Free Statistics

of Irreproducible Research!

Author's title

Author*Unverified author*
R Software Modulerwasp_exponentialsmoothing.wasp
Title produced by softwareExponential Smoothing
Date of computationTue, 19 Jan 2010 12:58:54 -0700
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2010/Jan/19/t1263931176dvj2poovbjeln5x.htm/, Retrieved Thu, 02 May 2024 00:48:22 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=72293, Retrieved Thu, 02 May 2024 00:48:22 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywordsKDGP2W62
Estimated Impact222
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
-       [Exponential Smoothing] [bruin brood double] [2010-01-19 19:58:54] [5429fe6e3351c98316e03e842ad8f5e4] [Current]
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Dataseries X:
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.43
1.44
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.57
1.58
1.58
1.58
1.58
1.59
1.6
1.6
1.61
1.61
1.61
1.62
1.63
1.63
1.64
1.64
1.64
1.64
1.64
1.65
1.65
1.65
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.66
1.67
1.68
1.68
1.68
1.68
1.69
1.7
1.7
1.71
1.72
1.73
1.74
1.74
1.75
1.75
1.75
1.76
1.79
1.83
1.84
1.85
1.87
1.87
1.87
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.9
1.89




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 2 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=72293&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]2 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=72293&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=72293&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135







Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.0335069746630998
gammaFALSE

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
Parameter & Value \tabularnewline
alpha & 1 \tabularnewline
beta & 0.0335069746630998 \tabularnewline
gamma & FALSE \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=72293&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Parameter[/C][C]Value[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]alpha[/C][C]1[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]beta[/C][C]0.0335069746630998[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]gamma[/C][C]FALSE[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=72293&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=72293&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.0335069746630998
gammaFALSE







Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
31.381.380
41.381.380
51.381.380
61.381.380
71.381.380
81.381.380
91.381.380
101.381.380
111.381.380
121.381.380
131.381.380
141.381.380
151.381.380
161.381.380
171.381.380
181.381.380
191.381.380
201.381.380
211.381.380
221.381.380
231.381.380
241.431.380.05
251.431.43167534873315-0.00167534873315489
261.431.4316192128656-0.00161921286560140
271.431.43156495794114-0.00156495794113942
281.431.43151252093506-0.00151252093505683
291.431.43146184093441-0.00146184093440849
301.431.43141285906726-0.00141285906725774
311.431.43136551843429-0.00136551843428867
321.431.43131976404271-0.00131976404270895
331.431.43127554274237-0.00127554274236874
341.431.43123280316402-0.00123280316401830
351.431.43119149565964-0.00119149565963705
361.431.43115157224476-0.00115157224475837
371.431.43111298654273-0.00111298654273062
381.431.43107569373084-0.00107569373084293
391.431.43103965048826-0.00103965048825838
401.431.43100481494569-0.00100481494568982
411.431.43097114663676-0.000971146636763454
421.431.43093860645101-0.000938606451011292
431.441.430907156588440.00909284341156136
441.481.441211830262250.0387881697377548
451.481.48251150448288-0.00251150448287629
461.481.48242735156580-0.00242735156580220
