Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.731166173353888
beta0
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
130.460.466830516713388-0.00683051671338769
140.460.461427505600215-0.00142750560021521
150.450.449972241469992.77585300099692e-05
160.450.450404624744055-0.000404624744055115
170.460.461375566736432-0.00137556673643241
180.460.461642562585364-0.00164256258536388
190.460.4541468750940090.00585312490599121
200.460.4579908247943750.00200917520562460
210.460.4594351189137580.000564881086241864
220.440.460236399386104-0.0202363993861041
230.440.445377537437643-0.00537753743764258
240.430.431592291510087-0.00159229151008661
250.440.4282538417944430.0117461582055569
260.440.4377700755170250.00222992448297515
270.440.4297743882757880.0102256117242123
280.440.4375037725917210.00249622740827943
290.440.450043144789146-0.0100431447891458
300.440.443807166053091-0.00380716605309078
310.440.4368546144696460.00314538553035443
320.440.4376934890968540.00230651090314604
330.440.4389289984797390.00107100152026091
340.440.4345101319146430.00548986808535729
350.440.442425766086351-0.00242576608635148
360.430.431803936589844-0.00180393658984418
370.430.431837409477797-0.00183740947779731
380.420.428869689010611-0.00886968901061114
390.420.415112972282290.00488702771771032
400.420.4168874958303280.00311250416967246
410.420.426056944620637-0.00605694462063683
420.420.424236971520616-0.00423697152061631
430.420.4188797223171820.00112027768281830
440.420.4180300096710730.00196999032892742
450.420.4186647337426060.00133526625739361
460.420.4157420950061350.00425790499386514
470.420.420480813730523-0.000480813730522611
480.420.4117830379481390.00821696205186068
490.420.4190595054603760.000940494539623749
500.420.4162509578515640.0037490421484358
510.420.415413339090620.00458666090938031
520.410.416489742659472-0.00648974265947211
530.410.416045043366751-0.00604504336675132
540.410.414628009118193-0.00462800911819339
550.410.410415342127111-0.000415342127110863
560.410.4086738116636320.00132618833636827
570.410.4086594194658730.00134058053412711
580.410.4065639807533930.00343601924660725
590.410.4093858957913720.000614104208627952
600.410.4039112804136890.00608871958631058
610.410.4076596645728260.00234033542717355
620.410.4066612356821440.00333876431785562
630.410.4057942075558570.00420579244414276
640.410.4037017376234760.00629826237652359
650.410.412685999968824-0.00268599996882368
660.410.414103841193898-0.00410384119389845
670.410.411411052462003-0.00141105246200296
680.410.4094090966564360.000590903343563487
690.410.4088599880647250.00114001193527502
700.410.4071764963436240.00282350365637624
710.410.408790257229720.00120974277028024
720.410.4052076257377020.00479237426229845


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
730.4069993132016950.3969881261708020.417010500232588
740.4045615778591240.3921724816276390.416950674090608
750.4015024369181960.3871459251733210.415858948663071
760.3969486802992990.3809156648395110.412981695759087
770.3988073819228210.3810892685206660.416525495324976
780.4016841292967610.3823690957234460.420999162870076
790.4026685086845830.3819247876008680.423412229768297
800.4022215173964030.380189041679570.424253993113235
810.4013792804699370.3781430676243790.424615493315496
820.3993280525347510.3750062060721740.423649898997329
830.3984331124943450.3730141269883990.42385209800029
840.394981904427651-7.66118020577148.4511440146267