Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 492865 | NA | NA | 1.00043707930492 | NA |
2 | 480961 | NA | NA | 0.990879206650221 | NA |
3 | 461935 | NA | NA | 0.972587540115597 | NA |
4 | 456608 | NA | NA | 0.960199229979201 | NA |
5 | 441977 | NA | NA | 0.942551498912698 | NA |
6 | 439148 | NA | NA | 0.942851863426956 | NA |
7 | 488180 | 493019.281124421 | 473350.583333333 | 1.04155207257289 | 0.990184397832507 |
8 | 520564 | 504329.211647849 | 471403.958333333 | 1.06984509300882 | 1.03219085465842 |
9 | 501492 | 497017.679469886 | 469952.375 | 1.05759158993480 | 1.00900233676775 |
10 | 485025 | 483676.227716955 | 468798.708333333 | 1.03173541035664 | 1.0027885850198 |
11 | 464196 | 465471.621530716 | 467980.75 | 0.994638393845722 | 0.99725950740773 |
12 | 460170 | 465133.693376809 | 467409.5 | 0.99513102189153 | 0.989328458790475 |
13 | 467037 | 467114.201752897 | 466910.125 | 1.00043707930492 | 0.999834726170588 |
14 | 460070 | 462029.922681317 | 466282.791666667 | 0.990879206650221 | 0.995758017857495 |
15 | 447988 | 453522.878662893 | 466305.458333333 | 0.972587540115597 | 0.987795811582404 |
16 | 442867 | 448916.024763591 | 467523.833333333 | 0.960199229979201 | 0.9865252643481 |
17 | 436087 | 441631.169534254 | 468548.583333333 | 0.942551498912698 | 0.987446154355225 |
18 | 431328 | 442466.668868757 | 469285.458333333 | 0.942851863426956 | 0.97482597073982 |
19 | 484015 | 489649.252597605 | 470115 | 1.04155207257289 | 0.988493288680182 |
20 | 509673 | 503999.877666718 | 471096.125 | 1.06984509300882 | 1.01125619783788 |
21 | 512927 | 499857.136623596 | 472637.208333333 | 1.05759158993480 | 1.02614719770670 |
22 | 502831 | 489391.998901355 | 474338.666666667 | 1.03173541035664 | 1.02746060648481 |
23 | 470984 | 473329.720718028 | 475881.208333333 | 0.994638393845722 | 0.995044214180192 |
24 | 471067 | 475344.401082098 | 477670.166666667 | 0.99513102189153 | 0.991001469519026 |
25 | 476049 | 480260.403508625 | 480050.583333333 | 1.00043707930492 | 0.991230999936997 |
26 | 474605 | 477668.391187007 | 482065.208333333 | 0.990879206650221 | 0.993586782706316 |
27 | 470439 | 469886.704549818 | 483130.5 | 0.972587540115597 | 1.00117538003275 |
28 | 461251 | 464933.828268297 | 484205.583333333 | 0.960199229979201 | 0.992078811984893 |
29 | 454724 | 458509.792682096 | 486455.958333333 | 0.942551498912698 | 0.991743267553893 |
30 | 455626 | 461776.196460752 | 489765.375 | 0.942851863426956 | 0.98668143462593 |
31 | 516847 | 513773.985488560 | 493277.291666667 | 1.04155207257289 | 1.00598125751447 |
32 | 525192 | 531542.460086804 | 496840.583333333 | 1.06984509300882 | 0.988052769884522 |
33 | 522975 | 529063.365639655 | 500253 | 1.05759158993480 | 0.988492180644008 |
34 | 518585 | 519884.681020593 | 503893.416666667 | 1.03173541035664 | 0.997500059016854 |
35 | 509239 | 505087.778654726 | 507810.458333333 | 0.994638393845722 | 1.00821881170107 |
36 | 512238 | 509379.747901454 | 511872.041666667 | 0.99513102189153 | 1.00561124016085 |
37 | 519164 | 516423.536093286 | 516197.916666667 | 1.00043707930492 | 1.00530662085513 |
