Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.770591746725278
beta0
gamma0.461098380461349


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1310.5710.32454326923080.245456730769225
1410.6510.59153839361290.0584616063870946
1510.5710.56110328513500.00889671486503829
1610.6110.6174738803228-0.00747388032278806
1710.6310.6424794299699-0.0124794299698952
1810.7110.7252944110378-0.0152944110377877
1910.7210.63844019092760.0815598090724308
2010.7710.8474710334698-0.0774710334698039
2110.7910.8610373546076-0.0710373546075544
2210.8210.8920614155776-0.072061415577636
2310.910.88479634361600.0152036563839708
2410.8310.8931103492188-0.0631103492187588
2510.9210.86454058597070.0554594140292899
2610.9110.9653450441676-0.0553450441676091
2710.8810.84196850702380.0380314929762253
2810.8710.9190584439067-0.0490584439067323
291110.91148978615420.088510213845785
3010.9911.0718287851899-0.0818287851898809
3111.0310.94394894300350.0860510569964781
3211.0411.1396184575375-0.0996184575375167
3310.9911.1367987095738-0.146798709573817
3410.911.1093333707481-0.209333370748146
351111.0055185426698-0.00551854266980811
3610.9910.98958015489010.000419845109865591
3710.9211.0225085178251-0.102508517825051
3810.9810.989863320936-0.0098633209359953
3911.1510.91141197334190.238588026658118
4011.1911.13383676598650.056163234013523
4111.3311.22190304634920.108096953650760
4211.3811.37931700459410.000682995405927755
4311.411.33277835131640.0672216486836206
4411.4511.4942979999135-0.0442979999134909
4511.5611.52911702361990.0308829763800649
4611.6111.6319568232053-0.0219568232052794
4711.8211.69409230265540.125907697344598
4811.7711.7800580520515-0.0100580520515177
4911.8511.79402449493630.0559755050636976
5011.8211.8933057660668-0.0733057660668237
5111.9211.79224732127360.127752678726393
5211.8611.9099664562096-0.0499664562096278
5311.8711.9217436103327-0.0517436103326947
5411.9411.9446235249471-0.00462352494707119
5511.8611.9010341545908-0.0410341545907951
5611.9211.9673362514188-0.047336251418848
5711.8312.0077666502759-0.17776665027594
5811.9111.9442333875419-0.0342333875419012
5911.9312.0125497234098-0.0825497234097785
6011.9911.92349747857930.0665025214206523
6111.9612.0034458822577-0.0434458822576662
6212.1212.01243850922140.107561490778640
6311.8512.0720227966671-0.222022796667057
6412.0111.90140874712020.108591252879819
6512.112.03518117628570.0648188237143454
6612.2112.15286749254020.0571325074598317
6712.3112.15301530289040.156984697109559
6812.3112.3712424581563-0.0612424581562934
6912.3912.38715995075300.00284004924702863
7012.3512.4779836361752-0.127983636175212
7112.4112.4689459131018-0.0589459131018142
7212.5112.41384928246570.0961507175343037


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7312.505014024076312.320631811500212.6893962366524
7412.563459215136512.330683580526512.7962348497465
7512.505294154066512.232581499754912.7780068083781
7612.540741318674712.233235403975012.8482472333744
7712.586203986937712.247459860303912.9249481135716
7812.653128395808912.285793018963013.0204637726548
7912.619812709500412.225956168566813.0136692504339
8012.693984733636012.275283562644413.1126859046275
8112.763873792190712.321721820190913.2060257641905
8212.838670459218612.374250323891813.3030905945454
8312.935558664645312.449890302642413.4212270266482
8412.942291354693112.436266203535413.4483165058508