Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[28])
24216.4-------
25217.5-------
26218.6-------
27220.4-------
28221.8-------
29222.5223.0667221.6189224.51350.22130.956910.9569
30223.4224.1385221.9779226.2970.25120.931610.9831
31225.5225.4052222.2591228.54680.47640.89450.99910.9877
32226.5226.6538222.6777230.62310.46970.71560.99170.9917
33227.8227.6583222.6624232.64330.47780.67560.97870.9894
34228.5228.5308222.6217234.42460.49590.5960.9560.9874
35229.1229.845223.0076236.6620.41520.65050.89420.9896
36229.9230.8904223.1952238.56010.40010.67640.86910.9899
37230.8231.8203222.8904240.71590.41110.66390.81210.9864
38231.9232.5984222.516242.63730.44580.63730.78820.9825
39236233.5645222.2405244.83380.33590.61390.78130.9796
40237.5234.463221.9706246.88920.3160.40420.76420.9771


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
290.0033-0.00252e-040.32110.02680.1636
300.0049-0.00333e-040.54540.04540.2132
310.00714e-0400.0097e-040.0274
320.0089-7e-041e-040.02370.0020.0444
330.01126e-041e-040.02010.00170.0409
340.0132-1e-0409e-041e-040.0089
350.0151-0.00323e-040.5550.04620.2151
360.0169-0.00434e-040.98090.08170.2859
370.0196-0.00444e-041.04110.08680.2945
380.022-0.0033e-040.48780.04060.2016
390.02460.01049e-045.93160.49430.7031
400.0270.0130.00119.22340.76860.8767