| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 100.7 | NA | NA | 0.882039447959413 | NA |
| 2 | 105.9 | NA | NA | 0.888255135787721 | NA |
| 3 | 115.4 | NA | NA | 1.02545098625144 | NA |
| 4 | 113.9 | NA | NA | 0.956832102834369 | NA |
| 5 | 121.5 | NA | NA | 1.02100544232997 | NA |
| 6 | 119.5 | NA | NA | 1.05614625476188 | NA |
| 7 | 115.8 | 118.827281261172 | 115.979166666667 | 1.02455712242434 | 0.974523684889174 |
| 8 | 116.3 | 117.532281109365 | 115.9 | 1.01408352984784 | 0.989515381665928 |
| 9 | 113.5 | 111.331553653311 | 115.925 | 0.960375705441542 | 1.01947737434296 |
| 10 | 110.7 | 112.988467347364 | 116.029166666667 | 0.97379366407036 | 0.979746009472557 |
| 11 | 116.9 | 114.971084110623 | 115.958333333333 | 0.991486172711087 | 1.01677740019848 |
| 12 | 141.1 | 139.993532396916 | 116.083333333333 | 1.20597443558004 | 1.00790370515080 |
| 13 | 101.8 | 102.746570194172 | 116.4875 | 0.882039447959413 | 0.990787330493044 |
| 14 | 102.9 | 103.811117932124 | 116.870833333333 | 0.888255135787721 | 0.99122331066004 |
| 15 | 119 | 119.866674867908 | 116.891666666667 | 1.02545098625144 | 0.992769676235177 |
| 16 | 112.8 | 111.985237235477 | 117.0375 | 0.956832102834369 | 1.00727562654361 |
| 17 | 120.9 | 119.912835012312 | 117.445833333333 | 1.02100544232997 | 1.00823235467318 |
| 18 | 123.1 | 124.299612966684 | 117.691666666667 | 1.05614625476188 | 0.990349020901574 |
| 19 | 121.9 | 120.872126518011 | 117.975 | 1.02455712242434 | 1.00850380903852 |
| 20 | 119.4 | 119.999884365328 | 118.333333333333 | 1.01408352984784 | 0.995000958805082 |
| 21 | 110.9 | 114.068624413819 | 118.775 | 0.960375705441542 | 0.972221770621833 |
| 22 | 116.8 | 115.853043709171 | 118.970833333333 | 0.97379366407036 | 1.00817377136164 |
| 23 | 120.6 | 118.131446286140 | 119.145833333333 | 0.991486172711087 | 1.0208966688504 |
| 24 | 143.3 | 144.053646330035 | 119.45 | 1.20597443558004 | 0.994768293970784 |
| 25 | 106.4 | 105.381663044951 | 119.475 | 0.882039447959413 | 1.00966332211530 |
| 26 | 106.9 | 106.287129123132 | 119.658333333333 | 0.888255135787721 | 1.00576618149275 |
| 27 | 125.6 | 123.015663938188 | 119.9625 | 1.02545098625144 | 1.02100818691765 |
| 28 | 110.9 | 115.011218760691 | 120.2 | 0.956832102834369 | 0.96425375885073 |
| 29 | 127 | 122.954580392587 | 120.425 | 1.02100544232997 | 1.03290173976843 |
| 30 | 124.3 | 127.274424917597 | 120.508333333333 | 1.05614625476188 | 0.97662983023084 |
| 31 | 121.3 | 123.471940216163 | 120.5125 | 1.02455712242434 | 0.982409442887507 |
| 32 | 124.4 | 122.171713258418 | 120.475 | 1.01408352984784 | 1.0182389743268 |
| 33 | 113.2 | 115.197065867713 | 119.95 | 0.960375705441542 | 0.98266391723895 |
| 34 | 120.2 | 116.770032742837 | 119.9125 | 0.97379366407036 | 1.02937369440254 |
| 35 | 122.6 | 119.032046226352 | 120.054166666667 | 0.991486172711087 | 1.02997473274435 |
| 36 | 143.3 | 144.324990578041 | 119.675 | 1.20597443558004 | 0.99289803814339 |
| 37 | 106.5 | 105.683026523004 | 119.816666666667 | 0.882039447959413 | 1.00773041333008 |
