Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 1664.81 | NA | NA | -6650.1614988426 | NA |
2 | 2397.53 | NA | NA | -5562.1051099537 | NA |
3 | 2840.71 | NA | NA | -691.870734953703 | NA |
4 | 3547.29 | NA | NA | -4601.86462384259 | NA |
5 | 3752.96 | NA | NA | -5074.23872106481 | NA |
6 | 3714.74 | NA | NA | -4827.4476099537 | NA |
7 | 4349.61 | 2968.49745949074 | 5421.13333333333 | -2452.63587384259 | 1381.11254050926 |
8 | 3566.34 | 3483.20190393518 | 5572.62125 | -2089.41934606482 | 83.1380960648166 |
9 | 5021.82 | 4562.48523726852 | 5872.00208333333 | -1309.51684606481 | 459.334762731482 |
10 | 6423.48 | 5681.32780671296 | 6107.13416666667 | -425.806359953704 | 742.152193287037 |
11 | 7600.6 | 12590.6803761574 | 6249.07833333333 | 6341.60204282407 | -4990.08037615741 |
12 | 19756.21 | 33733.5646817130 | 6390.1 | 27343.4646817130 | -13977.3546817130 |
13 | 2499.81 | -132.306915509261 | 6517.85458333333 | -6650.1614988426 | 2632.11691550926 |
14 | 5198.24 | 1081.38780671296 | 6643.49291666667 | -5562.1051099537 | 4116.85219328704 |
15 | 7225.14 | 6020.80634837963 | 6712.67708333333 | -691.870734953703 | 1204.33365162037 |
16 | 4806.03 | 2106.07204282407 | 6707.93666666667 | -4601.86462384259 | 2699.95795717593 |
17 | 5900.88 | 1817.49377893519 | 6891.7325 | -5074.23872106481 | 4083.38622106481 |
18 | 4951.34 | 2638.65947337963 | 7466.10708333333 | -4827.4476099537 | 2312.68052662037 |
19 | 6179.12 | 5471.9178761574 | 7924.55375 | -2452.63587384259 | 707.202123842596 |
20 | 4752.15 | 5948.53440393518 | 8037.95375 | -2089.41934606482 | -1196.38440393518 |
21 | 5496.43 | 6863.30482060185 | 8172.82166666666 | -1309.51684606481 | -1366.87482060185 |
22 | 5835.1 | 7881.64822337963 | 8307.45458333333 | -425.806359953704 | -2046.54822337963 |
23 | 12600.08 | 14694.4857928241 | 8352.88375 | 6341.60204282407 | -2094.40579282407 |
24 | 28541.72 | 35790.9738483796 | 8447.50916666667 | 27343.4646817130 | -7249.25384837963 |
25 | 4717.02 | 1916.09600115741 | 8566.2575 | -6650.1614988426 | 2800.92399884259 |
26 | 5702.63 | 3195.60947337963 | 8757.71458333333 | -5562.1051099537 | 2507.02052662037 |
27 | 9957.58 | 8336.72759837963 | 9028.59833333333 | -691.870734953703 | 1620.85240162037 |
28 | 5304.78 | 4715.57287615741 | 9317.4375 | -4601.86462384259 | 589.207123842592 |
29 | 6492.43 | 4510.16377893519 | 9584.4025 | -5074.23872106481 | 1982.26622106481 |
30 | 6630.8 | 5093.2486400463 | 9920.69625 | -4827.4476099537 | 1537.55135995371 |
31 | 7349.62 | 7748.20079282407 | 10200.8366666667 | -2452.63587384259 | -398.580792824072 |
32 | 8176.62 | 8166.25190393519 | 10255.67125 | -2089.41934606482 | 10.3680960648144 |
33 | 8573.17 | 9053.47190393519 | 10362.98875 | -1309.51684606481 | -480.301903935186 |
34 | 9690.5 | 10084.2098900463 | 10510.01625 | -425.806359953704 | -393.709890046293 |
35 | 15151.84 | 16942.5216261574 | 10600.9195833333 | 6341.60204282407 | -1790.68162615741 |
36 | 34061.01 | 38015.6609317130 | 10672.19625 | 27343.4646817130 | -3954.65093171296 |
37 | 5921.1 | 4078.93266782407 | 10729.0941666667 | -6650.1614988426 | 1842.16733217593 |
38 | 5814.58 | 5190.91530671296 | 10753.0204166667 | -5562.1051099537 | 623.664693287039 |
39 | 12421.25 | 10032.9213483796 | 10724.7920833333 | -691.870734953703 | 2388.32865162037 |
40 | 6369.77 | 6052.34787615741 | 10654.2125 | -4601.86462384259 | 317.422123842594 |
41 | 7609.12 | 5644.51627893519 | 10718.755 | -5074.23872106481 | 1964.60372106482 |
42 | 7224.75 | 5841.98322337963 | 10669.4308333333 | -4827.4476099537 | 1382.76677662037 |