38 | 517009 | 515907.369364212 | 520656.166666667 | 0.990879206650221 | 1.00213532641944 |
39 | 509933 | 510822.71149088 | 525220.291666667 | 0.972587540115597 | 0.998258277341892 |
40 | 509127 | 508392.805491866 | 529465.958333333 | 0.960199229979201 | 1.00144414810792 |
41 | 500857 | 502386.507507981 | 533006.958333333 | 0.942551498912698 | 0.996955516350214 |
42 | 506971 | 505715.175427646 | 536367.583333333 | 0.942851863426956 | 1.00248326455952 |
43 | 569323 | 562374.454318926 | 539938.875 | 1.04155207257289 | 1.01235572780327 |
44 | 579714 | 581529.411866881 | 543564.125 | 1.06984509300882 | 0.99687821143723 |
45 | 577992 | 578801.501517442 | 547282.625 | 1.05759158993480 | 0.998601417730742 |
46 | 565464 | 568084.436142126 | 550610.583333333 | 1.03173541035664 | 0.995387241798206 |
47 | 547344 | 550570.934674635 | 553538.791666667 | 0.994638393845722 | 0.994138930206074 |
48 | 554788 | 553810.606549623 | 556520.291666667 | 0.99513102189153 | 1.00176485144708 |
49 | 562325 | 559262.877102297 | 559018.541666667 | 1.00043707930492 | 1.00547528366905 |
50 | 560854 | 556201.183296208 | 561320.875 | 0.990879206650221 | 1.00836534844500 |
51 | 555332 | 548594.931688426 | 564057.125 | 0.972587540115597 | 1.01228058795738 |
52 | 543599 | 544827.125182114 | 567410.5 | 0.960199229979201 | 0.997745844277296 |
53 | 536662 | 538453.554797709 | 571272.291666667 | 0.942551498912698 | 0.996672777472178 |
54 | 542722 | 542062.193333744 | 574917.666666667 | 0.942851863426956 | 1.00121721579990 |
55 | 593530 | 601810.089472708 | 577801.25 | 1.04155207257289 | 0.986241358166723 |
56 | 610763 | 620701.611639883 | 580178.958333333 | 1.06984509300882 | 0.983988100798344 |
57 | 612613 | 616131.532198952 | 582579.833333333 | 1.05759158993480 | 0.994289316460733 |
58 | 611324 | 603587.268403031 | 585021.375 | 1.03173541035664 | 1.01281791714633 |
59 | 594167 | 584383.542543621 | 587533.666666667 | 0.994638393845722 | 1.01674150064835 |
60 | 595454 | 587040.560661928 | 589912.833333333 | 0.99513102189153 | 1.01433195574865 |
61 | 590865 | 592401.271547437 | 592142.458333333 | 1.00043707930492 | 0.997406704507193 |
62 | 589379 | 588613.007292271 | 594031.041666667 | 0.990879206650221 | 1.00130135198889 |
63 | 584428 | 579114.485550368 | 595436.875 | 0.972587540115597 | 1.00917524009882 |
64 | 573100 | 572394.645116323 | 596120.708333333 | 0.960199229979201 | 1.00123228770516 |
65 | 567456 | 561954.191320099 | 596205.291666667 | 0.942551498912698 | 1.00979049318411 |
66 | 569028 | 562248.14101829 | 596327.125 | 0.942851863426956 | 1.01205848181095 |
67 | 620735 | 621289.326527975 | 596503.375 | 1.04155207257289 | 0.999107780378149 |
68 | 628884 | 638310.459486989 | 596638.208333333 | 1.06984509300882 | 0.985232171356608 |
69 | 628232 | 630826.106346352 | 596474.208333333 | 1.05759158993480 | 0.995887763172363 |
70 | 612117 | 615252.068952523 | 596327.375 | 1.03173541035664 | 0.994904415424623 |
71 | 595404 | 593396.334019655 | 596595.041666667 | 0.994638393845722 | 1.00338334746146 |