| 38 | 105.9 | 106.390758888974 | 119.775 | 0.888255135787721 | 0.995387203793833 |
| 39 | 114 | 122.656756093000 | 119.6125 | 1.02545098625144 | 0.929422916692526 |
| 40 | 121.6 | 114.536789509702 | 119.704166666667 | 0.956832102834369 | 1.06166761370327 |
| 41 | 119.7 | 121.903795624856 | 119.395833333333 | 1.02100544232997 | 0.981921845718096 |
| 42 | 122.5 | 125.919037223985 | 119.225 | 1.05614625476188 | 0.972847336674727 |
| 43 | 126.5 | 122.340658393486 | 119.408333333333 | 1.02455712242434 | 1.03399803189825 |
| 44 | 118.2 | 121.157629728571 | 119.475 | 1.01408352984784 | 0.97558858046995 |
| 45 | 115.5 | 115.069015773654 | 119.816666666667 | 0.960375705441542 | 1.00374544114633 |
| 46 | 120.1 | 116.757860322036 | 119.9 | 0.97379366407036 | 1.02862453687268 |
| 47 | 115.3 | 118.461941677043 | 119.479166666667 | 0.991486172711087 | 0.973308375396516 |
| 48 | 146.5 | 143.963198247367 | 119.375 | 1.20597443558004 | 1.01762118224322 |
| 49 | 107.7 | 105.18320416916 | 119.25 | 0.882039447959413 | 1.02392773495274 |
| 50 | 106.3 | 105.765279230857 | 119.070833333333 | 0.888255135787721 | 1.00505573069945 |
| 51 | 121.8 | 122.037212788807 | 119.008333333333 | 1.02545098625144 | 0.998056225774206 |
| 52 | 115.8 | 113.524142200869 | 118.645833333333 | 0.956832102834369 | 1.02004734636183 |
| 53 | 115.4 | 120.844502478439 | 118.358333333333 | 1.02100544232997 | 0.954946212969763 |
| 54 | 124.3 | 124.893695234987 | 118.254166666667 | 1.05614625476188 | 0.995246395473603 |
| 55 | 121.7 | 120.769670805769 | 117.875 | 1.02455712242434 | 1.0077033346868 |
| 56 | 118.7 | 119.116786624752 | 117.4625 | 1.01408352984784 | 0.996501025283155 |
| 57 | 113.5 | 112.664074944611 | 117.3125 | 0.960375705441542 | 1.00741962383129 |
| 58 | 113.4 | 114.059640377841 | 117.129166666667 | 0.97379366407036 | 0.994216706490955 |
| 59 | 115.1 | 116.049325323446 | 117.045833333333 | 0.991486172711087 | 0.991819639443826 |
| 60 | 144.2 | 141.244730873830 | 117.120833333333 | 1.20597443558004 | 1.02092303980394 |
| 61 | 100.9 | 103.312545506613 | 117.129166666667 | 0.882039447959413 | 0.976648087656902 |
| 62 | 103.2 | 104.084996598992 | 117.179166666667 | 0.888255135787721 | 0.991497366307253 |
| 63 | 121.3 | 120.259764412637 | 117.275 | 1.02545098625144 | 1.00864990541469 |
| 64 | 111.9 | 112.220458460758 | 117.283333333333 | 0.956832102834369 | 0.997144384676796 |
| 65 | 117.3 | 119.704379734503 | 117.241666666667 | 1.02100544232997 | 0.979914020357182 |
| 66 | 124.2 | 123.780341058093 | 117.2 | 1.05614625476188 | 1.00339035212151 |
| 67 | 122 | 120.159205520324 | 117.279166666667 | 1.02455712242434 | 1.01531962925108 |
| 68 | 119.6 | 119.15058940908 | 117.495833333333 | 1.01408352984784 | 1.00377178655304 |
| 69 | 114.9 | 113.044223661348 | 117.708333333333 | 0.960375705441542 | 1.01641637474738 |
| 70 | 112.2 | 114.834617835497 | 117.925 | 0.97379366407036 | 0.97705728564124 |
| 71 | 115.3 | 117.321732578426 | 118.329166666667 | 0.991486172711087 | 0.982767620849153 |
