF & F & p-value \tabularnewline
Complete model & 346 &  &  &  \tabularnewline
Reduced model & 350 & -4 & 5.41561225466233 & 0.000306470756129839 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=74586&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Granger Causality Test: Y = f(X)[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Model[/C][C]Res.DF[/C][C]Diff. DF[/C][C]F[/C][C]p-value[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Complete model[/C][C]346[/C][C][/C][C][/C][C][/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Reduced model[/C][C]350[/C][C]-4[/C][C]5.41561225466233[/C][C]0.000306470756129839[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=74586&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=74586&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Granger Causality Test: Y = f(X)
ModelRes.DFDiff. DFFp-value
Complete model346
Reduced model350-45.415612254662330.000306470756129839







Granger Causality Test: X = f(Y)
ModelRes.DFDiff. DFFp-value
Complete model346
Reduced model350-44.566944287903290.00131844683359551

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Granger Causality Test: X = f(Y) \tabularnewline
Model & Res.DF & Diff. DF & F & p-value \tabularnewline
Complete model & 346 &  &  &  \tabularnewline
Reduced model & 350 & -4 & 4.56694428790329 & 0.00131844683359551 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=74586&T=2

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Granger Causality Test: X = f(Y)[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Model[/C][C]Res.DF[/C][C]Diff. DF[/C][C]F[/C][C]p-value[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Complete model[/C][C]346[/C][C][/C][C][/C][C][/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Reduced model[/C][C]350[/C][C]-4[/C][C]4.56694428790329[/C][C]0.00131844683359551[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=74586&T=2

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=74586&T=2

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Granger Causality Test: X = f(Y)
ModelRes.DFDiff. DFFp-value
Complete model346
Reduced model350-44.566944287903290.00131844683359551



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = 1 ; par3 = 0 ; par4 = 12 ; par5 = 1 ; par6 = 1 ; par7 = 0 ; par8 = 4 ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = 1 ; par3 = 0 ; par4 = 12 ; par5 = 1 ; par6 = 1 ; par7 = 0 ; par8 = 4 ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(lmtest)
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
par2 <- as.numeric(par2)
par3 <- as.numeric(par3)
par4 <- as.numeric(par4)
par5 <- as.numeric(par5)
par6 <- as.numeric(par6)
par7 <- as.numeric(par7)
par8 <- as.numeric(par8)
ox <- x
oy <- y
if (par1 == 0) {
x <- log(x)
} else {
x <- (x ^ par1 - 1) / par1
}
if (par5 == 0) {
y <- log(y)
} else {
y <- (y ^ par5 - 1) / par5
}
if (par2 > 0) x <- diff(x,lag=1,difference=par2)
if (par6 > 0) y <- diff(y,lag=1,difference=par6)
if (par3 > 0) x <- diff(x,lag=par4,difference=par3)
if (par7 > 0) y <- diff(y,lag=par4,difference=par7)
x
y
(gyx <- grangertest(y ~ x, order=par8))
(gxy <- grangertest(x ~ y, order=par8))
bitmap(file='test1.png')
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1))
(r <- ccf(ox,oy,main='Cross Correlation Function (raw data)',ylab='CCF',xlab='Lag (k)'))
(r <- ccf(x,y,main='Cross Correlation Function (transformed and differenced)',ylab='CCF',xlab='Lag (k)'))
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1))
acf(ox,lag.max=round(length(x)/2),main='ACF of x (raw)')
acf(x,lag.max=round(length(x)/2),main='ACF of x (transformed and differenced)')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1))
acf(oy,lag.max=round(length(y)/2),main='ACF of y (raw)')
acf(y,lag.max=round(length(y)/2),main='ACF of y (transformed and differenced)')
par(op)
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Granger Causality Test: Y = f(X)',5,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Model',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Res.DF',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Diff. DF',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'F',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Complete model',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gyx$Res.Df[1])
a<-table.element(a,'')
a<-table.element(a,'')
a<-table.element(a,'')
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Reduced model',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gyx$Res.Df[2])
a<-table.element(a,gyx$Df[2])
a<-table.element(a,gyx$F[2])
a<-table.element(a,gyx$Pr[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Granger Causality Test: X = f(Y)',5,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Model',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Res.DF',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Diff. DF',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'F',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Complete model',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gxy$Res.Df[1])
a<-table.element(a,'')
a<-table.element(a,'')
a<-table.element(a,'')
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Reduced model',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gxy$Res.Df[2])
a<-table.element(a,gxy$Df[2])
a<-table.element(a,gxy$F[2])
a<-table.element(a,gxy$Pr[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')