Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 100.09 | NA | NA | 1.00153946186072 | NA |
2 | 100.09 | NA | NA | 1.00093832911167 | NA |
3 | 100.06 | NA | NA | 1.00015335259084 | NA |
4 | 100.11 | NA | NA | 0.99913055673448 | NA |
5 | 100.08 | NA | NA | 0.998379748611748 | NA |
6 | 100.08 | NA | NA | 0.997665615581926 | NA |
7 | 100.08 | 99.803056260336 | 100.025416666667 | 0.997776960959116 | 1.00277490239319 |
8 | 100.08 | 99.7342472034749 | 100.01625 | 0.997180430214839 | 1.00346674092621 |
9 | 99.94 | 100.105940810497 | 100.00625 | 1.00099684580210 | 0.99834234802497 |
10 | 99.79 | 100.189187081573 | 99.9933333333333 | 1.00195866806027 | 0.996015667027542 |
11 | 99.98 | 100.206722026000 | 99.9795833333333 | 1.00227185076286 | 0.997737456914907 |
12 | 99.98 | 100.167835201695 | 99.9670833333333 | 1.00200817970943 | 0.998124795236751 |
13 | 99.98 | 100.108459602179 | 99.9545833333333 | 1.00153946186072 | 0.998716795736452 |
14 | 99.98 | 100.035861899606 | 99.9420833333333 | 1.00093832911167 | 0.99944158126351 |
15 | 99.93 | 99.9436576021487 | 99.9283333333333 | 1.00015335259084 | 0.999863346984928 |
16 | 99.93 | 99.8210524013487 | 99.9079166666667 | 0.99913055673448 | 1.00109142907263 |
17 | 99.93 | 99.715257350408 | 99.8770833333333 | 0.998379748611748 | 1.00215355859573 |
18 | 99.93 | 99.6085978357254 | 99.8416666666667 | 0.997665615581926 | 1.00322665082390 |
19 | 99.93 | 99.5852082905266 | 99.8070833333333 | 0.997776960959116 | 1.00346227833824 |
20 | 99.93 | 99.49118447361 | 99.7725 | 0.997180430214839 | 1.00441059706658 |
21 | 99.76 | 99.8427620564546 | 99.7433333333333 | 1.00099684580210 | 0.999171076052486 |
22 | 99.48 | 99.9090561372943 | 99.71375 | 1.00195866806027 | 0.99570553307295 |
23 | 99.55 | 99.9043700176863 | 99.6779166666667 | 1.00227185076286 | 0.996452907739436 |
24 | 99.56 | 99.8417650398807 | 99.6416666666667 | 1.00200817970943 | 0.997177884027108 |
25 | 99.57 | 99.7583380986366 | 99.605 | 1.00153946186072 | 0.998112056573653 |
26 | 99.56 | 99.6605100261888 | 99.5670833333333 | 1.00093832911167 | 0.99899147589991 |
27 | 99.65 | 99.5527643335111 | 99.5375 | 1.00015335259084 | 1.00097672492713 |
28 | 99.5 | 99.4413827897896 | 99.5279166666667 | 0.99913055673448 | 1.00058946495479 |
29 | 99.5 | 99.3670724130796 | 99.5283333333333 | 0.998379748611748 | 1.00133774281251 |
30 | 99.49 | 99.2964116368496 | 99.52875 | 0.997665615581926 | 1.00194960079583 |
31 | 99.49 | 99.30790944346 | 99.5291666666667 | 0.997776960959116 | 1.00183359570814 |
32 | 99.46 | 99.248952727437 | 99.5295833333334 | 0.997180430214839 | 1.00212644332019 |
33 | 99.52 | 99.6258794065308 | 99.5266666666667 | 1.00099684580210 | 0.99893722989286 |
34 | 99.49 | 99.721188887033 | 99.52625 | 1.00195866806027 | 0.997681647304718 |
35 | 99.55 | 99.7582053727834 | 99.5320833333333 | 1.00227185076286 | 0.99791289977596 |
36 | 99.57 | 99.738224194644 | 99.5383333333333 | 1.00200817970943 | 0.998313342793072 |
37 | 99.57 | 99.698245730925 | 99.545 | 1.00153946186072 | 0.99871366110823 |
38 | 99.57 | 99.6446618359778 | 99.55125 | 1.00093832911167 | 0.99925071915944 |
39 | 99.57 | 99.6052723845222 | 99.59 | 1.00015335259084 | 0.99964587833879 |
40 | 99.57 | 99.573767588557 | 99.6604166666667 | 0.99913055673448 | 0.999962162840192 |
41 | 99.57 | 99.571324269983 | 99.7329166666667 | 0.998379748611748 | 0.99998670028753 |
42 | 99.57 | 99.575342315206 | 99.8083333333333 | 0.997665615581926 | 0.999946349014909 |
43 | 99.57 | 99.6612887837997 | 99.8833333333333 | 0.997776960959116 | 0.999084009599778 |
44 | 99.53 | 99.6764938368916 | 99.9583333333333 | 0.997180430214839 | 0.998530307083922 |
45 | 100.38 | 100.134719469814 | 100.035 | 1.00099684580210 | 1.00244950534126 |
46 | 100.32 | 100.309004638962 | 100.112916666667 | 1.00195866806027 | 1.00010961489527 |
47 | 100.46 | 100.418451954473 | 100.190833333333 | 1.00227185076286 | 1.00041374911401 |
48 | 100.47 | 100.470525172648 | 100.269166666667 | 1.00200817970943 | 0.999994772868485 |