| 72 | 143 | 143.465733792690 | 118.9625 | 1.20597443558004 | 0.99675369316158 |
| 73 | 104 | 105.352261730019 | 119.441666666667 | 0.882039447959413 | 0.9871643787441 |
| 74 | 105.3 | 106.442573771895 | 119.833333333333 | 0.888255135787721 | 0.989265819761707 |
| 75 | 124.3 | 123.331844658949 | 120.270833333333 | 1.02545098625144 | 1.00785000292283 |
| 76 | 114.1 | 115.433819606110 | 120.641666666667 | 0.956832102834369 | 0.988445157487979 |
| 77 | 124.8 | 123.554421089956 | 121.0125 | 1.02100544232997 | 1.01008121683592 |
| 78 | 131.9 | 128.268962640831 | 121.45 | 1.05614625476188 | 1.02830799660660 |
| 79 | 125.8 | 124.902051199547 | 121.908333333333 | 1.02455712242434 | 1.00718922381041 |
| 80 | 125.2 | 124.035091744514 | 122.3125 | 1.01408352984784 | 1.00939176356547 |
| 81 | 119.8 | 118.074191418598 | 122.945833333333 | 0.960375705441542 | 1.01461630658374 |
| 82 | 116.2 | 120.210770355886 | 123.445833333333 | 0.97379366407036 | 0.966635515736138 |
| 83 | 120.2 | 122.617921217657 | 123.670833333333 | 0.991486172711087 | 0.980280849702505 |
| 84 | 148.6 | 149.706651496817 | 124.1375 | 1.20597443558004 | 0.99260786687998 |
| 85 | 109.4 | 109.755108641083 | 124.433333333333 | 0.882039447959413 | 0.996764536562537 |
| 86 | 109.6 | 110.739507991268 | 124.670833333333 | 0.888255135787721 | 0.989710013960345 |
| 87 | 135.2 | 128.108737169904 | 124.929166666667 | 1.02545098625144 | 1.05535346758349 |
| 88 | 115.2 | 119.974785294144 | 125.3875 | 0.956832102834369 | 0.960201760041179 |
| 89 | 129.1 | 128.791328171240 | 126.141666666667 | 1.02100544232997 | 1.00239668177309 |
| 90 | 138.8 | 133.703715243459 | 126.595833333333 | 1.05614625476188 | 1.03811625389213 |
| 91 | 126 | 130.067526691769 | 126.95 | 1.02455712242434 | 0.968727577165294 |
| 92 | 130.7 | 129.359030276215 | 127.5625 | 1.01408352984784 | 1.01036626295761 |
| 93 | 120.5 | 122.732013589990 | 127.795833333333 | 0.960375705441542 | 0.98181392511455 |
| 94 | 126.5 | 124.686163737009 | 128.041666666667 | 0.97379366407036 | 1.01454721364928 |
| 95 | 128 | 127.674500698484 | 128.770833333333 | 0.991486172711087 | 1.00254944644181 |
| 96 | 151.7 | 155.605876444196 | 129.029166666667 | 1.20597443558004 | 0.974898914273352 |
| 97 | 114.8 | 114.150605223414 | 129.416666666667 | 0.882039447959413 | 1.00568892977234 |
| 98 | 118.9 | 115.384342138825 | 129.9 | 0.888255135787721 | 1.03046910695166 |
| 99 | 131.5 | 133.466718573067 | 130.154166666667 | 1.02545098625144 | 0.985264352086466 |
| 100 | 124.8 | 124.882536621599 | 130.516666666667 | 0.956832102834369 | 0.999339085961642 |
| 101 | 137 | 133.270989549463 | 130.529166666667 | 1.02100544232997 | 1.02798066153139 |
| 102 | 137.1 | 137.998710012824 | 130.6625 | 1.05614625476188 | 0.993487547726055 |
| 103 | 137 | NA | NA | 1.02455712242434 | NA |
| 104 | 131.3 | NA | NA | 1.01408352984784 | NA |
| 105 | 126 | NA | NA | 0.960375705441542 | NA |
| 106 | 129.7 | NA | NA | 0.97379366407036 | NA |
| 107 | 125.1 | NA | NA | 0.991486172711087 | NA |
| 108 | 157.8 | NA | NA | 1.20597443558004 | NA |