471.481.48234601835839-0.00234601835838855
481.481.48226741038069-0.00226741038069478
491.481.48219143631852-0.00219143631851804
501.481.48211800791732-0.00211800791731753
511.481.48204703987970-0.0020470398796959
521.481.48197844976631-0.00197844976631245
531.481.48191215790012-0.00191215790012045
541.481.48184808727381-0.00184808727380936
551.481.48178616346035-0.00178616346035043
561.481.48172631452654-0.00172631452654048
571.481.48166847094944-0.00166847094943900
581.481.48161256553561-0.00161256553561007
591.481.48155853334307-0.00155853334306588
601.481.48150631160583-0.00150631160582804
611.481.48145583966102-0.00145583966101692
621.481.48140705887838-0.00140705887838166
631.481.48135991259219-0.00135991259219437
641.481.48131434603542-0.00131434603542369
651.481.48127030627612-0.00127030627611613
661.481.48122774215591-0.00122774215590793
671.481.48118660423060-0.00118660423059702
681.481.48114684471271-0.00114684471270743
691.481.48110841741598-0.00110841741597612
701.481.48107127770170-0.00107127770170279
711.481.48103538242689-0.00103538242689472
721.481.48100068989415-0.00100068989415014
731.481.48096715980322-0.000967159803221262
741.571.48093475320420.0890652467958004
751.581.573919060171950.0060809398280508
761.581.58412281406870-0.00412281406869552
771.581.58398467104216-0.00398467104215516
781.581.58385115677050-0.00385115677050485
791.591.583722116158170.00627788384182804
801.61.593932469053000.00606753094700219
811.61.60413577365871-0.00413577365870665
821.611.603997196395510.0060028036044879
831.611.61419833218380-0.00419833218379528
841.611.61405765877369-0.00405765877368558
851.621.613921698903960.00607830109603591
861.631.624125364384780.00587463561521617
871.631.63432220565150-0.00432220565149777
881.641.634177381616240.00582261838375575
891.641.6443724799429-0.00437247994290169
901.641.64422597136824-0.00422597136823999
911.641.64408437185268-0.00408437185267729
921.641.64394751690849-0.00394751690849504
931.651.643815247559460.00618475244054006
941.651.65402247990278-0.00402247990278259
951.651.65388769877060-0.00388769877059714
961.651.65375743374639-0.00375743374639304
971.651.65363153350905-0.00363153350905443
981.661.653509851807780.00649014819222171
991.661.66372731703881-0.00372731703881479
1001.671.663602425921230.00639757407876607
1011.681.673816789273800.00618321072620365
1021.681.68402396995894-0.00402396995893595
1031.681.68388913889948-0.00388913889947684
1041.681.68375882562091-0.0037588256209109
1051.691.683632878746070.00636712125393202
1061.71.69384622171660.0061537782833998
1071.71.70405241620962-0.00405241620962449
1081.711.703916632002360.00608336799763576
1091.721.714120467259730.00587953274027253
1101.731.724317472614290.00568252738571351
1111.741.734507876915420.00549212308457792
1121.741.74469190134446-0.00469190134446351
1131.751.744534689924990.00546531007500706
1141.751.75471781593120-0.00471781593120224
1151.751.75455973619233-0.00455973619233019
1161.761.754406953227260.00559304677273653
1171.791.764594359303770.0254056406962331
1181.831.795445625462880.0345543745371246
1191.841.836603438014990.00339656198500982
1201.851.846717246531360.00328275346863638
1211.871.856827241668660.0131727583313377
1221.871.87726862094831-0.00726862094831371
1231.871.87702507145036-0.0070250714503628
1241.881.876789682559270.00321031744073075
1251.881.88689725058442-0.00689725058441604
1261.881.88666614458384-0.00666614458383896
1271.881.88644278224617-0.00644278224616768
1281.891.886226904104690.00377309589531438
1291.891.89635332913325-0.00635332913325137
1301.891.89614044829496-0.00614044829495719
1311.91.895934700449520.00406529955048218
1321.891.90607091633855-0.0160709163385537

