Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 76.3 | NA | NA | 0.962459102149803 | NA |
2 | 71 | NA | NA | 0.877076078060531 | NA |
3 | 85.9 | NA | NA | 1.03044273310302 | NA |
4 | 109 | NA | NA | 0.885313990310911 | NA |
5 | 83.4 | NA | NA | 0.894567966560115 | NA |
6 | 101.3 | NA | NA | 1.06969376643926 | NA |
7 | 81.6 | 80.1677347766401 | 91.575 | 0.87543253919345 | 1.01786585622446 |
8 | 84.8 | 90.50832646733 | 92.3 | 0.980588585778223 | 0.936930372153213 |
9 | 88 | 92.9719141309046 | 94.5291666666667 | 0.983526221687182 | 0.94652240757457 |
10 | 88.4 | 93.2053810556108 | 95.675 | 0.974187416311584 | 0.948443094152004 |
11 | 85.2 | 93.797137846799 | 95.1416666666667 | 0.985868138882008 | 0.908343281637859 |
12 | 139.5 | 141.920335243798 | 95.8375 | 1.48084346152391 | 0.982945817879868 |
13 | 85.3 | 92.7289242458746 | 96.3458333333333 | 0.962459102149803 | 0.919885577167093 |
14 | 79.4 | 84.66707740211 | 96.5333333333333 | 0.877076078060531 | 0.937790726174532 |
15 | 131 | 99.9829996907086 | 97.0291666666667 | 1.03044273310302 | 1.31022274191853 |
16 | 91.4 | 86.3623797548294 | 97.55 | 0.885313990310911 | 1.05833118841180 |
17 | 88.2 | 87.92112164675 | 98.2833333333333 | 0.894567966560115 | 1.00317191532622 |
18 | 113.2 | 105.748142927241 | 98.8583333333333 | 1.06969376643926 | 1.07046797103459 |
19 | 81.9 | 86.86114606589 | 99.2208333333333 | 0.87543253919345 | 0.942884174448646 |
20 | 89 | 97.719738358574 | 99.6541666666667 | 0.980588585778223 | 0.910767890857651 |
21 | 95.7 | 96.2913151290988 | 97.9041666666667 | 0.983526221687182 | 0.993859102159878 |
22 | 93.2 | 93.2946815687726 | 95.7666666666667 | 0.974187416311584 | 0.998985134337986 |
23 | 98 | 94.0394970976075 | 95.3875 | 0.985868138882008 | 1.04211531350792 |
24 | 140.5 | 140.951616812718 | 95.1833333333333 | 1.48084346152391 | 0.996795944431643 |
25 | 93 | 91.7343831736531 | 95.3125 | 0.962459102149803 | 1.01379653716046 |
26 | 82.1 | 84.2139214284453 | 96.0166666666667 | 0.877076078060531 | 0.974898195065747 |
27 | 86.3 | 99.6309317568984 | 96.6875 | 1.03044273310302 | 0.866196857523864 |
28 | 84.8 | 86.000876542119 | 97.1416666666667 | 0.885313990310911 | 0.986036461598959 |
29 | 85.7 | 87.5036565956885 | 97.8166666666666 | 0.894567966560115 | 0.979387643147048 |
30 | 110.8 | 106.024480483571 | 99.1166666666667 | 1.06969376643926 | 1.0450416686283 |
31 | 87.4 | 88.1378185188805 | 100.679166666667 | 0.87543253919345 | 0.991628808934925 |
32 | 100.4 | 100.118094607957 | 102.1 | 0.980588585778223 | 1.00281572869667 |
33 | 100.4 | 102.131002070366 | 103.841666666667 | 0.983526221687182 | 0.983051159439581 |
34 | 99.4 | 102.650939879598 | 105.370833333333 | 0.974187416311584 | 0.96833014989038 |
35 | 108 | 105.08943582091 | 106.595833333333 | 0.985868138882008 | 1.02769606817616 |
36 | 161.7 | 159.59173388465 | 107.770833333333 | 1.48084346152391 | 1.01321037164039 |
