Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.900361087365125
beta0.157393226075154
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
132.432.45106837606838-0.0210683760683770
142.422.419815829452030.000184170547967710
152.412.406474347760390.00352565223960877
162.422.415807695599080.00419230440092111
172.392.385918698978870.00408130102113136
182.42.396508123407180.00349187659282268
192.392.40456168941889-0.0145616894188882
202.42.388463646044670.0115363539553281
212.412.387914757259390.0220852427406060
222.412.409576726791990.000423273208014052
232.412.403045084239650.00695491576034746
242.412.42337986471044-0.0133798647104402
252.422.410577366231440.00942263376856367
262.432.414274115830340.0157258841696613
272.432.422839954403730.00716004559627015
282.432.44360825013825-0.0136082501382502
292.442.403254993978210.0367450060217869
302.422.45339734278777-0.0333973427877710
312.442.431413380042670.00858661995733367
322.422.44701284489899-0.0270128448989913
332.422.415599292541930.00440070745806898
342.422.419466786272140.000533213727855308
352.432.413986882103350.0160131178966529
362.442.44203677083343-0.00203677083342546
372.432.44491219797826-0.0149121979782634
382.442.427071383232130.0129286167678688
392.442.431613299633310.0083867003666911
402.452.4509386467256-0.000938646725600734
412.452.428327120527820.0216728794721806
422.432.45709169193994-0.0270916919399391
432.442.44504339288516-0.00504339288516498
442.452.44296737807560.00703262192440146
452.462.44830520509970.0116947949002988
462.442.46235646261533-0.0223564626153276
472.432.43856807665296-0.0085680766529559
482.422.43996221513687-0.0199622151368728
492.412.42014982038177-0.0101498203817703
502.432.40478021783520.0252197821647990
512.412.41708718398364-0.00708718398364105
522.432.416509579066540.0134904209334632
532.432.40614546437380.0238545356261985
542.442.429327681896570.0106723181034329
552.432.45614127886923-0.0261412788692317
562.442.435946774862290.00405322513770656
572.432.43831837567344-0.00831837567343552
582.442.427373414633570.0126265853664287
592.442.437829428795360.00217057120464359
602.432.4506518752853-0.0206518752853011
612.432.43399344837853-0.00399344837852489
622.432.43136063103556-0.00136063103555939
632.432.416419505226810.0135804947731857
642.442.439332344930770.000667655069228168
652.472.419470397073180.0505296029268201
662.482.470151105934110.00984889406589273
672.492.49723332970381-0.00723332970381296
682.52.50442888684123-0.004428886841227
692.512.504086356829780.00591364317021581
702.492.51621464035644-0.0262146403564376
712.492.49332583718102-0.00332583718102297
722.482.50081476438049-0.0208147643804906
732.482.48753565957262-0.00753565957262392
742.482.48334008836706-0.00334008836706134
752.52.469189127578970.0308108724210334
762.52.50985431087844-0.00985431087844457
772.52.487521312392870.0124786876071328
782.52.496531180750690.00346881924931042
792.52.51190495870566-0.0119049587056574
802.482.51024975401399-0.0302497540139908
812.492.479106503808140.0108934961918634
822.482.48463979002433-0.00463979002432513
832.52.478636709980430.0213632900195657
842.52.50529085526093-0.00529085526092743
852.492.50819056065946-0.0181905606594572
862.482.49418843034905-0.0141884303490531
872.472.47150413971845-0.00150413971844499
882.462.47227425528616-0.0122742552861648
892.432.44289668298617-0.0128966829861699
902.422.417474873429620.00252512657037984
912.432.419646481146740.0103535188532646
922.452.428537673744260.0214623262557447
932.452.447715179724980.00228482027501853
942.462.442391630234260.0176083697657399
952.442.46060545010448-0.0206054501044814
962.452.442463967732280.00753603226772137
972.452.45309208148258-0.00309208148258167
982.422.45268730938122-0.0326873093812163
992.412.41159421423757-0.00159421423756534
1002.392.40818036048418-0.0181803604841848
1012.392.369556437226260.0204435627737425
1022.382.376547465060490.00345253493950493
1032.372.38132347653303-0.0113234765330308
1042.372.36972194136280.000278058637201095
1052.382.362830618991790.0171693810082090
1062.392.369460160375130.0205398396248695
1072.412.383945988706020.0260540112939807
1082.422.414671213592330.00532878640766699
1092.482.425992602081240.0540073979187623
1102.532.485880318994390.0441196810056139
1112.562.539754882553910.0202451174460863
1122.562.58016210654684-0.0201621065468354
1132.532.56913192617182-0.0391319261718244
1142.572.537877632272080.0321223677279168
1152.562.58814450077408-0.0281445007740806
1162.572.58132013547017-0.0113201354701720
1172.582.58279189600329-0.00279189600329000
1182.572.58607879445085-0.0160787944508543
1192.62.577248687372020.0227513126279781
1202.632.611571855880400.0184281441195968
1212.722.650030603722910.0699693962770889
1222.832.736059591491730.0939404085082711
1232.92.852227005876150.0477729941238461
1242.922.93710916464554-0.0171091646455368
1252.942.95108627446372-0.0110862744637235
1262.952.98030593665009-0.0303059366500880
1272.982.98763614517666-0.00763614517666156
1283.023.02313560213474-0.00313560213474151
1293.163.056168514204260.103831485795738
1303.23.19258311413710.00741688586290401
1313.183.25055823275868-0.0705582327586756
1323.173.22899703712107-0.0589970371210691


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
1333.220467374890363.172684297028313.26825045275241
1343.253558367859593.184546737520153.32256999819903
1353.274904339798723.185673298087113.36413538151033
1363.297897736591583.188473577371363.4073218958118
1373.317892909748483.187936333873953.447849485623
1383.346763762965953.195770131234473.49775739469743
1393.379518294675173.20690182589273.55213476345763
1403.419302836311933.224437446696393.61416822592747
1413.463222722834193.245463672066353.68098177360203
1423.479236527099803.237932567949943.72054048624967
1433.504405041599223.238905488599863.76990459459859
1443.539163164530423.248822083974663.82950424508619