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
t & Observed & Fitted & Residuals \tabularnewline
3 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
4 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
5 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
6 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
7 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
8 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
9 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
10 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
11 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
12 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
13 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
14 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
15 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
16 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
17 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
18 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
19 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
20 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
21 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
22 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
23 & 1.38 & 1.38 & 0 \tabularnewline
24 & 1.43 & 1.38 & 0.05 \tabularnewline
25 & 1.43 & 1.43167534873315 & -0.00167534873315489 \tabularnewline
26 & 1.43 & 1.4316192128656 & -0.00161921286560140 \tabularnewline
27 & 1.43 & 1.43156495794114 & -0.00156495794113942 \tabularnewline
28 & 1.43 & 1.43151252093506 & -0.00151252093505683 \tabularnewline
29 & 1.43 & 1.43146184093441 & -0.00146184093440849 \tabularnewline
30 & 1.43 & 1.43141285906726 & -0.00141285906725774 \tabularnewline
31 & 1.43 & 1.43136551843429 & -0.00136551843428867 \tabularnewline
32 & 1.43 & 1.43131976404271 & -0.00131976404270895 \tabularnewline
33 & 1.43 & 1.43127554274237 & -0.00127554274236874 \tabularnewline
34 & 1.43 & 1.43123280316402 & -0.00123280316401830 \tabularnewline
35 & 1.43 & 1.43119149565964 & -0.00119149565963705 \tabularnewline
36 & 1.43 & 1.43115157224476 & -0.00115157224475837 \tabularnewline
37 & 1.43 & 1.43111298654273 & -0.00111298654273062 \tabularnewline
38 & 1.43 & 1.43107569373084 & -0.00107569373084293 \tabularnewline
39 & 1.43 & 1.43103965048826 & -0.00103965048825838 \tabularnewline
40 & 1.43 & 1.43100481494569 & -0.00100481494568982 \tabularnewline
41 & 1.43 & 1.43097114663676 & -0.000971146636763454 \tabularnewline
42 & 1.43 & 1.43093860645101 & -0.000938606451011292 \tabularnewline
43 & 1.44 & 1.43090715658844 & 0.00909284341156136 \tabularnewline
44 & 1.48 & 1.44121183026225 & 0.0387881697377548 \tabularnewline
45 & 1.48 & 1.48251150448288 & -0.00251150448287629 \tabularnewline
46 & 1.48 & 1.48242735156580 & -0.00242735156580220 \tabularnewline
47 & 1.48 & 1.48234601835839 & -0.00234601835838855 \tabularnewline
48 & 1.48 & 1.48226741038069 & -0.00226741038069478 \tabularnewline
49 & 1.48 & 1.48219143631852 & -0.00219143631851804 \tabularnewline
50 & 1.48 & 1.48211800791732 & -0.00211800791731753 \tabularnewline
51 & 1.48 & 1.48204703987970 & -0.0020470398796959 \tabularnewline
52 & 1.48 & 1.48197844976631 & -0.00197844976631245 \tabularnewline
53 & 1.48 & 1.48191215790012 & -0.00191215790012045 \tabularnewline
54 & 1.48 & 1.48184808727381 & -0.00184808727380936 \tabularnewline
55 & 1.48 & 1.48178616346035 & -0.00178616346035043 \tabularnewline
56 & 1.48 & 1.48172631452654 & -0.00172631452654048 \tabularnewline
57 & 1.48 & 1.48166847094944 & -0.00166847094943900 \tabularnewline
58 & 1.48 & 1.48161256553561 & -0.00161256553561007 \tabularnewline
59 & 1.48 & 1.48155853334307 & -0.00155853334306588 \tabularnewline
60 & 1.48 & 1.48150631160583 & -0.00150631160582804 \tabularnewline
61 & 1.48 & 1.48145583966102 & -0.00145583966101692 \tabularnewline
62 & 1.48 & 1.48140705887838 & -0.00140705887838166 \tabularnewline
63 & 1.48 & 1.48135991259219 & -0.00135991259219437 \tabularnewline
64 & 1.48 & 1.48131434603542 & -0.00131434603542369 \tabularnewline
65 & 1.48 & 1.48127030627612 & -0.00127030627611613 \tabularnewline
66 & 1.48 & 1.48122774215591 & -0.00122774215590793 \tabularnewline
67 & 1.48 & 1.48118660423060 & -0.00118660423059702 \tabularnewline
68 & 1.48 & 1.48114684471271 & -0.00114684471270743 \tabularnewline
69 & 1.48 & 1.48110841741598 & -0.00110841741597612 \tabularnewline