37 | 109.3 | 104.867939671739 | 108.958333333333 | 0.962459102149803 | 1.04226325359432 |
38 | 99.9 | 97.0009597498362 | 110.595833333333 | 0.877076078060531 | 1.02988671717930 |
39 | 110.3 | 116.075080372668 | 112.645833333333 | 1.03044273310302 | 0.950247026716448 |
40 | 97.5 | 101.788976035997 | 114.975 | 0.885313990310911 | 0.957864041834155 |
41 | 102.4 | 104.578722657405 | 116.904166666667 | 0.894567966560115 | 0.9791666736594 |
42 | 122.3 | 126.954821846899 | 118.683333333333 | 1.06969376643926 | 0.963334816439561 |
43 | 104.4 | 105.631878760430 | 120.6625 | 0.87543253919345 | 0.988338001984955 |
44 | 122.7 | 120.273275831473 | 122.654166666667 | 0.980588585778223 | 1.02017675291332 |
45 | 127.3 | 123.022738229372 | 125.083333333333 | 0.983526221687182 | 1.03476805858973 |
46 | 128.4 | 123.953171382945 | 127.2375 | 0.974187416311584 | 1.03587506933015 |
47 | 125.3 | 127.345409056171 | 129.170833333333 | 0.985868138882008 | 0.983938101331403 |
48 | 187.1 | 195.00857333943 | 131.6875 | 1.48084346152391 | 0.959444996678866 |
49 | 131.4 | 129.446738992890 | 134.495833333333 | 0.962459102149803 | 1.01508930253714 |
50 | 125.6 | 120.861083556741 | 137.8 | 0.877076078060531 | 1.03920961407759 |
51 | 142.9 | 145.150739491724 | 140.8625 | 1.03044273310302 | 0.984493778677216 |
52 | 116.6 | 126.817540303745 | 143.245833333333 | 0.885313990310911 | 0.9194311742739 |
53 | 129.7 | 130.502556855011 | 145.883333333333 | 0.894567966560115 | 0.99385025953244 |
54 | 155.4 | 160.155442122758 | 149.720833333333 | 1.06969376643926 | 0.970307333552157 |
55 | 138.7 | 134.003188301457 | 153.070833333333 | 0.87543253919345 | 1.03504999961625 |
56 | 167.7 | 151.754255220728 | 154.758333333333 | 0.980588585778223 | 1.10507609658839 |
57 | 155.8 | 153.110444561152 | 155.675 | 0.983526221687182 | 1.01756611344547 |
58 | 157.1 | 153.397986040963 | 157.4625 | 0.974187416311584 | 1.02413339349872 |
59 | 159.9 | 157.743010005033 | 160.004166666667 | 0.985868138882008 | 1.0136740765559 |
60 | 244.6 | 239.014304871049 | 161.404166666667 | 1.48084346152391 | 1.02336971057847 |
61 | 154.3 | 156.692352076247 | 162.804166666667 | 0.962459102149803 | 0.984732170750218 |
62 | 143.2 | 144.067054788759 | 164.258333333333 | 0.877076078060531 | 0.99398158871207 |
63 | 147.3 | 170.366531873033 | 165.333333333333 | 1.03044273310302 | 0.864606436373175 |
64 | 155.1 | 147.139185189673 | 166.2 | 0.885313990310911 | 1.05410397509042 |
65 | 152.2 | 149.187845256536 | 166.770833333333 | 0.894567966560115 | 1.02019034954412 |
66 | 166.5 | 179.686267474995 | 167.979166666667 | 1.06969376643926 | 0.926615051554623 |
67 | 161.2 | NA | NA | 0.87543253919345 | NA |
68 | 180.1 | NA | NA | 0.980588585778223 | NA |
69 | 169.2 | NA | NA | 0.983526221687182 | NA |
70 | 164.5 | NA | NA | 0.974187416311584 | NA |
71 | 166.2 | NA | NA | 0.985868138882008 | NA |
72 | 267.3 | NA | NA | 1.48084346152391 | NA |