Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.72568966705914
beta0.184950675591331
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
3103.8103.8-1.4210854715202e-14
4104103.90.09999999999998
5104104.085990646125-0.085990646125154
6104.1104.125468413334-0.0254684133341812
7104.2104.205448250716-0.00544825071608557
8104.3104.2992252664980.000774733502282743
9104.4104.3976222198720.00237778012808576
10104.5104.4975016256440.00249837435563904
11104.7104.5978038691980.102196130801644
12104.7104.784172181489-0.0841721814892509
13104.9104.8239976149240.0760023850762792
14105104.9902608727160.00973912728359494
15105.2105.1097447234650.0902552765345206
16105.3105.2997720856330.000227914367258109
17105.4105.424498111258-0.0244981112583389
18105.5105.527992657623-0.0279926576231446
19105.7105.6251941630330.0748058369671298
20105.8105.807035673381-0.00703567338057098
21105.9105.928541339806-0.0285413398062957
22106106.030609839193-0.0306098391929055
23106.1106.127068895461-0.0270688954611416
24106.2106.222464477636-0.022464477636035
25106.6106.3181863280780.28181367192208
26106.8106.6725438151710.127456184829086
27107106.9319924293750.0680075706249568
28107.1107.157427556640-0.0574275566403486
29107.3107.2841279656120.0158720343876126
30107.4107.466151423966-0.0661514239658914
31107.6107.5797726740800.0202273259201178
32107.7107.758792937280-0.0587929372796907
33107.9107.8725780124240.0274219875757069
34108.2108.0526088589460.14739114105447
35108.3108.339482446957-0.0394824469567965
36108.5108.4854445956450.0145554043553915
37108.92108.6725750343710.247424965629492
38109.23109.0619050931760.168094906824464
39109.41109.416227307533-0.00622730753259759
40109.65109.6432098829380.00679011706162669
41109.91109.8805504166080.029449583391866
42110.01110.138287319528-0.128287319527942
43110.2110.264337869122-0.0643378691223973
44110.49110.4281606515510.0618393484485011
45110.57110.691848816094-0.121848816093760
46110.72110.805882220194-0.0858822201944065
47110.94110.9344893750260.00551062497409305
48111.09111.130158991657-0.0401589916573357
49111.28111.287296628283-0.00729662828256039
50111.41111.467302812387-0.0573028123874906
51111.62111.6033290256220.0166709743784281
52111.76111.795274776282-0.0352747762820513
53111.89111.944789565052-0.0547895650521752
54112.04112.072788993480-0.0327889934804801
55112.12112.212353175778-0.0923531757780154
56112.3112.2962968992690.00370310073097357
57112.47112.4504446883870.0195553116125495
58112.59112.618720914377-0.0287209143767484
59112.78112.7481087529470.0318912470529256
60112.73112.925762551707-0.195762551707276
61112.99112.9119357189270.0780642810725851
62113.1113.107299726806-0.00729972680589697
63113.33113.2397362102980.0902637897021634
64113.38113.455088446087-0.0750884460871077
65113.68113.5403681424240.139631857575708
66113.65113.800209084728-0.150209084728303
67113.81113.829554868301-0.0195548683008155
68113.88113.951090474958-0.0710904749582966
69114.02114.025685688732-0.00568568873229935
70114.25114.1469813651320.103018634867709
71114.28114.360989476847-0.0809894768474777
72114.38114.43059465529-0.0505946552901122
73114.73114.5154663892330.214533610767276
74114.97114.8215329797820.148467020217836
75115.05115.099582495729-0.0495824957289557
76115.29115.2272547207620.0627452792376886
77115.37115.444863521643-0.0748635216426834
78115.54115.552563095751-0.0125630957509486
79115.76115.7037872667450.056212733254597
80115.92115.9124660390430.00753396095716141
81116.02116.086830313366-0.0668303133661396
82116.21116.1982594518000.0117405482001942
83116.26116.368282431346-0.108282431345572
84116.51116.4366726540230.0733273459772192


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
85116.646696976844116.480435032221116.812958921466
86116.803508402376116.584229184955117.022787619797
87116.960319827909116.685724740546117.234914915271
88117.117131253441116.784571144477117.449691362405
89117.273942678973116.880673561429117.667211796517
90117.430754104506116.974035907327117.887472301685
91117.587565530038117.064703314969118.110427745108
92117.744376955571117.152737975142118.336015935999
93117.901188381103117.238208136533118.564168625674
94118.057999806636117.321182874186118.794816739085
95118.214811232168117.401729578008119.027892886328
96118.371622657700117.479912789376119.263332526024