70 & 1.48 & 1.48107127770170 & -0.00107127770170279 \tabularnewline
71 & 1.48 & 1.48103538242689 & -0.00103538242689472 \tabularnewline
72 & 1.48 & 1.48100068989415 & -0.00100068989415014 \tabularnewline
73 & 1.48 & 1.48096715980322 & -0.000967159803221262 \tabularnewline
74 & 1.57 & 1.4809347532042 & 0.0890652467958004 \tabularnewline
75 & 1.58 & 1.57391906017195 & 0.0060809398280508 \tabularnewline
76 & 1.58 & 1.58412281406870 & -0.00412281406869552 \tabularnewline
77 & 1.58 & 1.58398467104216 & -0.00398467104215516 \tabularnewline
78 & 1.58 & 1.58385115677050 & -0.00385115677050485 \tabularnewline
79 & 1.59 & 1.58372211615817 & 0.00627788384182804 \tabularnewline
80 & 1.6 & 1.59393246905300 & 0.00606753094700219 \tabularnewline
81 & 1.6 & 1.60413577365871 & -0.00413577365870665 \tabularnewline
82 & 1.61 & 1.60399719639551 & 0.0060028036044879 \tabularnewline
83 & 1.61 & 1.61419833218380 & -0.00419833218379528 \tabularnewline
84 & 1.61 & 1.61405765877369 & -0.00405765877368558 \tabularnewline
85 & 1.62 & 1.61392169890396 & 0.00607830109603591 \tabularnewline
86 & 1.63 & 1.62412536438478 & 0.00587463561521617 \tabularnewline
87 & 1.63 & 1.63432220565150 & -0.00432220565149777 \tabularnewline
88 & 1.64 & 1.63417738161624 & 0.00582261838375575 \tabularnewline
89 & 1.64 & 1.6443724799429 & -0.00437247994290169 \tabularnewline
90 & 1.64 & 1.64422597136824 & -0.00422597136823999 \tabularnewline
91 & 1.64 & 1.64408437185268 & -0.00408437185267729 \tabularnewline
92 & 1.64 & 1.64394751690849 & -0.00394751690849504 \tabularnewline
93 & 1.65 & 1.64381524755946 & 0.00618475244054006 \tabularnewline
94 & 1.65 & 1.65402247990278 & -0.00402247990278259 \tabularnewline
95 & 1.65 & 1.65388769877060 & -0.00388769877059714 \tabularnewline
96 & 1.65 & 1.65375743374639 & -0.00375743374639304 \tabularnewline
97 & 1.65 & 1.65363153350905 & -0.00363153350905443 \tabularnewline
98 & 1.66 & 1.65350985180778 & 0.00649014819222171 \tabularnewline
99 & 1.66 & 1.66372731703881 & -0.00372731703881479 \tabularnewline
100 & 1.67 & 1.66360242592123 & 0.00639757407876607 \tabularnewline
101 & 1.68 & 1.67381678927380 & 0.00618321072620365 \tabularnewline
102 & 1.68 & 1.68402396995894 & -0.00402396995893595 \tabularnewline
103 & 1.68 & 1.68388913889948 & -0.00388913889947684 \tabularnewline
104 & 1.68 & 1.68375882562091 & -0.0037588256209109 \tabularnewline
105 & 1.69 & 1.68363287874607 & 0.00636712125393202 \tabularnewline
106 & 1.7 & 1.6938462217166 & 0.0061537782833998 \tabularnewline
107 & 1.7 & 1.70405241620962 & -0.00405241620962449 \tabularnewline
108 & 1.71 & 1.70391663200236 & 0.00608336799763576 \tabularnewline
109 & 1.72 & 1.71412046725973 & 0.00587953274027253 \tabularnewline
110 & 1.73 & 1.72431747261429 & 0.00568252738571351 \tabularnewline
111 & 1.74 & 1.73450787691542 & 0.00549212308457792 \tabularnewline
112 & 1.74 & 1.74469190134446 & -0.00469190134446351 \tabularnewline
113 & 1.75 & 1.74453468992499 & 0.00546531007500706 \tabularnewline
114 & 1.75 & 1.75471781593120 & -0.00471781593120224 \tabularnewline
115 & 1.75 & 1.75455973619233 & -0.00455973619233019 \tabularnewline
116 & 1.76 & 1.75440695322726 & 0.00559304677273653 \tabularnewline
117 & 1.79 & 1.76459435930377 & 0.0254056406962331 \tabularnewline
118 & 1.83 & 1.79544562546288 & 0.0345543745371246 \tabularnewline
119 & 1.84 & 1.83660343801499 & 0.00339656198500982 \tabularnewline
120 & 1.85 & 1.84671724653136 & 0.00328275346863638 \tabularnewline
121 & 1.87 & 1.85682724166866 & 0.0131727583313377 \tabularnewline
122 & 1.87 & 1.87726862094831 & -0.00726862094831371 \tabularnewline
123 & 1.87 & 1.87702507145036 & -0.0070250714503628 \tabularnewline
124 & 1.88 & 1.87678968255927 & 0.00321031744073075 \tabularnewline
125 & 1.88 & 1.88689725058442 & -0.00689725058441604 \tabularnewline
126 & 1.88 & 1.88666614458384 & -0.00666614458383896 \tabularnewline
127 & 1.88 & 1.88644278224617 & -0.00644278224616768 \tabularnewline
128 & 1.89 & 1.88622690410469 & 0.00377309589531438 \tabularnewline
129 & 1.89 & 1.89635332913325 & -0.00635332913325137 \tabularnewline
130 & 1.89 & 1.89614044829496 & -0.00614044829495719 \tabularnewline
131 & 1.9 & 1.89593470044952 & 0.00406529955048218 \tabularnewline
132 & 1.89 & 1.90607091633855 & -0.0160709163385537 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=72293&T=2