72 | 597141 | 594073.068666051 | 596979.75 | 0.99513102189153 | 1.00516423230704 |
73 | 593408 | 597355.144170007 | 597094.166666667 | 1.00043707930492 | 0.993392299022566 |
74 | 590072 | 591473.014975733 | 596917.375 | 0.990879206650221 | 0.997631312096647 |
75 | 579799 | 580092.787042282 | 596442.75 | 0.972587540115597 | 0.999493551637179 |
76 | 574205 | 571391.276929296 | 595075.75 | 0.960199229979201 | 1.00492433676241 |
77 | 572775 | 558762.75121776 | 592819.333333333 | 0.942551498912698 | 1.02507727788172 |
78 | 572942 | 556209.331975017 | 589922.291666667 | 0.942851863426956 | 1.03008340037296 |
79 | 619567 | 611279.794120534 | 586893.166666667 | 1.04155207257289 | 1.01355714021496 |
80 | 625809 | 624583.856598018 | 583807.75 | 1.06984509300882 | 1.00196153549126 |
81 | 619916 | 613493.105579962 | 580085.083333333 | 1.05759158993480 | 1.01046938321168 |
82 | 587625 | 594349.668395378 | 576067.916666667 | 1.03173541035664 | 0.988685669811958 |
83 | 565742 | 568419.554879131 | 571483.625 | 0.994638393845722 | 0.995289474374786 |
84 | 557274 | 563061.303065334 | 565816.25 | 0.99513102189153 | 0.989721717628564 |
85 | 560576 | 560290.826201283 | 560046.041666667 | 1.00043707930492 | 1.00050897459923 |
86 | 548854 | 549759.684006943 | 554820.083333333 | 0.990879206650221 | 0.998352581985748 |
87 | 531673 | 533958.867042034 | 549008.541666667 | 0.972587540115597 | 0.995719020353202 |
88 | 525919 | 521603.86663074 | 543224.625 | 0.960199229979201 | 1.00827281706543 |
89 | 511038 | 507443.806848376 | 538372.5 | 0.942551498912698 | 1.00708293825467 |
90 | 498662 | 503719.708029692 | 534251.166666667 | 0.942851863426956 | 0.989959281026595 |
91 | 555362 | 552689.104994073 | 530639.916666667 | 1.04155207257289 | 1.00483616373432 |
92 | 564591 | 563915.838870615 | 527100.458333333 | 1.06984509300882 | 1.00119727286032 |
93 | 541657 | 553916.547671541 | 523752.791666667 | 1.05759158993480 | 0.977867518630603 |
94 | 527070 | 537161.864268573 | 520639.166666667 | 1.03173541035664 | 0.981212619621994 |
95 | 509846 | 514641.777746812 | 517415.958333333 | 0.994638393845722 | 0.990681328344915 |
96 | 514258 | 512294.279345612 | 514800.833333333 | 0.99513102189153 | 1.00383318872289 |
97 | 516922 | 513022.258448041 | 512798.125 | 1.00043707930492 | 1.00760150556383 |
98 | 507561 | 505727.035108454 | 510382.125 | 0.990879206650221 | 1.00362639282504 |
99 | 492622 | 494174.079552623 | 508102.416666667 | 0.972587540115597 | 0.996859245320943 |
100 | 490243 | 486094.858931783 | 506243.75 | 0.960199229979201 | 1.00853360407335 |
101 | 469357 | 476026.758832577 | 505040.583333333 | 0.942551498912698 | 0.985988689272566 |
102 | 477580 | 475938.931443265 | 504786.541666667 | 0.942851863426956 | 1.00344806538889 |
103 | 528379 | NA | NA | 1.04155207257289 | NA |
104 | 533590 | NA | NA | 1.06984509300882 | NA |
105 | 517945 | NA | NA | 1.05759158993480 | NA |
106 | 506174 | NA | NA | 1.03173541035664 | NA |
107 | 501866 | NA | NA | 0.994638393845722 | NA |
108 | 516141 | NA | NA | 0.99513102189153 | NA |