Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.983484861538448
beta0.23196686548946
gamma0.942906046720505


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1355.651.40448717948724.19551282051281
1455.756.5915872243153-0.89158722431533
1556.156.922198331552-0.822198331552023
1656.857.487646074217-0.687646074216943
1757.558.0743805019632-0.574380501963169
1858.358.7831397589259-0.483139758925937
1958.958.82141138140920.0785886185908211
2059.459.8800632447548-0.480063244754845
2159.860.6006031302821-0.800603130282092
226060.3315839080673-0.331583908067337
236060.3565251305174-0.356525130517433
2460.360.388100856527-0.0881008565269639
2560.160.4539022893204-0.353902289320388
2659.759.766336626544-0.066336626543972
2759.559.7767516741339-0.276751674133855
2859.459.8722711205326-0.472271120532625
2959.359.7132600061644-0.413260006164435
3059.259.6593296768512-0.459329676851169
3159.158.81262747314110.28737252685886
325959.1984087610925-0.198408761092544
3359.359.3857086112982-0.0857086112982515
3459.559.18492266604860.315077333951415
3559.559.35082535268750.149174647312513
3659.559.5046657042383-0.00466570423825630
3759.759.28815636706930.411843632930747
3859.759.1726335393680.527366460632038
3960.559.71358021954630.786419780453734
4060.761.0441258657622-0.344125865762223
4161.361.23375497853840.0662450214615546
4261.461.981777863726-0.581777863725961
4361.861.32942739445670.470572605543332
4462.462.2327628650130.167237134986983
4562.463.2097862400401-0.809786240040147
4662.962.56629526427390.333704735726137
4763.263.01535705130970.184642948690289
4863.463.4771987033318-0.077198703331824
4963.963.45480725458780.445192745412186
5064.563.64045686964130.859543130358681
516564.85448488400010.145515115999856
5265.465.7332485941135-0.333248594113471
5366.366.13859043142920.161409568570846
5467.767.19045020543340.509549794566581
556968.09709757723270.902902422767326
567069.98883539556610.0111646044338727
5771.471.3294797506240.07052024937596
5872.572.30272346989170.197276530108297
5973.473.31732467859260.0826753214073932
6074.674.35357849960010.246421500399862
6175.275.4102000489749-0.210200048974869
6275.975.56081713422420.339182865775783
6376.876.7363308489680.0636691510320162
6477.977.992844020204-0.0928440202039553
6579.279.16286710259470.0371328974053284
6680.580.5901160574392-0.0901160574392463
6782.681.26851329583531.33148670416469
6884.484.02103316566870.378966834331351
6985.986.2614008780557-0.361400878055647
7087.687.2503650017040.349634998296025


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7188.886316715465487.48071823057190.2919152003597
7290.29824214645988.090054142041492.5064301508767
7391.503615321550788.508363074093294.4988675690082
7492.315684318033488.512042950806896.1193256852599
7593.522114900594288.877741487829898.1664883133585
7695.067836391243489.5465374927368100.589135289750
7796.706638469566590.2710379304204103.142239008713
7898.46235916365191.0750390828492105.849679244453
7999.639053335688591.2630741202454108.015032551132
80101.15101505640591.7501534424879110.551876670322
81103.00446123282892.5433108641415113.465611601514
82104.43969435408492.883696477012115.995692231156