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Observed[/C][C]Fitted[/C][C]Residuals[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]3[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]4[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]5[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]6[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]7[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]8[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]9[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]10[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]11[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]12[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]13[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]14[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]15[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]16[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]17[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]18[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]19[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]20[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]21[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]22[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]23[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]24[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.38[/C][C]0.05[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]25[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43167534873315[/C][C]-0.00167534873315489[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]26[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.4316192128656[/C][C]-0.00161921286560140[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]27[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43156495794114[/C][C]-0.00156495794113942[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]28[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43151252093506[/C][C]-0.00151252093505683[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]29[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43146184093441[/C][C]-0.00146184093440849[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]30[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43141285906726[/C][C]-0.00141285906725774[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]31[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43136551843429[/C][C]-0.00136551843428867[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]32[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43131976404271[/C][C]-0.00131976404270895[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]33[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43127554274237[/C][C]-0.00127554274236874[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]34[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43123280316402[/C][C]-0.00123280316401830[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]35[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43119149565964[/C][C]-0.00119149565963705[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]36[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43115157224476[/C][C]-0.00115157224475837[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]37[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43111298654273[/C][C]-0.00111298654273062[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]38[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43107569373084[/C][C]-0.00107569373084293[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]39[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43103965048826[/C][C]-0.00103965048825838[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]40[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43100481494569[/C][C]-0.00100481494568982[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]41[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43097114663676[/C][C]-0.000971146636763454[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]42[/C][C]1.43[/C][C]1.43093860645101[/C][C]-0.000938606451011292[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]43[/C][C]1.44[/C][C]1.43090715658844[/C][C]0.00909284341156136[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]44[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.44121183026225[/C][C]0.0387881697377548[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]45[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48251150448288[/C][C]-0.00251150448287629[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]46[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48242735156580[/C][C]-0.00242735156580220[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]47[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48234601835839[/C][C]-0.00234601835838855[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]48[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48226741038069[/C][C]-0.00226741038069478[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]49[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48219143631852[/C][C]-0.00219143631851804[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]50[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48211800791732[/C][C]-0.00211800791731753[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]51[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48204703987970[/C][C]-0.0020470398796959[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]52[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48197844976631[/C][C]-0.00197844976631245[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]53[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48191215790012[/C][C]-0.00191215790012045[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]54[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48184808727381[/C][C]-0.00184808727380936[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]55[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48178616346035[/C][C]-0.00178616346035043[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]56[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48172631452654[/C][C]-0.00172631452654048[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]57[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48166847094944[/C][C]-0.00166847094943900[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]58[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48161256553561[/C][C]-0.00161256553561007[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]59[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48155853334307[/C][C]-0.00155853334306588[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]60[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48150631160583[/C][C]-0.00150631160582804[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]61[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48145583966102[/C][C]-0.00145583966101692[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]62[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48140705887838[/C][C]-0.00140705887838166[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]63[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48135991259219[/C][C]-0.00135991259219437[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]64[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48131434603542[/C][C]-0.00131434603542369[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]65[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48127030627612[/C][C]-0.00127030627611613[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]66[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48122774215591[/C][C]-0.00122774215590793[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]67[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48118660423060[/C][C]-0.00118660423059702[