43 | 8121.22 | 8006.75079282407 | 10459.3866666667 | -2452.63587384259 | 114.469207175927 |
44 | 7979.25 | 8351.68357060185 | 10441.1029166667 | -2089.41934606482 | -372.433570601848 |
45 | 8093.06 | 9042.96815393518 | 10352.485 | -1309.51684606481 | -949.908153935183 |
46 | 8476.7 | 9912.8836400463 | 10338.69 | -425.806359953704 | -1436.18364004630 |
47 | 17914.66 | 16828.8191261574 | 10487.2170833333 | 6341.60204282407 | 1085.84087384259 |
48 | 30114.41 | 38001.4309317130 | 10657.96625 | 27343.4646817130 | -7887.02093171296 |
49 | 4826.64 | 4263.64058449074 | 10913.8020833333 | -6650.1614988426 | 562.999415509259 |
50 | 6470.23 | 5673.70947337963 | 11235.8145833333 | -5562.1051099537 | 796.52052662037 |
51 | 9638.77 | 10882.1646817130 | 11574.0354166667 | -691.870734953703 | -1243.39468171296 |
52 | 8821.17 | 7333.60912615741 | 11935.47375 | -4601.86462384259 | 1487.56087384259 |
53 | 8722.37 | 7237.80336226852 | 12312.0420833333 | -5074.23872106481 | 1484.56663773148 |
54 | 10209.48 | 8270.16655671296 | 13097.6141666667 | -4827.4476099537 | 1939.31344328704 |
55 | 11276.55 | 11383.9228761574 | 13836.55875 | -2452.63587384259 | -107.372876157406 |
56 | 12552.22 | 12004.1331539352 | 14093.5525 | -2089.41934606482 | 548.086846064816 |
57 | 11637.39 | 13129.8310706019 | 14439.3479166667 | -1309.51684606481 | -1492.44107060185 |
58 | 13606.89 | 14333.7828067130 | 14759.5891666667 | -425.806359953704 | -726.89280671296 |
59 | 21822.11 | 21241.8724594907 | 14900.2704166667 | 6341.60204282407 | 580.237540509264 |
60 | 45060.69 | 42388.8517650463 | 15045.3870833333 | 27343.4646817130 | 2671.83823495370 |
61 | 7615.03 | 8742.26058449074 | 15392.4220833333 | -6650.1614988426 | -1127.23058449074 |
62 | 9849.69 | 10363.3428067130 | 15925.4479166667 | -5562.1051099537 | -513.652806712958 |
63 | 14558.4 | 16051.5930150463 | 16743.46375 | -691.870734953703 | -1493.19301504630 |
64 | 11587.33 | 13144.9512094907 | 17746.8158333333 | -4601.86462384259 | -1557.62120949074 |
65 | 9332.56 | 13755.3750289352 | 18829.61375 | -5074.23872106481 | -4422.81502893518 |
66 | 13082.09 | 16079.8207233796 | 20907.2683333333 | -4827.4476099537 | -2997.73072337963 |
67 | 16732.78 | 20050.0170428241 | 22502.6529166667 | -2452.63587384259 | -3317.23704282408 |
68 | 19888.61 | 20581.7919039352 | 22671.21125 | -2089.41934606482 | -693.181903935183 |
69 | 23933.38 | 21723.5956539352 | 23033.1125 | -1309.51684606481 | 2209.78434606482 |
70 | 25391.35 | 23150.5744733796 | 23576.3808333333 | -425.806359953704 | 2240.77552662037 |
71 | 36024.8 | 30436.1174594907 | 24094.5154166667 | 6341.60204282407 | 5588.68254050926 |
72 | 80721.71 | 51945.674681713 | 24602.21 | 27343.4646817130 | 28776.0353182870 |
73 | 10243.24 | 18574.6239178241 | 25224.7854166667 | -6650.1614988426 | -8331.38391782407 |
74 | 11266.88 | 20417.6919733796 | 25979.7970833333 | -5562.1051099537 | -9150.81197337963 |
75 | 21826.84 | 25924.1738483796 | 26616.0445833333 | -691.870734953703 | -4097.33384837963 |
76 | 17357.33 | 22514.2637094907 | 27116.1283333333 | -4601.86462384259 | -5156.93370949074 |
77 | 15997.79 | 22710.2046122685 | 27784.4433333333 | -5074.23872106481 | -6712.41461226851 |
78 | 18601.53 | 24396.5182233796 | 29223.9658333333 | -4827.4476099537 | -5794.98822337962 |
79 | 26155.15 | NA | NA | -2452.63587384259 | NA |
80 | 28586.52 | NA | NA | -2089.41934606482 | NA |
81 | 30505.41 | NA | NA | -1309.51684606481 | NA |
82 | 30821.33 | NA | NA | -425.806359953704 | NA |
83 | 46634.38 | NA | NA | 6341.60204282407 | NA |
84 | 104660.67 | NA | NA | 27343.4646817130 | NA |