49 | 100.47 | 100.501981149068 | 100.3475 | 1.00153946186072 | 0.999681785884193 |
50 | 100.47 | 100.521734046862 | 100.4275 | 1.00093832911167 | 0.999485344663495 |
51 | 100.51 | 100.536665194122 | 100.52125 | 1.00015335259084 | 0.999734771448099 |
52 | 100.5 | 100.562074230927 | 100.649583333333 | 0.99913055673448 | 0.999382727221952 |
53 | 100.51 | 100.634182710693 | 100.7975 | 0.998379748611748 | 0.998765998715867 |
54 | 100.51 | 100.703535848827 | 100.939166666667 | 0.997665615581926 | 0.998078162328708 |
55 | 100.51 | 100.852800771345 | 101.0775 | 0.997776960959116 | 0.99660097916247 |
56 | 100.51 | 100.930032736041 | 101.215416666667 | 0.997180430214839 | 0.99583837709496 |
57 | 101.65 | 101.452698650120 | 101.351666666667 | 1.00099684580210 | 1.00194476196795 |
58 | 102.13 | 101.682522979761 | 101.48375 | 1.00195866806027 | 1.00440072696001 |
59 | 102.2 | 101.841260369286 | 101.610416666667 | 1.00227185076286 | 1.00352253722522 |
60 | 102.13 | 101.939302162739 | 101.735 | 1.00200817970943 | 1.00187069984996 |
61 | 102.13 | 102.016809585133 | 101.86 | 1.00153946186072 | 1.00110952709978 |
62 | 102.12 | 102.081112552090 | 101.985416666667 | 1.00093832911167 | 1.00038094655257 |
63 | 102.13 | 102.111073263326 | 102.095416666667 | 1.00015335259084 | 1.00018535439957 |
64 | 102.05 | 102.106147245480 | 102.195 | 0.99913055673448 | 0.999450109058123 |
65 | 102 | 102.132168325172 | 102.297916666667 | 0.998379748611748 | 0.998705908947792 |
66 | 102.01 | 102.166363057674 | 102.405416666667 | 0.997665615581926 | 0.998469525066823 |
67 | 102.01 | 102.291678297128 | 102.519583333333 | 0.997776960959116 | 0.997246322459292 |
68 | 102.02 | 102.344366979562 | 102.63375 | 0.997180430214839 | 0.996830631825326 |
69 | 102.78 | 102.845335511842 | 102.742916666667 | 1.00099684580210 | 0.999364720708853 |
70 | 103.39 | 103.046021733880 | 102.844583333333 | 1.00195866806027 | 1.00333810330891 |
71 | 103.41 | 103.180128516596 | 102.94625 | 1.00227185076286 | 1.00222786583724 |
72 | 103.5 | 103.256942919057 | 103.05 | 1.00200817970943 | 1.00235390545247 |
73 | 103.5 | 103.312133955806 | 103.153333333333 | 1.00153946186072 | 1.00181843155301 |
74 | 103.49 | 103.353138345337 | 103.25625 | 1.00093832911167 | 1.00132421382509 |
75 | 103.38 | 103.367099181954 | 103.35125 | 1.00015335259084 | 1.00012480584391 |
76 | 103.24 | 103.344236527034 | 103.434166666667 | 0.99913055673448 | 0.998991365841612 |
77 | 103.25 | 103.345199719735 | 103.512916666667 | 0.998379748611748 | 0.99907881817449 |
78 | 103.25 | 103.351506670184 | 103.593333333333 | 0.997665615581926 | 0.999017850117004 |
79 | 103.25 | 103.445357908237 | 103.675833333333 | 0.997776960959116 | 0.9981114869513 |
80 | 103.25 | 103.466194963554 | 103.75875 | 0.997180430214839 | 0.997910477295216 |
81 | 103.83 | 103.943929550110 | 103.840416666667 | 1.00099684580210 | 0.998903932624033 |
82 | 104.33 | 104.136069268174 | 103.9325 | 1.00195866806027 | 1.00186228204300 |
83 | 104.36 | 104.271769607385 | 104.035416666667 | 1.00227185076286 | 1.00084615800563 |
84 | 104.48 | 104.346626814491 | 104.1375 | 1.00200817970943 | 1.00127817438455 |
85 | 104.5 | 104.399638888143 | 104.239166666667 | 1.00153946186072 | 1.00096131665709 |
86 | 104.48 | 104.455004622634 | 104.357083333333 | 1.00093832911167 | 1.00023929324839 |
87 | 104.35 | 104.498105931509 | 104.482083333333 | 1.00015335259084 | 0.998582692669986 |
88 | 104.48 | 104.516966018001 | 104.607916666667 | 0.99913055673448 | 0.999646315623107 |
89 | 104.48 | 104.575702759899 | 104.745416666667 | 0.998379748611748 | 0.999084847078492 |
90 | 104.47 | 104.634754068226 | 104.879583333333 | 0.997665615581926 | 0.998425436465226 |
91 | 104.47 | NA | NA | 0.997776960959116 | NA |
92 | 104.86 | NA | NA | 0.997180430214839 | NA |
93 | 105.22 | NA | NA | 1.00099684580210 | NA |
94 | 105.96 | NA | NA | 1.00195866806027 | NA |
95 | 106.03 | NA | NA | 1.00227185076286 | NA |
96 | 106.03 | NA | NA | 1.00200817970943 | NA |