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]68[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48114684471271[/C][C]-0.00114684471270743[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]69[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48110841741598[/C][C]-0.00110841741597612[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]70[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48107127770170[/C][C]-0.00107127770170279[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]71[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48103538242689[/C][C]-0.00103538242689472[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]72[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48100068989415[/C][C]-0.00100068989415014[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]73[/C][C]1.48[/C][C]1.48096715980322[/C][C]-0.000967159803221262[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]74[/C][C]1.57[/C][C]1.4809347532042[/C][C]0.0890652467958004[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]75[/C][C]1.58[/C][C]1.57391906017195[/C][C]0.0060809398280508[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]76[/C][C]1.58[/C][C]1.58412281406870[/C][C]-0.00412281406869552[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]77[/C][C]1.58[/C][C]1.58398467104216[/C][C]-0.00398467104215516[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]78[/C][C]1.58[/C][C]1.58385115677050[/C][C]-0.00385115677050485[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]79[/C][C]1.59[/C][C]1.58372211615817[/C][C]0.00627788384182804[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]80[/C][C]1.6[/C][C]1.59393246905300[/C][C]0.00606753094700219[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]81[/C][C]1.6[/C][C]1.60413577365871[/C][C]-0.00413577365870665[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]82[/C][C]1.61[/C][C]1.60399719639551[/C][C]0.0060028036044879[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]83[/C][C]1.61[/C][C]1.61419833218380[/C][C]-0.00419833218379528[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]84[/C][C]1.61[/C][C]1.61405765877369[/C][C]-0.00405765877368558[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]85[/C][C]1.62[/C][C]1.61392169890396[/C][C]0.00607830109603591[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]86[/C][C]1.63[/C][C]1.62412536438478[/C][C]0.00587463561521617[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]87[/C][C]1.63[/C][C]1.63432220565150[/C][C]-0.00432220565149777[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]88[/C][C]1.64[/C][C]1.63417738161624[/C][C]0.00582261838375575[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]89[/C][C]1.64[/C][C]1.6443724799429[/C][C]-0.00437247994290169[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]90[/C][C]1.64[/C][C]1.64422597136824[/C][C]-0.00422597136823999[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]91[/C][C]1.64[/C][C]1.64408437185268[/C][C]-0.00408437185267729[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]92[/C][C]1.64[/C][C]1.64394751690849[/C][C]-0.00394751690849504[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]93[/C][C]1.65[/C][C]1.64381524755946[/C][C]0.00618475244054006[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]94[/C][C]1.65[/C][C]1.65402247990278[/C][C]-0.00402247990278259[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]95[/C][C]1.65[/C][C]1.65388769877060[/C][C]-0.00388769877059714[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]96[/C][C]1.65[/C][C]1.65375743374639[/C][C]-0.00375743374639304[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]97[/C][C]1.65[/C][C]1.65363153350905[/C][C]-0.00363153350905443[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]98[/C][C]1.66[/C][C]1.65350985180778[/C][C]0.00649014819222171[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]99[/C][C]1.66[/C][C]1.66372731703881[/C][C]-0.00372731703881479[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]100[/C][C]1.67[/C][C]1.66360242592123[/C][C]0.00639757407876607[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]101[/C][C]1.68[/C][C]1.67381678927380[/C][C]0.00618321072620365[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]102[/C][C]1.68[/C][C]1.68402396995894[/C][C]-0.00402396995893595[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]103[/C][C]1.68[/C][C]1.68388913889948[/C][C]-0.00388913889947684[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]104[/C][C]1.68[/C][C]1.68375882562091[/C][C]-0.0037588256209109[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]105[/C][C]1.69[/C][C]1.68363287874607[/C][C]0.00636712125393202[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]106[/C][C]1.7[/C][C]1.6938462217166[/C][C]0.0061537782833998[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]107[/C][C]1.7[/C][C]1.70405241620962[/C][C]-0.00405241620962449[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]108[/C][C]1.71[/C][C]1.70391663200236[/C][C]0.00608336799763576[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]109[/C][C]1.72[/C][C]1.71412046725973[/C][C]0.00587953274027253[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]110[/C][C]1.73[/C][C]1.72431747261429[/C][C]0.00568252738571351[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]111[/C][C]1.74[/C][C]1.73450787691542[/C][C]0.00549212308457792[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]112[/C][C]1.74[/C][C]1.74469190134446[/C][C]-0.00469190134446351[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]113[/C][C]1.75[/C][C]1.74453468992499[/C][C]0.00546531007500706[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]114[/C][C]1.75[/C][C]1.75471781593120[/C][C]-0.00471781593120224[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]115[/C][C]1.75[/C][C]1.75455973619233[/C][C]-0.00455973619233019[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]116[/C][C]1.76[/C][C]1.75440695322726[/C][C]0.00559304677273653[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]117[/C][C]1.79[/C][C]1.76459435930377[/C][C]0.0254056406962331[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]118[/C][C]1.83[/C][C]1.79544562546288[/C][C]0.0345543745371246[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]119[/C][C]1.84[/C][C]1.83660343801499[/C][C]0.00339656198500982[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]120[/C][C]1.85[/C][C]1.84671724653136[/C][C]0.00328275346863638[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]121[/C][C]1.87[/C][C]1.85682724166866[/C][C]0.0131727583313377[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]122[/C][C]1.87[/C][C]1.87726862094831[/C][C]-0.00726862094831371[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]123[/C][C]1.87[/C][C]1.87702507145036[/C][C]-0.0070250714503628[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]124[/C][C]1.88[/C][C]1.87678968255927[/C][C]0.00321031744073075[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]125[/C][C]1.88[/C][C]1.88689725058442[/C][C]-0.00689725058441604[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]126[/C][C]1.88[/C][C]1.88666614458384[/C][C]-0.00666614458383896[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]127[/C][C]1.88[/C][C]1.88644278224617[/C][C]-0.00644278224616768[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]128[/C][C]1.89[/C][C]1.88622690410469[/C][C]0.00377309589531438[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]129[/C][C]1.89[/C][C]1.89635332913325[/C][C]-0.00635332913325137[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]130[/C][C]1.89[/C][C]1.89614044829496[/C][C]-0.00614044829495719[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]131[/C][C]1.9[/C][C]1.89593470044952[/C][C]0.00406529955048218[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]132[/C][C]1.89[/C][C]1.90607091633855[/C][C]-0.0160709163385537[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=72293&T=2

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=72293&T=2

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
31.381.380
41.381.380
51.381.380
61.381.380
71.381.380
81.381.380
91.381.380
101.381.380
111.381.380
121.381.380
131.381.380
141.381.380
151.381.380
161.381.380
171.381.380
181.381.380
191.381.380
201.381.380
211.381.380
221.381.380
231.381.380
241.431.380.05
251.431.43167534873315-0.00167534873315489
261.431.4316192128656-0.00161921286560140
271.431.43156495794114-0.00156495794113942
281.431.43151252093506-0.00151252093505683
291.431.43146184093441-0.00146184093440849
301.431.43141285906726-0.00141285906725774
311.431.43136551843429-0.00136551843428867
321.431.43131976404271-0.00131976404270895
331.431.43127554274237-0.00127554274236874
341.431.43123280316402-0.00123280316401830
351.431.43119149565964-0.00119149565963705
361.431.43115157224476-0.00115157224475837
371.431.43111298654273-0.00111298654273062
381.431.43107569373084-0.00107569373084293
391.431.43103965048826-0.00103965048825838
401.431.43100481494569-0.00100481494568982
411.431.43097114663676-0.000971146636763454
421.431.43093860645101-0.000938606451011292
431.441.430907156588440.00909284341156136
441.481.441211830262250.0387881697377548
451.481.48251150448288-0.00251150448287629
461.481.48242735156580-0.00242735156580220
471.481.48234601835839-0.00234601835838855
481.481.48226741038069-0.00226741038069478
491.481.48219143631852-0.00219143631851804
501.481.48211800791732-0.00211800791731753
511.481.48204703987970-0.0020470398796959
521.481.48197844976631-0.00197844976631245
531.481.48191215790012-0.00191215790012045
541.481.48184808727381-0.00184808727380936
551.481.48178616346035-0.00178616346035043
561.481.48172631452654-0.00172631452654048
571.481.48166847094944-0.00166847094943900
581.481.48161256553561-0.00161256553561007
591.481.48155853334307-0.00155853334306588
601.481.48150631160583-0.00150631160582804
611.481.48145583966102-0.00145583966101692
621.481.48140705887838-0.00140705887838166
631.481.48135991259219-0.00135991259219437
641.481.48131434603542-0.00131434603542369
651.481.48127030627612-0.00127030627611613
661.481.48122774215591-0.00122774215590793
671.481.48118660423060-0.00118660423059702
681.481.48114684471271-0.00114684471270743
691.481.48110841741598-0.00110841741597612
701.481.48107127770170-0.00107127770170279
711.481.48103538242689-0.00103538242689472
721.481.48100068989415-0.00100068989415014
731.481.48096715980322-0.000967159803221262
741.571.48093475320420.0890652467958004
751.581.573919060171950.0060809398280508
761.581.58412281406870-0.00412281406869552
771.581.58398467104216-0.00398467104215516
781.581.58385115677050-0.00385115677050485
791.591.583722116158170.00627788384182804
801.61.593932469053000.00606753094700219
811.61.60413577365871-0.00413577365870665
821.611.603997196395510.0060028036044879
831.611.61419833218380-0.00419833218379528
841.611.61405765877369-0.00405765877368558
851.621.613921698903960.00607830109603591
861.631.624125364384780.00587463561521617
871.631.63432220565150-0.00432220565149777
881.641.634177381616240.00582261838375575
891.641.6443724799429-0.00437247994290169
901.641.64422597136824-0.00422597136823999
911.641.64408437185268-0.00408437185267729
921.641.64394751690849-0.00394751690849504
931.651.643815247559460.00618475244054006
941.651.65402247990278-0.00402247990278259
951.651.65388769877060-0.00388769877059714
961.651.65375743374639-0.00375743374639304
971.651.65363153350905-0.00363153350905443
981.661.653509851807780.00649014819222171
991.661.66372731703881-0.00372731703881479
1001.671.663602425921230.00639757407876607
1011.681.673816789273800.00618321072620365
1021.681.68402396995894-0.00402396995893595
1031.681.68388913889948-0.00388913889947684
1041.681.68375882562091-0.0037588256209109
1051.691.683632878746070.00636712125393202
1061.71.69384622171660.0061537782833998
1071.71.70405241620962-0.00405241620962449
1081.711.703916632002360.00608336799763576
1091.721.714120467259730.00587953274027253
1101.731.724317472614290.00568252738571351
1111.741.734507876915420.00549212308457792
1121.741.74469190134446-0.00469190134446351
1131.751.744534689924990.00546531007500706
1141.751.75471781593120-0.00471781593120224
1151.751.75455973619233-0.00455973619233019
1161.761.754406953227260.00559304677273653
1171.791.764594359303770.0254056406962331
1181.831.795445625462880.0345543745371246
1191.841.836603438014990.00339656198500982
1201.851.846717246531360.00328275346863638
1211.871.856827241668660.0131727583313377
1221.871.87726862094831-0.00726862094831371
1231.871.87702507145036-0.0070250714503628
1241.881.876789682559270.00321031744073075
1251.881.88689725058442-0.00689725058441604
1261.881.88666614458384-0.00666614458383896
1271.881.88644278224617-0.00644278224616768
1281.891.886226904104690.00377309589531438
1291.891.89635332913325-0.00635332913325137
1301.891.89614044829496-0.00614044829495719
1311.91.895934700449520.00406529955048218
1321.891.90607091633855-0.0160709163385537







Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
1331.895532428551991.87394793245061.91711692465337
1341.901064857103971.870024155312661.93210555889528
1351.906597285655961.867945633506641.94524893780527
1361.912129714207941.866762195683031.95749723273285
1371.917662142759931.866112595099071.96921169042078
1381.923194571311911.865814882211171.98057426041265
1391.928726999863901.865762911404541.99169108832325
1401.934259428415881.865888783155422.00263007367634
1411.939791856967871.866146212552372.01343750138336
1421.945324285519851.866502144047582.02414642699212
1431.950856714071841.866932114610952.03478131353272
1441.956389142623821.867417505046492.04536078020115

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
t & Forecast & 95% Lower Bound & 95% Upper Bound \tabularnewline
133 & 1.89553242855199 & 1.8739479324506 & 1.91711692465337 \tabularnewline
134 & 1.90106485710397 & 1.87002415531266 & 1.93210555889528 \tabularnewline
135 & 1.90659728565596 & 1.86794563350664 & 1.94524893780527 \tabularnewline
136 & 1.91212971420794 & 1.86676219568303 & 1.95749723273285 \tabularnewline
137 & 1.91766214275993 & 1.86611259509907 & 1.96921169042078 \tabularnewline
138 & 1.92319457131191 & 1.86581488221117 & 1.98057426041265 \tabularnewline
139 & 1.92872699986390 & 1.86576291140454 & 1.99169108832325 \tabularnewline
140 & 1.93425942841588 & 1.86588878315542 & 2.00263007367634 \tabularnewline
141 & 1.93979185696787 & 1.86614621255237 & 2.01343750138336 \tabularnewline
142 & 1.94532428551985 & 1.86650214404758 & 2.02414642699212 \tabularnewline
143 & 1.95085671407184 & 1.86693211461095 & 2.03478131353272 \tabularnewline
144 & 1.95638914262382 & 1.86741750504649 & 2.04536078020115 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=72293&T=3

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Forecast[/C][C]95% Lower Bound[/C][C]95% Upper Bound[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]133[/C][C]1.89553242855199[/C][C]1.8739479324506[/C][C]1.91711692465337[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]134[/C][C]1.90106485710397[/C][C]1.87002415531266[/C][C]1.93210555889528[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]135[/C][C]1.90659728565596[/C][C]1.86794563350664[/C][C]1.94524893780527[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]136[/C][C]1.91212971420794[/C][C]1.86676219568303[/C][C]1.95749723273285[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]137[/C][C]1.91766214275993[/C][C]1.86611259509907[/C][C]1.96921169042078[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]138[/C][C]1.92319457131191[/C][C]1.86581488221117[/C][C]1.98057426041265[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]139[/C][C]1.92872699986390[/C][C]1.86576291140454[/C][C]1.99169108832325[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]140[/C][C]1.93425942841588[/C][C]1.86588878315542[/C][C]2.00263007367634[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]141[/C][C]1.93979185696787[/C][C]1.86614621255237[/C][C]2.01343750138336[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]142[/C][C]1.94532428551985[/C][C]1.86650214404758[/C][C]2.02414642699212[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]143[/C][C]1.95085671407184[/C][C]1.86693211461095[/C][C]2.03478131353272[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]144[/C][C]1.95638914262382[/C][C]1.86741750504649[/C][C]2.04536078020115[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=72293&T=3

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=72293&T=3

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
1331.895532428551991.87394793245061.91711692465337
1341.901064857103971.870024155312661.93210555889528
1351.906597285655961.867945633506641.94524893780527
1361.912129714207941.866762195683031.95749723273285
1371.917662142759931.866112595099071.96921169042078
1381.923194571311911.865814882211171.98057426041265
1391.928726999863901.865762911404541.99169108832325
1401.934259428415881.865888783155422.00263007367634
1411.939791856967871.866146212552372.01343750138336
1421.945324285519851.866502144047582.02414642699212
1431.950856714071841.866932114610952.03478131353272
1441.956389142623821.867417505046492.04536078020115



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 12 ; par2 = Double ; par3 = additive ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 12 ; par2 = Double ; par3 = additive ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
if (par2 == 'Single') K <- 1
if (par2 == 'Double') K <- 2
if (par2 == 'Triple') K <- par1
nx <- length(x)
nxmK <- nx - K
x <- ts(x, frequency = par1)
if (par2 == 'Single') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F, beta=F)
if (par2 == 'Double') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F)
if (par2 == 'Triple') fit <- HoltWinters(x, seasonal=par3)
fit
myresid <- x - fit$fitted[,'xhat']
bitmap(file='test1.png')
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1))
plot(fit,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Interpolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
plot(myresid,ylab='Residuals',main='Interpolation Prediction Errors')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
p <- predict(fit, par1, prediction.interval=TRUE)
np <- length(p[,1])
plot(fit,p,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Extrapolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
acf(as.numeric(myresid),lag.max = nx/2,main='Residual ACF')
spectrum(myresid,main='Residals Periodogram')
cpgram(myresid,main='Residal Cumulative Periodogram')
qqnorm(myresid,main='Residual Normal QQ Plot')
qqline(myresid)
par(op)
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'alpha',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$alpha)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'beta',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$beta)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'gamma',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$gamma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Observed',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Fitted',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:nxmK) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i+K,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i+K])
a<-table.element(a,fit$fitted[i,'xhat'])
a<-table.element(a,myresid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Forecast',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Lower Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Upper Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:np) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,nx+i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'fit'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'lwr'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'upr'])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')